Glass-Project — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$452

Unrealized P&L

+$1.70K

Hit rate

87.1%

Resolved

Trades

2,842

lifetime

Volume

$1.77M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$623

Open exposure

$81.5K

10 positions

First seen

2026-01-12

last 10-21 21:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 26 days

Categories

Other

49% 81% +$15,065

Politics

42% 81% -$15,895

Crypto

8% 88% +$1,281

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 51 trades/day

Open positions (10) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+44,000	$40,000	94¢	$41.1K	+$1,140	10-20 13:25
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	+10,679	$9,674	94¢	$10.1K	+$418	10-21 21:04
Iran leadership change by November 30?	No	+9,050	$8,476	92¢	$8.3K	-$195	09-30 08:34
Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	+5,500	$4,740	86¢	$4.7K	-$38	09-30 14:49
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	+4,342	$3,978	92¢	$4.0K	+$39	10-16 00:31
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	+4,000	$3,600	94¢	$3.7K	+$140	10-15 11:41
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?	No	+3,943	$3,519	92¢	$3.6K	+$108	09-28 15:12
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	+3,790	$3,168	85¢	$3.2K	+$69	09-29 15:23
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	+3,300	$2,772	82¢	$2.7K	-$82	10-08 14:58
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	+0	-$100	97¢	$0	+$100	07-19 05:56

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?	108	$194.7K	99,466	99,466	+0	No	+$3,288	09-28 19:45
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	149	$175.0K	80,615	99,235	-18,620	No	+$3,286	04-25 13:03
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	150	$145.8K	92,524	98,236	-5,712	Yes	-$24,676	05-08 18:49
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	214	$131.1K	74,521	60,678	+13,843	No	+$3,845	03-31 17:22
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	170	$126.7K	72,250	61,571	+10,679	open	—	10-21 21:04
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	456	$124.3K	54,845	73,198	-18,353	No	+$794	03-28 06:52
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	84	$107.9K	56,938	80,438	-23,500	Yes	+$8,039	05-08 18:38
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	103	$100.4K	64,803	38,436	+26,368	No	+$1,818	06-28 15:24
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	47	$51.3K	30,720	21,579	+9,142	No	+$756	04-29 18:03
russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	54	$45.6K	24,394	22,141	+2,253	No	+$479	02-18 06:39
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	61	$40.0K	44,000	0	+44,000	open	—	10-20 13:25
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	57	$36.0K	37,137	0	+37,137	No	+$1,126	03-30 10:06
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	11	$33.5K	30,177	4,177	+26,000	No	+$656	05-10 18:25
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?	118	$32.7K	16,569	17,784	-1,215	No	+$1,412	05-01 06:09
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	12	$25.9K	26,538	0	+26,538	No	+$630	01-29 22:08
Zama FDV above $2B one day after launch?	15	$24.4K	24,546	0	+24,546	No	+$152	02-02 11:07
Zama FDV above $4B one day after launch?	1	$21.3K	21,562	0	+21,562	No	+$264	01-29 22:15
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	17	$18.6K	12,600	9,300	+3,300	open	—	10-08 14:58
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	132	$18.0K	10,000	10,000	+0	open	—	06-20 12:25
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	11	$16.9K	17,041	0	+17,041	No	+$127	06-02 19:36
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	6	$15.3K	15,410	0	+15,410	No	+$90	06-28 14:54
Opinion FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	43	$12.1K	12,349	0	+12,349	No	+$287	03-03 20:31
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	48	$10.9K	6,429	6,129	+300	No	-$393	04-16 08:45
will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by july 31 2026	31	$10.7K	5,500	5,500	+0	No	+$13	07-14 21:15
will bitcoin dip to 40k in february 2026 785 212 222	12	$10.5K	5,500	5,232	+268	No	+$84	02-15 21:31
zelenskyy out as ukraine president by march 31 2026	40	$10.5K	5,351	5,351	+0	No	+$44	03-23 06:37
will bitcoin dip to 45k in february 2026 429 933 793	11	$9.8K	5,000	5,000	+0	No	+$100	02-16 11:39
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	34	$9.4K	5,000	4,850	+150	No	-$113	02-16 08:08
Iran leadership change by October 31?	3	$9.2K	4,711	4,711	+0	open	—	10-08 16:18
ukraine election called by march 31 2026	40	$9.0K	4,647	4,647	+0	No	+$198	03-18 05:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-21 21:04:48	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	859	95¢	$816	0x4714e3…
10-21 20:26:02	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	141	95¢	$134	0x3b8553…
10-21 19:59:23	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x919f9a…
10-21 19:36:56	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	36	95¢	$34	0x093688…
10-21 17:33:18	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x46f66d…
10-21 17:33:14	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xe6d030…
10-21 17:33:09	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x082689…
10-21 17:33:02	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0x5efbf6…
10-21 17:32:42	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0xc63031…
10-21 17:31:23	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0x07c631…
10-21 17:30:02	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xb90efb…
10-21 16:54:21	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x98a095…
10-21 16:54:06	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0x014dab…
10-21 16:39:27	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xb63157…
10-21 16:10:41	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0x6adece…
10-21 16:09:35	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0xb951d8…
10-21 16:09:15	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	500	95¢	$475	0x188d1d…
10-21 16:08:38	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	153	95¢	$145	0x28a5a1…
10-21 16:04:09	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0xf6dea8…
10-21 16:03:45	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0xb2e39d…
10-21 14:11:18	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	500	95¢	$475	0x4b9eac…
10-21 12:57:59	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x82cc4d…
10-21 12:55:35	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xcdd434…
10-21 12:55:33	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	46	95¢	$44	0x704684…
10-20 20:24:47	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	3,000	85¢	$2,550	0x5aa84c…
10-20 13:25:17	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	2,000	91¢	$1,820	0xb97f70…
10-20 13:22:24	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xd83be7…
10-20 11:06:41	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	369	91¢	$336	0x68ddcb…
10-20 10:30:36	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x93fd2f…
10-20 10:24:17	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xa15181…
10-20 10:04:42	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x57c698…
10-20 10:01:02	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x5ae022…
10-20 10:00:42	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x9e5fea…
10-20 10:00:26	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xcad118…
10-20 09:56:47	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xa223c4…
10-20 09:52:05	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x24e2a4…
10-20 09:49:53	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xe7a365…
10-20 09:40:02	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x963dd8…
10-20 09:31:11	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x781cd4…
10-20 09:25:17	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	44	91¢	$40	0xf28f19…
10-20 09:22:50	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x1119e7…
10-20 09:17:18	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	107	91¢	$97	0x134bd7…
10-20 09:16:30	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	56	91¢	$51	0x5060a1…
10-20 08:56:43	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	107	91¢	$97	0x52bfce…
10-20 08:55:59	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	56	91¢	$51	0xda76b4…
10-20 08:47:37	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	65	91¢	$59	0x0c2959…
10-20 08:36:05	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	107	91¢	$97	0x56578c…
10-20 08:24:02	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x6ff6d1…
10-20 07:23:22	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0xb5bfe8…
10-20 07:23:20	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0x457619…
10-20 07:23:20	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0x33d53b…
10-20 07:23:17	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xe6731f…
10-20 07:13:47	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x23b5ca…
10-20 07:13:08	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0x61e32e…
10-20 07:13:02	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xfcf6e0…
10-20 06:51:28	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0x077fee…
10-20 06:16:22	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	107	91¢	$97	0xc3280d…
10-20 06:14:49	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	169	91¢	$154	0x2f6af5…
10-20 06:14:23	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	111	91¢	$101	0x71549e…
10-20 06:12:43	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x2c3da1…
10-20 06:10:01	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	107	91¢	$97	0xf96113…
10-20 06:06:31	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0x6afa90…
10-20 05:58:39	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	100	85¢	$85	0x321516…
10-20 05:45:30	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0xaecc78…
10-20 05:41:23	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0x050998…
10-20 05:39:14	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	235	91¢	$214	0xcda3f6…
10-20 05:38:42	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	94	91¢	$86	0xeefb56…
10-20 05:33:38	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	235	91¢	$214	0x0d7b1d…
10-20 04:56:54	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	107	91¢	$97	0x2d7dd1…
10-20 04:54:11	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	261	91¢	$238	0x876409…
10-20 04:53:44	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0xb12d95…
10-20 04:41:26	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	107	91¢	$97	0xa51b30…
10-20 04:17:03	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	102	91¢	$93	0xd4aaf5…
10-20 03:52:42	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	60	85¢	$51	0xb6f2b9…
10-20 00:57:32	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	248	95¢	$235	0x5b1efe…
10-19 21:07:45	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0x7030bd…
10-19 21:07:34	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	400	95¢	$380	0xa98346…
10-19 21:06:07	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0x0520ea…
10-19 21:00:57	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	600	95¢	$570	0x9ebd3e…
10-19 20:59:02	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	1,352	95¢	$1,285	0xed516d…
10-19 20:25:33	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	500	85¢	$425	0x0d2b0f…
10-19 17:37:42	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0x8a2615…
10-19 17:37:42	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	24	85¢	$20	0x5bf915…
10-18 08:52:26	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	10,000	95¢	$9,500	0x6e4df8…
10-18 03:09:14	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	100	95¢	$95	0x81b5b9…
10-17 16:51:44	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	11	95¢	$10	0x9a740b…
10-17 13:50:33	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	90	95¢	$86	0xe24f22…
10-17 13:37:44	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	11	95¢	$10	0x0d94c5…
10-17 11:48:48	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x930855…
10-17 10:24:17	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	57	95¢	$54	0xf9b83d…
10-17 06:07:07	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x319a9c…
10-17 02:56:18	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	13	95¢	$12	0xc46579…
10-16 20:51:24	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	27	95¢	$26	0xc8c4f6…
10-16 20:43:21	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x4bf333…
10-16 20:42:42	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xc5ae85…
10-16 20:34:17	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x518269…
10-16 20:34:17	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x02dcaa…
10-16 20:33:54	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x5e0e39…
10-16 20:33:50	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x0394e3…
10-16 20:33:48	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x6da645…