Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C or higher on May 5?
open
Total volume
$713
$6,095 in 24h
Trades
36
Unique wallets
25
Liquidity
$1,115
Latest YES mid
100¢
Latest NO mid
0¢
End date
2026-05-05
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-05 11:06
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🦐 Shrimp | 25 | $570 | $41 | +$529 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | — | $2 | $2 |
| Median | 1 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| Below median | 2 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $100 | — | +$100 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $18 | $18 |
| unranked | 18 | $462 | $21 | +$441 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shady-Isolation 0xfba1…e5b5 | No | +130 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-05 02:15 |
| Mean-Hammock 0xb6af…4219 | Yes | +115 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-05 09:21 |
| (anonymous) 0xf908…6718 | Yes | +114 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-05 09:21 |
| Exalted-Rainy 0xc705…b62f | Yes | +100 | $86 | $86 | 1 | 05-05 06:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xb3d7…e878 | No | +86 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 05-05 07:46 |
| Obvious-Vaulting 0x0f40…0477 | Yes | +77 | $76 | $76 | 1 | 05-05 10:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xb49f…1821 | Yes | +75 | $64 | $64 | 5 | 05-05 08:55 |
| Alarming-Loaf 0x2ee2…e056 | Yes | +68 | $60 | $60 | 1 | 05-05 07:05 |
| Sticky-Vegetable 0x7aea…2ab8 | Yes | +19 | $16 | $16 | 2 | 05-05 04:10 |
| Heavy-Academics 0x3066…1e7b | Yes | +8 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-05 09:10 |
| Forceful-Buckwheat 0xd6fa…c61b | No | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 00:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x966c…087f | Yes | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-05 08:15 |
| (anonymous) 0xd705…c09a | Yes | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-05 00:24 |
| Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | Yes | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-05 09:10 |
| Rapid-Vendor 0x4560…8ce8 | Yes | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-05 05:15 |
| (anonymous) 0xd705…c09a | No | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 00:24 |
| Extraneous-Nest 0xad9d…9dcf | Yes | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-05 07:25 |
| Hot-Act 0x6ada…5e23 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 09:35 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-05 11:06:24 | Prime-Employer 0xc236…aba9 | Yes | SELL | 44 | 100¢ | $44 | 0x84f596… |
| 05-05 11:00:12 | Secondary-Chainstay 0xc18c…ef42 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x601508… |
| 05-05 10:36:36 | Obvious-Vaulting 0x0f40…0477 | Yes | BUY | 77 | 99¢ | $76 | 0x58275b… |
| 05-05 10:06:32 | Knotty-Persimmon 0x6ff7…a0f0 | No | SELL | 22 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf2c23e… |
| 05-05 09:50:12 | Left-Customer 0x6826…230e | Yes | SELL | 31 | 93¢ | $29 | 0x435aff… |
| 05-05 09:35:18 | Hot-Act 0x6ada…5e23 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x63e87d… |
| 05-05 09:21:18 | (anonymous) 0xf908…6718 | Yes | BUY | 114 | 88¢ | $100 | 0x893dd1… |
| 05-05 09:21:16 | Mean-Hammock 0xb6af…4219 | Yes | BUY | 115 | 87¢ | $100 | 0xd8afc2… |
| 05-05 09:10:08 | Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | Yes | BUY | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0xddaf19… |
| 05-05 09:10:06 | Heavy-Academics 0x3066…1e7b | Yes | BUY | 8 | 86¢ | $7 | 0x25ae4a… |
| 05-05 08:55:16 | (anonymous) 0xb49f…1821 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 84¢ | $7 | 0xfe898c… |
| 05-05 08:15:18 | (anonymous) 0x966c…087f | Yes | BUY | 6 | 84¢ | $5 | 0xacd739… |
| 05-05 08:00:16 | Sharp-Writer 0x5608…c0db | Yes | SELL | 10 | 82¢ | $8 | 0xabe4c6… |
| 05-05 08:00:16 | Sharp-Writer 0x5608…c0db | Yes | SELL | 10 | 82¢ | $8 | 0xcf8af8… |
| 05-05 07:55:50 | (anonymous) 0xb49f…1821 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 83¢ | $12 | 0xdb94d4… |
| 05-05 07:55:16 | (anonymous) 0xb49f…1821 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 82¢ | $4 | 0xbb5de5… |
| 05-05 07:46:08 | (anonymous) 0xb3d7…e878 | No | BUY | 86 | 20¢ | $18 | 0xc696d4… |
| 05-05 07:25:20 | Extraneous-Nest 0xad9d…9dcf | Yes | BUY | 2 | 84¢ | $2 | 0x0524ba… |
| 05-05 07:25:16 | (anonymous) 0xb49f…1821 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 84¢ | $20 | 0x37b07f… |
| 05-05 07:15:18 | (anonymous) 0xb49f…1821 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 88¢ | $20 | 0xe2e8fb… |
| 05-05 07:05:52 | Alarming-Loaf 0x2ee2…e056 | Yes | BUY | 68 | 88¢ | $60 | 0xad24ef… |
| 05-05 06:49:54 | Exalted-Rainy 0xc705…b62f | Yes | BUY | 100 | 86¢ | $86 | 0x9725ad… |
| 05-05 06:15:10 | Livid-Anthropology 0xc6d8…b90d | Yes | SELL | 5 | 85¢ | $5 | 0x82514d… |
| 05-05 05:25:40 | Fickle-Talk 0x67e9…7827 | No | SELL | 4 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xfad023… |
| 05-05 05:15:08 | Rapid-Vendor 0x4560…8ce8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0x7c7a3d… |
| 05-05 04:10:36 | Sticky-Vegetable 0x7aea…2ab8 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 87¢ | $8 | 0xeb6b45… |
| 05-05 02:15:08 | Shady-Isolation 0xfba1…e5b5 | No | BUY | 130 | 15¢ | $20 | 0xb2e5d8… |
| 05-05 01:00:14 | Sharp-Writer 0x5608…c0db | Yes | BUY | 11 | 85¢ | $10 | 0x5ef6fa… |
| 05-05 01:00:12 | Livid-Anthropology 0xc6d8…b90d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 85¢ | $5 | 0x490d12… |
| 05-05 00:59:44 | Thrifty-Original 0xc34f…7d2e | No | SELL | 15 | 16¢ | $2 | 0x5e3563… |
| 05-05 00:24:42 | (anonymous) 0xd705…c09a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 83¢ | $4 | 0x59a6a7… |
| 05-05 00:24:38 | (anonymous) 0xd705…c09a | No | BUY | 5 | 19¢ | $1 | 0xda789f… |
| 05-05 00:24:36 | Sticky-Vegetable 0x7aea…2ab8 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 84¢ | $8 | 0xb680b7… |
| 05-05 00:09:46 | Forceful-Buckwheat 0xd6fa…c61b | No | BUY | 6 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x45873a… |
| 05-05 00:04:58 | Thrifty-Original 0xc34f…7d2e | No | BUY | 6 | 18¢ | $1 | 0xe160cf… |
| 05-04 20:54:36 | Left-Customer 0x6826…230e | Yes | BUY | 31 | 86¢ | $27 | 0xfae6ce… |