Realized P&L
+$1
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
4,970
lifetime
Volume
$13.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$16
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-25
last 07-19 15:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
85% 100% +$1
Sports
8%
Politics
6%
Tech
2%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
41 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Arc FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes -5 $-3 54¢ $-3 +$0 06-01 12:41
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No +3 $2 80¢ $3 +$1 06-05 06:54
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch? No -4 $-2 69¢ $-2 $-0 06-01 12:42
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? No +3 $2 86¢ $2 +$0 06-05 05:50
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? Yes -3 $-2 78¢ $-2 $-0 06-01 12:42
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? No +2 $1 76¢ $1 +$0 06-10 03:49
Bank of England rate hike in 2026? Yes +2 $1 30¢ $1 $-0 06-16 17:00
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes -3 $-2 18¢ $-1 +$2 06-01 12:42
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +5 $1 $0 $-0 06-10 19:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +3 $1 $0 $-1 06-18 11:04