Realized P&L
+$794
Unrealized P&L
+$165
Hit rate
89.4%
Resolved
29
Trades
10,994
lifetime
Volume
$819.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$75
Open exposure
$2.73K
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-08 10:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Politics
57% 89% $-264
Other
38% 90% +$1,058
Sports
4%
Crypto
1%
Tech
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
79 active days in 12wk • peak 309 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No +1,752 $1,670 98¢ $1.7K +$39 06-01 14:12
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No -300 $-218 88¢ $-262 $-45 05-29 20:31
Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026? No +400 $250 62¢ $250 $-0 06-04 15:36
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes -1,000 $-421 16¢ $-155 +$266 05-28 18:54
Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30? No +150 $124 97¢ $146 +$22 05-29 05:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +200 $138 30¢ $61 $-77 05-29 15:08
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes +302 $101 20¢ $59 $-42 05-30 14:02
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $47 38¢ $38 $-10 05-28 19:35
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30? No -27 $-24 92¢ $-25 $-0 05-28 08:59
Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? No +30 $12 71¢ $21 +$9 05-30 14:00
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? No +10 $4 73¢ $7 +$3 05-30 13:49