Realized P&L
-$994
Unrealized P&L
+$423
Hit rate
72.3%
Resolved
16
Trades
30,105
lifetime
Volume
$6.97M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$232
Open exposure
$29.3K
20 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 11:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
98% 100% +$1
Politics
2% 92% $-1,134
Crypto
0%
Sports
0% 100% +$139
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 866 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +10,189 $9,442 94¢ $9.5K +$99 06-12 04:03
Will Marco Rubio enter Iran by June 30? No +6,065 $6,036 100¢ $6.1K +$16 06-28 19:54
Will Pete Hegseth enter Iran by June 30? No +2,328 $2,319 100¢ $2.3K +$4 06-27 14:14
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -2,512 $-2,175 90¢ $-2248 $-73 06-21 06:31
Will any U.S. House member enter Iran by June 30? No +2,000 $1,988 100¢ $2.0K +$8 06-28 09:21
Will any U.S. Senator enter Iran by June 30? No +1,576 $1,566 100¢ $1.6K +$8 06-29 20:04
Will Jared Kushner enter Iran by June 30? No +1,500 $1,494 100¢ $1.5K +$3 06-28 06:35
Will Donald Trump enter Iran by June 30? No +1,000 $997 100¢ $999 +$2 06-26 09:20
Will JD Vance enter Iran by June 30? No +814 $811 100¢ $813 +$2 06-26 16:40
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No +600 $508 91¢ $546 +$38 06-13 16:56
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026? No +540 $536 100¢ $538 +$2 06-21 05:54
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? No +400 $352 92¢ $366 +$14 06-08 15:10
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -296 $-584 100¢ $-296 +$288 06-23 23:36
Will Trump meet with Nicolás Maduro in 2026? No +142 $128 92¢ $130 +$2 06-25 08:22
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No -100 $-93 90¢ $-91 +$3 06-21 15:03
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -100 $-90 89¢ $-89 +$1 06-27 11:50
Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026? No +86 $86 100¢ $86 +$1 06-13 11:41
Will Trump pardon Elizabeth Holmes before 2027? No +91 $82 92¢ $84 +$2 06-23 21:42
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026? No +35 $20 60¢ $21 +$1 06-27 11:50
Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027? No +2 $2 97¢ $2 +$0 06-09 10:14