Shrill-Racer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9.25K

Unrealized P&L

-$12.5K

Hit rate

14.4%

Resolved

Trades

138

lifetime

Volume

$30.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$223

Open exposure

$3.01K

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-24

last 10-13 18:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Politics

94% 15% -$8,566

Other

6% 0% -$644

Crypto

0% 23% -$36

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+101,698	$8,229	2¢	$1.7K	-$6,500	10-13 18:59
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	Yes		+56,956	$7,330	2¢	$1.3K	-$6,048	07-14 23:53

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	9	$8.2K	101,698	0	+101,698	open	—	10-13 18:59
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	8	$7.3K	56,956	0	+56,956	open	—	07-14 23:53
putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	11	$4.0K	111,597	0	+111,597	No	-$3,991	09-08 19:05
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$1.9K	1,205	1,205	+0	Yes	+$527	04-05 04:16
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?	14	$1.7K	67,374	67,374	+0	No	-$710	04-22 17:19
iran leadership change by august 31 669 893	5	$1.2K	23,487	23,487	+0	No	-$877	08-19 17:01
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	3	$880	6,286	6,286	+0	open	—	09-18 18:24
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	4	$782	2,023	2,023	+0	open	—	06-08 18:05
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?	5	$662	3,378	3,378	+0	No	-$634	06-15 16:04
putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	7	$639	55,720	0	+55,720	No	-$639	08-29 17:52
will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1 893 748	20	$618	134,588	0	+134,588	Yes	-$618	08-19 20:49
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	3	$558	3,135	0	+3,135	No	-$558	09-20 04:05
Iran leadership change by April 30?	2	$406	1,752	1,752	+0	No	-$394	04-30 04:02
russia coup attempt in 2026	4	$364	2,211	2,211	+0	open	—	08-05 17:19
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	5	$347	26,857	1,136	+25,720	No	-$279	06-27 14:52
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	2	$304	1,003	1,003	+0	No	-$296	05-31 23:37
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	4	$299	1,996	1,996	+0	No	-$291	04-22 17:22
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	4	$207	2,866	3,408	-542	No	-$193	06-26 03:52
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	1	$119	1,082	0	+1,082	No	-$119	03-29 02:58
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	1	$50	2,678	0	+2,678	No	-$50	05-29 01:49
Masoud Pezeshkian out by April 30?	2	$34	471	471	+0	No	-$26	04-30 04:01
Iran leadership change by May 31?	1	$24	267	0	+267	No	-$24	05-01 16:39
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?	1	$20	1,053	0	+1,053	No	-$20	06-07 03:29
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	1	$20	515	0	+515	No	-$20	04-30 03:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 18:35 UTC	2	$16	120	0	+120	Down	-$16	04-14 18:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 19:55 UTC	1	$10	31	0	+31	Down	-$10	04-12 19:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 19:50 UTC	1	$10	19	0	+19	Up	-$10	04-12 19:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 18:20 UTC	1	$10	32	0	+32	Up	-$10	04-23 18:23
Iran coup attempt by June 30?	1	$7	0	769	-769	No	+$7	06-26 03:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 18:10 UTC	1	$5	24	0	+24	Down	+$18	04-23 18:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-13 18:59:28	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28,636	4¢	$1,100	0x65cd2e…
09-20 04:05:48	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	911	19¢	$175	0xb83e81…
09-18 18:26:16	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	2,202	17¢	$378	0x4e7883…
09-18 18:25:22	Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027?	Yes	SELL	171	1¢	$1	0xc4477d…
09-18 18:24:51	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	6,286	6¢	$377	0x4b48fc…
09-17 17:37:12	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	22	21¢	$4	0x197f2b…
09-08 19:05:43	putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	812	1¢	$6	0x5b936c…
08-29 17:52:27	Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0x2acdbe…
08-26 14:09:55	Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18,491	2¢	$344	0xa6c698…
08-24 19:22:54	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	6,250	8¢	$500	0x0c3e00…
08-24 17:02:16	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	36	7¢	$2	0x04c7bd…
08-19 20:49:09	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1 893 748	No	BUY	44,670	0¢	$48	0xb6aef9…
08-19 19:42:00	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1 893 748	No	BUY	20,757	0¢	$100	0xd3c7e1…
08-19 19:35:45	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1 893 748	No	BUY	2,913	1¢	$41	0xe6d6b1…
08-19 19:35:45	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1 893 748	No	BUY	610	0¢	$1	0x7e09ed…
08-19 19:35:45	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1 893 748	No	BUY	44,730	0¢	$53	0x7c3f57…
08-19 19:35:43	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1 893 748	No	BUY	510	0¢	$1	0xbff289…
08-19 19:35:43	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1 893 748	No	BUY	690	0¢	$1	0xa1c7ed…
08-19 19:35:43	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1 893 748	No	BUY	460	0¢	$0	0x623fba…
08-19 19:35:42	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1 893 748	No	BUY	585	0¢	$1	0xda1cd5…
08-19 19:35:42	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1 893 748	No	BUY	665	0¢	$1	0xcea2f5…
08-19 19:35:40	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1 893 748	No	BUY	465	0¢	$0	0xe5cacd…
08-19 19:35:40	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1 893 748	No	BUY	385	0¢	$0	0xc3b0ca…
08-19 19:35:39	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1 893 748	No	BUY	495	0¢	$0	0x9dba76…
08-19 19:35:39	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1 893 748	No	BUY	490	0¢	$0	0x8cc249…
08-19 19:35:39	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1 893 748	No	BUY	535	0¢	$1	0x74ca7c…
08-19 19:26:18	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1 893 748	No	BUY	4,911	2¢	$118	0xe66096…
08-19 18:51:01	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1 893 748	No	BUY	589	2¢	$14	0x3ad340…
08-19 18:39:12	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1 893 748	No	BUY	3,506	3¢	$100	0xcbbcf0…
08-19 18:38:15	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1 893 748	No	BUY	2,216	2¢	$50	0x275274…
08-19 17:01:33	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1 893 748	No	BUY	4,407	2¢	$88	0x1ff482…
08-19 17:01:07	iran leadership change by august 31 669 893	Yes	SELL	17,615	0¢	$87	0x5622ea…
08-16 03:51:01	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	11,375	1¢	$91	0x968aae…
08-16 03:49:52	iran leadership change by august 31 669 893	Yes	SELL	5,872	1¢	$86	0x1c9fea…
08-08 19:31:46	iran leadership change by august 31 669 893	Yes	BUY	18,706	5¢	$851	0xc40269…
08-08 19:29:58	iran leadership change by august 31 669 893	Yes	BUY	2,340	4¢	$100	0x2a8a90…
08-08 19:29:45	iran leadership change by august 31 669 893	Yes	BUY	2,442	4¢	$100	0xecdd6f…
08-05 21:18:41	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7,162	8¢	$573	0xdc0eef…
08-05 21:15:30	putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	6,579	3¢	$200	0xc8f346…
08-05 21:14:39	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	17,772	1¢	$200	0xc356cd…
08-05 17:22:39	putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	5,272	3¢	$157	0x8e56be…
08-05 17:19:11	russia coup attempt in 2026	Yes	SELL	2,211	7¢	$155	0x877d9c…
08-02 01:27:41	putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	21,411	3¢	$695	0xfd75ca…
08-01 05:28:21	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0x0afe3f…
07-31 04:51:26	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	10,680	1¢	$145	0x4dcefd…
07-31 04:50:17	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	7,833	1¢	$100	0x319cee…
07-31 04:49:50	putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	2,966	3¢	$100	0x93e1e3…
07-31 04:49:33	putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	3,183	3¢	$100	0xfb536f…
07-30 02:37:18	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	6,970	1¢	$100	0x785116…
07-30 02:36:44	putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	4,012	4¢	$150	0xdb8d39…
07-25 15:22:54	putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	16,575	4¢	$684	0xbe42e7…
07-25 15:22:54	putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	7,703	5¢	$355	0x67ffb9…
07-19 16:10:22	Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027?	Yes	BUY	171	2¢	$3	0x9ab0ca…
07-14 23:53:10	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	836	11¢	$92	0xe137cb…
07-14 23:46:50	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14,000	10¢	$1,400	0xd8d5e8…
07-14 23:44:56	putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	24,593	5¢	$1,200	0x671ed0…
07-14 23:44:04	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13,000	10¢	$1,300	0x87a1fb…
07-14 23:43:31	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	740	10¢	$74	0x97c139…
07-14 23:39:52	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20,000	10¢	$2,000	0x92cb6f…
07-14 22:06:26	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7,700	10¢	$770	0xb45292…
06-28 16:28:17	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1,550	14¢	$217	0x701416…
06-28 16:14:53	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	10,714	14¢	$1,500	0xfe5a1f…
06-27 15:40:35	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	11,141	14¢	$1,606	0x784aff…
06-27 14:52:59	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	Yes	BUY	12,433	1¢	$100	0xc91f9a…
06-26 03:55:31	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2,569	1¢	$14	0x7c076d…
06-26 03:52:29	NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,408	0¢	$7	0x6ba549…
06-26 03:51:53	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	SELL	769	1¢	$7	0xf4a5bf…
06-25 15:10:58	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	7,522	13¢	$1,000	0xdccabf…
06-25 15:10:22	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7,126	10¢	$712	0x5d8da5…
06-25 03:59:13	russia coup attempt in 2026	Yes	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0xce1731…
06-24 23:22:58	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,333	9¢	$300	0x80d9fa…
06-24 18:04:13	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	10,000	12¢	$1,200	0x7d4c0c…
06-23 20:37:38	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	10,880	13¢	$1,370	0xa0a3fe…
06-18 04:09:05	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	4,312	8¢	$345	0xa8579a…
06-15 16:05:33	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,488	1¢	$15	0x35d9d9…
06-15 16:04:33	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	3,378	0¢	$14	0x4d47bf…
06-08 18:06:18	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	1,067	15¢	$160	0x8a4980…
06-08 18:05:37	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1,000	16¢	$161	0x36418b…
06-07 17:41:07	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	2,021	21¢	$433	0x52f7a9…
06-07 17:36:15	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	228	22¢	$50	0x25f8fd…
06-07 03:29:21	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,053	2¢	$20	0x5befd6…
06-07 03:11:54	russia coup attempt in 2026	Yes	BUY	1,111	9¢	$100	0x42152c…
06-04 16:04:51	russia coup attempt in 2026	Yes	BUY	1,000	10¢	$100	0x7afc45…
06-03 03:58:20	Israel closes its airspace by June 15?	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xe4d22d…
06-02 23:32:18	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,000	17¢	$170	0x591789…
05-31 23:37:24	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1,003	0¢	$4	0x9a057d…
05-29 01:52:54	NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	512	10¢	$50	0x43fbff…
05-29 01:49:11	Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,678	2¢	$50	0x39ea8c…
05-29 01:48:31	NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,047	10¢	$100	0x5d2cab…
05-27 17:35:23	NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,307	4¢	$50	0x24cc94…
05-25 20:08:31	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10,367	2¢	$184	0x2f9697…
05-25 19:35:55	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1,023	18¢	$184	0xbe26ea…
05-15 18:37:23	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,023	26¢	$266	0xed089a…
05-15 18:29:20	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,003	30¢	$300	0xedde93…
05-01 16:39:40	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	BUY	267	9¢	$24	0x00e4af…
04-30 04:02:10	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	SELL	1,752	0¢	$6	0xb69dda…
04-30 04:01:38	Masoud Pezeshkian out by April 30?	Yes	SELL	471	1¢	$4	0xd95da0…
04-30 03:55:48	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	Yes	BUY	515	4¢	$20	0x38b81c…
04-30 03:55:14	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1,136	3¢	$34	0xa03349…
04-24 04:36:34	Masoud Pezeshkian out by April 30?	Yes	BUY	471	6¢	$30	0x278202…