Subtle-Creditor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$641

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

88.9%

Resolved

Trades

6,106

lifetime

Volume

$78.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-29

last 08-10 22:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Other

55% 81% +$638

Politics

41% 88% +$3

Sports

2% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

80 active days in 12wk • peak 164 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	45	$2.0K	1,669	1,281	+389	open	—	06-16 11:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	128	$1.5K	1,115	960	+155	open	—	04-30 20:19
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	3	$1.5K	1,700	0	+1,700	open	—	07-19 21:44
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	115	$1.5K	2,236	1,100	+1,136	open	—	07-07 23:46
will graham platner drop out by july 8	108	$1.5K	3,094	892	+2,202	open	—	07-09 00:43
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - 1win Essence Group B	4	$1.4K	1,674	0	+1,674	Nigma Galaxy	+$241	05-04 19:16
starmer out by june 22 2026	95	$1.4K	1,445	575	+870	open	—	06-22 05:47
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	30	$1.1K	2,482	2,025	+457	open	—	07-17 02:24
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	136	$1.1K	1,041	1,041	+0	open	—	08-10 22:55
fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	2	$1.0K	556	556	+0	open	—	07-06 02:59
dota2 bb4 pari 2026 07 19 game4	1	$1000	1,020	0	+1,020	open	—	07-19 18:34
fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team to advance	6	$997	1,040	0	+1,040	open	—	07-01 17:51
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs South America Rejects - Game 3 Winner	5	$994	1,031	0	+1,031	open	—	05-01 16:55
will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	113	$956	2,416	0	+2,416	open	—	08-01 18:59
will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	82	$956	768	704	+64	open	—	07-01 20:59
fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 team to advance	1	$900	947	0	+947	open	—	06-30 21:46
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	72	$857	714	320	+393	open	—	04-30 22:40
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	30	$791	449	445	+4	open	—	06-20 02:56
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	28	$768	515	257	+257	open	—	05-14 14:39
Dota 2: 1win vs PlayTime (BO3) - 1win Essence Group A	12	$760	852	502	+350	open	—	05-04 18:12
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	20	$752	420	420	+0	open	—	07-29 17:40
will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 9 20260728155313321	21	$724	1,129	195	+934	open	—	08-09 00:40
fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	1	$700	729	0	+729	open	—	07-03 22:29
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	75	$693	780	470	+310	open	—	08-10 19:57
Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?	26	$670	337	337	+0	open	—	05-14 15:06
will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	32	$662	677	180	+497	open	—	08-10 21:46
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	44	$660	714	629	+85	open	—	08-09 21:10
will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171 832	38	$656	582	413	+169	open	—	07-29 17:35
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	21	$648	867	0	+867	open	—	08-08 23:22
will graham platner drop out by july 7	54	$593	1,296	0	+1,296	open	—	07-08 03:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 22:55:39	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	4	25¢	$1	0x2206fb…
08-10 22:44:01	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x968e4a…
08-10 22:39:39	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x8626cd…
08-10 22:38:36	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x05d364…
08-10 22:36:01	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x63a092…
08-10 21:46:33	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	No	BUY	58	95¢	$55	0x72d387…
08-10 21:40:04	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454	Yes	BUY	14	67¢	$9	0x879dc0…
08-10 21:25:01	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	85	90¢	$77	0x1b004e…
08-10 21:09:18	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454	Yes	BUY	14	68¢	$9	0x31fd85…
08-10 20:27:34	btc updown 5m 1786393500	Down	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0x460397…
08-10 19:57:22	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0xfaa191…
08-10 19:54:00	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xe4a14b…
08-10 19:50:52	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x137b86…
08-10 19:44:06	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	22	56¢	$12	0x1d1426…
08-10 18:40:24	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x9c6776…
08-10 18:23:57	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x4e2e6b…
08-10 18:01:07	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	11	25¢	$3	0x029bd3…
08-10 17:40:30	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	14	25¢	$3	0x4d39db…
08-10 16:43:12	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x2f2f21…
08-10 16:29:40	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454	Yes	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xf2ba43…
08-10 16:26:03	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	4	75¢	$3	0xfd619a…
08-10 16:17:12	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	3	75¢	$2	0x36c5f9…
08-10 16:17:10	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	26	75¢	$19	0x140090…
08-10 16:08:04	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	10	56¢	$5	0xd8a777…
08-10 15:59:43	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	BUY	8	81¢	$7	0x56b911…
08-10 15:53:13	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	76	70¢	$53	0x5010f3…
08-10 15:27:37	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	2	70¢	$2	0xe97305…
08-10 15:27:34	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	3	70¢	$2	0xbeed37…
08-10 15:27:34	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	3	70¢	$2	0x8d0a2b…
08-10 15:26:55	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0x9f255e…
08-10 15:24:24	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	9	70¢	$6	0xa9321e…
08-10 15:24:01	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	10	70¢	$7	0x4c6809…
08-10 13:54:01	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	28	67¢	$19	0x8ae7c1…
08-10 13:48:33	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	26	68¢	$18	0x2c1dba…
08-10 13:25:03	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xc194d4…
08-10 13:08:37	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x980c47…
08-10 09:11:12	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x0e037f…
08-10 07:37:33	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0xfe305c…
08-10 04:13:03	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by september 30 20260806194218452	No	BUY	29	88¢	$25	0x5fbb03…
08-10 01:40:15	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	27	56¢	$15	0x269303…
08-09 23:51:54	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xd8543e…
08-09 23:44:51	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	4	62¢	$3	0xe18d1a…
08-09 23:44:51	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0xadd9e2…
08-09 23:44:24	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	4	62¢	$3	0x1031a3…
08-09 23:39:04	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	No	BUY	29	96¢	$28	0x1bf698…
08-09 23:21:00	iran leadership change by august 31 669 893	No	BUY	59	97¢	$57	0x2ea75d…
08-09 23:13:00	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	SELL	65	16¢	$10	0x255b7e…
08-09 23:12:43	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0xb6ac8e…
08-09 23:04:48	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xc3f031…
08-09 23:01:57	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x1dfe03…
08-09 23:01:15	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	No	BUY	14	96¢	$14	0xfd50d1…
08-09 22:53:55	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	20	62¢	$13	0xbff1a1…
08-09 22:52:07	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	No	BUY	43	96¢	$41	0x4aeed2…
08-09 22:43:03	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	No	BUY	28	96¢	$27	0xc9c237…
08-09 22:01:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0x953780…
08-09 21:48:04	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	SELL	83	16¢	$13	0xb2dbc6…
08-09 21:10:48	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	22	20¢	$4	0xd9231d…
08-09 21:10:09	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	12	19¢	$2	0x73aadb…
08-09 21:02:49	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	23	56¢	$13	0x751c74…
08-09 20:47:34	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xe7c0b3…
08-09 19:43:27	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	SELL	6	88¢	$5	0xf794b9…
08-09 19:35:40	iran leadership change by august 31 669 893	No	BUY	27	97¢	$26	0x477f98…
08-09 18:43:12	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0xf8281a…
08-09 18:31:39	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0x65d9fe…
08-09 18:24:07	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x20b4f0…
08-09 18:14:43	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	SELL	10	85¢	$8	0xb31e20…
08-09 17:30:39	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	SELL	8	83¢	$7	0xbc9c88…
08-09 17:22:42	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	BUY	7	52¢	$3	0x224590…
08-09 17:22:36	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x0a25b0…
08-09 17:19:42	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x917c02…
08-09 17:19:42	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	Yes	BUY	34	49¢	$17	0x42070a…
08-09 17:17:36	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	SELL	33	84¢	$28	0x97b260…
08-09 10:56:54	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	SELL	18	57¢	$11	0xfa0890…
08-09 10:56:40	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	SELL	30	57¢	$17	0x408d1c…
08-09 03:29:55	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	SELL	6	71¢	$5	0xa0a5f2…
08-09 01:02:00	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	13	17¢	$2	0x83d19f…
08-09 00:40:25	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	No	SELL	126	95¢	$120	0x9e184b…
08-09 00:40:09	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 9 20260728155313321	No	SELL	182	96¢	$174	0x5222ae…
08-09 00:03:19	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	SELL	11	68¢	$7	0xf65e74…
08-09 00:00:13	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x19564e…
08-09 00:00:12	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	No	SELL	13	95¢	$13	0x1a5a59…
08-08 23:59:42	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	No	SELL	29	95¢	$28	0xe39bd1…
08-08 23:41:36	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	No	SELL	6	93¢	$6	0xaf517a…
08-08 23:22:58	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	7	77¢	$5	0xc226b0…
08-08 22:50:03	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x9ec0be…
08-08 22:42:40	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 9 20260728155313321	Yes	BUY	94	4¢	$4	0xd324e3…
08-08 21:02:07	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xc69065…
08-08 20:57:25	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	26	17¢	$4	0x7838df…
08-08 20:55:21	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	No	BUY	3	80¢	$3	0xafc8b3…
08-08 20:54:51	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xc96b3a…
08-08 20:44:10	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by september 30 20260806194218452	No	BUY	14	77¢	$11	0x33c936…
08-08 20:36:22	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	No	BUY	7	80¢	$6	0xd838e8…
08-08 20:35:51	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	SELL	57	19¢	$11	0x38eafe…
08-08 20:22:54	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	No	BUY	114	80¢	$91	0x20ac28…
08-08 20:02:12	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	57	65¢	$37	0x4d400d…
08-08 18:46:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	57	77¢	$44	0x5fc13c…
08-08 18:43:09	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	287	19¢	$55	0xd72c8e…
08-08 18:21:19	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by september 30 20260806194218452	No	BUY	41	65¢	$26	0x78740b…
08-08 18:20:48	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by september 30 20260806194218452	No	BUY	18	65¢	$11	0x9fad1c…
08-08 18:08:51	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	3	68¢	$2	0x14072d…