Fickle-Talk 0x67e956…bb7827
bot hot 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$1.46K
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
47.7%
Resolved
7,750
Trades
12,978
lifetime
Volume
$24.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$35
24 positions
First seen
2026-01-25
last 10-31 07:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 274 days
Categories
Other
90% 36% +$1,456
Sports
5% 57% +$15
Politics
3% 37% -$13
Tech
1% 61% +$9
Crypto
0% 14% -$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 73 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31? Anthropic +5 $4 91¢ $5 +$1 05-20 16:32
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Yes +6 $1 71¢ $4 +$2 09-03 01:44
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No +3 $2 96¢ $3 +$1 06-05 06:54
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +3 $2 72¢ $2 +$0 10-21 17:11
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +3 $2 82¢ $2 +$0 07-30 14:35
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +5 $1 41¢ $2 +$1 07-11 16:46
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? Yes +8 $2 22¢ $2 $0 10-19 17:42
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? Yes +11 $2 16¢ $2 $0 10-19 10:17
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +3 $2 58¢ $2 +$0 10-19 17:25
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +3 $2 55¢ $2 $0 05-16 19:15
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +3 $2 57¢ $2 $0 10-19 17:39
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027? Yes +3 $2 52¢ $1 $0 10-21 11:47
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +3 $2 45¢ $1 -$1 09-01 15:12
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +7 $1 16¢ $1 +$0 07-28 02:14
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? No +3 $1 22¢ $1 -$1 05-16 19:25
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +4 $1 16¢ $1 $0 09-03 01:35
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +4 $1 15¢ $1 $0 07-23 15:51
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? Yes +4 $2 13¢ $1 -$1 09-10 16:08
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +5 $0 10¢ $0 +$0 08-04 18:39
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +5 $1 8¢ $0 -$1 05-24 17:34
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? Yes +5 $0 8¢ $0 +$0 10-20 18:19
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +7 $0 3¢ $0 +$0 08-05 05:30
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $0 4¢ $0 $0 10-19 21:45
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +5 $1 3¢ $0 $0 06-10 19:09