Hefty-Serval — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$96

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.8%

Resolved

Trades

5,925

lifetime

Volume

$98.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 06-28 01:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

66% — —

Crypto

34% 49% $-96

Politics

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 299 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1769199300	6	$1.6K	841	840	+0	open	—	01-23 20:26
btc updown 15m 1768975200	4	$1.2K	1,038	542	+496	open	—	01-21 06:15
btc updown 15m 1768995900	2	$1.2K	627	626	+1	open	—	01-21 11:54
will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	10	$938	491	491	+0	open	—	03-22 11:32
btc updown 15m 1769050800	5	$920	1,007	0	+1,007	open	—	01-22 03:10
highest temperature in seoul on march 1 2026 12c	5	$908	468	468	+0	open	—	03-01 11:19
btc updown 15m 1769049900	20	$889	960	59	+901	open	—	01-22 02:58
btc updown 15m 1768967100	4	$830	462	461	+1	open	—	01-21 04:01
btc updown 15m 1769040900	3	$829	879	59	+820	open	—	01-22 00:26
highest temperature in miami on april 20 2026 86 87f	4	$793	400	400	+0	open	—	04-21 00:22
btc updown 15m 1768983300	8	$784	440	438	+2	open	—	01-21 08:24
highest temperature in seoul on april 17 2026 18corhigher	22	$754	489	439	+50	open	—	04-17 14:00
btc updown 15m 1768970700	2	$740	378	378	+0	open	—	01-21 05:00
highest temperature in wellington on february 28 2026 17c	3	$736	380	380	+0	open	—	02-28 02:59
highest temperature in seoul on april 14 2026 23c	10	$697	351	371	-20	open	—	04-14 10:33
highest temperature in ankara on march 3 2026 10c	7	$695	305	405	-100	open	—	03-03 12:07
highest temperature in london on april 20 2026 15c	9	$688	322	372	-50	open	—	04-20 21:14
btc updown 15m 1769225400	2	$668	753	0	+753	open	—	01-24 03:39
highest temperature in shanghai on april 16 2026 19c	3	$666	335	335	+0	open	—	04-16 08:15
eth updown 15m 1769253300	7	$660	773	686	+86	open	—	01-24 11:29
highest temperature in seoul on april 14 2026 24corhigher	46	$644	377	397	-20	open	—	04-14 05:00
btc updown 15m 1769049000	10	$636	692	0	+692	open	—	01-22 02:43
btc updown 15m 1769125500	1	$611	617	0	+617	open	—	01-22 23:59
btc updown 15m 1769033700	19	$610	653	0	+653	open	—	01-21 22:25
highest temperature in wellington on march 3 2026 14c	6	$607	315	315	+0	open	—	03-03 11:05
highest temperature in seoul on march 24 2026 13c	17	$591	371	351	+20	open	—	03-24 05:53
highest temperature in london on february 27 2026 13c	34	$584	416	416	+0	open	—	02-27 22:22
will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 22	2	$582	294	294	+0	open	—	02-23 05:19
highest temperature in london on april 16 2026 19c	12	$581	304	304	+0	open	—	04-17 00:00
highest temperature in dallas on february 20 2026 65forbelow	22	$564	300	300	+0	open	—	02-20 21:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-28 01:17:19	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	30	80¢	$24	0x4a9494…
06-28 00:45:56	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	30	79¢	$24	0x64581b…
06-28 00:35:40	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	30	80¢	$24	0xbd00cd…
06-25 16:48:13	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	200	41¢	$82	0x8748be…
06-25 16:22:07	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0x382077…
06-25 16:10:08	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0xbf186f…
06-16 14:47:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	110	89¢	$98	0x7ddc2f…
06-16 14:19:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	90	89¢	$80	0x19a17a…
06-16 13:26:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	200	60¢	$120	0xc756ac…
06-16 13:23:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	200	60¢	$120	0x8876ca…
06-16 11:35:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	200	89¢	$178	0x002be4…
06-15 12:33:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	200	61¢	$122	0x7f3e80…
06-15 12:23:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	200	61¢	$122	0xae7bd0…
06-15 09:00:36	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x9ae906…
06-15 07:56:45	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x8a8a0c…
06-14 03:20:15	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Spurs	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0xae0f0d…
06-14 03:20:07	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Knicks	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0xaacbbf…
06-14 03:20:07	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Knicks	BUY	47	94¢	$44	0x546cea…
06-14 03:20:07	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Knicks	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0x07156f…
06-14 03:20:06	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Knicks	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0xdad1ca…
06-14 03:20:06	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Knicks	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0xbecd54…
06-14 03:20:06	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Knicks	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x687483…
06-14 03:19:48	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Spurs	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x4b4077…
06-14 03:17:54	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Spurs	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x674d99…
06-14 03:14:39	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Spurs	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xff8ee1…
06-14 02:29:07	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Knicks	SELL	10	17¢	$2	0x690d6d…
06-09 03:04:49	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Spurs	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x5dca43…
06-09 00:46:13	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Spurs	SELL	10	51¢	$5	0xae18cf…
06-06 03:32:24	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Spurs	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x3e7fbc…
06-06 03:23:39	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Spurs	SELL	6	37¢	$2	0xba27e7…
06-06 03:22:31	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Spurs	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x139bea…
06-06 03:19:15	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Spurs	SELL	10	62¢	$6	0xe4fe4f…
06-06 03:12:25	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Spurs	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x1bce2e…
06-06 03:10:00	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Spurs	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xb0881a…
06-02 00:37:48	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	1¢	$1	0x9acb51…
06-01 13:39:57	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	67¢	$134	0x8a53f3…
05-31 02:47:14	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	70	98¢	$69	0x600069…
05-09 14:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xc4afb0…
05-09 14:43:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x6d5d54…
05-09 14:43:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0xea5422…
05-09 14:41:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xb67f62…
05-09 14:41:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0xb26a01…
05-09 14:41:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xe39f38…
05-09 14:41:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0xb16778…
05-09 14:37:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x4e4b51…
05-09 14:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x9a70ad…
05-09 14:33:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	SELL	26	80¢	$21	0x293627…
05-09 14:32:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x433ebe…
05-09 14:32:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x068553…
05-09 14:31:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xad2cea…
05-09 14:29:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0x9e3d44…
05-09 14:28:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xe653a1…
05-09 14:28:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x3070b5…
05-09 14:28:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x169f97…
05-09 14:27:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xd52376…
05-09 14:27:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xab68a4…
05-09 14:27:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xf3ffd6…
05-09 14:27:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xfd9936…
05-09 14:27:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x90bb67…
05-09 14:22:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0xc0f828…
05-09 14:22:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x207c4f…
05-09 14:21:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0xf9e569…
05-09 14:21:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x1ee3cf…
05-09 14:19:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	33	90¢	$30	0x712c6c…
05-09 14:19:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	SELL	10	14¢	$1	0x24fa83…
05-09 14:18:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x75ca1d…
05-09 14:18:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0x961524…
05-09 14:18:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x61709b…
05-09 14:17:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	SELL	10	26¢	$3	0xf2c02c…
05-09 14:16:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x745b39…
05-09 14:11:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x664892…
05-09 14:11:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x00f5fa…
05-09 14:11:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xcf70fe…
05-09 14:09:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x0cbd2f…
05-09 14:07:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x847b87…
05-09 14:07:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	25	71¢	$18	0x6afe16…
05-09 14:06:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xf5c1ce…
05-09 14:05:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0xace5fb…
05-09 14:04:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x322367…
05-09 14:01:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x21978d…
05-09 14:01:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x6fe99c…
05-09 13:59:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x8fa8b9…
05-09 13:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x9624ae…
05-09 13:56:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x28f941…
05-09 13:50:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x0bfe1c…
05-09 13:49:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x6f8bf1…
05-09 13:48:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x4ae3ae…
05-09 13:48:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x4b826e…
05-09 13:48:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x8ead10…
05-09 13:46:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0xd799d2…
05-09 13:46:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	4	30¢	$1	0xba097d…
05-09 13:46:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0x40ddc3…
05-09 13:46:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x302e74…
05-09 13:46:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	4	30¢	$1	0x2ca7b9…
05-09 13:46:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x69e7bf…
05-09 13:43:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x38f01d…
05-09 13:42:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x091fa4…
05-09 13:42:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x50d6cc…
05-09 13:41:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xc8e698…
05-09 13:41:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	29	88¢	$25	0xd20b53…