Hefty-Serval — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$253

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.6%

Resolved

6,678

Trades

19,817

lifetime

Volume

$308.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 11-02 04:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 265 days

Categories

Other

72% 85% +$1,009

Crypto

24% 74% -$1,103

Sports

4% 68% +$333

Tech

0% 100% +$7

Politics

0% 50% -$24

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$31

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

79 active days in 12wk • peak 413 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
dota2 lgd xtreme 2026 08 14	19	$1.7K	1,100	1,100	+0	LGD Gaming	+$98	08-15 06:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-23 20:15 UTC	6	$1.6K	841	840	+0	Down	+$25	01-23 20:26
dota2 ironwi boombo 2026 08 20 game2	34	$1.4K	1,200	1,098	+102	BoomBoys	+$1	08-21 04:22
dota2 lgd ty 2026 08 16	29	$1.3K	1,742	1,742	+0	Team Yandex	-$206	08-16 11:46
dota2 liquid ty 2026 08 20 game1	25	$1.3K	1,300	800	+500	Team Yandex	-$452	08-20 11:38
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 06:00 UTC	4	$1.2K	1,038	542	+496	Down	+$91	01-21 06:15
dota2 ironwi boombo 2026 08 20	32	$1.2K	1,161	1,061	+100	BoomBoys	+$87	08-21 05:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 11:45 UTC	2	$1.2K	627	626	+1	Down	+$38	01-21 11:54
dota2 liquid flc 2026 08 21	23	$1.2K	1,000	900	+100	Team Liquid	+$48	08-21 09:43
dota2 aur1 boombo 2026 08 15 game1	26	$1.1K	1,200	1,200	+0	BoomBoys	+$53	08-16 04:04
dota2 liquid flc 2026 08 21 game2	27	$1.1K	1,000	900	+100	Team Liquid	+$23	08-21 08:32
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	2	$1.1K	600	600	+0	No	+$6	08-20 03:54
dota2 ts8 tr7 2026 08 16 game2	22	$1.1K	842	842	+0	Team Resilience	+$48	08-16 07:38
Bulls vs. Nuggets	36	$1.1K	1,030	700	+330	Nuggets	+$42	10-12 03:38
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner	22	$1.1K	800	700	+100	Team Spirit	+$33	08-23 07:13
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winner	28	$1.0K	1,000	900	+100	Team Spirit	-$4	08-23 10:16
dota2 vsn2 ty 2026 08 22 game2	30	$983	1,100	800	+300	Team Yandex	-$75	08-22 11:08
dota2 vsn2 ts8 2026 08 15 game1	11	$976	603	603	+0	TEAM VISION	+$50	08-15 07:51
dota2 ts8 xtreme 2026 08 13 game1	18	$958	729	729	+0	Team Spirit	+$75	08-13 09:54
will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	10	$938	491	491	+0	No	+$5	03-22 11:32
dota2 ironwi ty 2026 08 15 game1	9	$927	600	600	+0	Iron Wing	-$27	08-15 13:03
dota2 ts8 vsn2 2026 08 21	26	$922	900	800	+100	TEAM VISION	-$20	08-21 13:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-22 03:00 UTC	5	$920	1,007	0	+1,007	Up	+$87	01-22 03:10
highest temperature in seoul on march 1 2026 12c	5	$908	468	468	+0	Yes	+$27	03-01 11:19
dota2 ts8 vsn2 2026 08 21 game1	21	$894	1,000	800	+200	TEAM VISION	+$70	08-21 11:17
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-22 02:45 UTC	20	$889	960	59	+901	Down	+$26	01-22 02:58
dota2 vsn2 boombo 2026 08 20 game1	19	$887	929	729	+200	TEAM VISION	-$231	08-20 07:24
dota2 lgd xtreme 2026 08 14 game1	14	$886	600	600	+0	Xtreme Gaming	+$52	08-15 03:38
dota2 vsn2 ty 2026 08 22 game1	21	$853	922	700	+222	TEAM VISION	+$25	08-22 09:38
dota2 ts8 liquid 2026 08 21 game1	23	$850	900	700	+200	Team Spirit	+$30	08-22 03:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 04:28:24	Raptors vs. Lakers: O/U 250.5	Under	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x6a853c…
11-02 04:28:22	Raptors vs. Lakers: O/U 250.5	Under	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0xb795bd…
11-02 04:08:01	Raptors vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	9	91¢	$8	0x1f64d5…
11-02 03:57:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x52e6e1…
11-02 03:53:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc85b00…
11-02 03:50:36	Raptors vs. Lakers: O/U 248.5	Under	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x7f3265…
11-02 03:49:58	Raptors vs. Lakers: O/U 248.5	Under	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x61a4ba…
11-02 03:49:55	Raptors vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xc2630a…
11-02 03:43:21	Raptors vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x619b38…
11-02 03:42:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x490b74…
11-02 03:37:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x231ec3…
11-02 03:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x0ef796…
11-02 03:19:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	38	80¢	$30	0xc70893…
11-02 03:11:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x191db3…
11-02 02:53:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x744482…
11-02 02:46:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x51434f…
11-02 02:42:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x824296…
11-02 02:36:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xcd44e3…
11-02 02:26:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xecd727…
11-02 02:24:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x544a54…
11-02 02:12:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x463dd3…
11-02 02:06:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x86c305…
11-02 01:32:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x8cfb3b…
11-02 01:22:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x82f928…
11-02 01:16:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x3f64f9…
11-02 01:13:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xa0278d…
11-02 01:08:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x2c66ca…
11-02 00:57:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x9848c1…
11-02 00:46:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x1c1688…
11-02 00:38:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xa843bb…
11-02 00:31:52	Nets vs. Pacers	Nets	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xe5d9f4…
11-02 00:31:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x58f86b…
11-02 00:26:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xcc5583…
11-02 00:17:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x682d66…
11-02 00:16:58	Nets vs. Pacers	Nets	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xa9e1b1…
11-02 00:16:21	Nets vs. Pacers	Nets	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x61ed65…
11-02 00:11:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x3b7424…
11-02 00:06:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xa78adf…
11-02 00:01:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x380891…
11-01 23:57:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xcff96b…
11-01 23:53:00	Nets vs. Pacers	Nets	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x43e195…
11-01 23:51:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x5ee001…
11-01 23:49:52	Nets vs. Pacers	Nets	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x62b3b1…
11-01 23:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xeec9d7…
11-01 23:43:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x3ee693…
11-01 23:31:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x07139c…
11-01 23:12:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x87a5de…
11-01 23:08:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x33e5ca…
11-01 23:01:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xd6b89e…
11-01 22:56:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xfba62e…
11-01 22:52:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x95e37a…
11-01 22:31:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xef5437…
11-01 22:29:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0xfa456b…
11-01 22:17:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x61b3ff…
11-01 22:13:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x9f3a79…
11-01 22:06:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xf74f69…
11-01 21:59:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	33	91¢	$30	0xb43d08…
11-01 21:58:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xeff62b…
11-01 21:38:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x6b392b…
11-01 21:31:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x04946d…
11-01 21:11:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x9770e2…
11-01 21:02:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x7c4926…
11-01 20:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x29e5d0…
11-01 20:53:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xbabfd4…
11-01 20:48:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xf0fb37…
11-01 20:44:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0xf25402…
11-01 20:38:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xa1be44…
11-01 20:27:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x4d50df…
11-01 20:16:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xf2f67a…
11-01 20:07:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x6bba51…
11-01 19:57:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x687b05…
11-01 19:53:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x6d84c3…
11-01 19:32:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xc02173…
11-01 19:23:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x6b0e65…
11-01 19:13:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe12b85…
11-01 19:02:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xb3c866…
11-01 18:51:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x2f9653…
11-01 18:46:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x7f3420…
11-01 18:41:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x0a636f…
11-01 18:39:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0x35ab3e…
11-01 18:38:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x779cec…
11-01 18:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xebc98b…
11-01 18:07:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x1205ff…
11-01 17:56:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x60b39e…
11-01 17:53:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x3f8372…
11-01 17:41:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xc99f9a…
11-01 17:34:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x063366…
11-01 17:27:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x34d416…
11-01 17:16:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xb7b839…
11-01 16:58:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xcb611d…
11-01 16:51:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x95c11d…
11-01 16:48:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x03881f…
11-01 16:42:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x29d13d…
11-01 16:37:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xb6b16b…
11-01 16:31:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x9073ff…
11-01 16:28:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x84cdf0…
11-01 16:16:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x1d9167…
11-01 16:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x217c2e…
11-01 15:57:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xaf437c…
11-01 15:51:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x41f6ad…