Useless-Defense — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

46.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$353

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-17

last 06-30 16:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Tech

43% — —

Sports

33% 25% $-20

Other

21% 100% +$2

Politics

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?	1	$121	0	128	-128	open	—	06-27 04:36
Map Handicap: VIT (-2.5) vs Natus Vincere (+2.5)	2	$41	31	31	+0	open	—	05-03 22:23
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5	1	$25	37	0	+37	Under	+$12	05-05 01:56
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5	1	$22	42	0	+42	Under	$-22	05-05 13:47
will the next claude sonnet model be released by july 3 2026	1	$20	74	0	+74	open	—	06-27 07:56
nba hou lal 2026 04 21	2	$20	15	15	+0	open	—	04-22 05:20
cs2 fal2 ts7 2026 04 18	2	$14	10	10	+0	open	—	04-18 16:47
Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 25.5	1	$13	25	0	+25	open	—	05-03 22:41
will the next claude sonnet model be released by july 10 2026	1	$12	314	0	+314	open	—	06-30 16:10
nba phx okc 2026 04 22 spread home 19pt5	3	$10	25	0	+25	open	—	04-22 06:43
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	1	$10	97	0	+97	open	—	05-10 01:37
Thunder vs. Lakers	1	$6	32	0	+32	Thunder	$-6	05-11 23:45
nba gsw phx 2026 04 17 points stephen curry 27pt5	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	04-18 00:44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	05-01 07:44
Thunder vs. Lakers	1	$5	125	0	+125	Thunder	$-5	05-10 02:28
Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 206.5	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	05-01 16:21
cs2 ts7 mouz 2026 04 17 game1	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	04-17 15:06
nba cha orl 2026 04 17 spread home 17pt5	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-18 00:43
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	1	$4	6	0	+6	Spirit	+$2	05-10 23:27
cs2 furia vit 2026 04 18 game1	1	$3	11	0	+11	open	—	04-18 16:50
cs2 furia vit 2026 04 18	1	$3	12	0	+12	open	—	04-18 16:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 16:10:10	will the next claude sonnet model be released by july 10 2026	No	BUY	314	4¢	$12	0x162e8e…
06-27 07:56:52	will the next claude sonnet model be released by july 3 2026	No	BUY	74	27¢	$20	0x6ea9f1…
06-27 04:36:40	Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	128	94¢	$121	0xa701ab…
05-11 23:45:24	Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	32	18¢	$6	0xcf1d13…
05-10 23:27:41	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	Spirit	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0x02da0c…
05-10 02:28:44	Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x6b5ca4…
05-10 01:37:22	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	97	10¢	$10	0xf4c178…
05-05 13:47:18	Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5	Over	BUY	42	51¢	$22	0x077605…
05-05 01:56:30	Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5	Under	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0xa1da56…
05-03 22:41:20	Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 25.5	No	BUY	25	51¢	$13	0xc71f62…
05-03 22:23:28	Map Handicap: VIT (-2.5) vs Natus Vincere (+2.5)	Vitality	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x6e7f01…
05-03 02:14:02	Map Handicap: VIT (-2.5) vs Natus Vincere (+2.5)	Vitality	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x827559…
05-01 16:21:20	Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 206.5	Under	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xae895d…
05-01 07:44:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x1c178e…
04-22 06:43:48	nba phx okc 2026 04 22 spread home 19pt5	Thunder	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x7e957a…
04-22 06:40:46	nba phx okc 2026 04 22 spread home 19pt5	Thunder	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0xae5585…
04-22 06:40:46	nba phx okc 2026 04 22 spread home 19pt5	Thunder	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x9ef065…
04-22 05:20:12	nba hou lal 2026 04 21	Lakers	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x1f8c5d…
04-22 02:01:48	nba hou lal 2026 04 21	Lakers	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x1ee92f…
04-18 16:51:18	cs2 furia vit 2026 04 18	FURIA	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0x2d820b…
04-18 16:50:46	cs2 furia vit 2026 04 18 game1	FURIA	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x91a456…
04-18 16:47:28	cs2 fal2 ts7 2026 04 18	Spirit	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x2a737c…
04-18 00:46:06	cs2 fal2 ts7 2026 04 18	Spirit	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x4d2f76…
04-18 00:44:22	nba gsw phx 2026 04 17 points stephen curry 27pt5	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x7bbebe…
04-18 00:43:52	nba cha orl 2026 04 17 spread home 17pt5	Hornets	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xed97b2…
04-17 15:13:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xa87ba9…
04-17 15:06:18	cs2 ts7 mouz 2026 04 17 game1	Spirit	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x65b845…