Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$52
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
984
lifetime
Volume
$42.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$43
Open exposure
$592
5 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 07-16 21:43
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
66%
Tech
30%
Politics
2%
Crypto
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
28 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +432 $326 84¢ $361 +$35 06-02 13:12
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31? Yes -1,031 $-246 19¢ $-196 +$50 07-06 13:08
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? No +79 $45 26¢ $20 $-25 06-05 16:16
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026? Yes +36 $23 40¢ $14 $-9 06-03 19:45
Will any AI model reach 1550 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? Yes -20 $-3 $-1 +$1 06-05 16:05