Realized P&L (7d)
-$444
Unrealized P&L
-$157
Hit rate
53.7%
Resolved (7d)
41
Trades (7d)
239
10,803 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$6.38K
$147.1K lifetime
Avg / trade
$14
Open exposure
$4.25K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-29
last 10-29 04:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 200 days
Categories
Other
58% 66% +$1,614
Politics
34% 65% +$275
Sports
6% 44% -$326
Crypto
1% 59% -$233
Tech
1% 78% -$43
Pop-Culture
0% 83% +$77
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 178 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +1,386 $1,260 72¢ $991 -$269 10-29 04:36
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1,019 $846 82¢ $841 -$5 10-24 16:06
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +332 $294 77¢ $255 -$39 09-16 19:01
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +293 $159 81¢ $238 +$79 10-27 16:00
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +27,927 $214 1¢ $209 -$5 09-14 18:35
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government? Yes +255 $223 75¢ $190 -$33 09-25 15:09
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +208 $130 69¢ $144 +$13 10-24 16:00
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +231 $159 54¢ $123 -$35 10-27 15:44
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +131 $113 92¢ $121 +$8 10-15 02:10
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +2,339 $100 5¢ $116 +$16 08-28 23:06
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? No +110 $93 92¢ $102 +$8 09-19 01:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +112 $49 88¢ $100 +$51 08-07 19:18
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +4,334 $24 2¢ $76 +$51 10-15 22:04
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? Yes +85 $51 82¢ $69 +$18 10-23 22:30
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? No +467 $114 15¢ $68 -$46 09-07 23:16
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +277 $68 23¢ $64 -$3 09-13 21:35
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No +70 $33 82¢ $58 +$24 10-19 19:34
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +186 $48 29¢ $53 +$5 10-04 22:48
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes -48 -$44 100¢ $-48 -$3 09-16 16:14
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +228 $91 19¢ $43 -$48 09-26 08:20
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +276 $38 15¢ $43 +$5 10-14 01:39
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? No +43 $38 96¢ $41 +$3 10-13 20:12
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +40 $13 98¢ $39 +$26 10-23 13:33
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +227 $17 16¢ $37 +$20 09-15 13:29
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +53 $32 68¢ $36 +$4 10-25 06:11
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +31 $25 97¢ $30 +$5 10-25 03:21
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +1,469 $29 2¢ $30 +$1 10-18 14:56
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +30 $23 100¢ $30 +$7 10-25 11:23
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +95 $50 31¢ $29 -$20 09-30 22:02
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +164 $23 17¢ $28 +$5 10-13 07:53