Decisive-Spokeswoman — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

87.0%

Resolved

Trades

24,406

lifetime

Volume

$758.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$31

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-10 18:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

39% 0% $-5

Politics

30% 100% +$0

Tech

23% 100% +$5

Crypto

5% — —

Sports

2% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

77 active days in 12wk • peak 130 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	311	$14.4K	9,272	9,355	-83	open	—	04-04 05:10
Will the next model released by DeepSeek debut at a score of at least 1460?	27	$13.1K	6,722	6,759	-37	open	—	04-24 21:29
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	141	$12.3K	7,425	7,542	-117	open	—	05-04 04:13
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	323	$11.9K	8,527	8,634	-107	open	—	02-28 10:36
will axiom be accused of insider trading	204	$10.9K	16,535	16,620	-85	open	—	02-26 13:41
houthi strike on israel by march 15 2026	169	$10.7K	6,893	6,455	+437	open	—	03-16 01:42
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	320	$10.2K	8,536	8,748	-212	open	—	03-28 15:25
gpt 5pt5 released by april 23 2026 377 628 858 953 367 983 595	68	$9.3K	4,613	5,560	-947	open	—	04-23 19:46
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	233	$8.6K	7,076	7,399	-323	open	—	03-30 22:36
grok 5 released by march 31 2026	183	$8.2K	4,484	4,553	-69	open	—	03-22 17:40
will uae strike iran by march 31	181	$8.1K	6,271	6,323	-52	open	—	03-31 01:27
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?	19	$7.5K	7,563	60	+7,503	open	—	07-11 17:48
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	26	$7.3K	4,685	4,685	+0	open	—	04-22 19:47
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	17	$7.2K	6,175	1,438	+4,738	open	—	04-25 10:18
gpt 5pt4 released by march 5	125	$7.0K	5,554	5,245	+309	open	—	03-05 18:11
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	120	$6.9K	6,148	5,354	+794	open	—	04-14 22:49
will openai have the best ai model for coding on march 31	201	$6.8K	6,319	1,739	+4,580	open	—	03-31 19:18
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	183	$6.7K	4,371	4,346	+25	open	—	03-22 06:22
deepseek v4 released by march 15 678	173	$6.5K	5,452	5,192	+260	open	—	03-11 14:43
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	118	$6.4K	3,539	4,979	-1,440	open	—	03-13 13:56
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	87	$5.9K	4,538	4,362	+176	open	—	04-17 14:47
Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	81	$5.7K	3,797	3,864	-68	open	—	04-27 18:52
deepseek v4 released by march 31 446 353 924 266 292	191	$5.7K	5,614	6,323	-709	open	—	03-14 16:40
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?	75	$5.6K	4,246	4,675	-429	open	—	04-21 13:40
usisrael strike yemen by march 31	228	$5.5K	5,233	4,607	+625	open	—	04-02 23:09
will the next grok model released by xai debut at a score of at least 1460 by december 31 2026 20260708011851340	32	$5.5K	5,513	161	+5,352	open	—	07-12 13:31
will another country strike iran by march 7 528	162	$5.5K	4,726	3,470	+1,256	open	—	03-07 15:14
Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?	15	$5.4K	636	4,793	-4,157	open	—	06-29 14:53
will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656	64	$5.3K	2,769	3,134	-365	open	—	03-08 03:19
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	97	$5.2K	4,612	1,438	+3,175	open	—	06-24 23:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 18:11:16	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026 339	No	BUY	114	48¢	$55	0xec2ad5…
08-10 16:53:12	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	Yes	SELL	19	87¢	$17	0xa67f87…
08-10 16:49:15	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	Yes	BUY	268	81¢	$217	0x5ab42e…
08-10 16:21:30	grok 4pt6 released by august 14 2026 20260804192931964 932 684 491	Yes	BUY	16	76¢	$12	0x78d6eb…
08-10 15:56:21	grok 4pt6 released by august 14 2026 20260804192931964 932 684 491	Yes	BUY	11	76¢	$9	0xb992b1…
08-10 15:23:04	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x237053…
08-10 14:38:36	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x03ba50…
08-10 13:22:52	grok 4pt6 released by august 14 2026 20260804192931964	Yes	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x2ba853…
08-10 03:18:40	grok 4pt6 released by august 14 2026 20260804192931964	Yes	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0xb493eb…
08-10 00:55:00	grok 4pt6 released by august 14 2026 20260804192931964	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x72bc95…
08-10 00:39:19	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	Yes	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x9353e4…
08-10 00:32:37	grok 4pt6 released by august 14 2026 20260804192931964	Yes	BUY	18	82¢	$15	0xe20ee9…
08-09 18:40:42	grok 4pt6 released by august 14 2026 20260804192931964	Yes	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0x3022db…
08-09 05:44:48	grok 4pt6 released by august 14 2026 20260804192931964	Yes	BUY	12	78¢	$10	0x2ca89a…
08-09 04:14:28	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	No	SELL	88	85¢	$74	0x7e6479…
08-09 02:46:39	grok 4pt6 released by august 14 2026 20260804192931964	Yes	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xf7efe9…
08-09 02:31:46	grok 4pt6 released by august 14 2026 20260804192931964	Yes	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x4a84b8…
08-08 18:27:24	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	No	SELL	12	87¢	$11	0x1a4a3a…
08-08 08:30:01	will openais astra model be released by august 31 2026 20260801214557731	No	BUY	9	76¢	$7	0xedcffa…
08-08 08:12:13	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	No	BUY	100	81¢	$81	0x1e63ef…
08-08 04:53:51	will openais astra model be released by august 31 2026 20260801214557731	No	BUY	21	76¢	$16	0xdb7d5f…
08-08 04:28:48	will openais astra model be released by august 31 2026 20260801214557731	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x0ee32b…
08-08 02:33:42	grok 4pt6 released by august 14 2026 20260804192931964	Yes	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x5f60a9…
08-07 23:53:45	will openais astra model be released by august 31 2026 20260801214557731	No	BUY	200	77¢	$154	0x6c4b46…
08-07 22:54:15	grok 4pt6 released by august 14 2026 20260804192931964	Yes	BUY	50	69¢	$34	0xf75ccf…
08-07 20:18:19	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026 339	No	SELL	105	43¢	$45	0x4e6611…
08-07 20:18:07	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 21 2026	No	SELL	70	69¢	$48	0x840b37…
08-07 19:20:51	grok 4pt6 released by august 7 2026 20260804192931962	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x7441b4…
08-07 19:00:31	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 21 2026	No	BUY	70	66¢	$46	0x79db4f…
08-07 16:08:33	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 21 2026	No	SELL	232	69¢	$160	0x3e9a86…
08-07 12:37:45	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 21 2026	No	BUY	22	59¢	$13	0x54fd0e…
08-07 12:27:43	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026 339	No	BUY	105	38¢	$40	0x89c105…
08-07 12:26:48	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 21 2026	No	BUY	199	60¢	$119	0x97766a…
08-05 20:57:33	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 21 2026	Yes	SELL	60	44¢	$26	0x67a616…
08-05 20:57:21	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	Yes	SELL	266	33¢	$87	0xca653e…
08-05 19:35:24	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 21 2026	Yes	SELL	109	62¢	$68	0xf2984a…
08-05 19:34:38	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026 339	Yes	SELL	50	75¢	$38	0x9748bf…
08-05 19:14:42	gemini 4pt0 released by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	104	45¢	$47	0x35fb9b…
08-05 19:10:06	gemini 4pt0 released by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	20	47¢	$9	0x1af5ca…
08-05 19:00:39	gemini 4pt0 released by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	36	51¢	$18	0x7dcf02…
08-05 18:53:06	gemini 4pt0 released by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	160	31¢	$50	0xa900ec…
08-05 18:44:56	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 21 2026	Yes	SELL	41	79¢	$32	0x9c8ce1…
08-05 18:32:51	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 21 2026	Yes	SELL	41	81¢	$33	0xc29941…
08-05 18:01:06	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 21 2026	Yes	BUY	1	63¢	$0	0xb73029…
08-05 18:00:48	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	50	54¢	$27	0x4bd703…
08-05 17:50:12	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026 339	Yes	BUY	50	77¢	$39	0xc77696…
08-05 17:46:08	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	50	57¢	$28	0x9f5a58…
08-05 17:21:44	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 7 2026	No	SELL	54	87¢	$47	0xe03f59…
08-05 17:18:45	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 21 2026	Yes	BUY	200	75¢	$150	0x5d3390…
08-05 17:17:36	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0xcb89c1…
08-05 17:14:32	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 21 2026	Yes	BUY	50	85¢	$42	0x558d45…
08-05 17:14:27	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	50	69¢	$34	0xd808fb…
08-05 17:07:24	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 7 2026	No	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0xb76c6c…
08-05 17:06:50	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	44	67¢	$30	0xfbe761…
08-05 17:04:42	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	16	70¢	$11	0xd4bc65…
08-05 16:58:29	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0xcc7579…
08-05 16:28:17	will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490	Yes	SELL	30	77¢	$23	0x0f7b18…
08-05 16:13:15	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 7 2026	No	BUY	50	74¢	$37	0xe05eab…
08-05 15:43:29	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026 339	Yes	SELL	180	91¢	$164	0x013d59…
08-05 12:43:59	gemini 4pt0 released by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	8	26¢	$2	0x58a863…
08-05 05:08:00	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026 339	Yes	BUY	180	87¢	$157	0x9c06cc…
08-04 14:31:20	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	Yes	SELL	14	92¢	$13	0xfbf7d1…
08-04 12:28:12	Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	620	68¢	$422	0xb4c9de…
08-03 22:30:54	will openais valuation hit high 1pt0t by december 31 846 461	Yes	SELL	46	48¢	$22	0xaa19c2…
08-03 17:57:41	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 21 2026	Yes	SELL	200	89¢	$178	0x2fd462…
08-03 16:11:21	Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0xf6950b…
08-03 16:10:11	Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	70¢	$6	0xa782a4…
08-03 15:52:36	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 21 2026	Yes	SELL	75	84¢	$63	0x71155b…
08-03 15:52:27	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 21 2026	Yes	SELL	35	83¢	$29	0x85b54c…
08-03 15:52:27	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026 339	Yes	SELL	50	90¢	$45	0x5afd2d…
08-03 15:49:21	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	Yes	SELL	54	90¢	$49	0x36f473…
08-03 06:14:02	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 21 2026	Yes	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x6ce921…
08-03 04:55:21	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	Yes	SELL	75	69¢	$52	0x49ff35…
08-03 03:46:06	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	Yes	SELL	125	66¢	$83	0x863a5f…
08-03 01:01:23	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	194	63¢	$122	0x3c1b1c…
08-03 01:00:21	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x42ec07…
08-03 00:59:26	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 21 2026	Yes	BUY	41	78¢	$32	0x811271…
08-02 23:39:15	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026 339	Yes	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x8bad5a…
08-02 22:26:33	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	Yes	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x180661…
08-02 21:35:23	gemini 4pt0 released by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0x8819c4…
08-01 22:19:54	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	Yes	SELL	100	67¢	$67	0x134a02…
08-01 21:31:42	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 21 2026	Yes	BUY	209	78¢	$163	0x5d1e7b…
08-01 11:44:24	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x32b850…
08-01 07:28:14	will openais valuation hit high 1pt0t by december 31 846 461	Yes	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xc1c902…
08-01 00:02:20	will openais valuation hit high 1pt0t by december 31 846 461	Yes	BUY	36	46¢	$17	0x28de5e…
07-31 18:47:53	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	Yes	SELL	32	88¢	$28	0x0a2a74…
07-31 15:28:15	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	Yes	SELL	95	59¢	$56	0xbf1301…
07-31 15:18:08	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0xc5a6e5…
07-31 14:28:03	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 21 2026	Yes	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0xba5152…
07-31 14:07:54	will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490	Yes	BUY	30	76¢	$23	0x5551f7…
07-31 13:40:47	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	Yes	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x67bf26…
07-31 12:20:45	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026 339	Yes	SELL	0	87¢	$0	0xb3776b…
07-31 07:26:12	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x7be7c1…
07-31 07:01:08	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0xef5ed4…
07-30 15:09:11	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026 339	Yes	BUY	0	55¢	$0	0xbf8abe…
07-29 20:20:20	Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x167c6c…
07-29 13:04:24	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	Yes	BUY	15	81¢	$13	0x663a8d…
07-28 15:35:31	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1520 by december 31 2026 20260715004553753	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x68a640…
07-28 15:35:25	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1520 by december 31 2026 20260715004553753	No	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0x49b1d3…
07-28 14:45:38	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1520 by december 31 2026 20260715004553753	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x9bc1b5…