Useless-Adaptation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5.01K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.7%

Resolved

14,298

Trades

38,949

lifetime

Volume

$1.27M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$32

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-28

last 10-27 10:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 248 days

Categories

Other

97% 99% +$4,552

Politics

3% 96% +$439

Tech

1% 100% +$19

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 343 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	50	$6.2K	3,958	2,428	+1,529	No	+$42	03-03 12:27
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	66	$3.7K	1,854	1,922	-68	No	+$1	04-04 22:24
highest temperature in paris on april 20 2026 15c	15	$3.2K	1,594	1,593	+1	Yes	+$5	04-21 00:29
highest temperature in lucknow on april 11 2026 35c	3	$2.7K	1,365	1,365	+0	Yes	+$3	04-11 12:09
highest temperature in chengdu on april 10 2026 24c	1	$2.4K	2,400	0	+2,400	No	+$10	04-10 10:23
highest temperature in san francisco on april 20 2026 64 65f	6	$2.3K	2,375	0	+2,375	Yes	+$38	04-21 01:01
highest temperature in wuhan on april 6 2026 21c	11	$2.1K	2,130	0	+2,130	Yes	+$3	04-06 15:05
highest temperature in toronto on april 5 2026 9c	3	$2.1K	2,110	0	+2,110	Yes	+$2	04-05 20:47
will iran strike pakistan in march	33	$2.1K	1,714	541	+1,172	No	+$150	04-04 04:59
will agibot have robot dancers at the 2026 spring festival gala	25	$1.9K	1,995	0	+1,995	No	+$57	02-16 01:48
highest temperature in toronto on april 17 2026 16c	3	$1.9K	1,860	0	+1,860	Yes	+$2	04-18 00:41
highest temperature in shanghai on april 8 2026 18c	1	$1.8K	1,825	0	+1,825	Yes	+$5	04-08 09:51
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on August 31?	9	$1.8K	1,800	0	+1,800	No	+$2	08-31 11:02
highest temperature in denver on april 16 2026 74 75f	4	$1.8K	1,756	0	+1,756	Yes	+$2	04-17 06:51
will trump say left behind during monday news conference	10	$1.7K	1,710	0	+1,710	No	+$2	04-06 21:49
highest temperature in manila on april 21 2026 35c	4	$1.7K	833	832	+1	No	+$2	04-21 18:30
highest temperature in lagos on april 18 2026 28c	28	$1.6K	1,519	306	+1,213	No	+$200	04-18 18:02
will kevin warsh be formally nominated to be chair of the federal reserve by february 28 2026 369	18	$1.6K	894	894	+0	No	-$99	02-03 10:02
highest temperature in shanghai on april 14 2026 17c	4	$1.6K	814	813	+0	Yes	+$8	04-14 14:11
will claude 5 be released on february 9 2026	1	$1.6K	1,600	0	+1,600	No	+$2	02-10 01:04
will claude 5 be released on february 8 2026	1	$1.6K	1,592	0	+1,592	No	+$2	02-09 00:22
will claude 5 be released on february 7 2026	2	$1.6K	1,557	0	+1,557	No	+$3	02-07 21:42
donald trump of truth social posts march 6 march 13 60 79	11	$1.5K	775	775	+0	No	+$8	03-12 23:56
highest temperature in paris on april 17 2026 21c	24	$1.5K	1,392	150	+1,242	Yes	+$11	04-17 23:31
highest temperature in shanghai on april 8 2026 19c	3	$1.5K	1,471	0	+1,471	No	+$9	04-08 09:53
new 10 us blanket tariff goes into effect by february 28	20	$1.4K	1,435	0	+1,435	Yes	+$38	02-24 00:26
highest temperature in nyc on april 7 2026 52 53f	11	$1.3K	1,345	0	+1,345	Yes	+$3	04-07 20:59
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 300 319	20	$1.3K	684	684	+0	No	+$38	03-12 14:39
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on August 31?	7	$1.3K	1,320	0	+1,320	No	+$1	08-31 06:21
highest temperature in paris on april 16 2026 19c	8	$1.3K	1,335	0	+1,335	Yes	+$28	04-16 19:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 10:51:12	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x415f91…
10-27 10:18:09	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x4ab843…
10-27 09:54:18	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on October 27?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x378ab6…
10-27 09:36:26	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on October 27?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x042774…
10-27 09:32:56	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on October 27?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x9f3481…
10-27 09:30:09	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on October 27?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x64c873…
10-27 09:26:57	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on October 27?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x158b07…
10-27 09:17:15	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on October 27?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x56b84c…
10-27 09:08:14	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on October 27?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xde62c5…
10-27 09:07:50	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on October 27?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x22aaac…
10-27 09:07:24	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x479383…
10-27 09:05:14	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xd84c4d…
10-27 09:05:09	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on October 27?	No	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0xc268aa…
10-27 09:05:02	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on October 27?	No	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0x3ded9f…
10-27 09:00:23	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x23ff7c…
10-27 09:00:06	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x8542c1…
10-27 08:47:11	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on October 27?	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x9662eb…
10-27 08:46:47	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xbd391e…
10-27 08:30:05	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x9450e2…
10-27 08:30:05	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x736e1d…
10-27 08:29:29	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on October 27?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xe77fe4…
10-27 08:29:26	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa1f496…
10-27 08:29:26	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on October 27?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x818ad9…
10-27 08:29:14	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on October 27?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xb05bd7…
10-27 08:28:59	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xeb1d8b…
10-27 08:28:26	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on October 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfa760a…
10-27 08:28:26	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on October 27?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xc3f0bb…
10-27 08:28:26	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on October 27?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x82c86e…
10-27 08:27:27	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x4467b6…
10-27 08:22:11	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x29314a…
10-27 08:05:17	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x416bba…
10-27 07:59:42	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	7	95¢	$6	0x93cceb…
10-27 07:57:15	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	9	95¢	$9	0xbbef7a…
10-27 07:57:12	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on October 27?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x3814b1…
10-27 07:57:09	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	115	99¢	$114	0xc9d5fc…
10-27 07:57:09	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on October 27?	No	BUY	34	99¢	$34	0x8334f8…
10-27 07:53:50	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x254375…
10-27 07:51:11	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xee3e3f…
10-27 07:51:09	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x598435…
10-27 07:51:06	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xd7887e…
10-27 07:51:06	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x05163a…
10-27 07:51:05	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xe2850f…
10-27 07:51:03	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x03c9d1…
10-27 07:51:00	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xd63c88…
10-27 07:51:00	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x6db94e…
10-27 07:50:59	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x14762f…
10-27 07:50:57	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xec9385…
10-27 07:50:54	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x797113…
10-27 07:50:54	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x102d80…
10-27 07:50:53	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xf5c1ed…
10-27 07:50:51	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xa89e71…
10-27 07:50:50	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x6ac44b…
10-27 07:50:48	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x77511d…
10-27 07:50:47	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xd5f974…
10-27 07:50:45	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xfc268f…
10-27 07:50:42	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x65ab8d…
10-27 07:50:42	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x059d56…
10-27 07:50:39	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x51aa4d…
10-27 07:50:39	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x13fa9e…
10-27 07:50:38	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xad2fec…
10-27 07:50:36	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xb0efe6…
10-27 07:50:35	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xdb76f5…
10-27 07:50:33	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xc4f4b9…
10-27 07:50:32	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xe7105b…
10-27 07:39:02	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on October 27?	No	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0x301a0c…
10-27 07:22:54	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on October 27?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x690028…
10-27 07:16:41	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xee3a93…
10-27 07:16:41	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc0a302…
10-27 07:16:41	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbda3e1…
10-27 07:16:41	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x0ac3a4…
10-27 07:14:05	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 27?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf50830…
10-27 07:10:59	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 27?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x7a97cc…
10-27 07:07:12	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	114	89¢	$102	0x9b788a…
10-27 07:07:12	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on October 27?	No	BUY	35	90¢	$32	0x4b013a…
10-27 07:06:41	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 27?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x995ec5…
10-27 07:05:21	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	120	96¢	$115	0x0da468…
10-27 07:05:20	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 27?	No	BUY	29	97¢	$28	0x1ec3a9…
10-27 07:05:17	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	143	99¢	$141	0xa02f55…
10-27 07:05:17	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on October 27?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x93b443…
10-27 06:20:18	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 27?	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x840263…
10-27 06:19:17	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 27?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x19efce…
10-27 06:15:51	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x45372b…
10-27 06:15:08	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4117ee…
10-27 06:10:15	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xc16b85…
10-27 06:04:48	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 27?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x315787…
10-27 06:00:48	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe457a0…
10-27 05:55:54	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 27?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x182c76…
10-27 05:37:29	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 27?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xd405a3…
10-27 05:36:39	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 27?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x821124…
10-27 05:36:29	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xff669d…
10-27 05:35:08	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 27?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xb01b62…
10-27 05:30:38	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 27?	No	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0x74139c…
10-27 05:29:44	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on October 27?	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x5b200d…
10-27 05:21:54	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on October 26?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0xee5df0…
10-27 05:15:08	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 27?	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0xfbba35…
10-27 04:21:41	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 27?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0xdec1dd…
10-27 03:30:06	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x4aad09…
10-27 03:11:51	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 26?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xaba2cb…
10-27 00:56:06	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 26?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x391ad8…
10-27 00:46:50	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 26?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x35acd0…