Creative-Governance — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

94.9%

Resolved

345

Trades

348

lifetime

Volume

$1.56K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-20

last 09-02 18:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 38 days

Categories

Other

88% 95% -$11

Politics

8% 100% +$5

Tech

2% 100% +$1

Crypto

2% 91% -$1

Sports

2% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $63-$70 in June?	1	$14	15	0	+15	Yes	+$1	06-30 18:25
will trump post ufc on truth social this week 20260622154014267	1	$14	15	0	+15	Yes	+$1	06-28 18:16
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	1	$14	15	0	+15	Yes	+$1	06-26 14:17
will meta dip to 540 by june 22 2026	1	$14	15	0	+15	No	+$1	06-26 15:14
will trump post uranium on truth social this week 20260612152704360	1	$14	15	0	+15	No	+$1	06-21 23:03
Qatar to win the second half?	1	$14	15	0	+15	Yes	-$14	06-13 13:02
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026?	1	$14	15	0	+15	No	+$1	07-01 15:44
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Neither team to score first?	1	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	06-13 14:49
Will Joe Reagan be the Democratic nominee for CO-05?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-29 18:00
will the announcers say mexico during the usa vs paraguay fifa world cup match 20260609202955346	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	06-12 22:26
Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-29 19:06
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	1	$9	10	0	+10	No	+$1	06-30 14:44
Will Quincy Bareebe be the Democratic nominee for MD-05?	1	$9	10	0	+10	No	+$1	06-22 18:01
Will Rushern Baker III be the Democratic nominee for MD-05?	1	$9	10	0	+10	No	+$1	06-22 18:01
Will Manny Rutinel be the Democratic nominee for CO-08?	1	$9	10	0	+10	Yes	+$1	06-29 18:00
Will Sam Burns win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open?	1	$9	10	0	+10	No	+$1	06-13 20:58
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	1	$9	10	0	+10	Yes	+$1	06-19 13:36
Will Waymo operate in 9 cities on June 30 2026?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	06-29 22:33
gpt 5pt6 released by june 23 2026	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	06-21 22:36
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	06-29 18:00
Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?	3	$7	13	13	+0	open	—	06-01 18:47
Will Anthony Constantino be the Republican nominee for NY-21?	1	$7	7	0	+7	Yes	+$0	06-22 19:42
tsla above 390 on june 26 2026	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	06-26 15:19
Will Victor Aguilar Jr. advance from the CA-14 primary election?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	06-01 18:01
Will Kevin Lincoln II advance from the CA-13 primary election?	1	$5	5	0	+5	Yes	+$0	06-01 18:01
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$5	5	0	+5	Yes	+$0	05-20 15:00
Will Tom Steyer finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	06-01 18:01
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on May 22?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	05-22 06:00
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on May 21?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	05-21 06:01
Will Ethereum dip to $2,050 on May 19?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	05-20 01:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-02 18:53:55	OFI leading at halftime?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x2d99cc…
07-03 06:58:29	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on July 3?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xda72fb…
07-03 06:40:53	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on July 3?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x74045a…
07-03 06:37:14	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xafe0f0…
07-03 06:23:02	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on July 3?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xb98c1e…
07-03 06:17:44	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on July 3?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x1818e1…
07-03 06:03:23	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x5544ec…
07-03 06:01:23	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on July 3?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x53030e…
07-02 07:26:14	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 7°C on July 2?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xcbc916…
07-02 06:31:55	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 2?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x809199…
07-02 06:17:50	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x5a171c…
07-02 06:14:13	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xa0a6cb…
07-02 06:10:37	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 2?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x1ffe90…
07-02 06:05:10	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on July 2?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xefb6d3…
07-02 06:03:26	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on July 2?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x450692…
07-02 06:01:29	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x0b4256…
07-01 15:46:37	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xf3541f…
07-01 15:44:38	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026?	No	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0x5e5bef…
07-01 11:29:34	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C or below on July 1?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xe89fb7…
07-01 06:29:11	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 1?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x3942af…
07-01 06:16:44	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 26°C on July 1?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x1addb9…
07-01 06:14:56	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 1?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x932258…
07-01 06:09:38	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C or below on July 1?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x4358da…
07-01 06:09:37	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on July 1?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x5ff995…
07-01 06:05:56	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xd095c9…
07-01 06:03:46	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 1?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xe141bc…
06-30 18:25:10	Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $63-$70 in June?	Yes	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0x28afd9…
06-30 14:44:08	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$9	0xb1956a…
06-30 06:03:31	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x982480…
06-29 23:19:37	Meta "Mango" model released by June 30?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xc9e240…
06-29 22:33:13	Will Waymo operate in 9 cities on June 30 2026?	No	BUY	9	95¢	$9	0x9705c5…
06-29 19:28:53	Rotisserie Chicken Act becomes law by June 30?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x9d4035…
06-29 19:06:40	Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xbb1e20…
06-29 18:00:23	Will Manny Rutinel be the Democratic nominee for CO-08?	Yes	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x4b5794…
06-29 18:00:19	Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	9	95¢	$9	0x7f4e28…
06-29 18:00:11	Will Joe Reagan be the Democratic nominee for CO-05?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x6b85f1…
06-29 18:00:08	will trump say buy dell computer buy a dell computer in june	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x513f69…
06-29 07:03:53	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on June 29?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xdcf876…
06-29 06:44:20	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 29?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xbdc483…
06-29 06:35:02	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on June 29?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x908959…
06-29 06:24:22	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on June 29?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x13cdeb…
06-29 06:20:52	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 29?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xf95ce7…
06-29 06:10:16	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 29°C on June 29?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x6e5ae4…
06-29 06:10:13	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x0a17bf…
06-29 06:06:28	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on June 29?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x3fbb29…
06-29 06:02:46	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on June 29?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x7ff0d3…
06-28 18:16:40	will trump post ufc on truth social this week 20260622154014267	Yes	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0x5fe5ca…
06-28 08:08:47	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 28?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xd4a9cf…
06-28 08:03:25	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x6b31e5…
06-28 07:08:07	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on June 28?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xcddc0a…
06-28 07:00:59	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 28?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x24ecc2…
06-28 06:39:47	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 28?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xe6e832…
06-28 06:39:47	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xa4d396…
06-28 06:25:29	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on June 28?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x376ffb…
06-28 06:11:14	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on June 28?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x043ec1…
06-27 15:11:10	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xf7b41d…
06-27 15:09:11	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x0d1c40…
06-27 07:34:58	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 27?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xc88f6d…
06-27 07:08:10	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 27°C on June 27?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x0cd9bf…
06-27 06:34:16	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 27?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x6c152a…
06-27 06:32:25	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 27?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xcf8310…
06-27 06:32:25	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 27?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x2db997…
06-27 06:28:49	Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on June 27?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x5873d3…
06-27 06:16:08	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 27?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xef95f5…
06-27 06:01:43	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 27?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x84c6b0…
06-27 06:01:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 27?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x5fb592…
06-26 21:38:46	will trump say mutilation during faith freedom coalition conference 20260626142533762	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x65277e…
06-26 15:19:47	tsla above 390 on june 26 2026	No	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x20611b…
06-26 15:14:14	will meta dip to 540 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0xdc83b6…
06-26 14:48:44	Will White House post 180-199 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xf172d2…
06-26 14:17:52	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0xab6dad…
06-26 14:01:31	Will Amazon (AMZN) close at <$220 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 22 – Jun 26?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x281f6a…
06-26 12:06:14	Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xad8358…
06-26 07:18:22	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on June 26?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x63ee66…
06-26 07:16:26	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x58a46b…
06-26 07:07:37	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xfd4e30…
06-26 06:58:31	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x7f0f21…
06-26 06:35:19	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on June 26?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x8d296b…
06-26 06:08:41	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on June 26?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xb83339…
06-26 06:01:20	Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on June 26?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xab71eb…
06-26 06:01:19	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on June 26?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x77031b…
06-26 06:01:16	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on June 26?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xb4ddde…
06-25 08:44:04	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 12°C on June 25?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x12a23c…
06-25 08:29:46	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x160698…
06-25 08:10:07	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x1f546d…
06-25 07:41:32	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on June 25?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x987dc8…
06-25 07:39:43	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 16°C on June 25?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xd158b3…
06-25 07:09:32	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xc4078b…
06-25 06:14:13	Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on June 25?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xb549e1…
06-25 06:03:25	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or below on June 25?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x55397c…
06-25 06:01:32	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on June 25?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xfa95c0…
06-24 21:50:35	will trump say hottest during june 24 rally 20260616194255606	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xdaf451…
06-24 21:34:22	will trump say third term during june 24 rally 20260616194255618	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xe727dd…
06-24 15:07:22	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xc54079…
06-24 15:07:19	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xd6e650…
06-24 06:53:11	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on June 24?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x9215dc…
06-24 06:42:26	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on June 24?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x9bcba4…
06-24 06:24:32	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 24?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x4ae0f1…
06-24 06:17:28	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xdf5048…
06-24 06:15:41	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on June 24?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xc34402…