Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on May 4?
open
Total volume
$151
$48,125 in 24h
Trades
27
Unique wallets
20
Liquidity
$285,814
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-04
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-05 06:25
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🦐 Shrimp | 20 | $14 | $98 | $85 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | — | $4 | $4 |
| Median | 6 | — | $20 | $20 |
| Below median | 2 | — | — | +— |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $8 | — | +$8 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $6 | — | +$6 |
| unranked | 5 | — | $74 | $74 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Whopping-Chalice 0xd4d1…1733 | Yes | +4,824 | $8 | $8 | 8 | 05-05 03:22 |
| (anonymous) 0xb3d7…e878 | Yes | +73 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-04 20:44 |
| Identical-Stepuncle 0x9acd…0006 | No | +39 | $39 | $39 | 1 | 05-04 23:29 |
| NixNov008 0xa530…88f6 | No | +37 | $35 | $35 | 1 | 05-04 20:00 |
| Exalted-Birdbath 0xc090…e1ef | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-04 20:03 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-04 20:59 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-05 06:25:12 | Spry-Notation 0xf1ab…5cf7 | No | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x1dde0b… |
| 05-05 03:22:38 | Whopping-Chalice 0xd4d1…1733 | Yes | BUY | 500 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xd46672… |
| 05-05 03:21:36 | Whopping-Chalice 0xd4d1…1733 | Yes | BUY | 500 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xfc193f… |
| 05-05 03:20:36 | Whopping-Chalice 0xd4d1…1733 | Yes | BUY | 500 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x79e537… |
| 05-05 03:15:22 | Whopping-Chalice 0xd4d1…1733 | Yes | BUY | 500 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x5b5032… |
| 05-05 02:10:24 | Whopping-Chalice 0xd4d1…1733 | Yes | BUY | 500 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x4ed75e… |
| 05-05 01:55:22 | Right-Hunting 0x1717…1f7c | No | SELL | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0x0b3702… |
| 05-05 01:55:02 | Whopping-Chalice 0xd4d1…1733 | Yes | BUY | 824 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x0b42f4… |
| 05-05 01:49:56 | Whopping-Chalice 0xd4d1…1733 | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xcee607… |
| 05-05 00:44:46 | Exhausted-Tie 0x635a…cccb | Yes | SELL | 71 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x016053… |
| 05-05 00:30:02 | Whopping-Chalice 0xd4d1…1733 | Yes | BUY | 500 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xf2c0f5… |
| 05-04 23:29:40 | Identical-Stepuncle 0x9acd…0006 | No | BUY | 39 | 100¢ | $39 | 0x2a43ce… |
| 05-04 22:39:50 | Elastic-Turtle 0x5034…92cf | No | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x47b9c4… |
| 05-04 22:29:54 | Mortified-Frown 0x2dba…5b01 | No | SELL | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0x984080… |
| 05-04 22:29:50 | Close-Beyond 0x15ef…396c | No | SELL | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0xce0acb… |
| 05-04 20:59:38 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $4 | 0x3772aa… |
| 05-04 20:49:38 | Hilarious-Locust 0xa588…4b34 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x4fd820… |
| 05-04 20:44:38 | (anonymous) 0xb3d7…e878 | Yes | BUY | 73 | 8¢ | $6 | 0x6d7972… |
| 05-04 20:39:28 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xc07871… |
| 05-04 20:39:28 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x53800b… |
| 05-04 20:39:28 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xaa7fe5… |
| 05-04 20:39:28 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x4e635b… |
| 05-04 20:39:28 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x233b53… |
| 05-04 20:29:30 | Grave-Dissemination 0xe43f…a889 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xb70888… |
| 05-04 20:29:30 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 4 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xb58339… |
| 05-04 20:03:44 | Exalted-Birdbath 0xc090…e1ef | No | BUY | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0xde4b0a… |
| 05-04 20:00:18 | NixNov008 0xa530…88f6 | No | BUY | 37 | 94¢ | $35 | 0x139773… |