Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on May 4?
open
Total volume
$2,722
$49,412 in 24h
Trades
36
Unique wallets
31
Liquidity
$47,142
Latest YES mid
100¢
Latest NO mid
0¢
End date
2026-05-04
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-05 07:04
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🦐 Shrimp | 31 | $2.6K | $17 | +$2.6K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | — | $1 | $1 |
| Median | 6 | $100 | $0 | +$100 |
| Below median | 3 | $13 | — | +$13 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| unranked | 17 | $2.5K | $15 | +$2.5K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cluttered-Intestine 0x17e0…fe5b | Yes | +1,670 | $1,493 | $1,493 | 2 | 05-04 20:05 |
| Black-And-White-Sunroom 0x82f3…9f82 | Yes | +520 | $512 | $512 | 1 | 05-04 20:39 |
| Profuse-Text 0x9ce1…bf19 | Yes | +408 | $348 | $348 | 2 | 05-04 20:00 |
| Frivolous-Casino 0xd617…9472 | No | +167 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 04:44 |
| Terrible-Stadium 0xea89…26ab | Yes | +100 | $97 | $97 | 1 | 05-04 20:24 |
| Wavy-Helo 0x4650…8be6 | No | +98 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-04 20:00 |
| Impish-Tract 0x8817…cda8 | Yes | +90 | $89 | $89 | 1 | 05-04 20:39 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +60 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 05-05 03:54 |
| Useless-Adaptation 0x3970…f56b | Yes | +33 | $33 | $33 | 1 | 05-04 21:19 |
| Beautiful-Cleft 0x1b0d…b018 | Yes | +19 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 05-04 20:54 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +13 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 05-04 20:19 |
| Chief-Flute 0x9a2f…a13c | Yes | +12 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-04 20:04 |
| Hefty-Serval 0x9791…a14a | Yes | +9 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-04 20:01 |
| Yellowish-Melatonin 0x1b8f…e17e | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-04 20:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x28f8…b5f7 | Yes | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-04 20:04 |
| Tame-Scalp 0x3164…3c65 | Yes | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-04 20:04 |
| Forsaken-Bureau 0xaff7…fb8b | Yes | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-04 20:54 |
| Bumpy-Mower 0x4535…4c7e | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 03:25 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-05 07:04:56 | Instructive-Kebab 0x1206…ae1d | Yes | SELL | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0x4f1bda… |
| 05-05 04:44:48 | Frivolous-Casino 0xd617…9472 | No | BUY | 167 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x184864… |
| 05-05 03:54:58 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 30 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x86fb79… |
| 05-05 03:45:26 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 30 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7f397d… |
| 05-05 03:25:02 | Bumpy-Mower 0x4535…4c7e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x8cd0f9… |
| 05-05 03:22:26 | Separate-Swordfish 0x2e99…b482 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 100¢ | $25 | 0x1fd61c… |
| 05-04 21:19:40 | Useless-Adaptation 0x3970…f56b | Yes | BUY | 33 | 100¢ | $33 | 0xb2f381… |
| 05-04 20:54:44 | Beautiful-Cleft 0x1b0d…b018 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 99¢ | $19 | 0x93cf85… |
| 05-04 20:54:38 | Forsaken-Bureau 0xaff7…fb8b | Yes | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xba45e0… |
| 05-04 20:39:48 | Impish-Tract 0x8817…cda8 | Yes | BUY | 90 | 99¢ | $89 | 0x7c4e28… |
| 05-04 20:39:36 | Black-And-White-Sunroom 0x82f3…9f82 | Yes | BUY | 520 | 98¢ | $512 | 0x719b49… |
| 05-04 20:24:36 | Terrible-Stadium 0xea89…26ab | Yes | BUY | 100 | 97¢ | $97 | 0x7ebf6f… |
| 05-04 20:19:42 | (anonymous) 0x0fbb…45e5 | No | SELL | 47 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x2b8f14… |
| 05-04 20:19:38 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 3 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x8b9127… |
| 05-04 20:09:38 | Yellowish-Melatonin 0x1b8f…e17e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0xfb417e… |
| 05-04 20:09:30 | Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x3a5ae1… |
| 05-04 20:05:58 | Cluttered-Intestine 0x17e0…fe5b | Yes | BUY | 409 | 91¢ | $371 | 0x2c07df… |
| 05-04 20:05:58 | Colorful-Payoff 0xf1e1…c152 | No | SELL | 100 | 10¢ | $10 | 0xa7ddf2… |
| 05-04 20:05:42 | Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0x9ca2f4… |
| 05-04 20:04:38 | Chief-Flute 0x9a2f…a13c | Yes | BUY | 12 | 89¢ | $11 | 0xea16ac… |
| 05-04 20:04:34 | (anonymous) 0x28f8…b5f7 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0x24d955… |
| 05-04 20:04:32 | Tame-Scalp 0x3164…3c65 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 89¢ | $4 | 0xf15a6f… |
| 05-04 20:03:46 | Unhealthy-Bog 0xcbbc…b5d0 | No | SELL | 10 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x30ffc5… |
| 05-04 20:02:36 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 85¢ | $4 | 0xb6f1d2… |
| 05-04 20:02:36 | Testy-Sculpture 0x20d8…463e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 85¢ | $4 | 0xee6531… |
| 05-04 20:02:36 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 85¢ | $5 | 0x0222d8… |
| 05-04 20:02:36 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 85¢ | $4 | 0x933bfa… |
| 05-04 20:02:36 | Useful-Can 0xd2bb…d53f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 85¢ | $4 | 0x6681a9… |
| 05-04 20:02:36 | Grave-Dissemination 0xe43f…a889 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 85¢ | $4 | 0x712ca2… |
| 05-04 20:02:36 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 85¢ | $4 | 0xb687c5… |
| 05-04 20:01:32 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 10 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xe006c9… |
| 05-04 20:01:16 | Cluttered-Intestine 0x17e0…fe5b | Yes | BUY | 1,261 | 89¢ | $1,122 | 0x44f63c… |
| 05-04 20:01:02 | Hefty-Serval 0x9791…a14a | Yes | BUY | 9 | 89¢ | $8 | 0xc2c590… |
| 05-04 20:00:18 | Wavy-Helo 0x4650…8be6 | No | BUY | 98 | 15¢ | $14 | 0x2a7710… |
| 05-04 20:00:16 | Profuse-Text 0x9ce1…bf19 | Yes | BUY | 349 | 85¢ | $297 | 0x27e947… |
| 05-04 20:00:10 | Profuse-Text 0x9ce1…bf19 | Yes | BUY | 59 | 85¢ | $50 | 0x3ff281… |