Realized P&L
+$641
Unrealized P&L
+$259
Hit rate
88.9%
Resolved
55
Trades
4,310
lifetime
Volume
$46.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$1.02K
22 positions
First seen
2026-03-29
last 06-30 18:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 14 days
Categories
Politics
51% 88% +$3
Other
47% 81% +$638
Crypto
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Sports
0%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 210 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +346 $250 99¢ $344 +$94 06-15 00:10
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +304 $128 70¢ $214 +$86 06-21 00:13
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage? No +50 $50 99¢ $50 $-0 06-26 06:55
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30? No +43 $-202 99¢ $43 +$245 06-28 17:51
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No -42 $-39 100¢ $-42 $-3 06-11 15:28
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No +42 $40 100¢ $42 +$2 06-01 14:12
Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026? No +70 $49 59¢ $42 $-8 06-24 03:02
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026? No +42 $39 98¢ $41 +$2 06-27 01:52
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30? No -37 $-32 99¢ $-36 $-4 06-30 04:30
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No -31 $-29 100¢ $-31 $-2 06-12 06:24
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +29 $28 100¢ $29 +$2 06-20 21:08
Will Jared Goff attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No +30 $28 92¢ $28 +$0 06-30 20:47
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +95 $28 28¢ $26 $-1 06-30 20:09
Hantavirus outbreak by June 30? No -21 $-21 100¢ $-21 $-0 06-15 23:03
Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30? No +8 $7 100¢ $8 +$1 05-29 05:45
Will Andrew Tate attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No +7 $7 99¢ $7 +$0 06-30 20:46
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No -6 $12 100¢ $-6 $-18 06-14 10:15
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? Yes +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 06-29 23:25
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No +0 $-6 84¢ $0 +$7 06-30 21:28
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +27 $152 $0 $-152 06-22 12:18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -12 $-9 $-0 +$9 06-14 23:13
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $1 20¢ $0 $-1 06-12 07:29