Realized P&L
-$81
Unrealized P&L
-$10
Hit rate
71.2%
Resolved
431
Trades
3,315
lifetime
Volume
$9.47K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$157
26 positions
First seen
2026-05-25
last 11-05 13:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 106 days
Categories
Politics
51% 62% -$3
Other
44% 69% -$47
Sports
2% 54% +$2
Pop-Culture
1% 75% -$37
Tech
1% 73% +$3
Crypto
1% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 102 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +68 $62 74¢ $50 -$12 11-03 12:21
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +47 $38 88¢ $41 +$3 10-24 16:06
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? Yes +13 $9 97¢ $12 +$3 11-04 07:16
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? No +10 $7 96¢ $9 +$3 11-04 05:19
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government? Yes +11 $10 77¢ $8 -$2 10-22 10:08
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? No +7 $6 96¢ $7 +$1 09-19 01:16
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +7 $2 92¢ $6 +$4 10-26 17:42
Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026? No +4 $7 97¢ $4 -$2 10-16 03:38
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +3 $3 97¢ $3 +$0 10-16 01:19
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +86 $2 2¢ $2 +$0 10-19 13:22
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +3 $3 78¢ $2 -$1 10-02 10:21
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +2 $1 96¢ $2 +$1 11-03 23:03
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +2 $2 100¢ $2 +$0 11-01 10:25
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? No +2 $2 98¢ $2 +$0 10-13 20:12
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +2 $1 98¢ $2 +$0 10-31 11:56
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? Yes +3 $1 34¢ $1 $0 10-22 09:15
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 No +1 -$1 94¢ $1 +$2 08-17 21:38
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +1 $1 68¢ $1 +$0 10-25 17:07
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +1 -$1 88¢ $1 +$1 08-21 06:03
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? No +11 $2 3¢ $0 -$2 11-04 09:15
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +4 $1 8¢ $0 -$1 10-25 01:10
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? Yes +1 $1 24¢ $0 $0 10-19 10:39
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +6 $5 3¢ $0 -$5 11-04 05:25
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $0 3¢ $0 $0 07-06 00:51
Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026? Yes +0 $1 3¢ $0 -$1 07-30 00:58
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +0 $2 0¢ $0 -$2 06-09 03:27