Famous-Audience — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$30

Unrealized P&L

-$35

Hit rate

79.4%

Resolved

Trades

3,980

lifetime

Volume

$19.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-24

last 06-30 11:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

75% 82% +$1

Tech

13% — —

Other

10% 0% $-31

Sports

2% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

80 active days in 12wk • peak 254 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes		-30	$35	1¢	$-0	$-35	06-21 01:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will no company have an ai model hit 1500 on chatbot arena by june 30 2026	5	$277	147	147	+0	open	—	02-10 00:08
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	11	$185	145	175	-30	open	—	06-21 09:46
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	80	$177	22,538	20,064	+2,474	open	—	04-24 03:30
will drake perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	2	$170	90	90	+0	open	—	02-09 06:13
will claude 5 be released by february 28 2026 352 784	9	$156	135	135	+0	open	—	02-17 09:41
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 30% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	5	$152	88	88	+0	open	—	02-06 02:35
deepseek v4 released by february 28	11	$145	333	333	+0	open	—	02-27 23:54
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	16	$140	892	842	+50	open	—	04-27 15:51
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	14	$129	347	338	+9	open	—	04-28 02:54
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	5	$122	65	65	+0	open	—	06-18 16:45
will gpt bidi 1 be released by june 30 2026	12	$113	150	150	+0	open	—	06-26 05:52
deepseek v4 released by march 31 446 353 924 266 292	13	$98	380	380	+0	open	—	03-31 16:59
deepseek v4 released by march 15 678	11	$96	652	71	+581	open	—	03-14 03:11
btc updown 5m 1781542500	3	$94	55	68	-13	open	—	06-15 17:00
gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	10	$93	197	206	-9	open	—	06-12 02:08
btc updown 5m 1781543700	2	$89	49	49	+0	open	—	06-15 17:20
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	6	$88	67	67	+0	open	—	06-25 12:01
will any openai gpt model score at least 50 on the frontiermath exam	7	$86	108	108	+0	open	—	02-24 02:03
will cardi b perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	3	$76	57	57	+0	open	—	02-09 04:19
Will OpenAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?	11	$74	343	334	+9	open	—	04-27 15:51
gpt 5pt4 released by march 5	4	$65	35	35	+0	open	—	03-05 18:08
will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530	2	$63	33	33	+0	open	—	06-11 09:29
will deepseek have the best ai model for coding on march 31	32	$61	1,412	1,412	+0	open	—	03-24 17:11
will google have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	11	$60	158	158	+0	open	—	02-10 05:03
Will DeepSeek have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	30	$60	2,323	2,206	+117	open	—	04-24 03:30
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	18	$59	607	700	-93	open	—	04-23 00:02
will claude 5 be released by march 31 2026 243 489 141 184	5	$58	40	40	+0	open	—	02-03 02:04
btc updown 5m 1781537400	3	$52	33	27	+6	open	—	06-15 15:35
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	8	$52	86	81	+5	open	—	06-09 02:28
will lady gaga perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	3	$51	233	0	+233	open	—	02-08 18:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 11:52:11	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 btts	Yes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x615af4…
06-30 11:52:02	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 spread away 1pt5	Côte d'Ivoire	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0xd66f60…
06-30 02:57:29	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	17	12¢	$2	0x203776…
06-30 02:55:11	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 btts	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xa9e72b…
06-29 23:36:19	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 shots cody gakpo gte3	Yes	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xb89375…
06-29 23:34:44	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 btts	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x900233…
06-29 23:30:25	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	17	46¢	$8	0x9ac113…
06-29 23:29:40	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 team to advance	Netherlands	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x566310…
06-29 21:57:29	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 btts	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x1cdf0a…
06-29 20:04:28	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 spread home 1pt5	Germany	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xfaa4c9…
06-29 20:02:23	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xc8a402…
06-29 19:57:52	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x33fb08…
06-29 19:27:43	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 spread home 1pt5	Germany	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x40ba58…
06-29 19:00:46	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 team to advance	Brazil	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x2dc050…
06-29 19:00:38	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 team to advance	Brazil	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xb33795…
06-29 18:59:28	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x04d269…
06-29 18:56:05	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 spread home 1pt5	Japan	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x21cd15…
06-29 18:50:13	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 btts	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xa73c29…
06-29 15:23:22	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 spread home 1pt5	Germany	SELL	4	46¢	$2	0x7f5b66…
06-29 15:14:37	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 spread home 1pt5	Germany	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xe6fd41…
06-29 15:12:04	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 btts	Yes	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x17febc…
06-29 15:07:40	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0x7f2e47…
06-29 15:07:22	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 spread home 1pt5	Germany	BUY	17	47¢	$8	0xb9af98…
06-29 14:53:49	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 team to advance	Brazil	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xdd62eb…
06-29 14:40:04	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 spread home 1pt5	Japan	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x39fb06…
06-29 14:35:59	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 team to advance	Brazil	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x9ecc5d…
06-29 14:35:40	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0xf50ade…
06-29 14:35:08	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 btts	Yes	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x5d5de6…
06-29 14:34:46	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 spread home 1pt5	Japan	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0x7ee275…
06-28 15:40:13	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 corners total 8pt5	Over	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x60f5bd…
06-28 15:39:58	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 corners total 9pt5	Over	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x001148…
06-28 15:39:37	will gpt bidi 1 be released by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	14	63¢	$8	0x22c9e9…
06-28 15:33:50	will gpt bidi 1 be released by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	14	63¢	$9	0x56a619…
06-28 15:10:49	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 corners total 8pt5	Over	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xd3a411…
06-28 14:08:02	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 team total home 0pt5	Under	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0x0beaae…
06-28 13:58:35	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x01f9d3…
06-28 13:54:02	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 btts	Yes	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x616458…
06-28 13:53:55	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 spread away 1pt5	South Africa	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x471dab…
06-28 04:02:20	fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 spread away 2pt5	Jordan	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x94b8dc…
06-28 04:02:14	fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 spread away 1pt5	Argentina	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x872cee…
06-28 03:04:14	fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 spread away 2pt5	Argentina	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xebe7f8…
06-28 02:40:14	fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 spread away 3pt5	Argentina	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xdccc67…
06-28 02:39:47	fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 spread away 2pt5	Argentina	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xe48f4b…
06-28 02:06:32	fifwc alg aut 2026 06 27 btts	No	BUY	3	55¢	$1	0xf4c953…
06-28 02:04:29	fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 team total home 0pt5	Under	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x149ee5…
06-28 02:02:58	fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 spread away 2pt5	Jordan	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x1dfeca…
06-28 02:02:58	fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 spread away 2pt5	Jordan	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x1a77cd…
06-28 01:49:46	fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 spread away 1pt5	Argentina	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xa05d86…
06-28 01:14:47	fifwc col prt 2026 06 27 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0xd00448…
06-28 01:14:28	fifwc col prt 2026 06 27 spread away 1pt5	Colombia	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0xc56dbd…
06-27 23:37:55	fifwc col prt 2026 06 27 btts	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xc111e8…
06-27 23:34:38	fifwc col prt 2026 06 27 btts	Yes	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x66e690…
06-27 23:31:25	fifwc col prt 2026 06 27 spread away 1pt5	Colombia	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xec5751…
06-27 23:31:10	fifwc col prt 2026 06 27 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xe06a06…
06-27 23:27:56	fifwc cdr uzb 2026 06 27 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xf7ea7d…
06-27 23:25:19	Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	4	91¢	$4	0x443b8f…
06-27 23:16:38	fifwc col prt 2026 06 27 goals cristiano ronaldo gte1	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x5c9064…
06-27 23:05:52	fifwc hrv gha 2026 06 27 spread home 1pt5	Ghana	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x6d47a7…
06-27 23:04:31	fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 btts	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xa9a5c0…
06-27 23:04:05	fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 team total home 0pt5	Under	SELL	4	100¢	$3	0x69a624…
06-27 23:03:35	fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 total 3pt5	Under	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xc105b2…
06-27 14:20:59	will the next claude sonnet model be released by july 17 2026 20260624195228148 249 148 455 443 813	Yes	SELL	14	75¢	$11	0xf8d499…
06-27 14:18:31	fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 btts	No	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xa12be2…
06-27 13:50:58	fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x36bf00…
06-27 13:46:55	fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 total 3pt5	Under	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x7383f3…
06-27 13:18:28	fifwc hrv gha 2026 06 27 spread home 1pt5	Ghana	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0xfa10cc…
06-27 13:18:02	fifwc hrv gha 2026 06 27 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	4	62¢	$2	0xfddcb3…
06-27 13:16:53	fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xb17647…
06-27 13:09:23	fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 team total home 0pt5	Under	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x95b475…
06-27 05:03:17	fifwc nzl bel 2026 06 26 total 3pt5	Over	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x71f454…
06-27 04:30:34	fifwc nzl bel 2026 06 26 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0xebd2ff…
06-27 04:29:08	fifwc nzl bel 2026 06 26 spread away 1pt5	Belgium	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x9c82bb…
06-27 04:25:41	fifwc nzl bel 2026 06 26 btts	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x233db5…
06-27 02:34:07	fifwc nzl bel 2026 06 26 spread away 1pt5	Belgium	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x5a49b9…
06-27 02:01:41	fifwc cvi ksa 2026 06 26 team total away 0pt5	Under	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x2fbeae…
06-27 01:54:23	fifwc cvi ksa 2026 06 26 team total away 0pt5	Under	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x0e591a…
06-27 01:42:37	fifwc cvi ksa 2026 06 26 team total away 0pt5	Under	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x36e598…
06-27 01:38:49	fifwc cvi ksa 2026 06 26 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x023b4c…
06-27 01:38:43	fifwc cvi ksa 2026 06 26 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x8fc115…
06-26 17:49:38	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 goals kylian mbappe gte1	Yes	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xe70a09…
06-26 17:32:22	fifwc cvi ksa 2026 06 26 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xa28c4b…
06-26 17:09:50	gpt 5pt6 released by june 26 2026	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0xcbb35e…
06-26 16:47:35	fifwc sen irq 2026 06 26 spread home 1pt5	Senegal	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x92d17e…
06-26 06:08:20	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 btts	Yes	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x2a1ace…
06-26 05:52:37	will gpt bidi 1 be released by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	4	25¢	$1	0xc599ac…
06-26 03:39:40	fifwc tur usa 2026 06 25 total 3pt5	Over	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xf6d37c…
06-26 02:17:38	fifwc tur usa 2026 06 25 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x4c9ab2…
06-25 13:53:05	will the next claude sonnet model be released by july 17 2026 20260624195228148	Yes	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xb00947…
06-25 13:52:52	will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147	Yes	SELL	27	63¢	$17	0x17a86c…
06-25 13:46:55	Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	4	58¢	$2	0x657180…
06-25 13:44:28	will gpt bidi 1 be released by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0xd032ac…
06-25 13:40:23	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x1875e4…
06-25 13:35:55	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 team total home 0pt5	Over	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0xfa0c2c…
06-25 12:20:55	will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147	Yes	BUY	12	63¢	$8	0x23dc1a…
06-25 12:15:59	will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147	Yes	BUY	7	63¢	$4	0xcf1be3…
06-25 12:01:37	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	SELL	63	64¢	$40	0xc66efb…
06-25 12:01:22	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 29	Yes	SELL	6	52¢	$3	0x6ebdec…
06-25 11:54:01	will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147	Yes	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x905ce6…
06-25 11:45:14	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	Yes	SELL	23	26¢	$6	0x74d7ee…
06-25 11:05:08	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	BUY	44	68¢	$30	0x770c10…