Decisive-Spokeswoman 0xc3262a…201db1
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$1
Unrealized P&L
+$788
Hit rate
87.0%
Resolved
3
Trades
23,870
lifetime
Volume
$716.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$30
Open exposure
$9.89K
23 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 18:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
39% 0% $-5
Politics
32% 100% +$0
Tech
21% 100% +$5
Crypto
5% — —
Sports
2% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 416 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026? No -4,157 $-4,172 100¢ $-4144 +$28 06-29 14:53
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026? No +1,470 $1,388 100¢ $1.5K +$76 06-29 03:23
Meta "Mango" model released by June 30? No +999 $899 98¢ $974 +$75 06-30 19:46
Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026? No +759 $744 100¢ $756 +$13 06-28 11:05
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026? No +418 $369 99¢ $412 +$42 06-25 14:49
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? Yes -401 $-377 90¢ $-363 +$14 06-23 18:16
Will any AI model reach 1540 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? No -401 $-347 90¢ $-363 $-16 06-25 12:56
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026? No +359 $287 99¢ $355 +$68 06-29 12:20
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026? No +313 $295 98¢ $307 +$13 06-30 19:37
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +300 $138 75¢ $225 +$87 06-13 05:28
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? No -205 $-190 100¢ $-204 $-15 06-15 19:51
Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026? No -65 $-63 99¢ $-64 $-1 06-24 07:06
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027? No -494 $-331 11¢ $-54 +$277 06-12 17:33
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450? Yes +54 $21 88¢ $47 +$26 06-29 18:49
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes -96 $-57 40¢ $-39 +$18 06-26 12:27
AI bubble burst in 2026? No -38 $-49 81¢ $-31 +$18 06-13 12:19
Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes -100 $-56 30¢ $-30 +$26 06-09 12:42
Will any AI model reach 1550 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? No -31 $-30 93¢ $-29 +$0 06-29 16:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -15 $-15 100¢ $-15 +$0 06-14 21:06
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31? No +11 $10 88¢ $10 +$0 06-11 22:15
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? Yes -199 $-117 0¢ $-1 +$116 06-21 02:57
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +326 $82 0¢ $1 $-81 06-23 14:26
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? No +0 $-4 100¢ $0 +$4 06-29 13:36