Realized P&L (30d)
-$203
Unrealized P&L
-$81
Hit rate
69.9%
Resolved (30d)
126
Trades (30d)
669
10,825 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$20.5K
$147.5K lifetime
Avg / trade
$14
Open exposure
$4.22K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-29
last 10-30 22:23
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 201 days
Categories
Other
58% 65% +$1,577
Politics
34% 65% +$275
Sports
6% 44% -$326
Crypto
1% 59% -$233
Tech
1% 78% -$43
Pop-Culture
0% 83% +$77
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 178 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +1,386 $1,260 72¢ $991 -$269 10-29 04:36
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1,019 $846 82¢ $841 -$5 10-24 16:06
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +332 $294 77¢ $256 -$38 09-16 19:01
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +293 $159 83¢ $243 +$84 10-27 16:00
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +27,927 $214 1¢ $209 -$5 09-14 18:35
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government? Yes +255 $223 70¢ $179 -$44 09-25 15:09
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +208 $130 72¢ $149 +$19 10-24 16:00
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +131 $113 94¢ $123 +$9 10-15 02:10
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +2,339 $100 5¢ $120 +$21 08-28 23:06
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? No +110 $93 92¢ $102 +$8 09-19 01:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +112 $49 90¢ $101 +$52 08-07 19:18
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? No +467 $114 16¢ $77 -$37 09-07 23:16
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +4,334 $24 2¢ $76 +$51 10-15 22:04
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +277 $68 23¢ $63 -$4 09-13 21:35
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? Yes +85 $51 72¢ $61 +$10 10-23 22:30
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No +70 $33 85¢ $60 +$26 10-19 19:34
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +57 $46 96¢ $54 +$8 10-30 11:28
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +186 $48 29¢ $53 +$5 10-04 22:48
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes -48 -$44 100¢ $-48 -$3 09-16 16:14
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +58 $43 78¢ $46 +$3 10-29 19:01
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +276 $38 15¢ $42 +$4 10-14 01:39
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? No +43 $38 96¢ $41 +$3 10-13 20:12
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +1,469 $29 3¢ $40 +$11 10-18 14:56
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +40 $13 99¢ $40 +$26 10-23 13:33
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +228 $91 17¢ $39 -$52 09-26 08:20
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +227 $17 17¢ $38 +$22 09-15 13:29
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +101 $37 36¢ $36 -$1 10-30 23:00
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +53 $32 64¢ $34 +$2 10-25 06:11
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +31 $25 96¢ $30 +$5 10-25 03:21
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +30 $23 100¢ $30 +$7 10-25 11:23