Miserly-Hugger — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$148.6K

Unrealized P&L

+$25

Hit rate

27.1%

Resolved

984

Trades

33,031

lifetime

Volume

$1.34M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$41

Open exposure

$52

7 positions

First seen

2026-04-07

last 09-25 04:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 85 days

Categories

Other

51% 33% -$44,005

Politics

46% 38% -$115,439

Sports

3% 53% +$10,874

Crypto

0% 25% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

53 active days in 12wk • peak 2800 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+676	$34	5¢	$32	-$2	09-19 09:04
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	+3,500	$32	0¢	$17	-$14	08-05 19:03
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Belarus before 2027?	Yes	+1,000	$5	0¢	$2	-$4	06-07 20:50
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	-406	-$3	0¢	$-1	+$2	07-06 09:09
Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo	Yes	+11	$2	4¢	$0	-$1	05-08 20:48
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	+0	-$4	2¢	$0	+$4	05-07 21:36
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	+0	-$40	6¢	$0	+$40	08-31 02:46

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	2,329	$329.6K	1,561,352	1,068,182	+493,171	Yes	-$68,878	09-21 09:39
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	1,678	$127.7K	420,459	361,285	+59,175	No	-$15,479	09-21 10:39
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?	240	$47.2K	63,799	63,799	+0	Yes	-$2,241	09-22 08:17
fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	229	$34.9K	99,999	59,000	+40,999	Paraguay	+$48,929	06-29 21:34
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	1,650	$18.4K	337,595	412,666	-75,071	No	+$1,116	09-21 00:10
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	71	$16.0K	26,500	26,500	+0	No	+$2,225	07-06 09:20
Will ACF Fiorentina vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?	140	$15.8K	40,000	5,000	+35,000	Yes	+$29,195	05-22 22:02
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-24?	4	$15.2K	23,000	0	+23,000	No	-$15,250	05-24 18:40
yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	2,818	$14.4K	62,855	7,855	+55,000	Yes	+$3,808	08-17 15:41
Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Sweden?	415	$13.8K	80,000	41,576	+38,424	No	-$3,811	06-30 20:57
fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team to advance	52	$13.2K	33,000	0	+33,000	Belgium	-$13,200	07-01 18:44
fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 corners total 9pt5	82	$13.0K	13,174	11,048	+2,126	Under	-$780	06-21 15:58
Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	451	$12.5K	124,325	8,152	+116,173	No	-$5,304	09-21 15:04
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	17	$12.4K	19,081	155	+18,926	Yes	-$12,086	05-09 09:50
Will Villarreal CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?	86	$10.0K	40,000	0	+40,000	No	-$10,000	05-24 18:49
Will France win on 2026-06-30?	6	$9.9K	13,000	0	+13,000	Yes	+$3,120	06-30 20:20
ucl rma1 bay1 2026 04 07 rma1	47	$9.8K	30,996	0	+30,996	No	-$9,799	04-07 20:14
Villarreal CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Score	11	$9.6K	13,976	0	+13,976	Yes	+$4,372	05-24 18:32
Exact Score: South Africa 0 - 2 Canada?	18	$9.0K	10,000	99	+9,901	No	+$1,090	06-28 19:56
fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 team total away 2pt5	25	$8.9K	15,000	4,486	+10,514	Under	-$4,786	07-04 20:59
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	44	$8.8K	7,003	7,003	+0	Yes	+$5,175	05-30 18:04
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	22	$8.8K	12,294	5,000	+7,294	Yes	-$2,304	05-08 18:52
Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	97	$8.7K	48,350	4,108	+44,242	No	-$7,330	09-23 22:59
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	37	$8.7K	6,480	7,412	-932	Yes	+$1,986	05-09 10:00
Will Georgia win on 2026-06-05?	206	$8.6K	37,770	1,151	+36,618	Yes	-$7,794	06-05 17:22
fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 spread away 1pt5	1	$8.4K	30,000	0	+30,000	Morocco	+$21,600	07-04 15:11
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 0 Uzbekistan?	86	$7.9K	5,500	3,897	+1,603	No	+$340	06-23 16:55
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30?	1	$7.8K	30,000	0	+30,000	No	-$7,800	06-30 13:49
Exact Score: Any Other Score?	39	$7.5K	31,473	0	+31,473	No	-$7,513	07-04 20:57
fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 spread home 3pt5	81	$7.3K	50,000	0	+50,000	Sweden	-$7,300	06-30 20:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-25 04:39:57	Will Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) finish second on the party-list vote in Moscow?	No	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0x79157f…
09-24 15:22:20	Will Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) finish second on the party-list vote in Moscow?	No	SELL	1,112	2¢	$22	0x232f92…
09-23 22:59:55	Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	691	0¢	$2	0x6a243f…
09-23 08:17:17	Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0xee000e…
09-22 08:32:31	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	916	97¢	$890	0x533517…
09-22 08:32:24	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	219	98¢	$215	0x56ca30…
09-22 08:32:21	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	356	98¢	$350	0x26bac9…
09-22 08:32:16	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	124	99¢	$123	0x5c3b59…
09-22 08:24:51	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	332	100¢	$332	0xb89140…
09-22 08:19:45	Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026	No	SELL	8	79¢	$7	0xe762d5…
09-22 08:18:57	Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win the fourth-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x4ad047…
09-22 08:17:55	Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?	Yes	SELL	2,922	99¢	$2,895	0x9e24e0…
09-22 08:17:18	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x1b15eb…
09-21 23:21:54	Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	1,289	1¢	$8	0x2a6dda…
09-21 23:07:12	Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	656	1¢	$4	0x157905…
09-21 23:05:27	Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0x1fd453…
09-21 21:25:10	Will New People (NL) win fewer than 35 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	No	BUY	2,400	0¢	$2	0x47622b…
09-21 17:05:34	Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold?	No	BUY	201	2¢	$4	0xe87aa7…
09-21 16:46:48	Will the Russian Ecological Party “The Greens” win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$0	0x60ef87…
09-21 15:04:42	Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	40,000	0¢	$40	0x6caa94…
09-21 15:04:13	Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold?	No	BUY	115	2¢	$2	0x65dd19…
09-21 15:04:09	Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	70	0¢	$0	0x18be32…
09-21 15:04:09	Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	170	0¢	$0	0x0efdeb…
09-21 15:04:07	Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xf63c09…
09-21 15:04:07	Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xc56bbb…
09-21 15:04:07	Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	165	0¢	$0	0x61652c…
09-21 15:04:07	Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0x24df77…
09-21 15:03:24	Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	79	0¢	$0	0xd40935…
09-21 15:03:24	Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x3ee392…
09-21 15:01:33	Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold?	No	BUY	686	2¢	$14	0xa12bba…
09-21 15:01:19	Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x992b47…
09-21 15:00:31	Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x4bcb37…
09-21 15:00:30	Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	27	0¢	$0	0x15f53d…
09-21 15:00:30	Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0x061365…
09-21 14:43:51	Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0xb1f6d3…
09-21 14:43:51	Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0xa53c44…
09-21 14:43:51	Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x936c8f…
09-21 14:43:51	Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x8425e2…
09-21 14:41:06	Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	32	0¢	$0	0xa8327f…
09-21 14:37:42	Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x5be4b8…
09-21 14:37:42	Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	65	0¢	$0	0x042b99…
09-21 14:13:33	Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x9c183a…
09-21 14:13:33	Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	87	0¢	$0	0x93bd6d…
09-21 14:13:33	Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x8c5147…
09-21 14:08:30	Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xc880a3…
09-21 14:07:29	Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xa4bc83…
09-21 14:07:29	Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x5651f3…
09-21 14:07:29	Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	620	0¢	$1	0x108c1f…
09-21 14:00:15	Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	45	0¢	$0	0x8800c2…
09-21 13:59:36	Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	134	0¢	$0	0xeecf7a…
09-21 13:59:36	Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x83c3c3…
09-21 13:59:36	Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	52	0¢	$0	0x673efb…
09-21 13:59:23	Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	28	0¢	$0	0x93a4b8…
09-21 13:59:15	Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x70997b…
09-21 13:59:15	Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x64a28f…
09-21 13:57:35	Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	76	0¢	$0	0xd1f595…
09-21 13:57:35	Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x67e383…
09-21 13:56:08	Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xec56e7…
09-21 13:56:08	Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x856baa…
09-21 13:56:08	Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	19	0¢	$0	0x57c93a…
09-21 13:56:08	Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	48	0¢	$0	0x2ddbaf…
09-21 13:56:08	Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x193992…
09-21 13:56:08	Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x0c3416…
09-21 13:49:26	Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	135	0¢	$0	0xf18f91…
09-21 13:49:26	Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xc268c4…
09-21 13:49:24	Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	125	0¢	$0	0x80ac01…
09-21 13:42:41	Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	125	0¢	$0	0x698d09…
09-21 13:42:39	Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	63	0¢	$0	0x9d3431…
09-21 13:35:33	Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0xb770eb…
09-21 13:29:56	Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold?	No	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xe86fb8…
09-21 13:27:00	Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	8,066	0¢	$8	0x439c52…
09-21 13:24:15	Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold?	No	BUY	37	6¢	$2	0x0f144f…
09-21 13:18:20	Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold?	No	BUY	957	6¢	$57	0x066677…
09-21 13:17:17	Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x50e31b…
09-21 13:15:57	Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xe43b15…
09-21 13:14:48	Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	55	0¢	$0	0xca3be6…
09-21 13:14:39	Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	1,442	0¢	$1	0xc11ff7…
09-21 13:14:39	Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	110	0¢	$0	0x78c68f…
09-21 13:14:39	Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	2,751	0¢	$3	0x27a757…
09-21 13:14:39	Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	747	0¢	$1	0x1cacd3…
09-21 13:06:24	Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold?	No	BUY	200	6¢	$12	0xafe295…
09-21 13:02:09	Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	130	0¢	$0	0x968499…
09-21 13:02:09	Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x55fcd9…
09-21 13:01:38	Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	52	0¢	$0	0x80c776…
09-21 13:01:38	Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x7d57e8…
09-21 13:01:38	Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x339c3c…
09-21 13:01:36	Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xf6a8a3…
09-21 13:01:36	Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	130	0¢	$0	0x3e3f29…
09-21 13:01:36	Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x2fdd25…
09-21 13:01:05	Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	60	0¢	$0	0xa130cf…
09-21 13:01:05	Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x6e697e…
09-21 13:01:03	Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0xbb9bbc…
09-21 12:59:59	Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	33	0¢	$0	0x7ea8fd…
09-21 12:59:35	Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	216	0¢	$0	0xa97310…
09-21 12:59:35	Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x837a54…
09-21 12:59:35	Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x22938c…
09-21 12:59:03	Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold?	No	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0xf3be04…
09-21 12:58:45	Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	SELL	1,358	0¢	$5	0x4c32c2…
09-21 12:57:45	Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold?	No	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0xf1ccf1…
09-21 12:56:54	Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold?	No	BUY	365	6¢	$22	0xc409f3…