Formal-Sunrise — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.34K

Unrealized P&L

-$26

Hit rate

94.7%

Resolved

1,622

Trades

5,137

lifetime

Volume

$186.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$36

Open exposure

$10

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-22

last 11-01 14:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 268 days

Categories

Other

92% 89% -$1,602

Crypto

5% 91% -$97

Politics

3% 72% +$311

Sports

0% 68% +$29

Tech

0% 80% +$36

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$15

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

78 active days in 12wk • peak 71 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
will anthropics valuation hit high 4pt0t by december 31	Yes	+97	$7	5¢	$4	-$3	07-28 07:34
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota governor race in 2026?	Yes	+97	$5	2¢	$2	-$3	07-29 07:03
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?	Yes	+100	$14	2¢	$2	-$12	07-29 06:42
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	+300	$3	0¢	$1	-$2	07-29 07:06
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	+180	$7	0¢	$0	-$7	06-29 03:02

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	8	$1.5K	850	850	+0	Yes	+$201	09-21 09:39
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on September 7?	23	$1.4K	679	679	+0	No	+$6	09-07 05:43
Exact Score: Sevilla FC 0 - 3 CA Osasuna?	2	$1.2K	600	600	+0	No	+$4	10-26 20:32
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on September 6?	11	$1.0K	674	674	+0	No	+$332	09-06 13:32
Exact Score: FC Andorra 0 - 3 Burgos CF?	4	$994	500	500	+0	No	+$4	10-26 19:49
Exact Score: Liverpool FC 0 - 3 Brighton & Hove Albion FC?	2	$993	500	500	+0	No	+$6	10-25 15:01
Exact Score: Galatasaray SK 0 - 3 Fenerbahçe SK?	2	$992	500	500	+0	No	+$6	10-26 19:05
Exact Score: Sheffield Wednesday FC 0 - 3 Cambridge United FC?	4	$992	500	500	+0	No	+$7	10-27 20:56
Exact Score: LASK Linz 0 - 3 FC Salzburg?	2	$991	500	500	+0	No	+$8	10-25 16:15
Exact Score: National Bank of Egypt Club 0 - 3 El Masry SC?	4	$990	500	500	+0	No	+$8	10-28 15:21
Exact Score: Albacete Balompié 0 - 3 CD Eldense?	4	$990	500	500	+0	No	+$8	10-25 15:41
Exact Score: KAA Gent 0 - 3 RSC Anderlecht?	2	$990	500	500	+0	No	+$9	10-25 17:47
Exact Score: Daejeon Citizen FC 0 - 3 Vissel Kobe?	2	$990	500	500	+0	No	+$10	10-27 11:50
Exact Score: Aarhus GF 0 - 3 Viborg FF?	2	$990	500	500	+0	No	+$10	10-25 17:12
Exact Score: Beijing Guoan 0 - 3 Jeonbuk FC?	4	$989	500	500	+0	No	+$2	10-27 12:49
Exact Score: SV Waldhof Mannheim 07 0 - 3 TSG Hoffenheim II?	2	$988	500	500	+0	No	+$11	10-25 19:47
Exact Score: FC Koper 0 - 3 NK Maribor?	4	$987	500	500	+0	No	+$12	10-27 18:59
Exact Score: AC Oulu 0 - 3 Vaasan Palloseura?	9	$987	500	500	+0	No	+$12	10-28 17:52
Exact Score: SSC Napoli 0 - 3 AS Roma?	3	$889	450	450	+0	No	+$10	10-24 16:30
highest temperature in london on april 14 2026 18c	22	$849	435	435	+1	No	+$19	04-14 16:00
Exact Score: Fenerbahçe SK 3 - 4 SK Slavia Praha?	3	$828	430	400	+30	No	+$1	10-20 18:22
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 27?	5	$806	405	405	+0	Yes	+$4	09-27 08:40
Exact Score: PFC Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0 - 3 PFC Slavia Sofia?	2	$796	400	400	+0	No	+$4	10-26 16:44
Exact Score: 1. FC Köln 0 - 3 FC Schalke 04?	3	$794	400	400	+0	No	+$6	10-24 15:24
Exact Score: FK Kauno Zalgiris 0 - 3 Vilnius FK Zalgiris?	4	$790	398	398	+0	No	+$5	10-26 18:27
Exact Score: Al Faisaly Saudi Club 2 - 0 Al Nassr Saudi Club?	2	$788	395	395	+0	No	+$2	10-23 14:09
Exact Score: FK Dynamo Kyiv 0 - 2 FK Kudrivka?	3	$784	393	393	+0	No	+$1	10-23 11:34
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 18?	6	$762	382	382	+0	Yes	+$1	10-18 16:19
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 27?	10	$758	380	380	+0	Yes	+$0	10-28 00:01
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on October 4?	7	$731	367	367	+0	Yes	+$3	10-04 17:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 14:33:34	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on November 2?	No	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0x0b25ee…
11-01 14:32:27	Will Roma win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	SELL	1,000	1¢	$6	0x871f2f…
10-31 10:57:42	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on November 1?	No	BUY	32	55¢	$18	0x8dcf02…
10-31 10:57:40	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on November 1?	No	BUY	98	55¢	$54	0xdbe1c1…
10-31 10:57:40	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on November 1?	No	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x6bd53b…
10-31 10:56:36	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on November 1?	No	BUY	459	51¢	$235	0xf839e2…
10-30 09:52:42	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 31?	No	BUY	79	63¢	$50	0x2c0b65…
10-30 09:42:21	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 31?	No	BUY	80	61¢	$49	0xb8bafb…
10-30 09:36:25	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 31?	No	BUY	130	58¢	$76	0x1f1e57…
10-30 09:35:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4,220	2¢	$76	0xc1920d…
10-30 09:34:49	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 31?	No	BUY	128	57¢	$73	0xc50594…
10-30 09:34:49	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 31?	No	BUY	131	57¢	$74	0x790b0c…
10-30 09:33:36	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 31?	No	BUY	304	50¢	$152	0x2e20d4…
10-30 09:32:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,723	2¢	$79	0x27efa6…
10-30 09:31:46	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	770	3¢	$21	0x3f45db…
10-30 09:30:52	Printr FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	124	9¢	$11	0x93b730…
10-29 19:24:49	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 30?	No	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x6d9d41…
10-29 19:23:55	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 30?	No	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0xf9d17b…
10-29 19:23:03	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 30?	No	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x5bf355…
10-29 12:08:13	Al Ain FC vs. Ajman Club: Ajman Club 1st Half O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x4e0ee9…
10-29 12:05:55	Ningbo: Tristan Schoolkate vs Jie Cui	Jie Cui	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x8eeb88…
10-29 12:02:17	Ningbo: Tristan Schoolkate vs Jie Cui	Jie Cui	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0xa56ac0…
10-29 11:14:13	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 30?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x032cf1…
10-29 11:07:50	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 30?	No	BUY	14	78¢	$11	0xe1d745…
10-29 10:35:53	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 30?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xd48142…
10-29 09:59:59	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 30?	No	BUY	114	78¢	$89	0xc19ea1…
10-29 09:59:56	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 30?	No	BUY	307	77¢	$238	0x4c7c80…
10-29 09:59:55	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 30?	No	BUY	11	78¢	$9	0x56e435…
10-29 05:16:37	BG Tampines Rovers vs. PKR Svay Rieng: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x14b017…
10-28 20:14:14	Santos FC vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	80	94¢	$75	0x303027…
10-28 19:59:23	Exact Score: Santos FC 0 - 3 SE Palmeiras?	No	BUY	500	96¢	$482	0xf48095…
10-28 19:56:52	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	273	100¢	$272	0x171c0a…
10-28 18:07:35	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xcd65b5…
10-28 18:03:13	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x8799d8…
10-28 17:59:16	Exact Score: Degerfors IF 0 - 3 Vasteraas SK?	No	BUY	500	97¢	$487	0x8795d8…
10-28 17:52:35	Exact Score: AC Oulu 0 - 3 Vaasan Palloseura?	No	SELL	66	100¢	$66	0xf5ae3b…
10-28 17:52:31	Exact Score: AC Oulu 0 - 3 Vaasan Palloseura?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xfb13a2…
10-28 17:52:28	Exact Score: AC Oulu 0 - 3 Vaasan Palloseura?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x07b50b…
10-28 17:52:26	Exact Score: AC Oulu 0 - 3 Vaasan Palloseura?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x065905…
10-28 17:52:23	Exact Score: AC Oulu 0 - 3 Vaasan Palloseura?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x04d813…
10-28 17:52:22	Exact Score: AC Oulu 0 - 3 Vaasan Palloseura?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xbde0f2…
10-28 17:52:22	Exact Score: AC Oulu 0 - 3 Vaasan Palloseura?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x551b81…
10-28 17:52:20	Exact Score: AC Oulu 0 - 3 Vaasan Palloseura?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xd2664a…
10-28 17:46:58	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x76f663…
10-28 17:01:26	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2f4b30…
10-28 17:00:13	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x79ef5b…
10-28 16:50:44	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x05f488…
10-28 16:50:26	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x95aeb8…
10-28 16:50:25	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	186	100¢	$186	0xab6d4c…
10-28 16:50:20	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xdfde39…
10-28 15:56:14	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	171	100¢	$171	0x35559b…
10-28 15:22:25	Exact Score: AC Oulu 0 - 3 Vaasan Palloseura?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$488	0xf0e406…
10-28 15:21:11	Exact Score: National Bank of Egypt Club 0 - 3 El Masry SC?	No	SELL	500	100¢	$500	0xd5d17d…
10-28 13:57:34	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 29?	No	BUY	63	56¢	$35	0x87376b…
10-28 13:53:58	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 28?	No	SELL	108	100¢	$108	0x92d70f…
10-28 10:47:16	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 29?	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xa725f9…
10-28 10:46:41	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xe2eef4…
10-28 08:26:20	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	171	100¢	$171	0xf5e7d2…
10-28 08:25:34	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x33af59…
10-28 08:25:23	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xced44c…
10-28 07:39:13	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x2bbddf…
10-28 05:59:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0xf65b02…
10-28 05:56:08	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on October 29?	No	BUY	60	60¢	$36	0x6c92a3…
10-28 05:52:08	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x43a30b…
10-28 05:49:22	Exact Score: National Bank of Egypt Club 0 - 3 El Masry SC?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xc3eb56…
10-28 05:49:22	Exact Score: National Bank of Egypt Club 0 - 3 El Masry SC?	No	BUY	347	98¢	$341	0xb4399c…
10-28 05:49:20	Exact Score: National Bank of Egypt Club 0 - 3 El Masry SC?	No	BUY	150	98¢	$147	0x6c06f2…
10-28 00:01:03	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	112	100¢	$112	0x4ccc93…
10-27 21:46:51	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	151	100¢	$151	0x90a6f8…
10-27 20:56:57	Exact Score: Ceará SC 0 - 3 Goiás EC?	No	BUY	290	99¢	$287	0xe9ef92…
10-27 20:56:08	Exact Score: Sheffield Wednesday FC 0 - 3 Cambridge United FC?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xa0f1ef…
10-27 20:56:05	Exact Score: Sheffield Wednesday FC 0 - 3 Cambridge United FC?	No	SELL	155	100¢	$155	0xe6d1b3…
10-27 20:56:05	Exact Score: Sheffield Wednesday FC 0 - 3 Cambridge United FC?	No	SELL	340	100¢	$340	0x11a126…
10-27 20:53:50	Exact Score: Ceará SC 0 - 3 Goiás EC?	No	BUY	220	99¢	$217	0xb8f30e…
10-27 19:01:50	Exact Score: Sheffield Wednesday FC 0 - 3 Cambridge United FC?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$492	0x1f0976…
10-27 18:59:38	Exact Score: FC Koper 0 - 3 NK Maribor?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x6d98a0…
10-27 18:59:38	Exact Score: FC Koper 0 - 3 NK Maribor?	No	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0x4ffc68…
10-27 18:59:38	Exact Score: FC Koper 0 - 3 NK Maribor?	No	SELL	440	100¢	$440	0x1a0dab…
10-27 18:43:53	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 28?	No	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0xd278cf…
10-27 18:41:53	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 28?	No	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xa74737…
10-27 17:20:05	Exact Score: FC Koper 0 - 3 NK Maribor?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$488	0x629bb1…
10-27 17:18:39	Exact Score: NK Radomlje 0 - 3 Mura Murska Sobota?	No	SELL	300	100¢	$300	0xc2fbd3…
10-27 16:43:06	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0xc20f28…
10-27 16:11:57	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	101	100¢	$101	0xd7179c…
10-27 15:40:59	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0x99faae…
10-27 15:27:03	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xf81dff…
10-27 15:26:51	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xc27a68…
10-27 15:24:08	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x646de3…
10-27 15:01:38	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x6f7b03…
10-27 14:41:00	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 28?	No	BUY	32	39¢	$12	0x5073fa…
10-27 14:39:44	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 28?	No	BUY	60	37¢	$22	0x7e305a…
10-27 13:25:35	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x0a9857…
10-27 13:13:59	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xe38dae…
10-27 13:10:38	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x4dad71…
10-27 13:09:59	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x8324f7…
10-27 13:09:44	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xec05cf…
10-27 13:09:44	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe0651f…
10-27 13:09:18	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0xebdad9…
10-27 12:54:51	Exact Score: NK Radomlje 0 - 3 Mura Murska Sobota?	No	BUY	300	97¢	$292	0x25770f…
10-27 12:49:54	Exact Score: Beijing Guoan 0 - 3 Jeonbuk FC?	No	SELL	500	99¢	$496	0xfe137c…