Hefty-Serval — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$208

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.6%

Resolved

6,728

Trades

19,873

lifetime

Volume

$309.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 11-03 18:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 266 days

Categories

Other

71% 85% +$1,009

Crypto

25% 74% -$1,119

Sports

4% 67% +$303

Tech

0% 100% +$7

Politics

0% 50% -$24

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$31

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

80 active days in 12wk • peak 413 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
dota2 lgd xtreme 2026 08 14	19	$1.7K	1,100	1,100	+0	LGD Gaming	+$98	08-15 06:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-23 20:15 UTC	6	$1.6K	841	840	+0	Down	+$25	01-23 20:26
dota2 ironwi boombo 2026 08 20 game2	34	$1.4K	1,200	1,098	+102	BoomBoys	+$1	08-21 04:22
dota2 lgd ty 2026 08 16	29	$1.3K	1,742	1,742	+0	Team Yandex	-$206	08-16 11:46
dota2 liquid ty 2026 08 20 game1	25	$1.3K	1,300	800	+500	Team Yandex	-$452	08-20 11:38
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 06:00 UTC	4	$1.2K	1,038	542	+496	Down	+$91	01-21 06:15
dota2 ironwi boombo 2026 08 20	32	$1.2K	1,161	1,061	+100	BoomBoys	+$87	08-21 05:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 11:45 UTC	2	$1.2K	627	626	+1	Down	+$38	01-21 11:54
dota2 liquid flc 2026 08 21	23	$1.2K	1,000	900	+100	Team Liquid	+$48	08-21 09:43
dota2 aur1 boombo 2026 08 15 game1	26	$1.1K	1,200	1,200	+0	BoomBoys	+$53	08-16 04:04
dota2 liquid flc 2026 08 21 game2	27	$1.1K	1,000	900	+100	Team Liquid	+$23	08-21 08:32
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	2	$1.1K	600	600	+0	No	+$6	08-20 03:54
dota2 ts8 tr7 2026 08 16 game2	22	$1.1K	842	842	+0	Team Resilience	+$48	08-16 07:38
Bulls vs. Nuggets	36	$1.1K	1,030	700	+330	Nuggets	+$42	10-12 03:38
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner	22	$1.1K	800	700	+100	Team Spirit	+$33	08-23 07:13
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winner	28	$1.0K	1,000	900	+100	Team Spirit	-$4	08-23 10:16
dota2 vsn2 ty 2026 08 22 game2	30	$983	1,100	800	+300	Team Yandex	-$75	08-22 11:08
dota2 vsn2 ts8 2026 08 15 game1	11	$976	603	603	+0	TEAM VISION	+$50	08-15 07:51
dota2 ts8 xtreme 2026 08 13 game1	18	$958	729	729	+0	Team Spirit	+$75	08-13 09:54
will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	10	$938	491	491	+0	No	+$5	03-22 11:32
dota2 ironwi ty 2026 08 15 game1	9	$927	600	600	+0	Iron Wing	-$27	08-15 13:03
dota2 ts8 vsn2 2026 08 21	26	$922	900	800	+100	TEAM VISION	-$20	08-21 13:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-22 03:00 UTC	5	$920	1,007	0	+1,007	Up	+$87	01-22 03:10
highest temperature in seoul on march 1 2026 12c	5	$908	468	468	+0	Yes	+$27	03-01 11:19
dota2 ts8 vsn2 2026 08 21 game1	21	$894	1,000	800	+200	TEAM VISION	+$70	08-21 11:17
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-22 02:45 UTC	20	$889	960	59	+901	Down	+$26	01-22 02:58
dota2 vsn2 boombo 2026 08 20 game1	19	$887	929	729	+200	TEAM VISION	-$231	08-20 07:24
dota2 lgd xtreme 2026 08 14 game1	14	$886	600	600	+0	Xtreme Gaming	+$52	08-15 03:38
dota2 vsn2 ty 2026 08 22 game1	21	$853	922	700	+222	TEAM VISION	+$25	08-22 09:38
dota2 ts8 liquid 2026 08 21 game1	23	$850	900	700	+200	Team Spirit	+$30	08-22 03:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 19:02:18	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on November 3?	Yes	BUY	0	63¢	$0	0x518839…
11-03 19:01:55	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on November 3?	Yes	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x6021f8…
11-03 18:58:57	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on November 3?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x98183a…
11-03 18:07:27	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on November 3?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xef293d…
11-03 17:59:36	Will the highest temperature in Houston be 88°F or higher on November 3?	Yes	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0xd192a7…
11-03 17:52:43	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x1f6112…
11-03 17:24:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0xd8a7cc…
11-03 17:05:36	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x7f4251…
11-03 16:59:37	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on November 3?	Yes	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x42fb25…
11-03 16:09:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0x4b61c8…
11-03 15:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x48bda5…
11-03 15:54:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	31	96¢	$29	0x80c596…
11-03 15:34:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	33	92¢	$30	0x2ec979…
11-03 15:04:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0x985f68…
11-03 14:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	33	90¢	$30	0xbcfbe6…
11-03 14:39:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0x31a23f…
11-03 14:24:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0xa8f86a…
11-03 14:09:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0xffa2b3…
11-03 13:14:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0xfcb025…
11-03 13:09:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0x005f2f…
11-03 12:49:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x8b065b…
11-03 11:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0xf7099c…
11-03 10:34:55	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x473634…
11-03 09:10:06	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x8303f1…
11-03 08:49:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0xd60a89…
11-03 08:47:55	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xe11c62…
11-03 08:44:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x98afdd…
11-03 07:34:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x2fe804…
11-03 04:24:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0x3dd9b1…
11-03 03:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0xc62bc9…
11-03 03:54:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0xb7f95f…
11-03 03:24:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x27c23f…
11-03 02:34:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0x698f9d…
11-03 01:44:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	34	88¢	$30	0x5f31b4…
11-03 01:24:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0x7b40ce…
11-02 23:49:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0xce410e…
11-02 23:44:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0x91ee8d…
11-02 22:59:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0xfe1cb9…
11-02 22:24:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0xb0c97d…
11-02 19:19:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0xeed8fa…
11-02 19:09:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	24	96¢	$23	0x8e3546…
11-02 17:39:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	33	90¢	$30	0xfe6318…
11-02 16:59:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0xd0eec7…
11-02 15:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x066a30…
11-02 13:59:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	33	92¢	$30	0x7af499…
11-02 13:09:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0x31c497…
11-02 12:59:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0x01145b…
11-02 12:24:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0x5c5716…
11-02 12:04:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x40fdb4…
11-02 11:59:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0x78939b…
11-02 11:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0xb0420d…
11-02 11:34:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x075435…
11-02 11:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0x895a43…
11-02 10:24:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x148a7f…
11-02 08:24:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0x8e2661…
11-02 07:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0x145f90…
11-02 06:34:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0xc41203…
11-02 06:09:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0xdd16f8…
11-02 04:28:24	Raptors vs. Lakers: O/U 250.5	Under	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x6a853c…
11-02 04:28:22	Raptors vs. Lakers: O/U 250.5	Under	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0xb795bd…
11-02 04:08:01	Raptors vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	9	91¢	$8	0x1f64d5…
11-02 03:57:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x52e6e1…
11-02 03:53:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc85b00…
11-02 03:50:36	Raptors vs. Lakers: O/U 248.5	Under	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x7f3265…
11-02 03:49:58	Raptors vs. Lakers: O/U 248.5	Under	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x61a4ba…
11-02 03:49:55	Raptors vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xc2630a…
11-02 03:43:21	Raptors vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x619b38…
11-02 03:42:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x490b74…
11-02 03:37:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x231ec3…
11-02 03:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x0ef796…
11-02 03:19:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	38	80¢	$30	0xc70893…
11-02 03:11:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x191db3…
11-02 02:53:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x744482…
11-02 02:46:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x51434f…
11-02 02:42:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x824296…
11-02 02:36:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xcd44e3…
11-02 02:26:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xecd727…
11-02 02:24:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x544a54…
11-02 02:12:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x463dd3…
11-02 02:06:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x86c305…
11-02 01:32:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x8cfb3b…
11-02 01:22:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x82f928…
11-02 01:16:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x3f64f9…
11-02 01:13:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xa0278d…
11-02 01:08:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x2c66ca…
11-02 00:57:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x9848c1…
11-02 00:46:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x1c1688…
11-02 00:38:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xa843bb…
11-02 00:31:52	Nets vs. Pacers	Nets	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xe5d9f4…
11-02 00:31:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x58f86b…
11-02 00:26:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xcc5583…
11-02 00:17:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x682d66…
11-02 00:16:58	Nets vs. Pacers	Nets	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xa9e1b1…
11-02 00:16:21	Nets vs. Pacers	Nets	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x61ed65…
11-02 00:11:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x3b7424…
11-02 00:06:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xa78adf…
11-02 00:01:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x380891…
11-01 23:57:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xcff96b…
11-01 23:53:00	Nets vs. Pacers	Nets	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x43e195…
11-01 23:51:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x5ee001…