Glass-Project — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$16.6K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

42.5%

Resolved

Trades

2,390

lifetime

Volume

$1.38M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$578

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-12

last 07-31 04:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

46% 50% $-16,637

Other

44% — —

Crypto

10% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 92 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	149	$175.0K	80,615	99,235	-18,620	open	—	04-25 13:03
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	150	$145.8K	92,524	98,236	-5,712	Yes	$-24,676	05-08 18:49
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	214	$131.1K	74,521	60,678	+13,843	open	—	03-31 17:22
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	456	$124.3K	54,845	73,198	-18,353	open	—	03-28 06:52
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	84	$107.9K	56,938	80,438	-23,500	Yes	+$8,039	05-08 18:38
will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	49	$94.7K	98,466	0	+98,466	open	—	07-23 15:03
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	84	$78.2K	41,283	38,386	+2,898	open	—	06-28 15:24
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	47	$51.3K	30,720	21,579	+9,142	open	—	04-29 18:03
russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	54	$45.6K	24,394	22,141	+2,253	open	—	02-18 06:39
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	57	$36.0K	37,137	0	+37,137	open	—	03-30 10:06
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	11	$33.5K	30,177	4,177	+26,000	open	—	05-10 18:25
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?	118	$32.7K	16,569	17,784	-1,215	open	—	05-01 06:09
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	12	$25.9K	26,538	0	+26,538	open	—	01-29 22:08
Zama FDV above $2B one day after launch?	15	$24.4K	24,546	0	+24,546	open	—	02-02 11:07
Zama FDV above $4B one day after launch?	1	$21.3K	21,562	0	+21,562	open	—	01-29 22:15
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	10	$16.2K	16,341	0	+16,341	open	—	06-02 19:36
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	6	$15.3K	15,410	0	+15,410	open	—	06-28 14:54
Opinion FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	43	$12.1K	12,349	0	+12,349	open	—	03-03 20:31
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	48	$10.9K	6,429	6,129	+300	open	—	04-16 08:45
will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by july 31 2026	31	$10.7K	5,500	5,500	+0	open	—	07-14 21:15
will bitcoin dip to 40k in february 2026 785 212 222	12	$10.5K	5,500	5,232	+268	open	—	02-15 21:31
zelenskyy out as ukraine president by march 31 2026	40	$10.5K	5,351	5,351	+0	open	—	03-23 06:37
will bitcoin dip to 45k in february 2026 429 933 793	11	$9.8K	5,000	5,000	+0	open	—	02-16 11:39
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	34	$9.4K	5,000	4,850	+150	open	—	02-16 08:08
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	122	$9.1K	0	9,870	-9,870	open	—	06-20 12:25
ukraine election called by march 31 2026	40	$9.0K	4,647	4,647	+0	open	—	03-18 05:19
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	21	$9.0K	5,000	5,000	+0	open	—	07-19 05:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	24	$8.3K	4,070	5,070	-1,000	open	—	04-30 08:17
megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182	19	$8.2K	3,415	5,000	-1,585	open	—	02-09 23:21
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	1	$8.1K	8,165	0	+8,165	open	—	03-30 18:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-31 04:49:50	putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	No	BUY	1,000	97¢	$966	0x93e1e3…
07-26 09:56:28	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,711	93¢	$1,598	0xa5260e…
07-26 09:00:37	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	105	93¢	$98	0x5ee4b8…
07-26 04:50:00	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,184	93¢	$1,106	0x590d6a…
07-23 15:03:25	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	360	96¢	$346	0xfa0ffe…
07-23 15:02:55	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	2,050	96¢	$1,966	0x4d8500…
07-23 13:42:48	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	947	96¢	$908	0xa56087…
07-23 09:51:37	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	171	96¢	$164	0x62c13c…
07-22 19:35:34	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x3bff66…
07-22 18:38:22	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	341	96¢	$327	0x964583…
07-20 16:47:28	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	SELL	41	70¢	$29	0xe9341d…
07-19 11:15:01	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	SELL	884	81¢	$716	0xba00df…
07-19 05:56:40	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	SELL	20	91¢	$18	0xc69e82…
07-19 00:46:28	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	SELL	90	91¢	$82	0xd94a66…
07-18 21:38:15	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	204	95¢	$194	0x37d55e…
07-18 21:35:13	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	2,094	95¢	$1,991	0xd95503…
07-18 20:14:24	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x8d785e…
07-18 20:03:00	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	SELL	122	91¢	$111	0xf0504c…
07-18 19:50:55	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	SELL	57	91¢	$52	0x522a8d…
07-18 18:06:54	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	SELL	54	91¢	$49	0xdfca16…
07-18 16:09:51	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	SELL	275	91¢	$250	0x2a06b3…
07-18 14:44:31	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	SELL	440	91¢	$400	0xcce73d…
07-18 14:44:31	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	SELL	220	91¢	$200	0xb2217f…
07-18 09:57:01	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	SELL	3	91¢	$3	0xd2f0de…
07-18 09:38:43	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x524a50…
07-18 09:33:12	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	SELL	0	91¢	$0	0x778d7d…
07-18 09:22:03	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	984	96¢	$940	0xa4fa7b…
07-18 09:21:46	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x6d9b3d…
07-18 09:15:55	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	SELL	19	91¢	$17	0x970fd9…
07-18 09:15:34	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	SELL	19	91¢	$17	0xfb290a…
07-18 09:14:28	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x381aad…
07-18 09:12:31	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	SELL	110	91¢	$100	0xac7352…
07-18 08:42:33	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	SELL	14	91¢	$13	0x7fc2f3…
07-18 08:06:27	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	SELL	824	91¢	$750	0x097932…
07-18 08:03:00	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	SELL	2,727	91¢	$2,482	0x0f2163…
07-18 05:42:54	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	16	96¢	$16	0x3b0806…
07-16 18:29:53	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	BUY	5,000	89¢	$4,450	0x00509d…
07-16 09:45:10	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	1,000	96¢	$958	0x115583…
07-16 09:13:43	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,000	94¢	$2,805	0x8a760f…
07-16 08:23:55	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	49	96¢	$47	0xbe1cf5…
07-16 08:14:19	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	24	96¢	$23	0xbb116e…
07-16 04:59:20	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	2,000	96¢	$1,920	0xf25124…
07-16 04:56:53	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	2,000	96¢	$1,924	0xc9c3ff…
07-14 21:15:28	will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1,066	97¢	$1,034	0x642e0f…
07-14 19:28:22	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	SELL	37	89¢	$33	0x97b60d…
07-14 18:49:28	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	SELL	37	89¢	$33	0xc74d3c…
07-14 17:00:58	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	BUY	787	88¢	$693	0x7ab9d9…
07-14 05:14:08	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	964	96¢	$923	0xaa1639…
07-14 05:09:20	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	238	96¢	$228	0x73a765…
07-14 04:49:31	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	1,099	96¢	$1,053	0x18da49…
07-14 04:49:22	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	487	96¢	$467	0x1fb145…
07-14 02:55:38	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	2,274	96¢	$2,180	0x73413d…
07-14 02:08:49	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x17bcd9…
07-14 00:05:19	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	102	96¢	$98	0x237b03…
07-13 23:29:55	will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by july 31 2026	No	SELL	147	97¢	$143	0x9cd796…
07-13 22:09:28	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	683	96¢	$655	0x647d0d…
07-13 21:54:49	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	BUY	204	88¢	$179	0x2ca9e0…
07-13 21:01:25	will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by july 31 2026	No	SELL	10	97¢	$9	0xec5739…
07-13 20:26:47	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	6,453	96¢	$6,188	0x813ca2…
07-13 20:26:26	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	2,194	96¢	$2,106	0xe405ff…
07-13 19:39:08	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x7abe30…
07-13 19:31:25	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0xc8bef8…
07-13 19:31:08	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	24	96¢	$23	0x8d22fe…
07-13 19:29:41	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	8,879	96¢	$8,542	0x7a32d0…
07-13 19:28:31	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0x8da24b…
07-13 19:28:16	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	1,000	96¢	$962	0xa7aa87…
07-13 19:25:31	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	81	96¢	$78	0x36c985…
07-13 19:23:11	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	5,000	96¢	$4,815	0xd5ffcb…
07-13 18:20:34	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0x69b9fa…
07-13 16:46:37	will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by july 31 2026	No	SELL	27	97¢	$26	0xa2e44b…
07-13 16:01:23	will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by july 31 2026	No	SELL	188	97¢	$183	0x8d4de6…
07-13 14:49:41	will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by july 31 2026	No	SELL	73	97¢	$71	0x56d9ff…
07-13 14:12:34	will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by july 31 2026	No	SELL	65	97¢	$63	0x7fd892…
07-13 12:12:02	will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by july 31 2026	No	SELL	312	97¢	$303	0x14ff47…
07-13 11:46:19	will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1,114	97¢	$1,082	0x50421f…
07-13 08:03:38	will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by july 31 2026	No	SELL	320	97¢	$311	0x83b8ba…
07-13 08:03:32	will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by july 31 2026	No	SELL	539	97¢	$525	0xea8f98…
07-12 19:24:40	will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1,219	98¢	$1,194	0x2cc36f…
07-12 07:43:28	will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by july 31 2026	No	SELL	120	97¢	$116	0xaf571e…
07-12 04:45:43	will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by july 31 2026	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xb914f2…
07-12 04:45:43	will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by july 31 2026	No	BUY	106	96¢	$103	0xb153cf…
07-12 04:45:43	will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by july 31 2026	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x915b9d…
07-12 04:45:43	will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by july 31 2026	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x734889…
07-12 04:45:43	will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by july 31 2026	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x4bfa32…
07-12 04:45:41	will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xde88dc…
07-12 04:45:41	will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by july 31 2026	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0xb2770b…
07-12 04:45:41	will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by july 31 2026	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x8f7014…
07-12 04:45:41	will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by july 31 2026	No	BUY	298	96¢	$287	0x3f34b6…
07-12 04:45:41	will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by july 31 2026	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x235106…
07-12 04:45:41	will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by july 31 2026	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x06782c…
07-11 20:21:10	will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by july 31 2026	No	BUY	13	97¢	$13	0x0b839b…
07-11 18:42:17	will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by july 31 2026	No	BUY	2,000	98¢	$1,954	0x494b19…
07-09 14:10:34	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	114	96¢	$110	0x5e4c14…
07-09 14:09:53	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	9,899	96¢	$9,533	0x8f081a…
07-08 21:00:59	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	101	96¢	$97	0x108acb…
07-08 20:58:41	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	10,000	96¢	$9,650	0x8ead8b…
07-08 19:40:23	will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by july 31 2026	No	BUY	99	96¢	$95	0x55e4d5…
07-08 15:51:22	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	10,000	97¢	$9,680	0xebaad6…
07-07 08:06:46	ukraine election called by august 31 2026	No	BUY	84	88¢	$74	0xa6bdd6…
07-05 16:26:23	ukraine election called by august 31 2026	No	BUY	184	88¢	$162	0x1e406d…