Realized P&L
-$34.6K
Unrealized P&L
-$6.15K
Hit rate
36.6%
Resolved
216
Trades
1,751
lifetime
Volume
$359.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$205
Open exposure
$4.67K
18 positions
First seen
2026-05-24
last 10-26 13:22
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 54 days
Categories
Politics
60% 28% -$33,244
Other
37% 32% -$3,863
Crypto
3% 80% +$2,519
Tech
1% 50% -$10
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
67 active days in 12wk • peak 124 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? Yes +13,413 $4,730 12¢ $1.6K -$3,120 10-20 23:34
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? No +1,370 $278 96¢ $1.3K +$1,037 10-20 09:03
us charges hormuz fees by december 31 2026 20260713151243236 Yes +12,432 $2,215 3¢ $423 -$1,792 08-11 06:03
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? Yes +2,061 $645 13¢ $268 -$377 10-04 04:44
will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31 Yes +3,308 $1,339 8¢ $248 -$1,091 07-22 06:26
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026? Yes +262 $199 94¢ $247 +$48 09-30 16:49
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 Yes +1,398 $546 8¢ $105 -$442 08-09 01:55
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +175 $82 45¢ $80 -$3 10-01 01:56
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +223 $41 32¢ $70 +$29 10-01 13:32
israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by december 31 632 Yes +500 $243 14¢ $68 -$175 08-09 11:08
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 Yes +531 $19 12¢ $66 +$47 10-10 14:45
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? Yes +7,604 $129 1¢ $57 -$72 10-10 14:45
Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? Yes +445 $202 12¢ $56 -$147 10-05 05:54
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? Yes +165 $15 15¢ $24 +$9 09-28 09:10
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? Yes +261 $42 6¢ $17 -$25 10-05 05:54
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +94 $20 14¢ $13 -$8 09-27 01:54
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? Yes +341 $119 2¢ $7 -$113 09-29 15:33
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +10 -$46 4¢ $0 +$46 09-15 17:32