Realized P&L
-$272
Unrealized P&L
-$18
Hit rate
62.9%
Resolved
317
Trades
2,464
lifetime
Volume
$10.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$370
21 positions
First seen
2026-05-07
last 07-21 08:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Crypto
64% 46% $-285
Tech
18%
Other
12%
Politics
5% 100% +$11
Sports
1% 100% +$3
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
64 active days in 12wk • peak 2037 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +56 $50 92¢ $51 +$1 07-03 08:35
Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No +57 $50 88¢ $51 +$1 06-18 08:31
Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +59 $50 85¢ $50 +$0 07-21 08:43
Will Z.ai have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No -49 $-45 92¢ $-45 +$0 07-21 08:13
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? No -30 $-28 94¢ $-28 $-1 06-18 15:13
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +30 $21 70¢ $21 +$0 07-06 11:41
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? No -31 $-21 66¢ $-21 $-0 06-22 06:26
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? No +26 $15 74¢ $20 +$4 06-05 02:05
Will any AI model reach 1550 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? No -20 $-18 94¢ $-18 $-0 07-10 21:30
Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes +56 $30 24¢ $14 $-16 05-30 00:10
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? Yes +133 $14 $10 $-4 07-21 02:21
Will ByteDance have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No -10 $-9 90¢ $-9 $-0 07-15 10:16
Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No -12 $-6 76¢ $-9 $-3 06-30 07:05
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? No -12 $-15 70¢ $-9 +$7 06-24 06:27
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No +7 $5 79¢ $5 +$1 07-11 00:37
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +9 $5 34¢ $3 $-2 06-18 09:54
Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +16 $8 14¢ $2 $-5 07-17 16:02
Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No -2 $-1 92¢ $-1 $-0 07-15 10:16
Will Brown-Forman be acquired before 2027? No +3 $2 32¢ $1 $-1 06-27 13:36
Will GBP/USD hit 1.30 (Low) in 2026? No +0 $-3 54¢ $0 +$3 07-16 10:04
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $4 12¢ $0 $-4 06-19 11:07