Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$2
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
9
lifetime
Volume
$108
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$84
5 positions
First seen
2026-05-05
last 05-06 02:24
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
59%
Politics
41%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026? No +27 $27 100¢ $27 +$0 05-06 02:24
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30? Yes +24 $23 98¢ $23 $-0 05-05 18:07
Iran closes its airspace by May 8? No +16 $14 94¢ $15 +$2 05-05 19:37
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? No +15 $15 99¢ $15 +$0 05-05 18:31
Israel closes its airspace by May 31? No +5 $3 66¢ $3 +$0 05-05 18:31