Separate-Swordfish — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$755

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

67.1%

Resolved

2,906

Trades

5,848

lifetime

Volume

$45.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$268

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 08-27 17:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 176 days

Categories

Other

69% 25% -$929

Politics

29% 56% +$173

Sports

1% 37% +$33

Crypto

1% 33% -$24

Tech

0% 50% -$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	-268	-$126	66¢	$-178	-$52	05-13 13:03
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	-268	-$139	34¢	$-90	+$50	05-13 13:03
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+100	$1	0¢	$0	$0	05-12 14:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	5	$4.3K	2,250	2,250	+0	No	+$84	05-26 17:59
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	16	$3.2K	1,650	1,650	+0	No	-$4	05-15 21:20
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	4	$1.1K	543	543	+0	No	+$18	05-11 14:40
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	2	$760	400	400	+0	No	+$24	05-11 09:00
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 16?	15	$460	437	437	+0	No	+$38	06-16 15:06
lol blg jdg 2026 04 14	7	$395	250	250	+0	JD Gaming	+$5	04-13 09:16
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	2	$394	200	200	+0	No	+$4	05-14 11:41
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	2	$394	200	200	+0	No	+$2	05-15 13:45
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 13?	2	$374	300	300	+0	Yes	+$16	06-13 11:09
jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	2	$370	200	200	+0	No	+$22	04-10 20:38
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	2	$342	200	200	+0	No	+$22	04-09 11:18
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 10?	12	$339	244	244	+0	No	+$52	06-10 15:34
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	2	$324	200	200	+0	No	+$4	05-05 16:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$316	200	200	+0	No	+$32	05-11 12:48
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 15?	6	$308	233	233	+0	Yes	+$89	06-15 15:34
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	3	$293	150	150	+0	No	+$4	05-31 19:16
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 9?	8	$293	178	178	+0	Yes	+$58	06-09 16:27
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	2	$265	0	536	-536	open	—	05-13 13:03
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	3	$256	335	335	+0	No	+$162	01-11 15:51
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	2	$232	241	0	+241	No	+$9	05-08 20:00
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 14?	18	$227	250	250	+0	No	+$6	06-14 14:42
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C or below on June 13?	1	$200	200	0	+200	No	+$0	06-11 05:05
highest temperature in denver on april 11 2026 60forhigher	4	$200	100	100	+0	Yes	+$0	04-11 10:46
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on June 30?	8	$199	205	205	+0	Yes	+$2	06-29 15:58
Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	1	$197	200	0	+200	No	+$3	05-08 12:06
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 5?	5	$196	100	100	+0	No	+$0	06-05 16:00
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on July 4?	11	$183	101	101	+0	No	+$10	07-04 17:36
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	2	$180	100	100	+0	Yes	+$0	05-18 03:11
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on June 15?	4	$177	167	167	+0	No	+$7	06-15 07:46
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 25?	4	$175	101	101	+0	Yes	+$26	06-25 13:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-27 17:00:33	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	187	12¢	$22	0xc8cc2e…
08-27 16:58:54	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	18	12¢	$2	0xdf8435…
08-27 16:58:54	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	18	1¢	$0	0xd9e401…
08-27 16:58:54	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	40	1¢	$1	0xd26158…
08-27 16:58:54	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	0	12¢	$0	0x189180…
08-27 16:58:54	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	191	11¢	$20	0x022c0b…
08-27 16:58:13	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xf17df2…
08-27 16:57:49	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	321	1¢	$4	0x848029…
08-26 20:02:10	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xb46e9d…
08-26 20:00:24	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x927059…
08-26 20:00:24	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	55	5¢	$3	0x66645c…
08-26 19:59:00	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x2c420a…
08-26 17:41:39	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x39a86d…
08-26 17:41:22	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	31	26¢	$8	0x748379…
08-26 17:40:27	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	104	26¢	$27	0x4389fd…
08-26 17:40:13	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	104	15¢	$15	0x8d3cb2…
08-26 15:40:03	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on August 26?	Yes	SELL	52	99¢	$51	0xec3528…
08-26 13:00:12	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xd4be46…
08-26 13:00:12	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xbe5559…
08-26 13:00:12	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	30	20¢	$6	0x774548…
08-26 12:53:54	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x308f87…
08-26 12:53:52	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x592d0c…
08-25 15:05:21	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xb24505…
08-25 15:05:21	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0x885e6d…
08-25 06:14:16	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	52	14¢	$7	0x2a3ef1…
08-25 06:06:55	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	52	26¢	$13	0xbc7149…
08-24 14:21:45	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on August 24?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x0c4ea9…
08-24 10:22:25	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on August 24?	Yes	SELL	14	60¢	$8	0xe6736c…
08-24 06:31:54	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x0cfc2b…
08-24 05:56:18	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	105	1¢	$1	0x6884f2…
08-24 05:47:49	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x1a52f5…
08-24 05:37:07	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	14	32¢	$4	0xb7241d…
08-23 16:34:13	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 23?	Yes	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0xe744e5…
08-23 16:34:13	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 23?	Yes	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0x444ada…
08-23 16:34:13	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 23?	Yes	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0x349664…
08-23 16:34:12	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 23?	Yes	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xfc42c4…
08-23 16:34:12	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 23?	Yes	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0xf4282c…
08-23 16:34:12	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 23?	Yes	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0x5531c8…
08-23 16:34:07	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	30	40¢	$12	0xbbe6e3…
08-23 14:19:51	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	4	35¢	$1	0x11aec5…
08-23 14:13:25	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	17	35¢	$6	0x2e1673…
08-23 14:12:58	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0x9f10f3…
08-23 14:07:37	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	1	35¢	$0	0xcd1b68…
08-22 12:01:16	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x779908…
08-21 16:33:12	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on August 21?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x827adc…
08-21 08:26:42	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C or higher on August 21?	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x49c60f…
08-20 21:42:25	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x08f962…
08-20 21:36:54	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	21	11¢	$2	0x897e49…
08-20 21:34:22	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 21?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xeffbdb…
08-20 21:33:19	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0xd3bf3e…
08-20 21:31:45	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x4905f3…
08-20 21:28:28	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0xb952f5…
08-20 21:27:18	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x1c44b9…
08-20 12:31:22	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0x8f7ffd…
08-20 12:29:19	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xa9649e…
08-20 12:16:13	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0xf11b2b…
08-20 11:50:48	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	43	8¢	$3	0xb7e1ca…
08-20 08:57:21	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C or higher on August 20?	Yes	BUY	29	9¢	$3	0xaaa45a…
08-20 08:57:15	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C or higher on August 20?	Yes	BUY	16	9¢	$1	0x80f9ef…
08-20 08:57:03	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C or higher on August 20?	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x0dd1e1…
08-20 08:56:21	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	23	16¢	$4	0x4921d0…
08-19 18:49:30	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 19?	Yes	BUY	21	7¢	$1	0xa4ec00…
08-19 18:49:30	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 19?	Yes	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x6406d0…
08-19 18:44:07	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	21	18¢	$4	0xc0b2e3…
08-19 18:43:03	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x001a33…
08-19 18:40:57	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	57	5¢	$3	0x0d4a46…
08-19 18:38:10	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x1b647f…
08-19 18:36:54	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	42	11¢	$5	0x256c7c…
08-19 13:01:19	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C or higher on August 19?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x41c3aa…
08-19 13:01:18	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C or higher on August 19?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x457cf4…
08-19 11:00:25	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	3	52¢	$1	0x833b0a…
08-19 07:46:19	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on August 19?	Yes	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0x7f0174…
08-19 07:45:31	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	0	52¢	$0	0xb966a3…
08-19 07:37:36	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0x3fae2f…
08-19 07:33:52	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C or higher on August 19?	Yes	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x358b48…
08-19 07:29:58	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x864080…
08-18 13:21:58	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 18?	Yes	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0x6fac07…
08-18 13:21:52	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 18?	Yes	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0xe68eca…
08-18 13:21:07	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 18?	Yes	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x4dd7af…
08-18 13:20:57	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 18?	Yes	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0x95681b…
08-18 13:20:52	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 18?	Yes	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0xf01ced…
08-18 13:20:52	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 18?	Yes	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x8f75f9…
08-18 13:02:30	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	31	62¢	$19	0x70cd08…
08-18 07:16:10	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	14	28¢	$4	0x8de197…
08-18 07:13:24	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	21	22¢	$5	0x906f6c…
08-18 07:11:12	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0xfb8223…
08-18 07:00:31	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	42	11¢	$5	0x7ded5a…
08-16 21:33:25	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on August 16?	Yes	BUY	16	5¢	$1	0xc34862…
08-16 12:47:55	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 16?	Yes	BUY	26	21¢	$6	0x83dd3f…
08-13 20:31:28	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?	Yes	BUY	3	28¢	$1	0x2ceb84…
08-09 09:56:13	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0x51fbf7…
08-08 03:59:54	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xcbe320…
08-07 21:04:24	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0xe967c2…
08-05 21:11:38	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0xa30595…
08-05 15:42:24	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	SELL	50	35¢	$17	0x73a8e2…
08-04 13:38:20	Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on August 4?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x55a6ac…
08-04 10:12:38	Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xb4fe3a…
08-03 20:25:18	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	BUY	50	34¢	$17	0xb7f949…
08-02 19:52:44	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on August 2?	Yes	BUY	41	1¢	$0	0xa65fb9…
08-02 16:13:05	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 2?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xb0999d…