Decisive-Spokeswoman 0xc3262a…201db1
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$1
Unrealized P&L
+$441
Hit rate
87.0%
Resolved
3
Trades
24,159
lifetime
Volume
$744.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$31
Open exposure
$1.58K
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 19:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
40% 0% $-5
Politics
31% 100% +$0
Tech
23% 100% +$5
Crypto
5% — —
Sports
2% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
77 active days in 12wk • peak 130 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will any AI model reach 1540 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? No -571 $-500 90¢ $-517 $-17 07-06 02:18
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No +559 $436 79¢ $442 +$6 07-12 09:10
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +300 $138 80¢ $242 +$104 06-13 05:28
Will any AI model reach 1550 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? No -194 $-181 94¢ $-181 $-0 07-11 10:56
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027? No -494 $-331 12¢ $-57 +$274 06-12 17:33
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31? No -62 $-56 90¢ $-55 +$1 07-17 15:27
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes -96 $-57 34¢ $-32 +$25 06-26 12:27
AI bubble burst in 2026? No -38 $-49 84¢ $-32 +$17 06-13 12:19
Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes -100 $-56 24¢ $-24 +$32 06-09 12:42