Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$85
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
974
lifetime
Volume
$41.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$43
Open exposure
$1.53K
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 06-09 11:39
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
67%
Tech
30%
Politics
2%
Crypto
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
52 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026? Yes +580 $482 90¢ $525 +$42 06-06 11:43
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +432 $326 74¢ $319 $-7 06-02 13:12
Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026? No -299 $-310 99¢ $-296 +$15 06-04 12:37
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026? Yes -166 $-163 86¢ $-143 +$20 06-07 07:47
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026? No +149 $140 94¢ $140 $-0 06-05 16:16
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? No +79 $45 44¢ $34 $-11 06-05 16:16
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026? Yes +36 $23 83¢ $30 +$7 06-03 19:45
Meta "Mango" model released by June 30? No +30 $19 88¢ $26 +$8 06-01 12:55
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31? Yes -80 $-28 22¢ $-18 +$10 06-06 02:55
Will any AI model reach 1550 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? Yes -20 $-3 10¢ $-2 +$1 06-05 16:05