Realized P&L
+$1.78K
Unrealized P&L
-$2.29K
Hit rate
62.5%
Resolved
103
Trades
383
lifetime
Volume
$50.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$131
Open exposure
$12.0K
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-17 15:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 53 days
Categories
Politics
59% 39% +$3,274
Other
41% 29% -$1,543
Tech
0% 0% -$100
Sports
0% 0% -$51
Crypto
0% 100% +$202
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
5 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +22,902 $4,954 18¢ $4.2K -$717 07-24 15:55
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No -3,459 -$3,384 99¢ $-3415 -$32 05-11 20:21
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No -1,166 -$952 82¢ $-962 -$10 06-18 06:11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +1,000 $254 88¢ $885 +$631 06-10 00:28
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes +21,323 $2,504 4¢ $864 -$1,641 07-29 18:18
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -476 -$424 97¢ $-462 -$38 06-26 04:56
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? Yes +2,100 $441 20¢ $420 -$21 10-17 15:40
Trump declares election interference national emergency? Yes +1,100 $241 27¢ $297 +$56 07-25 20:56
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +7,423 $126 2¢ $182 +$56 05-05 09:52
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? Yes +3,118 $300 4¢ $140 -$160 07-17 01:19
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +2,711 $496 4¢ $104 -$392 05-07 00:47
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes +200 $38 14¢ $27 -$11 07-24 16:00
Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026? Yes +208 $21 4¢ $9 -$11 07-17 01:20