Realized P&L
+$1.33K
Unrealized P&L
-$96
Hit rate
69.1%
Resolved
1,373
Trades
10,827
lifetime
Volume
$147.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$14
Open exposure
$4.21K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-29
last 10-31 01:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 201 days
Categories
Other
58% 65% +$1,577
Politics
34% 65% +$275
Sports
6% 44% -$326
Crypto
1% 59% -$233
Tech
1% 78% -$43
Pop-Culture
0% 83% +$77
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 178 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +1,386 $1,260 70¢ $977 -$283 10-29 04:36
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1,019 $846 82¢ $841 -$5 10-24 16:06
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +332 $294 74¢ $246 -$48 09-16 19:01
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +293 $159 84¢ $245 +$86 10-27 16:00
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +27,927 $214 1¢ $209 -$5 09-14 18:35
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government? Yes +255 $223 70¢ $178 -$45 09-25 15:09
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +208 $130 72¢ $149 +$19 10-24 16:00
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +131 $113 94¢ $123 +$9 10-15 02:10
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +2,339 $100 5¢ $120 +$21 08-28 23:06
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? No +110 $93 92¢ $102 +$8 09-19 01:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +112 $49 88¢ $100 +$51 08-07 19:18
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? No +467 $114 16¢ $77 -$37 09-07 23:16
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +4,334 $24 2¢ $76 +$51 10-15 22:04
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +277 $68 26¢ $72 +$4 09-13 21:35
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? Yes +85 $51 71¢ $60 +$9 10-23 22:30
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No +70 $33 85¢ $60 +$26 10-19 19:34
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +186 $48 30¢ $55 +$7 10-04 22:48
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +57 $46 96¢ $55 +$9 10-30 11:28
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes -48 -$44 100¢ $-48 -$3 09-16 16:14
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +58 $43 76¢ $44 +$2 10-29 19:01
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +276 $38 16¢ $43 +$5 10-14 01:39
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? No +43 $38 96¢ $41 +$3 10-13 20:12
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +1,469 $29 3¢ $40 +$11 10-18 14:56
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +40 $13 99¢ $40 +$26 10-23 13:33
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +227 $17 17¢ $38 +$22 09-15 13:29
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +101 $37 38¢ $38 +$1 10-30 23:00
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +228 $91 16¢ $37 -$54 09-26 08:20
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +53 $32 65¢ $34 +$2 10-25 06:11
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +31 $25 98¢ $31 +$5 10-25 03:21
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +30 $23 99¢ $30 +$7 10-25 11:23