Elastic-Turtle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$182

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.6%

Resolved

440

Trades

1,353

lifetime

Volume

$2.36K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-17

last 05-16 22:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 22 days

Categories

Other

94% 72% -$52

Politics

6% 0% -$130

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-16).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	1	$100	370	0	+370	No	-$100	05-04 22:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	2	$32	60	0	+60	No	-$32	05-16 22:05
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	1	$30	214	0	+214	No	-$30	05-06 18:15
highest temperature in paris on april 21 2026 16c	8	$26	16	16	+0	No	+$6	04-21 21:14
highest temperature in wellington on april 19 2026 17c	8	$24	14	14	+0	No	+$4	04-19 14:18
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 28?	8	$24	14	14	+0	No	+$4	04-28 20:28
highest temperature in milan on april 19 2026 23c	8	$24	14	14	+0	No	+$4	04-19 14:19
highest temperature in warsaw on april 23 2026 16c	7	$23	14	14	+0	No	+$6	04-23 11:10
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 28?	8	$23	13	13	+0	No	+$3	04-28 20:28
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on May 4?	8	$23	13	13	+0	No	+$3	05-04 22:39
highest temperature in wellington on april 20 2026 16c	8	$21	12	12	+0	No	+$3	04-20 13:44
highest temperature in milan on april 19 2026 22c	8	$21	11	11	+0	No	+$1	04-19 14:19
highest temperature in nyc on april 20 2026 54 55f	8	$21	11	11	+0	No	+$1	04-20 20:16
highest temperature in milan on april 19 2026 21c	7	$18	9	9	+0	No	+$0	04-19 14:19
highest temperature in paris on april 20 2026 16c	6	$17	10	10	+0	No	+$3	04-20 20:15
highest temperature in paris on april 20 2026 17c	6	$17	10	9	+0	No	+$2	04-20 20:16
highest temperature in houston on april 20 2026 74 75f	6	$15	8	8	+0	No	+$0	04-20 20:15
highest temperature in los angeles on april 21 2026 68 69f	5	$14	9	9	+0	No	+$3	04-21 21:14
highest temperature in miami on april 20 2026 84 85f	5	$13	8	7	+0	No	+$2	04-20 20:14
highest temperature in shanghai on april 20 2026 20c	4	$13	9	8	+0	No	+$4	04-20 13:41
highest temperature in miami on april 20 2026 82 83f	4	$13	9	8	+0	No	+$4	04-20 20:14
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on April 25?	4	$12	8	8	+0	No	+$4	04-26 10:28
highest temperature in wellington on april 21 2026 14c	6	$12	6	6	+0	No	+$0	04-20 20:15
highest temperature in shanghai on april 20 2026 16c	5	$12	6	6	+0	No	+$0	04-19 15:09
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 21 2026 27c	4	$12	7	7	+0	No	+$3	04-21 21:14
highest temperature in munich on april 19 2026 19c	5	$11	6	6	+0	No	+$0	04-19 15:09
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on April 28?	8	$10	16	16	+0	Yes	-$10	04-28 20:29
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 4?	8	$10	14	14	+0	Yes	-$10	05-04 22:40
highest temperature in toronto on april 21 2026 11c	8	$10	13	13	+0	Yes	-$10	04-21 21:16
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on May 4?	4	$10	6	6	+0	No	+$1	05-04 22:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-16 22:05:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x2ac5b0…
05-06 18:16:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	54	56¢	$30	0x6367b9…
05-06 18:15:57	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	214	14¢	$30	0x6c32cd…
05-04 22:53:50	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	370	27¢	$100	0x7d683b…
05-04 22:40:40	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 4?	No	SELL	14	0¢	$0	0x1fffb8…
05-04 22:40:20	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on May 5?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x7b7c16…
05-04 22:40:08	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on May 4?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x334f4f…
05-04 22:39:50	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on May 4?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x47b9c4…
05-04 22:39:38	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on May 4?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xcc2d8d…
05-04 22:39:24	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on May 4?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x8c7360…
05-04 22:39:08	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on May 4?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x7cbad8…
05-04 22:22:32	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on May 5?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x3caaf8…
05-04 22:19:14	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on May 5?	No	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0x1c531e…
05-04 22:04:42	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on May 5?	No	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0xd42543…
05-04 22:04:38	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on May 5?	No	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0x633727…
05-04 22:04:30	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on May 5?	No	BUY	2	83¢	$1	0xda3499…
05-04 22:04:26	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on May 5?	No	BUY	2	82¢	$1	0xfcf3a9…
05-04 22:04:10	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on May 5?	No	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0x1be2a1…
05-04 22:03:54	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on May 5?	No	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x43899d…
05-04 22:02:48	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on May 5?	No	BUY	3	56¢	$1	0x3b69ee…
05-04 22:02:42	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on May 5?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xd35e2a…
05-04 21:07:10	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 5?	No	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xe2e57f…
05-04 20:47:42	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on May 5?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x50b5b5…
05-04 19:59:22	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on May 5?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x6bd7a6…
05-04 19:44:22	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on May 5?	No	BUY	2	78¢	$1	0xc06b84…
05-04 19:29:16	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 5?	No	BUY	2	82¢	$1	0x56c0f0…
05-04 19:19:28	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 5?	No	BUY	2	82¢	$1	0x17c437…
05-04 19:01:52	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 5?	No	BUY	2	83¢	$1	0xad1fd8…
05-04 18:55:10	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 5?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xd269c3…
05-04 18:54:48	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 5?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x694d0f…
05-04 18:13:26	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 5?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x6c2e83…
05-04 18:12:54	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 5?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xf9e1e1…
05-04 18:12:52	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 5?	No	BUY	2	81¢	$1	0x4f83df…
05-04 17:17:52	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on May 5?	No	BUY	2	78¢	$1	0x25e6ee…
05-04 17:16:52	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on May 5?	No	BUY	2	77¢	$1	0x5768c5…
05-04 17:08:40	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on May 5?	No	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x37143a…
05-04 17:08:14	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on May 5?	No	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x7ebe02…
05-04 17:01:06	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 5?	No	BUY	2	78¢	$1	0x8ef177…
05-04 17:01:06	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 5?	No	BUY	2	79¢	$1	0x2ee6f7…
05-04 16:22:06	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on May 5?	No	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0x736ab0…
05-04 16:19:30	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on May 5?	No	BUY	3	57¢	$1	0xf2b686…
05-04 16:05:46	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on May 5?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xf36148…
05-04 16:00:30	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on May 5?	No	BUY	2	82¢	$1	0xdec641…
05-04 16:00:30	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C or higher on May 5?	Yes	BUY	2	78¢	$1	0x19df17…
05-04 13:55:36	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on May 5?	No	BUY	2	79¢	$1	0xe93c0d…
05-04 13:00:30	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on May 5?	No	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x1ee18b…
05-04 12:34:34	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on May 5?	No	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x8074d2…
05-04 11:16:30	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 5?	No	BUY	2	77¢	$1	0xfa4de0…
05-04 11:15:48	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 5?	No	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0x6762a1…
05-04 11:15:30	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 5?	No	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x61fa3e…
05-04 11:15:26	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 5?	No	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0xf3fbc9…
05-04 10:47:30	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on May 4?	No	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0xdb1cf8…
05-04 10:40:12	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on May 4?	No	BUY	3	52¢	$1	0x8e9b5e…
05-04 10:00:26	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on May 5?	No	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x221ffc…
05-04 08:16:40	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on May 4?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xff887e…
05-04 05:01:04	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on May 4?	No	BUY	2	78¢	$1	0xdd67dd…
05-04 04:40:00	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 4?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x427ba8…
05-04 04:39:40	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 4?	No	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x0ece34…
05-04 03:54:54	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 4?	No	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0x5398f1…
05-04 03:54:32	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 4?	No	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0xf80098…
05-04 01:42:40	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on May 4?	No	BUY	0	80¢	$0	0xc2d79c…
05-04 01:12:36	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on May 4?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0xf1bd49…
05-04 01:02:24	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 4?	No	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x599450…
05-04 01:01:24	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 4?	No	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x038d76…
05-04 01:00:46	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 4?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$2	0x94692c…
05-04 00:09:40	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on May 4?	No	BUY	3	56¢	$1	0x61325c…
05-04 00:06:42	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on May 4?	No	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0x4babc0…
05-04 00:06:12	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on May 4?	No	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x5162eb…
05-03 23:59:24	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on May 4?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x04e44f…
05-03 23:01:08	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on May 4?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xce004d…
05-03 23:00:42	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on May 4?	No	BUY	2	78¢	$1	0xa4a82c…
05-03 22:00:38	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on May 4?	No	BUY	2	82¢	$1	0x8bee99…
05-03 22:00:34	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on May 4?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xe5706b…
05-03 20:49:28	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on May 4?	No	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xfcf566…
05-03 19:50:48	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on May 4?	No	BUY	3	56¢	$1	0x5eef36…
05-03 19:19:22	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on May 4?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x83c12b…
05-03 19:17:30	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on May 4?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xc289e6…
05-03 19:17:10	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on May 4?	No	BUY	3	59¢	$1	0xadaae8…
05-03 18:42:34	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on May 4?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xf0fab5…
05-03 18:15:06	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on May 4?	No	BUY	2	81¢	$1	0x884f35…
05-03 17:53:12	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on May 4?	No	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x0a8d35…
05-03 17:30:50	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on May 4?	No	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x5d4ba3…
05-03 17:24:48	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on May 4?	No	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x271808…
05-03 17:18:48	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on May 4?	No	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0xfaee41…
05-03 17:16:56	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on May 4?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x9fa85c…
05-03 17:00:58	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on May 4?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x070236…
05-03 16:45:28	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on May 4?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x2c0631…
05-03 16:45:08	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on May 4?	No	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x5c8d3e…
05-03 16:35:42	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 4?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x718fca…
05-03 16:33:46	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on May 4?	No	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x4b2f37…
05-03 16:33:02	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on May 4?	No	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0xf8714d…
05-03 16:32:38	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on May 4?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x3f1679…
05-03 16:02:06	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on May 4?	No	BUY	2	81¢	$1	0xede565…
05-03 16:02:00	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on May 4?	No	BUY	2	81¢	$1	0xa5a658…
05-03 16:01:18	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on May 4?	No	BUY	0	59¢	$0	0x851fec…
05-03 16:01:10	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on May 4?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x20b80d…
05-03 16:01:08	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on May 4?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x7e1123…
05-03 16:00:28	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on May 4?	No	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0x014d99…
05-03 16:00:26	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on May 4?	No	BUY	2	77¢	$1	0x90b8cb…
05-03 16:00:26	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on May 4?	No	BUY	3	57¢	$1	0x3b0875…