Useless-Adaptation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5.01K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.7%

Resolved

14,280

Trades

38,853

lifetime

Volume

$1.26M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$33

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-28

last 10-27 04:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 248 days

Categories

Other

97% 99% +$4,549

Politics

3% 96% +$439

Tech

1% 100% +$19

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 343 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	50	$6.2K	3,958	2,428	+1,529	No	+$42	03-03 12:27
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	66	$3.7K	1,854	1,922	-68	No	+$1	04-04 22:24
highest temperature in paris on april 20 2026 15c	15	$3.2K	1,594	1,593	+1	Yes	+$5	04-21 00:29
highest temperature in lucknow on april 11 2026 35c	3	$2.7K	1,365	1,365	+0	Yes	+$3	04-11 12:09
highest temperature in chengdu on april 10 2026 24c	1	$2.4K	2,400	0	+2,400	No	+$10	04-10 10:23
highest temperature in san francisco on april 20 2026 64 65f	6	$2.3K	2,375	0	+2,375	Yes	+$38	04-21 01:01
highest temperature in wuhan on april 6 2026 21c	11	$2.1K	2,130	0	+2,130	Yes	+$3	04-06 15:05
highest temperature in toronto on april 5 2026 9c	3	$2.1K	2,110	0	+2,110	Yes	+$2	04-05 20:47
will iran strike pakistan in march	33	$2.1K	1,714	541	+1,172	No	+$150	04-04 04:59
will agibot have robot dancers at the 2026 spring festival gala	25	$1.9K	1,995	0	+1,995	No	+$57	02-16 01:48
highest temperature in toronto on april 17 2026 16c	3	$1.9K	1,860	0	+1,860	Yes	+$2	04-18 00:41
highest temperature in shanghai on april 8 2026 18c	1	$1.8K	1,825	0	+1,825	Yes	+$5	04-08 09:51
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on August 31?	9	$1.8K	1,800	0	+1,800	No	+$2	08-31 11:02
highest temperature in denver on april 16 2026 74 75f	4	$1.8K	1,756	0	+1,756	Yes	+$2	04-17 06:51
will trump say left behind during monday news conference	10	$1.7K	1,710	0	+1,710	No	+$2	04-06 21:49
highest temperature in manila on april 21 2026 35c	4	$1.7K	833	832	+1	No	+$2	04-21 18:30
highest temperature in lagos on april 18 2026 28c	28	$1.6K	1,519	306	+1,213	No	+$200	04-18 18:02
will kevin warsh be formally nominated to be chair of the federal reserve by february 28 2026 369	18	$1.6K	894	894	+0	No	-$99	02-03 10:02
highest temperature in shanghai on april 14 2026 17c	4	$1.6K	814	813	+0	Yes	+$8	04-14 14:11
will claude 5 be released on february 9 2026	1	$1.6K	1,600	0	+1,600	No	+$2	02-10 01:04
will claude 5 be released on february 8 2026	1	$1.6K	1,592	0	+1,592	No	+$2	02-09 00:22
will claude 5 be released on february 7 2026	2	$1.6K	1,557	0	+1,557	No	+$3	02-07 21:42
donald trump of truth social posts march 6 march 13 60 79	11	$1.5K	775	775	+0	No	+$8	03-12 23:56
highest temperature in paris on april 17 2026 21c	24	$1.5K	1,392	150	+1,242	Yes	+$11	04-17 23:31
highest temperature in shanghai on april 8 2026 19c	3	$1.5K	1,471	0	+1,471	No	+$9	04-08 09:53
new 10 us blanket tariff goes into effect by february 28	20	$1.4K	1,435	0	+1,435	Yes	+$38	02-24 00:26
highest temperature in nyc on april 7 2026 52 53f	11	$1.3K	1,345	0	+1,345	Yes	+$3	04-07 20:59
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 300 319	20	$1.3K	684	684	+0	No	+$38	03-12 14:39
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on August 31?	7	$1.3K	1,320	0	+1,320	No	+$1	08-31 06:21
highest temperature in paris on april 16 2026 19c	8	$1.3K	1,335	0	+1,335	Yes	+$28	04-16 19:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 05:37:29	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 27?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xd405a3…
10-27 05:36:39	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 27?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x821124…
10-27 05:36:29	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xff669d…
10-27 05:35:08	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 27?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xb01b62…
10-27 05:30:38	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 27?	No	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0x74139c…
10-27 05:29:44	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on October 27?	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x5b200d…
10-27 05:21:54	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on October 26?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0xee5df0…
10-27 05:15:08	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 27?	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0xfbba35…
10-27 04:21:41	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 27?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0xdec1dd…
10-27 03:30:06	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x4aad09…
10-27 03:11:51	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 26?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xaba2cb…
10-27 00:56:06	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 26?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x391ad8…
10-27 00:46:50	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 26?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x35acd0…
10-27 00:40:33	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on October 26?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xf35469…
10-27 00:22:33	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 26?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x06190a…
10-27 00:15:08	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 26?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x90b7c9…
10-27 00:12:41	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on October 26?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x22b7c1…
10-26 23:46:50	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 54-55°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x54fa1d…
10-26 23:34:39	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xbd8056…
10-26 23:24:30	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 26?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xd4d3aa…
10-26 23:15:15	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on October 26?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xefe42c…
10-26 23:04:35	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 56-57°F on October 26?	No	BUY	97	97¢	$95	0x7545a1…
10-26 23:04:35	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 54-55°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	52	99¢	$51	0x2aecc5…
10-26 22:45:47	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on October 26?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xafc6d4…
10-26 22:27:39	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on October 26?	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0xd4b6c1…
10-26 22:27:00	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on October 26?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x956b79…
10-26 22:20:59	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 26?	No	BUY	68	100¢	$68	0x2fb84e…
10-26 22:14:59	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on October 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x088ebe…
10-26 22:06:26	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on October 26?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x1e6304…
10-26 22:06:24	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on October 26?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xe70440…
10-26 22:06:24	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on October 26?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x642da4…
10-26 22:06:24	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on October 26?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x00ceb2…
10-26 21:20:06	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 26?	No	BUY	71	100¢	$71	0x6507ce…
10-26 21:15:11	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on October 26?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x7bf777…
10-26 21:07:35	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x952843…
10-26 21:01:26	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on October 26?	No	BUY	133	100¢	$133	0x9e5196…
10-26 21:00:05	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x636747…
10-26 20:49:03	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	0	97¢	$0	0x1fd2ef…
10-26 20:49:02	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on October 26?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x5f94c8…
10-26 20:48:11	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on October 26?	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0xb618ce…
10-26 20:48:11	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on October 26?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x1a3943…
10-26 20:37:48	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on October 26?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1ad8e8…
10-26 20:34:14	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 26?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x66f772…
10-26 20:16:42	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x426227…
10-26 20:14:35	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xee3332…
10-26 20:13:56	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x8b3eda…
10-26 20:10:06	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on October 26?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x15e240…
10-26 20:04:03	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xccc956…
10-26 20:03:44	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on October 26?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb9f313…
10-26 20:00:08	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x6ce3d7…
10-26 19:59:38	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on October 26?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xefb11d…
10-26 19:55:48	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on October 26?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf62729…
10-26 19:48:06	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xf42a1f…
10-26 19:41:48	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on October 26?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x8e82d6…
10-26 19:41:38	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xeb8787…
10-26 19:37:27	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 26?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x27ca81…
10-26 19:37:26	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x4ced06…
10-26 19:35:41	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2e0325…
10-26 19:34:59	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C or higher on October 26?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xb70361…
10-26 19:34:59	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x5c6e29…
10-26 19:16:24	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x25bc53…
10-26 19:09:03	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x12e209…
10-26 19:05:30	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xc6bc94…
10-26 19:05:29	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on October 26?	No	BUY	32	98¢	$31	0x45f89c…
10-26 19:05:29	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	118	98¢	$116	0x3bb543…
10-26 19:03:42	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on October 26?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x335164…
10-26 19:01:50	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on October 26?	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0x5b3658…
10-26 19:01:15	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	94	97¢	$92	0xf4e86d…
10-26 19:01:14	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C or higher on October 26?	No	BUY	36	96¢	$35	0x76ffd2…
10-26 19:01:11	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xc761b3…
10-26 18:59:50	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on October 26?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x622c70…
10-26 18:59:12	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xacebeb…
10-26 18:58:33	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 26?	No	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0xd74b99…
10-26 18:58:12	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 26?	No	BUY	75	98¢	$74	0x33717c…
10-26 18:58:12	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	74	98¢	$73	0x03cba3…
10-26 18:55:45	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 26?	No	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0x48c322…
10-26 18:54:05	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x3fa47b…
10-26 18:51:06	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	9	99¢	$8	0x792169…
10-26 18:16:27	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	150	99¢	$148	0x57eec3…
10-26 18:16:24	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on October 26?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xaec224…
10-26 18:15:11	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 26?	No	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0x6fb3fa…
10-26 18:04:38	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on October 26?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x861ca3…
10-26 18:00:51	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x22f7af…
10-26 17:33:39	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on October 26?	No	BUY	71	100¢	$71	0x595a39…
10-26 17:22:47	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 26?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xd94a39…
10-26 17:22:38	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xcc1835…
10-26 17:21:21	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf6ac63…
10-26 17:16:32	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x76c196…
10-26 17:16:32	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x539c87…
10-26 17:16:32	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on October 26?	No	BUY	68	99¢	$67	0x47be48…
10-26 17:00:36	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x86392f…
10-26 16:39:26	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 26?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x52c487…
10-26 16:32:39	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on October 26?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfb7087…
10-26 16:32:39	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on October 26?	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x6354f9…
10-26 16:32:39	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on October 26?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x36d89d…
10-26 16:27:33	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	27	98¢	$26	0xa1db45…
10-26 16:05:56	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x54a964…
10-26 16:05:26	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on October 26?	No	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0x4ac22c…
10-26 16:05:26	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	70	99¢	$69	0x2dafaa…
10-26 15:44:42	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on October 26?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xab6c03…