Realized P&L
-$436
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
44.8%
Resolved
29
Trades
13,370
lifetime
Volume
$179.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$456
21 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 13:41
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Other
54% 16% $-99
Politics
42% 25% $-337
Tech
4%
Sports
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 166 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No -232 $-230 98¢ $-227 +$3 06-06 14:43
US military draft authorized in 2026? No +74 $60 95¢ $71 +$11 06-11 11:15
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +32 $26 88¢ $28 +$2 06-07 13:26
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +28 $11 99¢ $28 +$17 06-14 21:31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +60 $8 44¢ $27 +$19 06-16 21:26
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No +16 $15 96¢ $15 +$0 06-07 19:23
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +13 $9 88¢ $12 +$2 07-19 09:04
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $6B in 2026? Yes +38 $11 28¢ $10 $-0 07-16 01:13
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $7B in 2026? Yes +40 $9 17¢ $7 $-3 07-15 08:29
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +8 $6 74¢ $6 +$0 07-18 17:57
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $8B in 2026? Yes +32 $6 16¢ $5 $-1 07-16 11:00
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? Yes +320 $4 $4 +$0 05-31 20:20
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? Yes +160 $4 $4 $-0 07-19 00:28
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes +32 $3 12¢ $4 +$1 07-19 09:57
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $10B in 2026? Yes +30 $3 $3 $-0 07-15 19:52
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? Yes +16 $1 11¢ $2 +$0 07-03 04:07
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? Yes +32 $1 $1 +$0 06-08 22:46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +100 $58 $1 $-57 06-18 16:16
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +16 $1 $1 $-0 06-28 08:46
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +16 $1 $1 +$0 07-03 06:41
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? Yes +8 $1 $1 $-0 06-16 13:05