Realized P&L (30d)
Unrealized P&L
+$2
Hit rate
Resolved (30d)
0
Trades (30d)
11
11 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$114
$114 lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$91
7 positions
First seen
2026-05-05
last 05-06 04:29
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
60%
Politics
40%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026? No +27 $27 100¢ $27 +$0 05-06 02:24
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30? Yes +24 $23 97¢ $23 $-0 05-05 18:07
Iran closes its airspace by May 8? No +16 $14 94¢ $15 +$2 05-05 19:37
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? No +15 $15 99¢ $15 +$0 05-05 18:31
Will San Marino advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final? No -5 $-4 88¢ $-4 $-0 05-06 03:34
Israel closes its airspace by May 31? No +5 $3 66¢ $3 +$0 05-05 18:31
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? Yes -5 $-2 40¢ $-2 $-0 05-06 04:29