Knobby-Crayfish — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$118

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

87.4%

Resolved

1,551

Trades

1,895

lifetime

Volume

$16.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-15

last 10-27 06:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 191 days

Categories

Crypto

58% 75% +$46

Other

27% 63% -$36

Sports

13% 53% -$51

Politics

1% 0% -$86

Tech

0% 50% +$9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

75 active days in 12wk • peak 90 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Guangzhou Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Claire Liu	Antonia Ruzic	—	+2	$1	6¢	$0	-$1	10-27 05:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
atp fonseca zverev 2026 04 10	2	$98	80	79	+1	Alexander Zverev	$0	04-10 05:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 08:30 UTC	2	$94	87	82	+5	Down	+$73	04-05 08:35
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	2	$75	47	47	+1	Arizona Diamondbacks	+$19	04-19 03:41
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Houston Astros	2	$72	50	49	+1	St. Louis Cardinals	+$26	04-18 02:38
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Los Angeles Angels	2	$71	48	47	+1	Toronto Blue Jays	+$24	04-22 05:11
mlb bal cle 2026 04 16	2	$68	44	44	+1	Cleveland Guardians	+$20	04-17 01:17
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox	2	$64	44	44	+1	New York Yankees	+$19	04-22 01:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	2	$52	26	26	+0	Down	+$0	05-23 10:58
mlb nym lad 2026 04 13	2	$50	31	31	+0	Los Angeles Dodgers	+$12	04-14 05:34
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	2	$50	36	36	+0	Atlanta Braves	+$22	05-10 03:21
Exact Score: San Luis de Quillota 3 - 3 CD Antofagasta?	2	$48	24	24	+0	No	+$0	09-16 01:20
mlb nym lad 2026 04 15	2	$44	26	26	+0	Los Angeles Dodgers	+$9	04-16 05:25
Exact Score: Curaçao 3 - 3 Trinidad and Tobago?	2	$43	22	22	+0	No	+$0	10-02 00:11
Exact Score: Wales 3 - 3 Norway?	2	$43	22	22	+0	No	+$0	10-01 20:38
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Miami Marlins	2	$43	29	29	+0	Milwaukee Brewers	+$14	04-18 23:16
mlb bal cws 2026 04 07	2	$43	30	30	+1	Baltimore Orioles	+$17	04-07 22:47
Exact Score: Atletico Ottawa 3 - 3 Cavalry FC?	2	$43	21	21	+0	No	+$0	10-01 01:18
Exact Score: Boyaca Patriotas 2 - 3 Union Magdalena?	2	$42	21	21	+0	No	+$0	09-19 01:47
Exact Score: FC Porto 3 - 3 Sport Lisboa e Benfica?	2	$42	21	21	+0	No	+$0	09-20 21:44
Exact Score: Eastleigh FC 3 - 3 Southend United FC?	2	$42	21	21	+0	No	+$0	09-30 22:34
Exact Score: Independiente Medellín 3 - 3 Millonarios FC?	2	$42	21	21	+0	No	+$0	09-30 05:02
Exact Score: Montevideo Wanderers 3 - 3 Albion FC?	2	$41	21	21	+0	No	+$0	09-29 01:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 22:30 UTC	2	$41	28	27	+1	Up	+$13	04-12 22:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	2	$41	21	21	+0	Up	+$1	05-20 19:55
Exact Score: Armenia 3 - 3 Montenegro?	2	$41	21	21	+0	No	+$0	09-28 19:23
nba hou min 2026 03 25	2	$41	25	25	+0	Timberwolves	+$8	03-26 05:03
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?	3	$40	27	27	+0	No	+$10	06-27 12:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	2	$40	41	0	+41	Down	+$1	10-07 01:23
Exact Score: Club Necaxa 3 - 3 CF América?	2	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	09-28 05:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	2	$40	20	20	+0	Down	+$0	05-20 20:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 06:38:39	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	New Zealand	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xa217fa…
10-27 05:31:05	Guangzhou Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Claire Liu	Antonia Ruzic	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x1c8839…
10-27 04:04:05	Guangzhou Open: Sara Sorribes Tormo vs Zeynep Sonmez	Zeynep Sonmez	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xc81196…
10-27 00:40:09	Grizzlies vs. Jazz	Jazz	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x202442…
10-26 22:00:38	Cowboys vs. Eagles	Eagles	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x7d3d9b…
10-26 18:48:41	Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers	Timberwolves	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xdf6fe2…
10-26 17:59:59	Courmayeur: Rositsa Dencheva vs Gabriela Knutson	Gabriela Knutson	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x2bdd29…
10-26 17:32:21	Maccabi Ashdod vs. Hapoel Galil Elyon	Maccabi Ashdod	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xc5e11d…
10-26 08:29:23	Goyang vs. LG Sakers	LG Sakers	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x22a576…
10-26 06:47:47	Seoul: Lloyd Harris vs Juncheng Shang	Lloyd Harris	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xd7c113…
10-26 04:50:06	Guangzhou Open: Daria Snigur vs Anna Bondar	Daria Snigur	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xf6e906…
10-25 23:36:57	Grizzlies vs. Kings	Kings	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x19d73a…
10-25 22:36:18	Chiefs vs. Seahawks	Seahawks	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x12ba6a…
10-25 20:08:20	Rams vs. Raiders	Rams	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x42fb2b…
10-25 18:20:51	Broncos vs. Cardinals	Broncos	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xcaefc2…
10-25 08:00:57	Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Tereza Valentova vs Shuai Zhang	Tereza Valentova	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x562607…
10-25 07:05:26	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs England	England	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xe0d36c…
10-24 23:38:54	Wizards vs. Bulls	Wizards	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x3294cf…
10-24 22:28:20	Nets vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xa811ca…
10-24 20:20:08	Golden Knights vs. Blue Jackets	Blue Jackets	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x0a620b…
10-24 19:15:32	Heat vs. Hornets	Hornets	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xf56998…
10-24 09:15:33	Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Vit Kopriva vs Lukas Neumayer	Lukas Neumayer	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x42e65d…
10-24 08:01:59	Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Jacob Fearnley vs Pablo Carreno Busta	Jacob Fearnley	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x7f37ff…
10-24 07:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x7729b3…
10-24 07:42:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xb46224…
10-24 07:35:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x229d17…
10-24 06:31:35	Florence: Francesco Forti vs Oriol Roca Batalla	Francesco Forti	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xc23119…
10-24 03:57:00	Guangzhou 2: Tristan Schoolkate vs Jie Cui	Jie Cui	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x35f486…
10-24 03:50:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xee1371…
10-24 02:48:59	Guangzhou 2: Coleman Wong vs Yi Zhou	Yi Zhou	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x02bd48…
10-24 01:23:32	Pelicans vs. Jazz	Pelicans	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x0e736d…
10-23 23:32:44	Pistons vs. Heat	Pistons	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x52aa32…
10-23 21:53:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x30b8c8…
10-23 21:49:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xd9c95a…
10-23 20:54:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xa42126…
10-23 20:46:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x10f0f7…
10-23 20:44:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x050d23…
10-23 20:35:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x6e6e9c…
10-23 20:31:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xaf511a…
10-23 20:28:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x39f995…
10-23 19:02:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x007114…
10-23 18:58:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x95e3e8…
10-23 17:49:06	Bulls vs. Bucks	Bucks	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xbe87ae…
10-23 12:52:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x6c23b7…
10-23 12:48:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xd98823…
10-23 11:34:02	Lisbon: Alexander Ritschard vs Sumit Nagal	Sumit Nagal	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xe29725…
10-23 11:10:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x351f86…
10-23 11:06:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xe0680d…
10-23 10:34:30	Lyon Open: Corentin Moutet vs Tommy Paul	Corentin Moutet	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x71fed0…
10-23 10:05:02	European Open: Clement Chidekh vs Francisco Cerundolo	Clement Chidekh	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xfe15fe…
10-23 09:31:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x8a7771…
10-23 09:25:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-23 09:25 UTC	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xfc9248…
10-23 09:15:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-23 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x367785…
10-23 09:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x9b68f6…
10-23 08:19:59	Perth Wildcats vs. Melbourne United	Perth Wildcats	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x3f02f5…
10-23 08:05:54	Ningbo Open: Iva Jovic vs Diana Shnaider	Diana Shnaider	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x6dabce…
10-23 07:57:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xc0b107…
10-23 07:50:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xdb529a…
10-23 07:46:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xf862e0…
10-23 07:42:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x0a922d…
10-23 05:36:33	Ningbo Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Ekaterina Alexandrova	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xfcc981…
10-23 05:25:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x4f089d…
10-23 05:20:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x63b71b…
10-23 05:17:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x30001f…
10-23 05:10:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x38817f…
10-23 05:06:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x64e6ca…
10-23 04:57:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xeddb02…
10-23 04:53:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x5d56f1…
10-23 04:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xba988d…
10-23 04:38:08	Ningbo Open: Sara Bejlek vs Marie Bouzkova	Sara Bejlek	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x318f22…
10-23 01:26:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x867739…
10-23 00:43:57	Nuggets vs. Thunder	Nuggets	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x29fa77…
10-22 21:46:20	Patriots vs. Bears	Patriots	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x9fd3de…
10-22 19:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x5b626e…
10-22 18:56:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xe428fa…
10-22 18:50:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x964694…
10-22 18:45:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xb2d6f3…
10-22 18:23:00	Cavaliers vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x152231…
10-22 07:56:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x791fa0…
10-22 07:50:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x2fd6fe…
10-22 07:37:24	Florence: Filip Misolic vs Izan Almazan Valiente	Izan Almazan Valiente	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x4637c9…
10-22 07:11:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x91b976…
10-22 07:06:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x7807b4…
10-22 07:03:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xc74502…
10-22 06:45:32	Florence: Federico Bondioli vs Francesco Forti	Francesco Forti	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xe122e0…
10-22 05:37:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xec020c…
10-22 05:25:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xdf8d88…
10-22 05:18:05	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	India	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x4f7027…
10-22 04:57:27	Almaty Open: Terence Atmane vs Mattia Bellucci	Mattia Bellucci	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xb2d5fc…
10-22 04:18:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x32828d…
10-22 04:11:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x4b51c7…
10-22 03:58:23	ICC Cricket World Cup Challenge League A: Qatar vs Kuwait	Qatar	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x3c0452…
10-22 03:51:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xf943dd…
10-22 03:42:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x4a8c48…
10-22 03:11:56	Guangzhou 2: Keegan Smith vs Fajing Sun	Keegan Smith	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xb4ca5d…
10-22 02:37:57	Guangzhou 2: Liam Broady vs Akira Santillan	Akira Santillan	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x15cb96…
10-22 00:05:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x8d312e…
10-21 23:55:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x5a3db7…
10-21 23:51:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xfb48ec…
10-21 23:48:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xa0a00c…