Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$28
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
12,304
lifetime
Volume
$30.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$352
7 positions
First seen
2026-01-09
last 06-09 21:42
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Crypto
89%
Tech
9%
Sports
2%
Politics
0%
Other
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
5 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No +159 $104 88¢ $140 +$36 05-28 17:37
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026? Yes +112 $100 91¢ $102 +$2 06-09 21:37
Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Exam? No +84 $33 59¢ $50 +$17 05-28 17:35
Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Exam? No +25 $23 80¢ $20 $-3 06-08 20:02
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470? No +30 $20 50¢ $15 $-5 06-09 21:42
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450? No +77 $20 18¢ $14 $-6 06-09 21:40
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026? Yes +128 $24 $11 $-14 06-09 21:38