Realized P&L
+$1.47K
Unrealized P&L
-$86
Hit rate
69.1%
Resolved
1,364
Trades
10,776
lifetime
Volume
$146.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$14
Open exposure
$4.41K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-29
last 10-26 16:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 199 days
Categories
Other
58% 66% +$1,732
Politics
34% 65% +$267
Sports
6% 44% -$326
Crypto
1% 59% -$233
Tech
1% 78% -$43
Pop-Culture
0% 83% +$77
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 178 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +1,376 $1,253 72¢ $984 -$269 10-15 06:57
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1,019 $846 83¢ $846 $0 10-24 16:06
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +368 $218 81¢ $297 +$79 10-25 07:59
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +332 $294 76¢ $253 -$41 09-16 19:01
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +27,927 $214 1¢ $209 -$5 09-14 18:35
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government? Yes +255 $223 75¢ $190 -$33 09-25 15:09
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +247 $172 74¢ $184 +$12 10-23 12:58
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +208 $130 67¢ $140 +$9 10-24 16:00
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +131 $113 92¢ $120 +$6 10-15 02:10
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +2,339 $100 5¢ $116 +$16 08-28 23:06
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? No +110 $93 92¢ $102 +$8 09-19 01:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +112 $49 88¢ $100 +$51 08-07 19:18
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +4,334 $24 2¢ $95 +$71 10-15 22:04
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? No +467 $114 20¢ $91 -$22 09-07 23:16
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +277 $68 24¢ $66 -$2 09-13 21:35
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? Yes +85 $51 70¢ $60 +$9 10-23 22:30
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No +70 $33 80¢ $56 +$22 10-19 19:34
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +186 $48 29¢ $53 +$5 10-04 22:48
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes -48 -$44 100¢ $-48 -$3 09-16 16:14
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24? Yes +45 $42 100¢ $45 +$3 10-23 02:25
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +228 $91 19¢ $44 -$47 09-26 08:20
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? No +43 $38 96¢ $41 +$3 10-13 20:12
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +276 $38 15¢ $40 +$2 10-14 01:39
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +227 $17 16¢ $36 +$20 09-15 13:29
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +53 $32 68¢ $36 +$4 10-25 06:11
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +40 $13 88¢ $35 +$22 10-23 13:33
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +95 $50 33¢ $31 -$18 09-30 22:02
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +1,469 $29 2¢ $30 +$1 10-18 14:56
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +31 $25 94¢ $29 +$4 10-25 03:21
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +30 $23 97¢ $29 +$6 10-25 11:23