Realized P&L
+$794
Unrealized P&L
+$1.98K
Hit rate
89.4%
Resolved
29
Trades
12,132
lifetime
Volume
$890.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$73
Open exposure
$8.84K
19 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 18:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Politics
58% 89% $-264
Other
37% 90% +$1,058
Sports
4%
Crypto
1%
Tech
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 309 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +2,748 $1,979 100¢ $2.7K +$757 06-14 23:16
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No +1,752 $1,670 100¢ $1.7K +$80 06-01 14:12
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +1,510 $628 70¢ $1.1K +$436 06-20 22:10
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes -525 $-443 84¢ $-438 +$5 06-24 16:30
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No -400 $-372 100¢ $-399 $-28 06-12 06:24
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No -400 $-206 100¢ $-399 $-193 06-14 10:15
Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026? No +650 $420 59¢ $384 $-37 06-21 20:55
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30? No +307 $-962 99¢ $305 +$1,266 06-28 17:51
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30? No -282 $-279 99¢ $-279 +$0 06-30 04:29
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No -200 $-185 100¢ $-200 $-15 06-11 14:21
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage? No +200 $197 99¢ $197 +$0 06-26 06:41
Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30? No +150 $124 100¢ $149 +$25 05-29 05:20
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026? No +150 $134 97¢ $146 +$12 06-26 19:58
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? Yes +120 $119 100¢ $120 +$1 06-29 19:54
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +100 $94 100¢ $100 +$5 06-20 21:08
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No +100 $61 84¢ $84 +$24 06-30 01:18
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +300 $96 28¢ $82 $-14 06-30 20:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -650 $-198 $-3 +$195 06-14 23:12
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes -292 $536 $-1 $-536 06-22 12:16