Identical-Stepuncle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

88.6%

Resolved

Trades

185

lifetime

Volume

$4.13K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-24

last 05-23 16:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

65% 90% +$1

Crypto

35% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on May 15?	2	$186	94	94	+0	open	—	05-15 20:47
Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on May 15?	2	$186	94	94	+0	open	—	05-15 21:38
Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 16?	2	$177	89	89	+0	open	—	05-16 17:29
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 23?	2	$176	88	88	+0	open	—	05-23 16:01
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 16?	2	$154	77	77	+0	open	—	05-16 16:01
Ethereum Up or Down on May 22?	2	$125	62	62	+0	open	—	05-22 16:04
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on May 22?	2	$110	55	55	+0	open	—	05-22 20:45
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 on May 15?	1	$89	89	0	+89	open	—	05-16 03:46
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 15?	1	$88	89	0	+89	open	—	05-15 20:48
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 on May 22?	1	$88	88	0	+88	open	—	05-23 03:45
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $390 on May 21?	1	$87	87	0	+87	open	—	05-21 19:49
amzn close above 265 on may 22 2026	2	$80	40	40	+0	open	—	05-22 20:48
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $265 on May 14?	2	$66	33	33	+0	open	—	05-14 20:46
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 14?	2	$66	33	33	+0	open	—	05-14 17:08
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on May 13?	2	$65	33	33	+0	Yes	+$0	05-13 16:03
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13?	2	$65	33	33	+0	Yes	+$0	05-13 16:06
Ethereum Up or Down on May 13?	2	$65	32	32	+0	Down	+$0	05-13 16:55
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 13?	2	$65	32	32	+0	Yes	+$0	05-13 16:01
Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on May 13?	2	$64	32	32	+0	Up	$-0	05-13 19:58
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 22?	1	$60	60	0	+60	open	—	05-22 20:46
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 22?	2	$51	26	26	+0	open	—	05-22 16:12
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $210 on May 21?	1	$47	47	0	+47	open	—	05-21 19:47
Will Solana dip to $85 on May 16?	1	$40	40	0	+40	open	—	05-17 03:53
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on April 25?	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	04-25 23:00
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 26?	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	04-26 18:54
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 25?	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	04-26 21:26
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on April 25?	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	04-25 17:12
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on April 25?	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	04-25 17:47
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 24 2026 21c	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	04-24 18:04
highest temperature in hong kong on april 24 2026 22c	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	04-24 17:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-23 16:01:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 23?	No	SELL	88	100¢	$88	0xfbf039…
05-23 15:51:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 23?	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x52ce1e…
05-23 15:45:56	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 23?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x3ca386…
05-23 03:45:39	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x3ae1e3…
05-22 20:49:08	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 22?	Down	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x58e1f9…
05-22 20:48:01	amzn close above 265 on may 22 2026	Yes	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x19fda8…
05-22 20:46:55	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 22?	Down	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x9b7e34…
05-22 20:45:48	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on May 22?	No	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0xeff8e1…
05-22 19:56:08	amzn close above 265 on may 22 2026	Yes	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xfdf66c…
05-22 19:53:46	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $225 on May 22?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x3fb586…
05-22 19:53:44	Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x94a689…
05-22 19:51:14	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $215 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2f1045…
05-22 19:48:49	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $220 on May 22?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x316db1…
05-22 19:46:25	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on May 22?	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x15b44e…
05-22 16:12:10	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 22?	Down	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xb7471d…
05-22 16:04:21	Ethereum Up or Down on May 22?	Down	SELL	62	100¢	$62	0x62ec80…
05-22 15:57:31	Solana Up or Down on May 22?	Up	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x63026d…
05-22 15:48:13	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 22?	Down	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xd8b994…
05-22 15:47:03	Ethereum Up or Down on May 22?	Down	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0xcfabfd…
05-22 03:45:49	Will Solana reach $90 on May 21?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x6aab3f…
05-21 19:58:20	Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $265 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x65f195…
05-21 19:57:13	Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x57eab5…
05-21 19:49:23	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $390 on May 21?	No	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0x1523c3…
05-21 19:47:10	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $210 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0x573732…
05-21 19:47:08	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $385 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	34	99¢	$34	0x5b7b0c…
05-21 19:47:08	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x073fde…
05-20 23:03:23	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 20?	Down	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xf6df44…
05-20 23:01:08	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x8520c6…
05-20 20:48:46	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6386a5…
05-20 20:47:38	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x080bc1…
05-20 20:46:30	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 20?	Down	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x0ba03d…
05-20 20:45:23	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x1e51fd…
05-20 19:46:51	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xf1e1cb…
05-20 15:53:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 20?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xae3f77…
05-20 15:45:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x804f2d…
05-19 23:03:01	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 19?	Down	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xfa88cf…
05-19 23:01:56	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 19?	Down	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xa2cfae…
05-19 22:59:32	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 19?	Up	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x50defa…
05-19 20:51:16	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 19?	Down	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x1340c7…
05-19 20:50:11	Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on May 19?	Down	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xcf9543…
05-19 20:49:08	Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on May 19?	Up	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xfffd6d…
05-19 20:48:02	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 19?	Down	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x40c3a5…
05-19 20:48:02	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 19?	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x12be67…
05-19 20:46:57	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 19?	Down	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xa4789c…
05-19 20:45:54	Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on May 19?	Up	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x6c08e2…
05-19 19:59:21	Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on May 19?	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x753f0a…
05-19 19:59:21	Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on May 19?	Down	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x496c2b…
05-19 19:58:16	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 19?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xe97549…
05-19 19:57:10	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 19?	Down	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x66f543…
05-19 19:56:01	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 19?	Down	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x2c839d…
05-19 19:56:00	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 19?	Down	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xc1b6f5…
05-19 19:54:55	Meta (META) Up or Down on May 19?	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x56155b…
05-19 19:50:31	Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on May 19?	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x58bdc2…
05-19 19:49:24	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $410 on May 19?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xdbb5e9…
05-19 19:48:18	Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on May 19?	Down	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x4cda71…
05-19 19:47:11	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19?	Up	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x2dfc16…
05-19 19:46:05	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $410 on May 19?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xb7bfb8…
05-19 19:46:03	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 19?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x8200da…
05-19 19:46:03	Meta (META) Up or Down on May 19?	Down	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x0daf6b…
05-19 15:59:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 19?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x747f8d…
05-19 15:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19?	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xcd28e3…
05-19 15:54:56	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xb4b0dd…
05-19 15:46:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x9e5bc3…
05-18 20:49:09	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 18?	Up	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x330565…
05-18 20:49:07	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 18?	Up	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x01fba4…
05-18 20:48:04	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $295 on May 18?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x9eee71…
05-18 20:45:56	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 18?	Up	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xb781bb…
05-18 19:59:15	Rocket Lab (RKLB) Up or Down on May 18?	Up	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x70993f…
05-18 19:52:04	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 18?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x39540c…
05-18 19:48:11	Rocket Lab (RKLB) Up or Down on May 18?	Up	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x962320…
05-18 19:48:11	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x41d1bf…
05-18 19:46:58	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 18?	Down	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xd6ccc7…
05-18 19:45:39	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $295 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xfc1efd…
05-18 19:45:39	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $395 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xeec59a…
05-18 19:45:39	Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on May 18?	Up	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x42b3ba…
05-18 19:45:39	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 18?	Down	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x324997…
05-18 15:58:48	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x0cbb00…
05-18 15:56:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xe31942…
05-18 15:53:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x97393a…
05-18 15:52:09	Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 18?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x55cae0…
05-18 15:49:56	Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 18?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x6cc2f8…
05-18 15:45:28	Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xed63db…
05-18 15:45:28	Will the price of Solana be above $80 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x502062…
05-17 03:53:17	Will Solana dip to $85 on May 16?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x0b8a0b…
05-17 03:45:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 16?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfc3bc9…
05-16 17:29:42	Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 16?	Yes	SELL	89	100¢	$89	0x70bfaf…
05-16 16:01:06	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 16?	No	SELL	77	100¢	$77	0xca476d…
05-16 15:57:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4641f7…
05-16 15:53:03	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 16?	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0xfda9e6…
05-16 15:47:07	Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0xee376a…
05-16 03:46:00	Will Solana dip to $85 on May 15?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfbd1ea…
05-16 03:46:00	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 on May 15?	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0xc2cfa0…
05-15 21:38:30	Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on May 15?	Down	SELL	94	100¢	$93	0xf9333f…
05-15 20:49:29	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 15?	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8b2f88…
05-15 20:48:22	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 15?	Down	BUY	89	100¢	$88	0x53811e…
05-15 20:47:16	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on May 15?	Down	SELL	94	100¢	$93	0x88e010…
05-15 20:46:09	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 15?	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc8ca9d…
05-15 19:51:16	Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $265 on May 15?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x734a32…
05-15 19:46:15	Will Meta (META) finish week of May 11 above $620?	No	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0xb785ec…
05-15 19:46:09	Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on May 15?	Down	BUY	94	99¢	$93	0x780f55…