Realized P&L
+$641
Unrealized P&L
+$15
Hit rate
88.9%
Resolved
55
Trades
3,361
lifetime
Volume
$33.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$134
11 positions
First seen
2026-03-29
last 06-09 23:26
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 14 days
Categories
Other
52% 81% +$638
Politics
46% 88% +$3
Crypto
1%
Sports
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
69 active days in 12wk • peak 210 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No +42 $40 98¢ $41 +$1 06-01 14:12
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No -32 $-22 88¢ $-28 $-6 05-29 20:31
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes -112 $-47 16¢ $-17 +$30 05-28 19:05
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? No +20 $13 62¢ $12 $-0 06-09 23:26
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30? No -10 $-9 92¢ $-9 $-0 05-28 15:14
Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30? No +8 $7 97¢ $8 +$1 05-29 05:45
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes +29 $9 18¢ $5 $-4 05-30 14:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +17 $12 30¢ $5 $-7 05-29 15:08
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? No +5 $2 72¢ $4 +$2 05-30 13:49
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +9 $4 38¢ $3 $-1 05-28 19:35
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +0 $0 100¢ $0 +$0 05-30 23:50