Will any AI model reach 1550 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
open
Total volume
$2,376
Trades
139
Unique wallets
47
Liquidity
$2,022
Latest YES mid
6¢
Latest NO mid
94¢
End date
2026-09-30
First seen
2026-05-28
last 08-01 15:19
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 9 | $2 | $423 | $421 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 16 | $69 | $441 | $372 |
| 🐟 Fish | 13 | $67 | $101 | $34 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 9 | $9 | $1 | +$7 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $30 | $94 | $64 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| Median | 5 | — | $137 | $137 |
| Below median | 5 | $16 | — | +$16 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $70 | — | +$70 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 7 | $15 | $460 | $445 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 6 | — | $237 | $237 |
| unranked | 13 | $14 | $38 | $24 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | +240 | $21 | $21 | 10 | 08-01 15:19 |
| Scared-Administrator 0xb8ad…ff58 | No | +152 | $140 | $232 | 2 | 07-20 08:24 |
| Compassionate-Hearth 0xb462…fc89 | No | +100 | $94 | $94 | 1 | 07-25 09:04 |
| Rotten-Dishwasher 0x60eb…4a56 | No | +70 | $64 | $64 | 1 | 06-24 15:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | +40 | $2 | $2 | 9 | 07-20 08:24 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +30 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-12 01:10 |
| Sandy-Wife 0x34d0…264e | No | +20 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 07-01 06:26 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-07 21:34 |
| Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | +1 | $1 | $18 | 2 | 08-01 15:19 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 15:19:27 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x037c0e… |
| 08-01 15:19:27 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | SELL | 9 | 95¢ | $9 | 0x037c0e… |
| 08-01 15:19:27 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | SELL | 27 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x037c0e… |
| 07-30 22:26:50 | Repulsive-Mailbox 0x5ea8…9e5f | No | SELL | 60 | 93¢ | $56 | 0xce6d14… |
| 07-30 22:26:50 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | SELL | 60 | 7¢ | $4 | 0xce6d14… |
| 07-27 10:07:36 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xf0a8ba… |
| 07-27 10:07:36 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 2 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xf0a8ba… |
| 07-27 10:07:31 | Scientific-Impala 0x07d1…8ffa | Yes | SELL | 22 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x95006f… |
| 07-27 10:07:31 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x95006f… |
| 07-27 10:07:31 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | BUY | 2 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x95006f… |
| 07-25 09:04:52 | Compassionate-Hearth 0xb462…fc89 | No | BUY | 100 | 94¢ | $94 | 0x429c9d… |
| 07-25 09:04:52 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 80 | 94¢ | $75 | 0x429c9d… |
| 07-25 09:04:52 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x429c9d… |
| 07-21 08:42:24 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | SELL | 65 | 7¢ | $5 | 0x2ece3c… |
| 07-21 08:42:24 | Sore-Pitching 0x564f…7026 | No | SELL | 65 | 93¢ | $60 | 0x2ece3c… |
| 07-20 13:37:12 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | SELL | 48 | 7¢ | $3 | 0xfc621b… |
| 07-20 13:37:12 | Long-Term-Overhead 0xbd14…76b4 | No | SELL | 48 | 93¢ | $45 | 0xfc621b… |
| 07-20 13:36:09 | Long-Term-Overhead 0xbd14…76b4 | No | SELL | 10 | 94¢ | $9 | 0x36428e… |
| 07-20 13:36:09 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | BUY | 10 | 94¢ | $9 | 0x36428e… |
| 07-20 10:41:28 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | BUY | 200 | 7¢ | $14 | 0x08f633… |
| 07-20 10:41:28 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | SELL | 10 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x08f633… |
| 07-20 10:41:28 | Long-Term-Overhead 0xbd14…76b4 | No | BUY | 58 | 93¢ | $54 | 0x08f633… |
| 07-20 10:41:28 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 80 | 93¢ | $74 | 0x08f633… |
| 07-20 10:41:28 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x08f633… |
| 07-20 10:41:28 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | SELL | 32 | 7¢ | $2 | 0x08f633… |
| 07-20 08:24:36 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x7fc990… |
| 07-20 08:24:36 | Scared-Administrator 0xb8ad…ff58 | No | SELL | 48 | 97¢ | $46 | 0x7fc990… |
| 07-20 08:24:36 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x7fc990… |
| 07-20 08:24:36 | (anonymous) 0xf7ec…e53a | Yes | SELL | 113 | 4¢ | $4 | 0x7fc990… |
| 07-20 08:24:36 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x7fc990… |
| 07-20 08:24:36 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x7fc990… |
| 07-20 08:24:34 | (anonymous) 0xf7ec…e53a | Yes | BUY | 113 | 5¢ | $6 | 0x345674… |
| 07-20 08:24:34 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 113 | 5¢ | $6 | 0x345674… |
| 07-20 08:24:31 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x0449cd… |
| 07-20 08:24:31 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x0449cd… |
| 07-20 08:24:28 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | BUY | 118 | 5¢ | $6 | 0x10931c… |
| 07-20 08:24:28 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x10931c… |
| 07-20 08:24:28 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x10931c… |
| 07-20 08:24:28 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | SELL | 150 | 5¢ | $8 | 0x10931c… |
| 07-15 14:45:17 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | SELL | 70 | 5¢ | $3 | 0xad5558… |
| 07-15 14:45:17 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | BUY | 3 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xad5558… |
| 07-15 14:45:17 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | BUY | 67 | 5¢ | $3 | 0xad5558… |
| 07-12 01:10:04 | Flamboyant-Porch 0xda20…cb8d | Yes | SELL | 50 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x724a3e… |
| 07-12 01:10:04 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x724a3e… |
| 07-12 01:10:04 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x724a3e… |
| 07-11 15:37:41 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xee446a… |
| 07-11 15:37:41 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | BUY | 18 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xee446a… |
| 07-11 10:56:14 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 88 | 6¢ | $5 | 0x66add6… |
| 07-11 10:56:14 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x66add6… |
| 07-11 10:56:14 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x66add6… |
| 07-11 10:56:14 | Flamboyant-Porch 0xda20…cb8d | Yes | BUY | 50 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x66add6… |
| 07-11 10:56:07 | Scared-Administrator 0xb8ad…ff58 | No | BUY | 200 | 93¢ | $186 | 0x481ed4… |
| 07-11 10:56:07 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | BUY | 88 | 7¢ | $6 | 0x481ed4… |
| 07-11 10:56:07 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x481ed4… |
| 07-11 10:56:07 | Decisive-Spokeswoman 0xc326…1db1 | No | SELL | 87 | 93¢ | $81 | 0x481ed4… |
| 07-11 10:56:07 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x481ed4… |
| 07-10 21:30:43 | Brave-Hummus 0x8673…4025 | No | SELL | 20 | 92¢ | $18 | 0xcac78f… |
| 07-10 21:30:43 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | SELL | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0xcac78f… |
| 07-07 00:44:14 | Decisive-Spokeswoman 0xc326…1db1 | No | SELL | 54 | 93¢ | $50 | 0xbecedf… |
| 07-07 00:44:14 | (anonymous) 0xa1ef…1faa | Yes | SELL | 54 | 7¢ | $4 | 0xbecedf… |
| 07-03 23:10:46 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 40 | 92¢ | $37 | 0xbe3092… |
| 07-03 23:10:46 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | SELL | 40 | 8¢ | $3 | 0xbe3092… |
| 07-03 18:39:47 | (anonymous) 0xd43f…c66b | Yes | SELL | 14 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x3117fb… |
| 07-03 18:39:47 | (anonymous) 0xa1ef…1faa | Yes | BUY | 54 | 7¢ | $4 | 0x3117fb… |
| 07-03 18:39:47 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 40 | 93¢ | $37 | 0x3117fb… |
| 07-02 04:40:53 | Grizzled-Strudel 0xb980…73b0 | No | SELL | 74 | 93¢ | $69 | 0x47090e… |
| 07-02 04:40:53 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | SELL | 74 | 7¢ | $5 | 0x47090e… |
| 07-01 06:26:11 | Sandy-Wife 0x34d0…264e | No | BUY | 20 | 94¢ | $19 | 0x213487… |
| 07-01 06:26:11 | Decisive-Spokeswoman 0xc326…1db1 | No | SELL | 20 | 94¢ | $19 | 0x213487… |
| 07-01 03:58:37 | (anonymous) 0xd43f…c66b | Yes | SELL | 1 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x3f58a6… |
| 07-01 03:58:37 | Unfolded-Estate 0x20af…952f | No | SELL | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0x3f58a6… |
| 07-01 03:41:41 | Decisive-Spokeswoman 0xc326…1db1 | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x196fc9… |
| 07-01 03:41:41 | Unfolded-Estate 0x20af…952f | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x196fc9… |
| 06-29 16:14:43 | Unpleasant-Dimple 0x1f6a…7a94 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x39ac61… |
| 06-29 16:14:43 | Decisive-Spokeswoman 0xc326…1db1 | No | SELL | 30 | 94¢ | $28 | 0x39ac61… |
| 06-28 13:58:37 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | BUY | 85 | 7¢ | $6 | 0x153e2a… |
| 06-28 13:58:37 | (anonymous) 0xd43f…c66b | Yes | BUY | 15 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x153e2a… |
| 06-28 13:58:37 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 7¢ | $7 | 0x153e2a… |
| 06-27 09:30:25 | Infatuated-Nun 0xe8fc…0d3b | Yes | SELL | 144 | 8¢ | $12 | 0x2ca10b… |
| 06-27 09:30:25 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 8¢ | $8 | 0x2ca10b… |
| 06-27 09:30:25 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | BUY | 21 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x2ca10b… |
| 06-27 09:30:25 | Grizzled-Strudel 0xb980…73b0 | No | SELL | 24 | 92¢ | $22 | 0x2ca10b… |
| 06-26 12:35:32 | Grizzled-Strudel 0xb980…73b0 | No | BUY | 74 | 91¢ | $67 | 0x76c14c… |
| 06-26 12:35:32 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | SELL | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x76c14c… |
| 06-26 12:35:32 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | BUY | 69 | 9¢ | $6 | 0x76c14c… |
| 06-25 16:45:17 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | SELL | 15 | 89¢ | $13 | 0xa5a47f… |
| 06-25 16:45:17 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 15 | 11¢ | $2 | 0xa5a47f… |
| 06-25 16:44:56 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0x9ac82e… |
| 06-25 16:44:56 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | BUY | 15 | 90¢ | $14 | 0x9ac82e… |
| 06-25 16:44:56 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | BUY | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x9ac82e… |
| 06-25 16:08:20 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | SELL | 19 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xa0bade… |
| 06-25 16:08:20 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | BUY | 19 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xa0bade… |
| 06-25 13:36:35 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | SELL | 50 | 10¢ | $5 | 0xdc5d62… |
| 06-25 13:36:35 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | No | SELL | 50 | 90¢ | $45 | 0xdc5d62… |
| 06-24 15:44:32 | Rotten-Dishwasher 0x60eb…4a56 | No | BUY | 70 | 91¢ | $64 | 0x5f94d6… |
| 06-24 15:44:32 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | BUY | 70 | 9¢ | $6 | 0x5f94d6… |
| 06-23 16:47:10 | Grizzled-Strudel 0xb980…73b0 | No | BUY | 24 | 93¢ | $22 | 0x4869be… |
| 06-23 16:47:10 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | SELL | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x4869be… |
| 06-23 16:47:10 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | BUY | 19 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x4869be… |
| 06-23 15:14:22 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | SELL | 68 | 10¢ | $7 | 0xc54a72… |