Exalted-Birdbath — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$634

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.8%

Resolved

5,582

Trades

9,397

lifetime

Volume

$29.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-08

last 10-28 03:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 169 days

Categories

Other

49% 82% -$122

Crypto

48% 65% -$199

Sports

2% 0% -$304

Politics

0% 32% -$9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

59 active days in 12wk • peak 127 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	3	$396	1,032	1,032	+0	Sean Strickland	-$4	05-10 04:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 07:50 UTC	2	$314	158	158	+0	Up	+$1	04-19 07:56
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$200	3,449	0	+3,449	No	-$200	07-10 13:32
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C or higher on May 30?	47	$192	114	93	+21	No	-$4	05-30 05:40
highest temperature in seoul on april 11 2026 17corhigher	4	$155	87	87	+1	No	+$5	04-11 05:15
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on May 30?	22	$132	78	57	+21	No	+$0	05-30 03:57
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on May 30?	26	$128	70	70	+0	No	-$4	05-30 12:09
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on May 30?	30	$124	79	57	+22	No	-$6	05-30 05:23
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 37°C on May 30?	32	$122	62	62	+0	No	+$0	05-30 02:22
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on May 4?	7	$116	120	0	+120	No	+$4	05-04 06:03
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$100	1,579	0	+1,579	No	-$100	06-29 06:53
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on May 30?	24	$89	47	47	+0	No	-$2	05-30 02:22
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on May 29?	23	$87	44	44	+0	No	+$1	05-30 02:23
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on May 30?	21	$79	40	40	+0	No	+$1	05-30 02:22
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on June 2?	8	$77	48	48	+0	Yes	-$1	06-02 07:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 04:00 UTC	1	$75	82	0	+82	Up	+$7	10-01 04:04
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on May 29?	38	$74	79	0	+79	No	+$5	05-29 08:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 16:55 UTC	1	$73	80	0	+80	Up	+$7	09-28 16:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 00:40 UTC	1	$72	84	0	+84	Down	-$72	09-29 00:44
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on May 29?	22	$71	38	34	+4	Yes	-$5	05-29 07:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 09:55 UTC	1	$71	74	0	+74	Up	+$3	04-20 09:59
highest temperature in houston on april 15 2026 80 81f	55	$71	48	26	+22	No	+$0	04-15 12:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 06:25 UTC	1	$70	82	0	+82	Up	-$70	10-01 06:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 16:10 UTC	1	$70	80	0	+80	Up	+$10	09-28 16:14
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on May 14?	26	$69	41	41	+0	No	-$10	05-14 08:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 21:40 UTC	1	$68	80	0	+80	Down	+$12	09-28 21:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 02:10 UTC	1	$68	82	0	+82	Down	+$14	10-01 02:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	1	$68	76	0	+76	Up	+$8	09-29 05:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 15:20 UTC	1	$67	76	0	+76	Up	+$9	09-30 15:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	34	$67	137	0	+137	Up	-$8	05-19 12:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 03:19:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x0cf35b…
10-28 02:59:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x7cd1ea…
10-28 02:39:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xf3e16c…
10-28 00:59:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xe0e48b…
10-28 00:39:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x35f85c…
10-27 21:04:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x7a26cb…
10-27 20:44:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x690a54…
10-27 18:19:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x7a81f0…
10-27 16:09:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x814826…
10-27 15:54:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xcb2056…
10-27 15:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x442019…
10-27 14:04:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xcf878d…
10-27 11:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x020e88…
10-27 11:29:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xf2807d…
10-27 09:44:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x8f6d6d…
10-27 08:34:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x66cf14…
10-27 08:24:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x84fd74…
10-27 07:34:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x93db4e…
10-23 00:39:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x8e3d68…
10-23 00:39:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x85c064…
10-23 00:19:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0xfb5961…
10-23 00:19:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x86770f…
10-22 22:34:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x5cbc54…
10-22 03:48:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xfe0c0a…
10-22 03:28:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xb4b26e…
10-22 02:34:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xebcbf5…
10-22 02:23:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0x6447b9…
10-22 01:58:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xf8c40d…
10-22 00:49:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x28660f…
10-21 23:53:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x2d29f6…
10-21 23:28:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x90b31c…
10-21 22:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x3b8f41…
10-21 22:13:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x3d7eff…
10-21 18:19:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xf38202…
10-21 18:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x09e0c1…
10-21 18:08:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xe0df1d…
10-21 17:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x0befe2…
10-21 16:58:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x51a885…
10-21 16:48:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x1c0693…
10-21 16:13:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x2fb8de…
10-21 15:23:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xf3b6a6…
10-21 14:58:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xf63bd8…
10-21 14:38:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xcf84e7…
10-21 14:13:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xd4ba23…
10-21 13:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0x49cb8b…
10-21 13:23:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xe47fe3…
10-21 13:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x6fbaf3…
10-21 13:08:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xd2c21e…
10-21 12:58:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x4e9618…
10-21 12:53:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xf462aa…
10-21 12:51:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0x4d25c8…
10-21 12:46:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x35ffac…
10-21 12:42:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x8abbd8…
10-21 12:41:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xe6f99f…
10-21 12:37:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xd770b4…
10-21 12:32:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x482f24…
10-21 12:32:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xc8d81c…
10-21 12:31:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xa51bd6…
10-21 12:26:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0x6c2c02…
10-21 12:24:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x35f94c…
10-21 12:23:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x136a65…
10-21 12:21:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x7c5ec7…
10-21 12:19:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xa9f104…
10-21 12:19:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x6fb06a…
10-21 12:17:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x1d3220…
10-21 11:58:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0x20da68…
10-21 11:48:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x904537…
10-21 11:33:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xd1a697…
10-21 11:23:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xdcc23e…
10-21 11:18:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xcee166…
10-21 10:58:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x9bf1ff…
10-21 10:53:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0xfbb845…
10-21 10:23:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xd10cd0…
10-21 08:53:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x16050e…
10-21 08:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x3f28d5…
10-21 08:03:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x0c3c59…
10-21 07:58:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xd0c208…
10-21 07:43:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0x933407…
10-21 07:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0xaffa55…
10-20 12:34:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xe043ce…
10-20 08:09:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x862c13…
10-19 16:54:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xc84a86…
10-19 15:44:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0xeed9b5…
10-19 15:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	17¢	$1	0x3024bb…
10-19 14:39:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	22¢	$2	0xa30e59…
10-14 12:37:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 12:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x17a37d…
10-14 12:37:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 12:35 UTC	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x00c38f…
10-14 12:37:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 12:35 UTC	Down	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0x37fe0d…
10-14 12:37:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 12:35 UTC	Down	BUY	1	60¢	$1	0x7b2efd…
10-14 12:37:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 12:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x24f319…
10-14 12:36:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 12:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x76c864…
10-14 12:36:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 12:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x9f7ad8…
10-14 12:36:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 12:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x1e9077…
10-14 12:36:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 12:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xb65c54…
10-14 12:36:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 12:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x17133a…
10-14 12:36:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 12:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xfcc628…
10-14 12:36:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 12:35 UTC	Down	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0xdcce0a…
10-14 12:36:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 12:35 UTC	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xe20db4…
10-14 12:36:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 12:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x773934…
10-14 12:35:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 12:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x6fcc95…