Instructive-Kebab — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$233

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.6%

Resolved

549

Trades

995

lifetime

Volume

$3.58K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-31

last 06-21 13:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 115 days

Categories

Other

94% 30% -$193

Crypto

4% 45% -$40

Pop-Culture

1% 25% +$31

Politics

1% 0% -$21

Tech

0% 0% -$11

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-21).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in london on april 22 2026 15c	4	$253	336	332	+4	Yes	-$245	04-22 21:00
highest temperature in warsaw on april 10 2026 10c	5	$173	170	162	+8	Yes	+$150	04-10 15:40
highest temperature in munich on april 16 2026 18c	3	$80	78	75	+3	Yes	+$62	04-16 16:01
highest temperature in london on april 21 2026 14c	3	$77	75	71	+3	Yes	+$62	04-21 16:01
highest temperature in nyc on april 12 2026 52 53f	5	$67	2,124	119	+2,005	No	+$31	04-12 19:56
highest temperature in nyc on april 13 2026 76 77f	5	$61	280	77	+203	No	+$13	04-13 20:47
highest temperature in london on april 19 2026 15c	2	$60	106	101	+4	Yes	+$27	04-19 15:21
highest temperature in atlanta on april 5 2026 70 71f	3	$47	44	43	+2	Yes	+$20	04-05 05:49
highest temperature in london on april 21 2026 13c	2	$43	40	38	+2	No	+$35	04-21 15:58
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on May 16?	2	$41	46	46	+0	Yes	+$39	05-16 14:19
will wildflower billie eilish win song of the year at the 68th annual grammy awards	2	$38	37	37	+0	Yes	+$36	02-02 03:19
highest temperature in warsaw on april 7 2026 10c	3	$37	27	26	+1	Yes	+$14	04-07 15:01
highest temperature in toronto on april 18 2026 16c	4	$36	68	65	+3	No	+$17	04-18 12:35
highest temperature in warsaw on april 9 2026 7c	6	$35	41	40	+1	Yes	+$9	04-09 15:45
highest temperature in warsaw on april 8 2026 9c	2	$35	28	28	+1	Yes	+$16	04-08 13:25
highest temperature in nyc on april 12 2026 54 55f	2	$32	29	28	+1	Yes	+$23	04-12 19:58
highest temperature in london on april 23 2026 18c	2	$32	26	25	+1	Yes	+$19	04-23 16:14
sea bol mil 2026 02 03 mil	2	$32	22	22	+0	Yes	+$12	02-03 21:12
highest temperature in warsaw on april 14 2026 15c	2	$30	26	25	+1	Yes	+$14	04-14 13:16
highest temperature in london on april 22 2026 17c	3	$30	191	0	+191	No	-$30	04-22 05:10
highest temperature in paris on april 17 2026 21c	1	$30	56	0	+56	Yes	+$26	04-17 12:17
highest temperature in atlanta on april 10 2026 78 79f	4	$30	494	0	+494	No	-$30	04-10 22:05
highest temperature in warsaw on april 11 2026 12c	3	$28	48	46	+2	Yes	-$4	04-11 13:12
highest temperature in warsaw on april 17 2026 14c	2	$26	22	21	+1	Yes	+$7	04-17 12:01
highest temperature in nyc on april 13 2026 80forhigher	2	$26	58	56	+3	No	+$14	04-13 20:43
highest temperature in paris on april 16 2026 18c	3	$26	2,038	37	+2,001	No	+$0	04-16 14:02
highest temperature in dallas on april 14 2026 80 81f	2	$23	17	17	+0	Yes	+$8	04-14 22:44
highest temperature in atlanta on april 3 2026 82forhigher	1	$22	28	0	+28	Yes	+$6	04-03 20:10
highest temperature in warsaw on april 4 2026 14c	2	$22	23	22	+1	Yes	+$2	04-04 09:19
lowest temperature in nyc on april 15 2026 78forhigher	2	$22	575	547	+28	No	-$18	04-14 16:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-21 13:33:13	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 21?	Yes	SELL	2	26¢	$1	0xd22663…
06-21 12:53:44	Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 21?	Yes	SELL	4	5¢	$0	0x4a894b…
06-21 12:36:59	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x788026…
06-21 10:36:14	Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	4	34¢	$1	0x15c811…
06-20 22:23:28	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x6d4e68…
06-20 21:34:13	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x5a194a…
06-20 15:29:52	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on June 20?	Yes	SELL	6	23¢	$1	0xbaa24b…
06-20 14:39:56	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x52db05…
06-20 06:37:19	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	205	0¢	$1	0xdfd2a6…
06-19 19:21:29	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 19?	Yes	SELL	7	17¢	$1	0x846aa1…
06-19 19:19:10	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on June 19?	Yes	SELL	7	20¢	$1	0x796be2…
06-19 18:14:10	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x3c1c6c…
06-19 17:32:31	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xb03814…
06-19 15:13:43	Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on June 19?	Yes	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0xe2ce26…
06-19 14:46:07	Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xfab5d7…
06-19 13:34:07	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 19?	Yes	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xca9aae…
06-18 14:14:47	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on June 18?	Yes	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x2c557f…
06-18 13:46:38	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xd062e9…
06-18 09:22:25	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$1	0xfc2ae3…
06-17 23:06:59	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on June 17?	Yes	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0x0350f0…
06-17 18:31:59	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on June 17?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x310830…
06-17 13:32:05	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on June 17?	Yes	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x7f79f9…
06-17 10:38:59	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on June 17?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x3d2843…
06-17 00:08:52	Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x7eb7f8…
06-16 23:59:58	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	340	0¢	$2	0xce09f4…
06-16 23:10:05	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$0	0x236979…
06-16 22:16:31	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x68643a…
06-10 17:16:24	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 10?	Yes	SELL	14	1¢	$0	0xced1c6…
06-10 15:58:52	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 10?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xdb85b3…
06-10 14:13:34	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 10?	Yes	SELL	6	19¢	$1	0xdd7445…
06-10 13:35:03	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on June 10?	Yes	SELL	36	0¢	$0	0xbfaf00…
06-10 13:10:25	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on June 10?	Yes	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0xcc36a9…
06-10 10:47:00	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on June 10?	Yes	SELL	5	48¢	$3	0x6f2bec…
06-10 09:31:28	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 10?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x075712…
06-10 08:49:00	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on June 10?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x7313d1…
06-09 15:56:45	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 9?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xdc594d…
06-09 14:14:37	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on June 9?	Yes	SELL	4	2¢	$0	0x1ebd35…
06-09 12:43:42	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x5aa597…
06-08 19:12:07	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on June 8?	Yes	SELL	11	0¢	$0	0x4e8341…
06-08 17:08:09	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on June 8?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xff7ad8…
06-08 16:54:06	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x6bff00…
06-08 15:49:01	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on June 8?	Yes	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0x9367fa…
06-08 14:49:25	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x79f791…
06-07 13:19:18	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xd312c9…
06-07 05:12:49	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	119	1¢	$1	0xd6a155…
06-07 05:06:24	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 7?	Yes	SELL	119	0¢	$0	0x224c33…
06-07 05:04:36	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	119	1¢	$1	0xc5f806…
06-07 04:49:37	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on June 6?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x0c4f8b…
06-06 20:22:06	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on June 6?	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xb6e370…
06-06 20:11:12	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 6?	Yes	SELL	3	89¢	$2	0x7ac51c…
06-06 19:48:24	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 6?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x2baef7…
06-06 14:38:51	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on June 6?	No	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x530a27…
06-06 14:38:51	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on June 6?	Yes	SELL	17	0¢	$0	0x4a1f22…
06-06 14:36:37	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C or higher on June 6?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xe0a2da…
06-06 14:04:10	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C or higher on June 6?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x302f88…
06-06 13:46:27	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on June 6?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x5dd308…
06-06 09:48:46	trump approval up or down this week 20260602011932570	Down	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0xa28c85…
06-06 07:41:07	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x921a90…
06-05 10:18:22	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on June 5?	No	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xded304…
06-04 18:36:58	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on June 4?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x6e6af5…
06-04 16:07:09	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x021a25…
06-04 12:46:42	Will MrBeast's next video get between 58 and 59 million views on day 5?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x3c801b…
06-03 16:36:40	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 3, 2026?	No	SELL	43	3¢	$1	0x986195…
06-03 16:08:19	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on June 3?	No	SELL	4	2¢	$0	0x0b3eaf…
06-03 13:33:46	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on June 3?	No	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x148ffb…
06-03 08:26:33	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on June 3?	No	SELL	12	5¢	$1	0x0d872a…
06-03 08:26:07	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 3?	No	SELL	17	1¢	$0	0xbe6e00…
06-02 21:20:46	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on June 3?	No	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xaa6c51…
06-02 21:17:39	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 3?	No	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x3fff20…
06-02 08:59:44	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 3, 2026?	No	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x8876e2…
06-02 08:58:04	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 3, 2026?	No	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0xeb2224…
06-01 20:15:44	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on June 1?	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xf1fbda…
06-01 20:12:09	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on June 1?	No	SELL	6	4¢	$0	0x63ab79…
06-01 20:01:44	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on June 1?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xcf0f5d…
06-01 20:00:06	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xa5774a…
06-01 19:59:47	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x986c49…
06-01 19:57:15	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on June 1?	No	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0xb9d4df…
06-01 15:02:03	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on June 1?	No	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0xfb4308…
06-01 15:01:56	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on June 1?	Yes	SELL	14	0¢	$0	0xb36d98…
06-01 15:00:39	43 million or more views	Yes	SELL	600	1¢	$4	0xf2787f…
06-01 12:39:11	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on June 1?	Yes	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0x3c2854…
06-01 12:29:08	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on June 1?	No	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x3ec146…
06-01 11:30:51	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x1f2198…
06-01 11:30:34	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0xfc894b…
06-01 11:30:30	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x43191d…
06-01 10:52:35	43 million or more views	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xd7bd01…
06-01 10:51:30	43 million or more views	Yes	BUY	400	0¢	$2	0xda6511…
06-01 03:37:15	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0xfc5f0d…
06-01 03:36:47	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C or higher on June 1?	Yes	BUY	206	0¢	$1	0x687766…
05-31 20:18:57	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xc842ed…
05-31 20:14:42	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on May 31?	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x73d55c…
05-31 20:07:14	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on June 1?	Yes	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x3f98d3…
05-31 18:05:33	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on May 31?	Yes	SELL	8	2¢	$0	0x131132…
05-31 17:45:06	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on May 31?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x9ddf66…
05-31 15:17:42	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on May 31?	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xa8cd4f…
05-31 13:59:33	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C or higher on May 31?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x6a713c…
05-31 13:58:09	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 27°C on May 31?	Yes	SELL	13	2¢	$0	0xc8d332…
05-31 13:37:18	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on May 31?	No	SELL	11	0¢	$0	0x33cd61…
05-31 13:02:51	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xaa0b30…
05-31 12:59:46	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 27°C on May 31?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x1f85dc…