Realized P&L
-$416
Unrealized P&L
+$41
Hit rate
91.1%
Resolved
280
Trades
960
lifetime
Volume
$33.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$35
Open exposure
$2.42K
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 20:22
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 81 days
Categories
Other
57% 67% +$222
Politics
29% 93% -$602
Crypto
13% 80% -$37
Tech
1% 57% +$14
Sports
0% 25% -$12
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
20 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1,774 $1,738 99¢ $1.8K +$21 10-18 16:23
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -200 -$182 98¢ $-196 -$14 04-29 19:45
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in October? No +120 $115 100¢ $120 +$4 10-06 11:05
Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026? No +110 $108 99¢ $109 +$1 08-20 10:08
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M? No +70 $47 76¢ $54 +$7 10-23 17:36
Will Drake be the top artist for 2026? No -52 -$51 96¢ $-50 +$1 08-30 19:05
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October? No +35 $32 100¢ $35 +$2 10-19 14:02
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +33 $22 95¢ $31 +$9 10-27 19:28
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October? No +30 $30 100¢ $30 +$0 10-07 16:53
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October? No +20 $19 99¢ $20 +$1 10-15 23:17
Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026? No +10 $9 98¢ $10 +$1 05-06 12:00
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -190 -$11 2¢ $-4 +$8 09-17 18:23
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +20 $7 6¢ $1 -$6 10-27 20:22
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? Yes -30 -$7 4¢ $-1 +$5 05-09 00:34