Decisive-Spokeswoman 0xc3262a…201db1
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$1
Unrealized P&L
+$150
Hit rate
87.0%
Resolved
3
Trades
22,885
lifetime
Volume
$682.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$30
Open exposure
$3.36K
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-09 23:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
39% 0% $-5
Politics
32% 100% +$0
Tech
21% 100% +$5
Crypto
6% — —
Sports
1% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 416 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +985 $827 94¢ $921 +$94 06-09 01:51
Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026? No -650 $-667 99¢ $-642 +$25 06-08 13:51
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? Yes -401 $-389 98¢ $-393 $-4 06-02 20:01
Will Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +400 $385 97¢ $390 +$4 06-09 04:21
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027? No +356 $267 69¢ $245 $-22 06-09 19:44
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026? No +200 $186 94¢ $188 +$2 06-09 21:23
Will any AI model reach 1540 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? No -229 $-194 73¢ $-166 +$28 06-09 10:49
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? Yes -99 $-83 94¢ $-92 $-9 06-07 21:49
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? No +100 $89 92¢ $92 +$2 06-08 16:02
Will any AI model reach 1530 Math Arena Score by June 30, 2026? Yes +105 $65 77¢ $81 +$17 06-09 20:12
Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026? No -65 $-63 91¢ $-59 +$3 06-09 10:50
Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes -100 $-56 47¢ $-47 +$9 06-09 12:42
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450? Yes +54 $43 80¢ $43 +$0 05-29 11:44