Realized P&L
-$436
Unrealized P&L
-$101
Hit rate
44.8%
Resolved
29
Trades
12,043
lifetime
Volume
$168.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$14
Open exposure
$501
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-10 00:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Other
56% 16% $-99
Politics
43% 25% $-337
Tech
1%
Sports
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 287 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No -232 $-230 97¢ $-224 +$5 06-06 14:43
Russian strike on Poland by June 30? No -64 $-63 98¢ $-63 +$0 05-29 18:27
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? No +32 $26 99¢ $32 +$6 06-03 05:47
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +32 $24 84¢ $27 +$3 06-05 12:55
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +32 $26 82¢ $26 +$0 06-07 13:26
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? No +16 $15 99¢ $16 +$1 06-07 01:36
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No +16 $15 96¢ $15 +$0 06-07 19:23
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +16 $5 90¢ $14 +$9 05-31 15:04
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? No -16 $-10 64¢ $-10 +$0 06-05 04:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +96 $10 10¢ $9 $-1 06-08 10:28
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? Yes +320 $4 $9 +$5 05-31 20:20
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No +28 $5 32¢ $9 +$4 06-08 22:37
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026? No +8 $8 100¢ $8 +$0 06-06 14:02
Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by June 30? No +7 $6 95¢ $7 +$1 05-31 02:33
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? Yes +16 $5 36¢ $6 +$1 06-06 15:33
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $7B in 2026? Yes +16 $4 33¢ $5 +$1 06-06 20:36
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $8B in 2026? Yes +17 $3 23¢ $4 +$1 06-06 20:36
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $6B in 2026? Yes +6 $2 43¢ $3 +$0 06-06 20:36
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +8 $3 24¢ $2 $-1 06-08 11:20
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? No +1,828 $140 $2 $-138 06-07 22:50
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30? Yes +16 $1 11¢ $2 +$0 06-04 05:11
Epstein client list released by June 30? Yes +64 $1 $2 +$1 06-03 06:03
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? Yes +32 $1 $1 +$0 06-08 22:46
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +32 $1 $1 +$0 06-08 06:46
Hantavirus outbreak by June 30? Yes +64 $1 $1 $-0 06-01 10:41
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $10B in 2026? Yes +6 $1 18¢ $1 +$0 06-02 05:03
Kanye blocked from entering another country by June 30? Yes +16 $1 $1 $-0 06-04 15:12
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? Yes +80 $1 $1 $-0 06-10 03:53
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? Yes +64 $1 $0 $-0 05-30 13:34
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? Yes +32 $0 $0 +$0 06-04 23:08