Realized P&L
+$50.6K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.87K
Hit rate
73.0%
Resolved
1,562
Trades
20,155
lifetime
Volume
$1.30M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$65
Open exposure
$34.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 01:22
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 246 days
Categories
Politics
53% 73% +$16,145
Other
42% 71% +$30,690
Sports
4% 75% +$3,240
Tech
1% 81% -$132
Crypto
1% 83% +$265
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$378
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 435 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +8,079 $7,261 72¢ $5.8K -$1,485 10-18 15:12
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +5,100 $4,188 82¢ $4.2K -$31 10-24 16:06
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? Yes +3,450 $2,083 74¢ $2.5K +$453 10-25 21:59
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes -2,000 -$1,970 100¢ $-1993 -$23 10-24 22:10
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +2,000 $1,748 92¢ $1.8K +$82 10-23 22:47
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +2,283 $1,323 78¢ $1.8K +$463 10-26 17:42
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +2,183 $1,914 80¢ $1.7K -$174 09-16 19:00
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +1,610 $649 87¢ $1.4K +$759 06-20 22:10
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +1,429 $679 98¢ $1.4K +$721 10-25 20:21
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government? Yes +1,671 $1,468 75¢ $1.2K -$221 09-23 17:29
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +1,200 $937 98¢ $1.2K +$239 10-23 22:47
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,670 $1,063 68¢ $1.1K +$64 10-24 16:00
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +2,150 $1,482 49¢ $1.1K -$429 10-27 15:32
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +100,000 $728 1¢ $750 +$23 09-14 18:35
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? No +749 $629 92¢ $693 +$64 09-19 01:14
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +4,036 $248 16¢ $644 +$396 09-15 13:28
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 No +560 $13 93¢ $521 +$508 10-27 06:30
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +9,106 $384 5¢ $451 +$67 08-28 17:59
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes -525 -$443 82¢ $-428 +$15 06-24 16:30
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +1,967 $479 20¢ $399 -$79 09-13 21:34
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +1,371 $353 29¢ $391 +$38 10-04 22:48
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +590 $344 64¢ $375 +$30 10-25 06:11
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +370 $158 96¢ $354 +$196 10-23 13:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +400 $156 88¢ $354 +$198 08-07 19:18
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +1,500 $596 22¢ $326 -$270 09-26 08:20
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? No +1,588 $376 20¢ $325 -$50 09-07 23:16
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +350 $325 93¢ $325 $0 10-23 14:19
will venezuela recognize israel by december 31 No +325 $202 90¢ $294 +$92 08-13 19:04
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +13,065 $261 2¢ $268 +$7 10-23 10:39
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +13,336 $44 2¢ $260 +$217 10-15 21:31