Realized P&L (90d)
+$2.28K
Unrealized P&L
-$154
Hit rate
73.5%
Resolved (90d)
368
Trades (90d)
3,345
10,905 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$56.7K
$149.4K lifetime
Avg / trade
$14
Open exposure
$4.85K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-29
last 11-03 01:30
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 204 days
Categories
Other
57% 66% +$1,577
Politics
35% 66% +$321
Sports
6% 44% -$302
Crypto
1% 59% -$233
Tech
1% 79% +$67
Pop-Culture
0% 86% +$79
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 178 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +1,411 $1,277 64¢ $910 -$366 11-02 22:25
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1,019 $846 82¢ $841 -$5 10-24 16:06
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +293 $159 84¢ $248 +$88 10-27 16:00
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +332 $294 67¢ $223 -$71 09-16 19:01
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +27,927 $214 1¢ $209 -$5 09-14 18:35
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +275 $179 74¢ $205 +$26 11-02 23:58
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +270 $200 76¢ $204 +$4 11-02 22:52
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? No +196 $52 99¢ $195 +$142 11-02 22:42
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government? Yes +255 $223 69¢ $177 -$46 09-25 15:09
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +161 $142 94¢ $152 +$10 11-02 17:36
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +345 $234 35¢ $122 -$112 11-03 01:22
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +2,339 $100 5¢ $117 +$17 08-28 23:06
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3? No — +121 $98 91¢ $110 +$12 11-03 01:08
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? No +110 $93 96¢ $106 +$13 09-19 01:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +112 $49 88¢ $100 +$51 08-07 19:18
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4? No +94 $75 98¢ $92 +$18 11-03 01:30
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +277 $68 33¢ $91 +$23 09-13 21:35
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? No +147 $87 61¢ $90 +$3 11-03 01:29
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +4,334 $24 2¢ $76 +$51 10-15 22:04
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? No +467 $114 15¢ $68 -$46 09-07 23:16
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +186 $48 36¢ $66 +$18 10-04 22:48
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +100 $49 65¢ $65 +$16 11-03 01:25
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? Yes +165 $75 39¢ $64 -$11 11-03 01:27
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? No +72 $54 78¢ $56 +$2 11-02 23:46
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes +300 $61 18¢ $56 -$6 11-02 22:51
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes -48 -$44 100¢ $-48 -$3 09-16 16:14
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +276 $38 15¢ $42 +$4 10-14 01:39
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? No +43 $38 97¢ $41 +$3 10-13 20:12
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +1,469 $29 3¢ $40 +$10 10-18 14:56
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +45 $34 80¢ $36 +$3 11-02 23:27