Realized P&L
-$140
Unrealized P&L
+$1.26K
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
304
lifetime
Volume
$36.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$122
Open exposure
$5.35K
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-17 17:24
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
61%
Other
38% 0% $-140
Tech
0%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
12 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +11,446 $1,996 30¢ $3.4K +$1,381 07-17 17:24
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes +5,980 $644 $448 $-196 06-23 00:34
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -476 $-424 92¢ $-440 $-17 06-26 04:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +600 $150 50¢ $303 +$153 06-10 00:28
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? Yes +1,300 $286 20¢ $266 $-19 06-10 13:08
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? Yes +3,118 $300 $218 $-82 07-17 01:19
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026? No +200 $146 74¢ $148 +$2 07-17 01:23
Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026? Yes +208 $21 28¢ $57 +$36 07-17 01:20
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes -1,200 $-65 $-44 +$21 06-10 00:36
Will Trump pardon Nicolas Maduro before 2027? Yes +600 $42 $27 $-15 06-10 00:35
Trump declares election interference national emergency? Yes +100 $21 20¢ $20 $-0 06-26 05:38