Realized P&L
+$229
Unrealized P&L
+$116
Hit rate
66.1%
Resolved
971
Trades
5,794
lifetime
Volume
$20.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$87
23 positions
First seen
2026-05-07
last 10-25 20:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 108 days
Categories
Other
38% 41% +$48
Crypto
34% 46% -$35
Tech
22% 55% +$218
Politics
5% 49% +$72
Sports
1% 22% -$74
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
53 active days in 12wk • peak 61 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480 No +88 -$2 75¢ $66 +$68 07-20 10:34
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +26 $20 31¢ $8 -$12 09-30 20:50
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +565 $14 1¢ $7 -$7 08-12 08:26
will russia announce a new forced mobilization by december 31 2026 Yes +65 $25 8¢ $5 -$20 08-25 13:18
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +263 $2 0¢ $0 -$2 09-29 20:16
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +16 $14 2¢ $0 -$14 09-15 02:34
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +0 -$1 98¢ $0 +$1 07-27 07:11
will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500 No +0 -$4 82¢ $0 +$4 08-02 15:40
Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? No +0 -$9 80¢ $0 +$9 09-20 11:19
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026 No +0 -$1 97¢ $0 +$1 06-15 21:49
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +0 -$29 99¢ $0 +$29 10-25 20:49
will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490 No +0 -$17 82¢ $0 +$17 07-14 06:33
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? No +0 -$6 96¢ $0 +$6 06-18 15:13
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? No +0 -$9 90¢ $0 +$9 07-22 16:20
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? No +0 -$8 31¢ $0 +$8 06-24 06:27
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +0 $1 55¢ $0 -$1 08-15 09:07
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $4 8¢ $0 -$4 06-19 11:07
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +0 $2 8¢ $0 -$2 07-21 07:06
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? Yes +0 -$22 10¢ $0 +$22 09-04 20:55
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31? OpenAI +0 -$2 9¢ $0 +$2 05-22 08:47
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? No +0 -$6 3¢ $0 +$6 09-21 11:50
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes +0 $3 0¢ $0 -$3 07-07 11:10
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day? Yes +0 $0 1¢ $0 $0 06-22 08:25