Identical-Stepuncle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$85

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

86.9%

Resolved

847

Trades

1,418

lifetime

Volume

$43.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$30

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-24

last 05-24 23:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 32 days

Categories

Other

94% 84% -$87

Crypto

6% 97% +$2

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-24).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on May 15?	2	$186	94	94	+0	Down	+$1	05-15 21:38
Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on May 15?	2	$186	94	94	+0	Down	+$1	05-15 20:47
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on May 17?	2	$180	90	90	+0	Yes	+$0	05-17 23:01
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on May 17?	2	$179	90	90	+0	Yes	+$0	05-17 16:20
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on May 17?	2	$179	90	90	+0	No	+$0	05-17 14:47
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 17?	2	$179	90	90	+0	Yes	+$0	05-17 15:45
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 31°C on May 17?	2	$179	90	90	+0	No	+$0	05-17 16:01
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on May 16?	2	$179	89	89	+0	No	+$0	05-17 01:00
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 16?	2	$178	90	90	+0	No	+$2	05-16 23:01
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on May 16?	2	$177	90	90	+0	Yes	+$2	05-17 00:04
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on May 16?	2	$177	89	89	+0	Yes	+$0	05-16 12:28
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on May 16?	2	$177	89	89	+0	Yes	+$0	05-16 17:26
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on May 16?	2	$177	89	89	+0	No	+$0	05-16 15:45
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 16?	2	$177	89	89	+0	No	+$0	05-16 15:51
Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 16?	2	$177	89	89	+0	Yes	+$0	05-16 17:29
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on May 24?	2	$177	88	88	+0	Yes	+$0	05-24 23:17
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 24?	2	$176	88	88	+0	No	+$0	05-24 16:02
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on May 24?	2	$176	88	88	+0	Yes	+$0	05-24 17:01
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on May 23?	2	$176	88	88	+0	Yes	+$0	05-23 15:50
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on May 23?	2	$176	88	88	+0	No	+$0	05-23 18:10
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 23?	2	$176	88	88	+0	No	+$0	05-23 15:47
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 23?	2	$176	88	88	+0	No	+$0	05-23 16:01
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on May 22?	2	$175	88	88	+0	Yes	+$0	05-22 15:45
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on May 22?	2	$175	88	88	+0	No	+$0	05-22 15:49
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 22?	2	$175	88	88	+0	No	+$0	05-22 13:39
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 22?	2	$175	88	88	+0	Yes	+$0	05-22 15:51
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on May 22?	2	$175	88	88	+0	Yes	+$0	05-22 15:54
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 22?	2	$175	88	88	+0	Yes	+$0	05-22 17:08
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on May 21?	2	$175	88	88	+0	No	+$0	05-22 00:17
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 21?	2	$174	87	87	+0	No	+$0	05-21 19:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-24 23:17:41	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on May 24?	Yes	SELL	88	100¢	$88	0xc15edb…
05-24 23:16:36	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 24?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x32da89…
05-24 23:01:01	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on May 24?	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0xf8c60c…
05-24 22:01:05	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on May 24?	Yes	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0x35816f…
05-24 17:02:36	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on May 24?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x245160…
05-24 17:01:33	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on May 24?	Yes	SELL	88	100¢	$88	0x172af2…
05-24 17:00:26	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on May 24?	Yes	BUY	89	99¢	$88	0x855068…
05-24 16:03:37	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on May 24?	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0xbb08e8…
05-24 16:02:34	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 24?	No	SELL	88	100¢	$88	0xc3e963…
05-24 16:01:29	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on May 24?	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0xac477a…
05-24 16:00:25	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on May 24?	Yes	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x0cf683…
05-24 11:11:20	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on May 24?	Yes	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x94a628…
05-24 11:00:45	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 24?	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x7c65a9…
05-24 10:36:03	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 24?	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x237bb6…
05-24 01:00:42	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on May 23?	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0xaef93a…
05-24 00:31:06	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on May 23?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xf911c3…
05-24 00:30:01	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on May 23?	Yes	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0xee22d7…
05-24 00:00:41	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on May 23?	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0xfd086d…
05-24 00:00:41	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on May 23?	Yes	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x30fa4c…
05-23 19:02:46	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on May 23?	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x33fc9e…
05-23 18:12:03	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on May 23?	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x1e130e…
05-23 18:10:57	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on May 23?	No	SELL	88	100¢	$88	0xd53140…
05-23 18:09:48	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on May 23?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xd9b3ba…
05-23 17:41:29	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on May 23?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcd689c…
05-23 17:16:28	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on May 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf03855…
05-23 17:16:28	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on May 23?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x66d362…
05-23 17:00:27	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on May 23?	No	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0xd175ca…
05-23 16:06:47	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on May 23?	Yes	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0x770d47…
05-23 16:05:40	Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on May 23?	No	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0xe285c2…
05-23 16:04:34	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 26°C or higher on May 23?	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0x89cdc8…
05-23 16:03:27	Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 23?	Yes	SELL	76	100¢	$76	0xb6d7e9…
05-23 16:02:21	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on May 23?	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x2809f1…
05-23 16:01:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 23?	No	SELL	88	100¢	$88	0xfbf039…
05-23 15:54:20	Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on May 23?	No	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0x0cf90a…
05-23 15:53:10	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C or below on May 23?	Yes	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x96308e…
05-23 15:51:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 23?	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x52ce1e…
05-23 15:50:41	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on May 23?	Yes	SELL	88	100¢	$88	0x12111a…
05-23 15:49:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 23?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xbfba7c…
05-23 15:48:19	Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0xda2e4e…
05-23 15:48:17	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 23?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xcd4b34…
05-23 15:47:07	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 23?	No	SELL	88	100¢	$88	0xc87528…
05-23 15:45:56	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 23?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x3ca386…
05-23 13:45:18	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on May 23?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xddcbc8…
05-23 12:31:11	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C or below on May 23?	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xd41c1b…
05-23 11:19:15	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on May 23?	Yes	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0xd73705…
05-23 11:00:25	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on May 23?	Yes	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x5363d0…
05-23 11:00:23	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on May 23?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xa1a1e9…
05-23 11:00:23	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 23?	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x8766e6…
05-23 11:00:23	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on May 23?	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x4bbdf6…
05-23 03:45:39	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x3ae1e3…
05-23 02:55:03	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 66°F or higher on May 22?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xce37a8…
05-23 00:00:52	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on May 22?	Yes	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x4c6cfb…
05-22 22:41:15	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on May 22?	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x5aa132…
05-22 20:57:54	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 22?	Yes	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0x50030e…
05-22 20:49:08	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 22?	Down	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x58e1f9…
05-22 20:48:01	amzn close above 265 on may 22 2026	Yes	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x19fda8…
05-22 20:46:55	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 22?	Down	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x9b7e34…
05-22 20:45:48	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on May 22?	No	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0xeff8e1…
05-22 19:58:31	Will Google (GOOGL) close at $380-$385 on the final day of trading of the week of May 18 – May 22?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x25143c…
05-22 19:56:08	amzn close above 265 on may 22 2026	Yes	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xfdf66c…
05-22 19:54:56	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on May 22?	No	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0xc3bc59…
05-22 19:53:46	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $225 on May 22?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x3fb586…
05-22 19:53:44	Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x94a689…
05-22 19:53:44	Will Amazon (AMZN) close at $260-$265 on the final day of trading of the week of May 18 – May 22?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x33cad0…
05-22 19:52:31	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on May 22?	No	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0xb269b2…
05-22 19:51:14	Will Palantir (PLTR) close at $136-$138 on the final day of trading of the week of May 18 – May 22?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc5b9c2…
05-22 19:51:14	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $215 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2f1045…
05-22 19:51:14	Will Amazon (AMZN) close at $265-$270 on the final day of trading of the week of May 18 – May 22?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x12dcf3…
05-22 19:50:02	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on May 22?	Yes	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x30c6d9…
05-22 19:48:49	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $220 on May 22?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x316db1…
05-22 19:47:39	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on May 22?	Yes	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xb86a8b…
05-22 19:46:25	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on May 22?	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x15b44e…
05-22 19:45:15	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on May 22?	No	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0x7bd4a9…
05-22 18:04:10	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 22?	Yes	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xdf7d33…
05-22 18:03:03	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on May 22?	No	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0x1ef875…
05-22 18:01:55	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on May 22?	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0xe1e190…
05-22 18:00:48	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on May 22?	Yes	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0xd82d4f…
05-22 17:39:34	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on May 22?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x5e3d37…
05-22 17:14:07	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on May 22?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x2ee721…
05-22 17:13:00	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on May 22?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xa38c3b…
05-22 17:13:00	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on May 22?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x904373…
05-22 17:13:00	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on May 22?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x00b740…
05-22 17:11:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 22?	No	SELL	87	100¢	$87	0xacc0e4…
05-22 17:10:45	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on May 22?	Yes	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x67ec23…
05-22 17:09:37	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on May 22?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xf55dd0…
05-22 17:08:31	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 22?	Yes	SELL	88	100¢	$88	0xdbae02…
05-22 17:03:56	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on May 22?	Yes	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xd2e955…
05-22 17:02:49	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on May 22?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x113e06…
05-22 17:01:39	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on May 22?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xeb013c…
05-22 17:00:33	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C or higher on May 22?	No	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0x780332…
05-22 16:13:14	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on May 22?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xc3c1d6…
05-22 16:12:10	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 22?	Down	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xb7471d…
05-22 16:11:01	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on May 22?	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x6411bb…
05-22 16:09:55	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on May 22?	No	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0xeea53c…
05-22 16:08:48	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on May 22?	No	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0xb5b915…
05-22 16:07:42	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on May 22?	No	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0x363f95…
05-22 16:06:35	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on May 22?	No	SELL	62	100¢	$62	0xb21e00…
05-22 16:05:27	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on May 22?	No	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0x2faeee…
05-22 16:04:21	Ethereum Up or Down on May 22?	Down	SELL	62	100¢	$62	0x62ec80…
05-22 16:03:12	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C or higher on May 22?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xf8d69b…