Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on May 12?
open
Total volume
$220
$1,420 in 24h
Trades
38
Unique wallets
23
Liquidity
$3,014
Latest YES mid
14¢
Latest NO mid
86¢
End date
2026-05-12
First seen
2026-05-10
last 05-11 04:19
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $124 | $124 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 21 | $36 | $58 | $22 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $25 | $124 | $99 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $1 | $26 | $25 |
| Median | 7 | $3 | $12 | $9 |
| Below median | 4 | $5 | $13 | $8 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | — | $7 | $7 |
| unranked | 2 | $2 | — | +$2 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xfe7f…7428 | Yes | +214 | $24 | $24 | 2 | 05-11 02:30 |
| Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | +129 | $119 | $119 | 3 | 05-10 13:35 |
| Jumpy-Surgeon 0x9abf…eb59 | Yes | +49 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-10 12:10 |
| Spotted-Boatyard 0x16c9…91d2 | Yes | +21 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 14:51 |
| Radiant-Swimming 0xa6d4…2f1e | No | +17 | $16 | $16 | 4 | 05-10 12:30 |
| Definitive-Randomisation-Eavesdropper 0x5558…3613 | Yes | +17 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 23:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xf7f6…712f | Yes | +16 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 04:19 |
| Detailed-Pan 0x222b…1e07 | Yes | +15 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 16:24 |
| Tame-Scalp 0x3164…3c65 | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-10 05:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x28f8…b5f7 | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-10 05:23 |
| Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 02:40 |
| Our-Pronoun 0x7efd…caed | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 07:41 |
| Illustrious-Rocker 0x9075…cfe8 | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 22:33 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 09:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x46f7…5b54 | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 4 | 05-10 13:36 |
| Rapid-Vendor 0x4560…8ce8 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-10 12:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x16c9…371a | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 05-10 12:30 |
| (anonymous) 0xd72d…9e9e | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 05-10 12:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x2c40…4e32 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 05-10 11:25 |
| Gregarious-Stopsign 0xb345…557a | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 04:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c35…2aae | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 07:41 |
| (anonymous) 0xb701…8c1b | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 12:30 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-11 04:19:14 | (anonymous) 0xf7f6…712f | Yes | BUY | 16 | 13¢ | $2 | 0x0f7184… |
| 05-11 02:40:28 | Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | Yes | BUY | 10 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x6589fe… |
| 05-11 02:30:58 | (anonymous) 0xfe7f…7428 | Yes | BUY | 144 | 12¢ | $17 | 0x6ad2c2… |
| 05-11 02:04:50 | (anonymous) 0xfe7f…7428 | Yes | BUY | 69 | 10¢ | $7 | 0x532334… |
| 05-10 23:32:37 | Definitive-Randomisation-Eavesdropper 0x5558…3613 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x498693… |
| 05-10 22:33:05 | Illustrious-Rocker 0x9075…cfe8 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xd97b12… |
| 05-10 16:24:51 | Detailed-Pan 0x222b…1e07 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x1fd75a… |
| 05-10 14:51:14 | Spotted-Boatyard 0x16c9…91d2 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x0595c1… |
| 05-10 13:36:00 | (anonymous) 0x46f7…5b54 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x8e9594… |
| 05-10 13:35:53 | Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | BUY | 12 | 93¢ | $11 | 0xc0a6f4… |
| 05-10 12:56:52 | Rapid-Vendor 0x4560…8ce8 | No | BUY | 3 | 93¢ | $3 | 0x5c970b… |
| 05-10 12:30:39 | (anonymous) 0xd72d…9e9e | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x4c24fa… |
| 05-10 12:30:37 | (anonymous) 0xb701…8c1b | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0xdddfef… |
| 05-10 12:30:33 | (anonymous) 0x16c9…371a | No | BUY | 2 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x666839… |
| 05-10 12:30:32 | Radiant-Swimming 0xa6d4…2f1e | No | BUY | 2 | 93¢ | $2 | 0x180004… |
| 05-10 12:10:29 | Radiant-Swimming 0xa6d4…2f1e | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $4 | 0x9bcbfb… |
| 05-10 12:10:28 | Jumpy-Surgeon 0x9abf…eb59 | Yes | BUY | 49 | 8¢ | $4 | 0xf9e870… |
| 05-10 11:25:22 | (anonymous) 0x2c40…4e32 | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xddb82e… |
| 05-10 11:25:20 | (anonymous) 0x46f7…5b54 | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xc9a0df… |
| 05-10 09:23:59 | (anonymous) 0xd72d…9e9e | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0xaa190d… |
| 05-10 09:23:55 | (anonymous) 0x2c40…4e32 | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x59bee4… |
| 05-10 09:23:52 | (anonymous) 0x46f7…5b54 | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0xf405d5… |
| 05-10 09:23:45 | (anonymous) 0xd72d…9e9e | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x11145a… |
| 05-10 09:23:43 | (anonymous) 0x2c40…4e32 | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x192e40… |
| 05-10 09:23:39 | (anonymous) 0x46f7…5b54 | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0xa976ba… |
| 05-10 09:23:31 | (anonymous) 0x16c9…371a | No | BUY | 2 | 93¢ | $1 | 0xbd5c33… |
| 05-10 09:23:29 | Radiant-Swimming 0xa6d4…2f1e | No | BUY | 4 | 93¢ | $3 | 0x6d8aff… |
| 05-10 09:23:27 | Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | BUY | 25 | 92¢ | $23 | 0x805655… |
| 05-10 09:23:27 | Radiant-Swimming 0xa6d4…2f1e | No | BUY | 7 | 93¢ | $7 | 0x5b386b… |
| 05-10 09:23:25 | Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | BUY | 93 | 92¢ | $85 | 0x847e00… |
| 05-10 09:19:06 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 6 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x9a8670… |
| 05-10 07:41:45 | (anonymous) 0x4c35…2aae | No | BUY | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0xe09d2d… |
| 05-10 07:41:31 | Our-Pronoun 0x7efd…caed | Yes | BUY | 10 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xdce6cc… |
| 05-10 05:23:18 | (anonymous) 0x28f8…b5f7 | No | BUY | 11 | 91¢ | $10 | 0xb395da… |
| 05-10 05:23:18 | Tame-Scalp 0x3164…3c65 | No | BUY | 11 | 91¢ | $10 | 0xa1f4db… |
| 05-10 04:28:54 | Repentant-Spelling 0x0675…1ec0 | No | SELL | 3 | 85¢ | $2 | 0xa4c231… |
| 05-10 04:25:55 | Repentant-Spelling 0x0675…1ec0 | No | BUY | 3 | 95¢ | $2 | 0x2e6226… |
| 05-10 04:22:45 | Gregarious-Stopsign 0xb345…557a | No | BUY | 2 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xbda661… |