Realized P&L
+$27.5K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.31K
Hit rate
81.6%
Resolved
1,291
Trades
32,650
lifetime
Volume
$1.03M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$31
Open exposure
$734
6 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 05:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 195 days
Categories
Other
40% 60% +$11,417
Tech
28% 72% +$10,224
Politics
25% 72% +$3,844
Crypto
4% 63% +$697
Sports
3% 77% +$1,446
Pop-Culture
0% 50% -$90
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 170 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026? Yes +660 $276 94¢ $622 +$347 10-26 11:19
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +200 $34 45¢ $91 +$57 10-26 16:15
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No -1,119 -$973 2¢ $-18 +$955 04-30 17:42
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? No +181 $61 2¢ $3 -$57 10-05 01:35
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No -0 -$7 74¢ $-0 +$7 05-02 20:52
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +0 $2 4¢ $0 -$2 08-14 23:55