Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$125

Unrealized P&L

-$5

Hit rate

54.0%

Resolved

Trades

114

lifetime

Volume

$2.07K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

$225

8 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-26 18:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 35 days

Categories

Tech

42% 17% -$180

Other

34% 74% +$120

Politics

19% 33% -$60

Crypto

5% 67% +$1

Sports

1% 50% -$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	-100	-$94	94¢	$-94	$0	10-26 18:26
No one announced as next James Bond?	No	+40	$32	75¢	$30	-$2	09-18 23:06
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?	No	-30	-$18	97¢	$-29	-$11	06-16 13:25
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	+30	$25	82¢	$24	$0	09-16 00:13
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	+40	$18	55¢	$22	+$4	09-15 17:03
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?	No	+15	$13	88¢	$13	+$0	10-18 21:23
us x china agree to pace the ai frontier in 2026	No	+10	$8	95¢	$10	+$1	09-14 22:35
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	-100	-$6	2¢	$-2	+$4	05-02 22:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?	1	$238	0	238	-238	Yes	$0	09-15 17:17
GPT-7 released by June 30, 2027?	3	$164	130	130	+0	open	—	10-26 18:27
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by November 30, 2026?	9	$152	231	185	+46	Yes	-$144	10-26 17:54
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	2	$110	100	100	+0	open	—	09-17 07:09
clf bre sge 2026 08 15 total 4pt5	1	$100	172	0	+172	Over	+$72	08-15 15:04
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	1	$95	100	0	+100	Yes	+$5	02-11 16:09
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	1	$94	0	100	-100	open	—	10-26 18:26
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$88	100	0	+100	Yes	+$12	09-15 22:21
Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 14, 2026?	2	$86	46	46	+0	No	+$6	09-14 02:17
Next GPT Sol (6.1+) released by November 30, 2026?	2	$79	40	40	+0	Yes	+$1	09-29 19:13
clavicular charged by jan 31	1	$75	80	0	+80	No	+$5	01-01 13:59
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026?	6	$63	119	119	+0	No	-$16	09-19 00:50
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	3	$48	30	30	+0	Yes	+$2	02-11 15:39
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?	1	$38	50	0	+50	No	-$38	10-13 16:32
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	2	$37	60	0	+60	Yes	-$37	02-08 01:16
base iphone 18 released by february 28 2027	2	$36	41	0	+41	open	—	09-19 06:25
will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	4	$36	30	20	+10	No	+$4	03-16 01:57
No one announced as next James Bond?	1	$32	40	0	+40	open	—	09-18 23:06
epl mac che 2026 01 04 total 2pt5	4	$26	545	545	+0	Under	+$6	01-04 19:28
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: Both Teams to Score	2	$25	15	15	+0	Yes	+$5	09-12 15:18
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	1	$25	30	0	+30	open	—	09-16 00:13
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$24	30	0	+30	No	-$24	05-13 22:22
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	2	$23	30	30	+0	Yes	-$5	02-19 09:10
ucl fra1 tot 2026 01 28 tot	2	$23	40	0	+40	Yes	+$17	01-28 18:56
will openai resume us chatgpt pro signups by september 30 2026	2	$20	21	21	+0	Yes	+$0	09-14 22:06
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. FC Augsburg: Both Teams to Score	1	$20	29	0	+29	Yes	+$9	09-06 10:10
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	1	$18	40	0	+40	open	—	09-15 17:03
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?	1	$18	0	30	-30	open	—	06-16 13:25
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?	1	$17	20	0	+20	No	-$17	05-02 22:28
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	3	$17	30	30	+0	Yes	-$6	05-09 04:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 18:27:36	GPT-7 released by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	130	52¢	$68	0x0e2bff…
10-26 18:26:36	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	SELL	100	94¢	$94	0x1aefb8…
10-26 17:54:48	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	176	0¢	$0	0x8f236f…
10-18 21:23:12	Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	15	87¢	$13	0x4b08bb…
10-13 16:32:34	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0x5e0cdc…
09-29 19:13:56	Next GPT Sol (6.1+) released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x310000…
09-29 17:20:29	next gpt sol 6pt1 released by november 30 2026	Yes	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x3197b3…
09-22 12:57:24	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	39	48¢	$19	0xb91874…
09-22 11:52:12	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x3c7a3e…
09-21 20:33:45	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	15	60¢	$9	0xe19ef1…
09-21 16:31:33	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	45	75¢	$34	0x3637cc…
09-19 13:48:20	Eintracht Frankfurt vs. SC Freiburg: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x33de81…
09-19 06:25:15	base iphone 18 released by february 28 2027	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x8f3f41…
09-19 00:50:18	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	58	13¢	$8	0x6480de…
09-18 23:16:34	GPT-7 released by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	30	71¢	$21	0x9595f8…
09-18 23:09:45	Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027?	Yes	SELL	119	2¢	$3	0xad542e…
09-18 23:06:39	No one announced as next James Bond?	No	BUY	40	79¢	$32	0x514a61…
09-18 22:26:16	base iphone 18 released by march 31 2027	Yes	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x2f267c…
09-18 22:16:54	base iphone 18 released by february 28 2027	No	BUY	21	90¢	$19	0x7e6df7…
09-18 15:10:52	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	20¢	$0	0x655f3c…
09-18 09:15:30	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	35¢	$3	0x8add41…
09-17 21:25:54	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	62¢	$6	0x95099a…
09-17 07:09:57	Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	55¢	$55	0xa982b8…
09-16 14:14:40	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	18	65¢	$12	0x612554…
09-16 01:31:25	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	26¢	$15	0xaa79a5…
09-16 00:13:39	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0x918435…
09-15 22:31:13	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0x9fa6a0…
09-15 22:21:16	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0x91d4b6…
09-15 21:15:07	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	24¢	$2	0x159ead…
09-15 21:15:04	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0xdc8b74…
09-15 20:27:55	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0xce0029…
09-15 20:25:04	GPT-7 released by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	100	74¢	$74	0x0e7d49…
09-15 17:21:48	Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027?	Yes	SELL	40	4¢	$2	0xef862d…
09-15 17:17:07	Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?	Yes	SELL	238	100¢	$238	0xa839bb…
09-15 17:03:24	Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	46¢	$18	0x9c65ac…
09-15 15:25:48	frontier ai lab pulls a model over safety concerns in 2026	No	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x3d4a0f…
09-15 15:13:57	Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0x3b3e35…
09-15 15:00:28	frontier ai lab pulls a model over safety concerns in 2026	No	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x2d9998…
09-14 22:35:40	us x china agree to pace the ai frontier in 2026	No	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0xbdcb34…
09-14 22:06:48	will openai resume us chatgpt pro signups by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	21	50¢	$10	0x3efcc7…
09-14 20:20:09	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	26	12¢	$3	0x6cb43e…
09-14 13:08:54	will openai resume us chatgpt pro signups by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x6a6c6c…
09-14 02:17:39	Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 14, 2026?	No	SELL	46	99¢	$46	0x76c3c7…
09-13 13:50:42	Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xea8cad…
09-12 15:18:55	1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xafa93f…
09-12 13:33:24	1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x74407d…
09-11 21:37:16	Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 14, 2026?	No	BUY	46	86¢	$40	0x8189bb…
09-11 13:06:27	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xa56168…
09-06 10:10:55	Eintracht Frankfurt vs. FC Augsburg: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0x93bb0f…
08-15 15:04:54	clf bre sge 2026 08 15 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	172	58¢	$100	0x0b9efb…
06-16 13:25:04	OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	30	60¢	$18	0x2ee9f8…
05-13 22:22:54	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	30	79¢	$24	0xc6711a…
05-12 20:53:52	Will Lithuania advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x28fcac…
05-09 04:08:21	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	18¢	$5	0xfe8759…
05-07 08:43:19	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x0e4673…
05-07 07:11:05	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	38¢	$9	0x04aa58…
05-04 15:56:18	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?	Yes	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x5e6d81…
05-02 22:28:26	Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0xfd61c5…
05-02 22:26:40	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	6¢	$6	0x0fed33…
05-02 22:26:38	Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.0% or higher before 2027?	Yes	SELL	40	3¢	$1	0x64c6ab…
04-30 17:50:36	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	200	2¢	$5	0x39639c…
04-30 15:21:40	Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xaeefa3…
04-29 05:31:44	Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	85¢	$13	0xb00d8c…
04-13 19:03:03	Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	No	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x0dc640…
04-11 11:08:11	bun wol ein 2026 04 11 ein	Yes	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x843c7e…
03-18 20:53:11	Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League final?	No	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x548a8f…
03-17 22:30:59	will schumer remain minority leader through march 31	No	SELL	73	2¢	$1	0x761012…
03-16 01:57:59	will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0x56cd17…
03-15 21:46:13	will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x578787…
03-10 12:25:15	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	Yes	SELL	40	13¢	$5	0x970b69…
03-08 10:04:55	will mais win the most seats in the 2026 colombian senate election	Yes	SELL	1,008	0¢	$2	0x86e9b1…
03-06 19:56:57	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	Yes	BUY	40	16¢	$6	0x5bb791…
03-03 18:33:35	will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0x46fb0b…
03-02 16:04:59	will mais win the most seats in the 2026 colombian senate election	Yes	BUY	969	0¢	$1	0xf83f33…
03-02 16:04:57	will mais win the most seats in the 2026 colombian senate election	Yes	BUY	39	0¢	$0	0xd5178a…
03-02 15:51:27	bitcoin up or down march 2 10am et	Down	BUY	112	0¢	$0	0x81bf3b…
03-02 15:51:27	bitcoin up or down march 2 10am et	Down	BUY	538	0¢	$1	0x48f8d9…
03-02 15:51:15	bitcoin up or down march 2 10am et	Down	BUY	157	0¢	$0	0xd85d17…
03-02 15:47:47	bitcoin up or down march 2 10am et	Down	SELL	1,000	0¢	$2	0x45e393…
03-02 15:46:23	bitcoin up or down march 2 10am et	Down	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x4553b5…
03-02 15:42:53	bitcoin up or down march 2 10am et	Down	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xb9610c…
03-02 15:42:41	bitcoin up or down march 2 10am et	Down	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x54f137…
03-02 15:35:37	bitcoin up or down march 2 10am et	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xaffec9…
03-02 15:15:27	will schumer remain minority leader through march 31	No	BUY	73	1¢	$1	0x5e8038…
02-19 09:10:00	US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	30	31¢	$9	0xf7e417…
02-13 10:18:07	Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xa753d1…
02-11 22:31:03	US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	30	47¢	$14	0xcead07…
02-11 16:09:03	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x15a951…
02-11 15:39:43	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	SELL	30	82¢	$25	0xbb6884…
02-09 22:19:27	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x4be1c5…
02-09 12:15:25	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x57d938…
02-08 01:16:05	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	61¢	$24	0xff90e1…
02-07 23:53:53	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0xa9dafe…
02-01 22:37:48	will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	10	71¢	$7	0x1c7fcc…
01-31 16:20:46	bun ein b04 2026 01 31 b04	Yes	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xcc8de8…
01-31 16:20:10	bun ein b04 2026 01 31 draw	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x3aec53…
01-31 16:20:04	bun ein b04 2026 01 31 draw	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x509a45…
01-31 14:56:54	bun ein b04 2026 01 31 b04	Yes	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x12a047…
01-31 10:14:36	bun ein b04 2026 01 31 b04	Yes	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xc1a0ed…
01-28 19:40:14	ucl fra1 tot 2026 01 28 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	0	81¢	$0	0xf9c5c4…