Realized P&L
+$1.49K
Unrealized P&L
-$102
Hit rate
69.2%
Resolved
1,385
Trades
10,861
lifetime
Volume
$148.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$14
Open exposure
$4.37K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-29
last 11-01 14:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 203 days
Categories
Other
58% 66% +$1,577
Politics
35% 66% +$321
Sports
6% 44% -$326
Crypto
1% 59% -$233
Tech
1% 79% +$67
Pop-Culture
0% 86% +$79
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 178 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +1,386 $1,260 70¢ $977 -$283 10-29 04:36
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1,019 $846 82¢ $841 -$5 10-24 16:06
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +332 $294 77¢ $255 -$39 09-16 19:01
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +293 $159 84¢ $247 +$87 10-27 16:00
Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? Yes +249 $163 95¢ $237 +$74 11-01 09:33
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +27,927 $214 1¢ $209 -$5 09-14 18:35
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government? Yes +255 $223 71¢ $180 -$43 09-25 15:09
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +223 $141 70¢ $157 +$16 11-01 03:56
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +131 $113 94¢ $124 +$10 10-15 02:10
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +2,339 $100 5¢ $117 +$17 08-28 23:06
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? No +110 $93 96¢ $106 +$13 09-19 01:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +112 $49 88¢ $98 +$50 08-07 19:18
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +4,334 $24 2¢ $78 +$54 10-15 22:04
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? No +467 $114 16¢ $72 -$41 09-07 23:16
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +277 $68 23¢ $64 -$3 09-13 21:35
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? Yes +85 $51 74¢ $63 +$12 10-23 22:30
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +57 $46 99¢ $56 +$10 10-30 11:28
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +186 $48 30¢ $55 +$7 10-04 22:48
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes -48 -$44 100¢ $-48 -$3 09-16 16:14
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +276 $38 15¢ $42 +$4 10-14 01:39
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? No +43 $38 97¢ $41 +$3 10-13 20:12
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +1,469 $29 3¢ $38 +$9 10-18 14:56
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +101 $37 37¢ $37 +$0 10-30 23:00
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +228 $91 16¢ $36 -$55 09-26 08:20
Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026? Yes +37 $35 94¢ $35 $0 10-31 19:21
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +217 $15 16¢ $35 +$20 11-01 14:55
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +53 $32 66¢ $35 +$3 10-25 06:11
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +95 $50 30¢ $28 -$22 09-30 22:02
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +164 $23 16¢ $27 +$4 10-13 07:53
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +36 $23 74¢ $27 +$3 10-08 01:42