Alarming-Loaf — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$14

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

94.3%

Resolved

Trades

1,114

lifetime

Volume

$16.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-24

last 06-09 21:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

76% 96% +$14

Other

23% — —

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

54 active days in 12wk • peak 45 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1773232500	4	$117	100	48	+52	open	—	03-11 12:39
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 24 2026 24c	1	$112	117	0	+117	open	—	04-23 14:22
btc updown 5m 1774629000	5	$111	84	58	+26	open	—	03-27 16:34
highest temperature in milan on april 14 2026 17c	2	$110	63	63	+0	open	—	04-14 12:06
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 19 2026 22c	1	$110	119	0	+119	open	—	04-17 09:08
highest temperature in london on april 13 2026 14c	2	$103	54	54	+0	open	—	04-13 16:43
highest temperature in paris on april 14 2026 15c	2	$102	52	52	+0	open	—	04-14 15:07
btc updown 5m 1773165900	1	$100	101	0	+101	open	—	03-10 18:09
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 23 2026 23c	1	$100	111	0	+111	open	—	04-22 14:43
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 17 2026 32c	1	$100	111	0	+111	open	—	04-16 16:22
btc updown 5m 1773183600	1	$100	130	0	+130	open	—	03-10 23:04
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 22 2026 22c	1	$100	109	0	+109	open	—	04-21 11:35
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on April 25?	1	$100	103	0	+103	open	—	04-24 18:02
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 21 2026 20c	1	$100	103	0	+103	open	—	04-19 20:37
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 22°C on April 28?	1	$100	103	0	+103	open	—	04-26 20:54
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on April 26?	1	$100	104	0	+104	open	—	04-25 17:36
btc updown 5m 1773163500	5	$80	84	0	+84	open	—	03-10 17:29
highest temperature in madrid on march 22 2026 16c	1	$80	82	0	+82	open	—	03-22 00:22
btc updown 5m 1773303600	3	$80	86	0	+86	open	—	03-12 08:24
btc updown 5m 1774219200	4	$80	82	0	+82	open	—	03-22 22:44
btc updown 5m 1772636400	6	$71	50	29	+20	open	—	03-04 15:04
highest temperature in madrid on april 13 2026 14c	1	$70	78	0	+78	open	—	04-12 10:15
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 16 2026 34c	1	$70	81	0	+81	open	—	04-15 13:41
btc updown 5m 1773143700	3	$64	37	37	+0	open	—	03-10 11:59
btc updown 5m 1775743200	3	$64	35	35	+0	open	—	04-09 14:05
highest temperature in london on april 13 2026 13c	3	$63	66	42	+24	open	—	04-13 14:41
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on April 25?	2	$63	36	36	+0	open	—	04-24 10:07
btc updown 5m 1772556600	5	$63	47	27	+20	open	—	03-03 16:54
highest temperature in london on april 15 2026 15c	1	$60	62	0	+62	open	—	04-14 15:41
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on April 25?	1	$60	62	0	+62	open	—	04-24 18:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 09:08:00	btc updown 5m 1781255100	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x0f6033…
06-12 09:07:51	btc updown 5m 1781255100	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x28272b…
06-09 21:09:18	btc updown 5m 1781039100	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe2690c…
06-09 20:58:46	btc updown 5m 1781038500	Up	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x6826f9…
06-09 20:54:46	btc updown 5m 1781038200	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xb48b0d…
06-08 20:23:46	btc updown 5m 1780950000	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xffcbc8…
06-08 20:19:28	btc updown 5m 1780949700	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xab08b5…
06-05 11:18:48	btc updown 5m 1780658100	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x640bd3…
06-03 12:02:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x66ebad…
06-03 12:01:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xe4fc19…
06-03 11:38:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x15bf80…
06-03 11:33:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x9aa67d…
06-03 11:32:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xaa407b…
06-01 21:28:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xdc47f9…
06-01 21:23:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x5e048e…
06-01 21:13:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x201df7…
06-01 21:13:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x0236da…
06-01 20:59:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x1bb77d…
06-01 20:58:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x4925d4…
05-31 21:44:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xf07377…
05-24 10:09:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x50fe95…
05-24 10:07:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xc91af4…
05-24 10:03:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x46e2df…
05-24 09:58:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xb57b25…
05-23 15:54:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0xa2cff1…
05-22 14:07:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x5c45ac…
05-22 13:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x62d999…
05-22 13:54:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x1c3f2d…
05-21 07:42:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x816a23…
05-21 07:39:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xa6f865…
05-19 14:03:12	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x99aa70…
05-19 14:02:07	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0xd533d6…
05-19 13:57:04	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xbf4781…
05-19 13:56:41	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x494ed1…
05-19 13:52:29	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xd7aa73…
05-19 13:48:07	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x1fbd1a…
05-19 13:44:04	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x51b724…
05-18 15:33:48	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x704479…
05-18 09:27:09	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	96¢	$11	0xd31de5…
05-18 07:47:36	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0xf53158…
05-18 07:43:10	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x06d3ba…
05-18 07:42:40	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x121621…
05-15 10:37:07	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	16	82¢	$13	0xd99fa0…
05-15 10:31:59	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xf7e089…
05-15 10:22:55	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x19e831…
05-15 10:13:18	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xab9256…
05-15 10:04:10	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x38c2f7…
05-15 09:57:38	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0xcee751…
05-15 09:49:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0xcc96c8…
05-15 09:41:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0xa08e54…
05-15 09:38:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x72d29f…
05-13 14:44:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x26e71c…
05-12 10:04:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0683f4…
05-12 10:03:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xb16960…
05-12 10:03:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x542423…
05-12 09:59:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x347e05…
05-12 09:53:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x350369…
05-12 09:53:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x4668e3…
05-11 07:57:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x87b673…
05-11 07:57:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x0bb698…
05-11 07:53:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x1af536…
05-11 07:53:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x6deed7…
05-11 07:49:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xd8a8f7…
05-11 07:44:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xf2fe87…
05-11 07:44:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x28a362…
05-09 21:34:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x0b516f…
05-09 21:26:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0xd121e7…
05-09 21:24:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xac9c29…
05-09 21:23:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x4096e4…
05-09 21:19:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x0c3e05…
05-09 21:14:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x706afe…
05-09 08:03:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xe90235…
05-08 07:54:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x2780d7…
05-08 07:49:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x00ec6d…
05-07 16:26:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xed3e19…
05-07 16:22:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0x88f6e9…
05-07 07:28:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xe91764…
05-07 07:28:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x9882e6…
05-07 07:24:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xd8b082…
05-06 13:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x02ca49…
05-06 13:32:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xcb5ba5…
05-06 13:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x7611c9…
05-06 10:34:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	9	95¢	$9	0x5374f4…
04-29 21:28:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xf8df8f…
04-29 21:28:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0xcbd614…
04-29 11:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x2025f9…
04-28 21:53:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x258b17…
04-28 21:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	51	78¢	$40	0xf54511…
04-28 21:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xeca247…
04-27 15:47:54	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on April 28?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x09f21d…
04-27 15:45:02	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on April 28?	No	BUY	62	97¢	$60	0xcad9d3…
04-26 20:55:50	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on April 27?	No	BUY	62	97¢	$60	0xb4a63d…
04-26 20:54:52	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 22°C on April 28?	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xb3dece…
04-25 17:41:48	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on April 26?	No	BUY	64	94¢	$60	0xb190e3…
04-25 17:39:10	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on April 26?	No	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0x7af0b7…
04-25 17:36:18	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on April 26?	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x810e6b…
04-25 17:34:42	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on April 25?	No	SELL	34	0¢	$0	0xc5e792…
04-24 21:57:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x7fbe51…
04-24 21:49:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	89¢	$4	0x20813a…
04-24 18:03:54	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on April 25?	No	BUY	62	96¢	$60	0xf01d80…