Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$12

Unrealized P&L

-$8

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

2,704

lifetime

Volume

$210.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$78

Open exposure

$363

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-09 10:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

58% 100% +$12

Politics

35% — —

Sports

7% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No		-376	$-355	97¢	$-363	$-8	06-01 17:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	45	$6.6K	4,210	2,534	+1,676	open	—	03-04 16:48
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	73	$6.4K	3,648	3,087	+561	open	—	02-28 07:11
maduro out by january 31 2026 318	40	$6.3K	4,740	2,083	+2,657	open	—	01-03 11:05
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	17	$5.7K	3,195	2,632	+563	open	—	02-27 00:49
us strikes iran by february 25 2026	4	$4.6K	2,350	2,350	+0	open	—	02-25 11:05
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 7 249 562	19	$3.8K	1,973	1,973	+0	open	—	03-07 22:40
highest temperature in london on april 2 2026 14c	103	$3.7K	2,708	1,016	+1,692	open	—	04-02 18:21
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	10	$3.7K	2,350	1,359	+991	open	—	02-25 00:59
another us strike on venezuela on january 5	7	$3.6K	1,813	1,799	+14	open	—	01-06 19:57
us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	52	$3.4K	1,993	1,484	+509	open	—	02-09 23:05
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?	94	$3.0K	2,426	600	+1,826	open	—	02-23 09:39
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	6	$2.9K	1,852	1,093	+759	open	—	02-28 07:39
cl up or down on march 2 2026	20	$2.9K	1,961	923	+1,038	open	—	03-02 15:38
will trump say friend of mine during wef address on january 21	36	$2.9K	1,456	1,456	+0	open	—	01-21 16:20
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	19	$2.8K	1,433	1,433	+0	open	—	04-01 05:47
will the ecb announce no change at the february 2026 meeting	34	$2.6K	1,376	1,326	+50	open	—	02-03 09:59
us forces in venezuela by january 31 2026	1	$2.6K	2,566	0	+2,566	open	—	01-03 12:25
will tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	38	$2.3K	1,294	1,394	-100	open	—	04-12 22:19
uk cabinet minister resigns by february 28 2026	19	$2.2K	1,097	1,097	+0	open	—	03-01 11:28
highest temperature in nyc on january 10 44 45f	3	$2.0K	1,090	912	+178	open	—	01-10 02:04
will donald trump say maduro at least ten times during his mar a lago press conference on venezuela on saturday 826	21	$2.0K	1,028	974	+54	open	—	01-03 17:19
ere vol gro 2026 03 01 gro	1	$1.9K	1,904	0	+1,904	open	—	03-01 15:33
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	2	$1.9K	950	950	+0	open	—	05-31 07:41
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	20	$1.8K	1,368	518	+850	open	—	02-26 18:12
us strikes iran by february 10 2026	13	$1.8K	1,121	677	+445	open	—	02-10 20:58
will the ecb announce no change at the march 2026 meeting	21	$1.8K	1,326	528	+798	open	—	03-09 15:36
us x iran ceasefire by march 2	4	$1.8K	1,774	0	+1,774	open	—	03-02 20:46
highest temperature in paris on april 6 2026 21c	5	$1.8K	1,762	440	+1,322	open	—	04-06 18:26
highest temperature in buenos aires on april 6 2026 15c	1	$1.7K	1,750	0	+1,750	open	—	04-06 13:04
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	9	$1.7K	1,704	0	+1,704	open	—	01-31 19:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 10:47:34	Lecornu out as French PM by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x6ad314…
06-08 19:21:12	Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0xd26ea4…
06-08 11:57:12	starmer out by june 15 2026	No	SELL	60	99¢	$60	0x270aff…
06-01 20:02:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	14	9¢	$1	0x582a72…
06-01 20:00:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x25c750…
06-01 17:34:00	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	215	95¢	$203	0x7f1dd7…
06-01 15:13:36	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	96	43¢	$42	0x06c0e6…
06-01 15:12:54	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	43¢	$15	0x18992c…
06-01 15:04:28	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	57¢	$115	0x2bf68b…
06-01 14:20:57	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	66¢	$66	0x3ead08…
06-01 14:20:24	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	92	65¢	$59	0xfa3698…
06-01 14:20:24	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xae7a3b…
06-01 14:20:24	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x2e7eb2…
06-01 14:20:22	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x315f63…
06-01 14:19:52	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	66¢	$7	0xd01fad…
06-01 14:19:28	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	179	66¢	$117	0x216d1e…
06-01 14:18:02	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	96	64¢	$62	0x9599d0…
06-01 14:18:00	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	101	64¢	$65	0x76cac0…
06-01 14:18:00	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$2	0x20884a…
06-01 12:58:19	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0x90559c…
06-01 12:58:19	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	35	62¢	$22	0x55cfcc…
06-01 12:58:18	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	160	62¢	$100	0x5c2916…
06-01 12:57:58	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	151	58¢	$88	0x2e6ae2…
06-01 12:57:57	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	49	58¢	$29	0x345fff…
06-01 12:56:38	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	72¢	$72	0x188cce…
06-01 12:56:17	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	66	70¢	$47	0x02e234…
06-01 12:56:15	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0xf9d0e6…
06-01 12:56:15	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	70¢	$24	0x5740be…
06-01 12:28:19	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	77¢	$231	0xb3e3a4…
06-01 12:22:37	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	105	82¢	$86	0xbd2b4f…
06-01 12:21:38	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	331	82¢	$270	0xa0de1a…
06-01 12:21:34	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	82¢	$55	0xb34397…
06-01 12:21:29	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x9c3f36…
06-01 12:17:45	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x4da982…
05-31 12:16:55	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	161	94¢	$152	0xed1cf3…
05-31 07:41:44	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	950	100¢	$949	0x6b5ce2…
05-26 14:54:49	Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Clement Tabur	Jannik Sinner	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x168533…
05-26 14:06:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	33	96¢	$32	0x22c5e2…
05-25 08:17:51	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?	No	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0xc44a4d…
05-24 16:23:53	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	No	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0x627ab0…
05-24 15:34:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0xe04a79…
05-24 12:26:53	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	950	99¢	$940	0x16900c…
05-15 09:11:47	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	300	99¢	$297	0x1ca812…
05-15 07:44:13	Will Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x1df399…
05-15 07:43:56	Will Trump say "Cookie" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x3ba508…
05-15 07:43:35	Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0xe63d5a…
05-15 07:43:24	Will Trump say "IQ" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xd420cd…
05-15 07:42:07	Will Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x24a727…
05-15 07:39:33	Will Trump say "Hottest" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x847588…
05-15 07:35:34	Will Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x585c41…
05-15 07:33:36	Will Trump say "Hottest" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xc17e9b…
05-15 07:20:32	Will Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0x5386d4…
05-15 06:35:15	Will Trump say "Hottest" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x334cfc…
05-15 06:34:54	Will Trump say "Cookie" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x8799c8…
05-15 06:12:35	Will Trump say "IQ" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x644741…
05-15 05:55:42	Will Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	55	96¢	$53	0x5651b8…
05-15 05:53:36	Will Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x1293c7…
05-14 16:10:22	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0xd5c096…
05-14 16:09:35	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	17	86¢	$14	0x327ab9…
05-14 15:39:23	Will Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	80	86¢	$69	0x1713c0…
05-14 15:21:24	Will Trump say "IQ" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0x229462…
05-14 14:08:30	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	6	75¢	$5	0xc46a33…
05-14 14:08:08	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0xbd7cc0…
05-14 13:23:42	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	30	71¢	$21	0xae1b5f…
05-14 12:24:04	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0xad0137…
05-14 12:23:36	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	47	95¢	$44	0xe7b761…
05-14 12:21:02	Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	19	90¢	$17	0x4914ef…
05-14 12:14:05	Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	17	90¢	$15	0xc94a9b…
05-14 12:12:22	Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	73	79¢	$57	0xf65855…
05-14 12:11:52	Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	114	70¢	$80	0xe35835…
05-14 12:08:47	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	200	94¢	$189	0xf67228…
05-13 19:06:29	Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	11	94¢	$10	0x1a7ae4…
05-13 17:07:41	Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	14	92¢	$13	0xeb82df…
05-13 15:45:18	Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	19	91¢	$17	0xdea4f8…
05-13 15:41:48	Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0xefe485…
05-13 15:38:14	Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x20e6ec…
05-13 15:26:55	Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	15	90¢	$14	0xc6adf8…
05-12 21:21:59	Will San Marino advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0xdcd853…
05-12 21:19:21	Will Georgia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0xa753c6…
05-12 21:18:57	Will Georgia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	80	97¢	$78	0xbe071e…
05-12 20:54:30	Will Sweden advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x7dd82e…
05-12 20:48:30	Will Greece advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x1ee5cb…
05-12 20:40:04	Will Sweden advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	24	97¢	$24	0x6c887c…
04-29 19:43:56	Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during April press conference?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xec6040…
04-29 19:41:26	Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during April press conference?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x33477f…
04-29 19:39:00	Will Powell say "Shut down" or "Shutdown" during April press conference?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x56e9ed…
04-29 19:33:10	Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during April press conference?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x7aeb84…
04-29 19:32:48	Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during April press conference?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfc5cf6…
04-29 19:32:06	Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during April press conference?	No	BUY	84	100¢	$84	0xbdd0da…
04-29 19:29:34	Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during April press conference?	No	SELL	197	100¢	$197	0xa46f16…
04-29 19:25:48	Will Powell say "Simulation" during April press conference?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xc46f2e…
04-29 19:25:40	Will Powell say "Simulation" during April press conference?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xed3403…
04-29 19:25:36	Will Powell say "Shut down" or "Shutdown" during April press conference?	No	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x96248c…
04-29 19:24:02	Will Powell say "Simulation" during April press conference?	No	BUY	47	92¢	$43	0xe5ed5a…
04-29 19:23:46	Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during April press conference?	No	BUY	95	95¢	$90	0x53a242…
04-29 19:23:14	Will Powell say "Successor" during April press conference?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xd1be28…
04-29 19:22:40	Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during April press conference?	No	BUY	19	79¢	$15	0x13efb5…
04-29 19:21:08	Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during April press conference?	No	SELL	69	90¢	$62	0x9de34e…
04-29 19:20:32	Will Powell say "Shut down" or "Shutdown" during April press conference?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe79cfa…
04-29 19:20:32	Will Powell say "Shut down" or "Shutdown" during April press conference?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x8def98…