Glossy-Cashier — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5.45K

Unrealized P&L

+$1.96K

Hit rate

99.0%

Resolved

10,596

Trades

60,064

lifetime

Volume

$10.6M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$177

Open exposure

$32.6K

14 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-31 21:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 301 days

Categories

Other

96% 100% -$5,714

Politics

3% 87% -$2,765

Crypto

1% 100% +$2,744

Sports

0% 91% +$277

Tech

0% 100% +$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 243 trades/day

Open positions (14) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	+23,206	$21,210	97¢	$22.6K	+$1,357	10-28 16:09
Will Trump visit North Korea by December 31?	No	+3,266	$3,035	93¢	$3.0K	+$1	10-13 03:33
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	No	+2,424	$1,978	96¢	$2.3K	+$345	10-05 17:40
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	+1,125	$1,055	97¢	$1.1K	+$33	09-20 19:56
Trump out as President before 2027?	No	+778	$728	96¢	$749	+$21	10-21 18:33
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	+1,000	$675	66¢	$655	-$20	10-31 10:32
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	+667	$632	95¢	$636	+$3	10-21 23:56
Will US annex any territory in 2026?	No	+505	$485	94¢	$477	-$8	10-23 12:53
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?	No	+318	$260	96¢	$306	+$46	08-28 17:09
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	+200	$41	94¢	$188	+$147	06-21 06:31
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?	No	+186	$181	95¢	$177	-$4	09-25 18:47
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	No	-172	-$160	92¢	$-159	+$1	07-01 07:20
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?	No	+150	$135	99¢	$149	+$14	09-13 07:39
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	-626	-$98	12¢	$-72	+$26	06-21 14:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in tel aviv on march 16 2026 20c	50	$73.0K	36,934	36,246	+689	No	+$144	03-18 21:37
highest temperature in tel aviv on march 16 2026 19c	52	$64.1K	31,933	32,378	-445	Yes	+$142	03-18 18:05
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	174	$48.2K	37,178	13,972	+23,206	open	—	10-28 16:09
highest temperature in chicago on march 28 2026 60 61f	16	$42.3K	42,410	0	+42,410	No	+$83	03-29 04:11
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	141	$33.7K	17,079	17,000	+79	No	+$297	06-23 23:36
highest temperature in chongqing on march 29 2026 19c	2	$28.3K	28,434	0	+28,434	No	+$89	03-29 15:51
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	83	$26.7K	12,828	15,405	-2,576	No	+$494	03-10 18:05
highest temperature in paris on april 6 2026 23c	27	$26.0K	26,093	0	+26,093	No	+$71	04-06 18:41
highest temperature in paris on april 6 2026 24corhigher	24	$22.3K	22,305	0	+22,305	No	+$50	04-06 18:40
highest temperature in miami on february 19 2026 84 85f	5	$22.1K	22,079	0	+22,079	No	+$22	02-19 23:47
highest temperature in miami on march 12 2026 84 85f	40	$21.8K	21,887	0	+21,887	Yes	+$110	03-13 01:49
highest temperature in paris on april 6 2026 22c	32	$21.4K	21,461	0	+21,461	No	+$84	04-06 18:39
nicols maduro released from custody by january 31 2026	49	$21.0K	14,258	6,860	+7,399	No	+$113	01-31 23:52
highest temperature in buenos aires on april 2 2026 28c	8	$20.6K	20,591	0	+20,591	Yes	+$41	04-02 23:29
trump out as president by march 31	57	$19.8K	9,233	11,033	-1,800	No	+$55	03-16 19:47
highest temperature in paris on february 28 2026 14c	7	$18.7K	18,763	0	+18,763	Yes	+$20	02-28 22:54
highest temperature in singapore on april 3 2026 33c	16	$18.5K	18,498	0	+18,498	Yes	+$18	04-03 18:17
highest temperature in lucknow on march 14 2026 36corbelow	1	$18.1K	18,155	0	+18,155	Yes	+$32	03-14 15:22
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on April 25?	27	$16.6K	16,606	0	+16,606	No	+$26	04-26 04:52
highest temperature in hong kong on april 23 2026 29c	17	$16.1K	16,176	0	+16,176	Yes	+$77	04-24 01:39
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?	71	$15.9K	8,283	8,030	+253	No	+$13	03-06 15:35
highest temperature in london on march 19 2026 17c	4	$15.9K	15,944	0	+15,944	No	+$31	03-19 22:08
highest temperature in chicago on march 10 2026 60 61f	24	$15.4K	15,438	0	+15,438	Yes	+$42	03-11 04:59
highest temperature in chicago on march 8 2026 68 69f	2	$15.1K	15,097	0	+15,097	No	+$15	03-09 05:22
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on May 4?	25	$15.0K	15,000	0	+15,000	No	+$20	05-05 03:23
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on May 4?	9	$15.0K	15,000	0	+15,000	Yes	+$20	05-04 14:59
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	17	$15.0K	15,995	0	+15,995	Yes	+$1,044	03-01 04:58
us recognizes machado as leader of venezuela by january 31	259	$14.8K	11,949	2,998	+8,951	No	+$134	01-31 07:52
maduro exiled to russia by march 31	34	$14.3K	7,260	7,260	+0	No	-$3	02-12 22:26
highest temperature in atlanta on march 8 2026 74forhigher	1	$14.3K	14,311	0	+14,311	No	+$14	03-09 03:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 21:04:07	Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin before 2027?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x074cd0…
10-31 19:09:51	Will Trump say "Rocket Man" in November?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x086bc6…
10-31 19:05:07	will trump say tax during his midterm rally in kansas november 1 salina ks	No	BUY	200	60¢	$120	0xd9dae5…
10-31 18:40:42	Will Trump say "Transgender" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	No	BUY	50	45¢	$22	0x036980…
10-31 18:35:15	will trump say bitcoin during his midterm rally in kansas november 1 salina ks	No	BUY	78	98¢	$76	0xf627c9…
10-31 18:05:22	will trump say hormuz during his midterm rally in iowa november 1 dubuque ia	Yes	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0xc5a3ab…
10-31 18:04:57	will trump say maduro during his midterm rally in iowa november 1 dubuque ia	Yes	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0xc3c02d…
10-31 10:32:06	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	BUY	500	60¢	$300	0xc3ab80…
10-31 05:26:43	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on October 30?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x993231…
10-31 05:01:15	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on October 30?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5b076f…
10-31 05:01:15	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on October 30?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x408290…
10-31 05:01:13	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on October 30?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4ce237…
10-31 05:01:04	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on October 30?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xb47c83…
10-31 05:01:03	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on October 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x971762…
10-31 05:00:52	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe33525…
10-31 05:00:40	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on October 30?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x536a81…
10-31 05:00:33	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on October 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7e71a3…
10-31 04:35:30	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on October 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x435bab…
10-31 04:11:28	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on October 30?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf73c08…
10-31 04:05:27	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x52525f…
10-31 03:07:57	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x415e11…
10-31 02:57:21	Will Trump say "Dancing in the Street" in October?	No	BUY	121	97¢	$117	0x9fb16a…
10-31 02:57:09	Will Trump say "Neurotic" in October?	No	BUY	92	97¢	$89	0xb75cd8…
10-31 02:56:52	Will Trump say "Airbus" in October?	No	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0x34816d…
10-31 02:56:46	Will Trump say "Ferrari" in October?	No	BUY	26	98¢	$26	0x605927…
10-31 02:56:37	Will Trump say "Visa" in October?	No	BUY	85	99¢	$84	0xbc8581…
10-31 02:56:33	Will Trump say "Visa" in October?	No	BUY	54	99¢	$53	0x630218…
10-31 02:55:55	Will Trump say "Discord" in October?	No	BUY	27	98¢	$26	0x5595a9…
10-31 02:55:40	Will Trump say "Chicken" in October?	No	BUY	37	98¢	$37	0xc19d09…
10-31 02:55:31	Will Trump say "Cucumber" in October?	No	BUY	37	98¢	$37	0x3edaf2…
10-31 02:55:06	Will Trump say "Brazil" during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x3798bf…
10-31 02:55:01	Will Trump say "Fentanyl" or "Deport" or "Deported" during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	No	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0x92aac2…
10-31 02:07:12	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xb44ac8…
10-31 02:07:00	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x307759…
10-31 02:05:12	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	639	100¢	$638	0x48bb3c…
10-31 01:45:28	Will Trump say "Made in America" or "American Made" during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x86d63d…
10-31 01:30:16	Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	No	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0x58dde3…
10-31 01:29:48	Will Trump say "Terrorist" or "Terrorism" during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x80ee4b…
10-31 01:29:33	Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x96ee11…
10-31 01:29:25	Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x63300f…
10-31 01:29:01	Will Trump say "Fentanyl" or "Deport" or "Deported" during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xf45a0c…
10-31 01:14:12	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x52578c…
10-31 01:13:51	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xd4eac9…
10-31 01:13:40	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	1,138	100¢	$1,137	0x33cc40…
10-31 00:54:07	Will Trump say "Two Percent" or "2%" during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	Yes	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0xfacf67…
10-31 00:52:40	Will Trump say "Made in America" or "American Made" during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x124bd8…
10-31 00:51:15	Will Trump say "Made in America" or "American Made" during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x22a482…
10-31 00:50:40	Will Trump say "Ass" during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x7772af…
10-31 00:22:37	Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	No	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0x78bf9c…
10-31 00:15:22	Will Trump say "Cognitive" in November?	Yes	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x22dc3a…
10-30 23:49:15	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	Yes	SELL	17	18¢	$3	0xc5db72…
10-30 23:47:01	Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	Yes	SELL	2	20¢	$0	0x230a8f…
10-30 23:18:19	Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	Yes	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0xfa42a8…
10-30 23:16:52	Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	No	SELL	245	40¢	$98	0xb972c8…
10-30 23:06:36	Will Trump say "Two Percent" or "2%" during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	No	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0x897980…
10-30 23:00:34	Will Trump say "Two Percent" or "2%" during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	No	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0x569401…
10-30 22:58:48	Will Trump say "Obama" or "Kamala" or "Biden" 12+ times during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	No	BUY	45	45¢	$20	0x593b66…
10-30 22:57:36	Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	Yes	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0xcf18a0…
10-30 22:57:04	Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	No	BUY	37	33¢	$12	0x36676f…
10-30 22:49:07	Will Trump say "Obama" or "Kamala" or "Biden" 12+ times during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	No	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0xd44397…
10-30 22:44:36	Will Trump say "Obama" or "Kamala" or "Biden" 12+ times during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	Yes	SELL	200	53¢	$106	0xef6495…
10-30 22:39:00	Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	Yes	BUY	53	15¢	$8	0x47b908…
10-30 22:30:04	Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	Yes	BUY	23	15¢	$3	0x3a162b…
10-30 22:28:28	Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	No	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xac95e0…
10-30 22:23:58	Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	No	BUY	200	35¢	$70	0x3ad838…
10-30 22:20:42	Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	No	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0xf5b286…
10-30 22:20:39	Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	No	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0xa28926…
10-30 22:20:37	Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	No	BUY	100	38¢	$38	0x71e880…
10-30 21:41:12	Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	Yes	BUY	38	16¢	$6	0x7cb245…
10-30 21:39:58	Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x502a40…
10-30 21:38:22	Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	Yes	BUY	14	16¢	$2	0xf35dc3…
10-30 21:38:18	Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	Yes	BUY	82	16¢	$13	0xe39527…
10-30 21:19:12	Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	No	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0xb26c69…
10-30 21:06:30	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xfa088c…
10-30 20:53:22	Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	Yes	BUY	42	16¢	$7	0xfd544f…
10-30 20:37:01	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	Yes	SELL	4	15¢	$1	0x7d82aa…
10-30 20:34:58	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	Yes	SELL	17	15¢	$3	0x8ce1b5…
10-30 20:33:46	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x52ceca…
10-30 20:19:03	Will Trump say "Golden Age" in November?	Yes	BUY	200	94¢	$188	0x97d808…
10-30 20:14:34	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xe5d5e9…
10-30 20:08:09	Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	No	BUY	0	53¢	$0	0x0e4967…
10-30 20:07:48	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x45342f…
10-30 20:06:06	Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	No	BUY	17	95¢	$17	0x9562ef…
10-30 20:05:45	Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	No	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0x90a59f…
10-30 20:04:34	Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	No	BUY	17	95¢	$17	0xa6c343…
10-30 20:02:42	Will Trump say "Obama" or "Kamala" or "Biden" 12+ times during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	Yes	BUY	200	47¢	$94	0x269256…
10-30 20:00:27	Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xcfccab…
10-30 20:00:27	Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x9e10dc…
10-30 19:56:37	Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	No	BUY	37	53¢	$19	0x99bfff…
10-30 19:47:49	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on October 30?	No	BUY	274	100¢	$274	0xa894da…
10-30 19:46:48	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	69	100¢	$69	0x8bea39…
10-30 19:42:39	Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	No	BUY	361	96¢	$345	0xc64d52…
10-30 19:40:01	Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	No	BUY	49	96¢	$47	0xf594e9…
10-30 19:40:00	Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	No	BUY	23	96¢	$22	0xf26bc8…
10-30 19:38:39	Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	No	BUY	51	96¢	$49	0x413cc8…
10-30 19:38:18	Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	No	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0xb4c728…
10-30 19:37:13	Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	No	BUY	128	96¢	$123	0x13f33f…
10-30 19:37:03	Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	No	BUY	156	96¢	$149	0x6c35a7…
10-30 19:36:58	Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	No	BUY	17	96¢	$16	0x98585e…
10-30 19:03:03	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	Yes	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0xa7e24f…