Good-Regime — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.7%

Resolved

116

Trades

252

lifetime

Volume

$1.54K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-20

last 08-31 03:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 53 days

Categories

Other

93% 58% -$13

Tech

5% 100% +$1

Politics

2% 50% -$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by June 30?	2	$42	21	21	+0	No	$0	06-25 12:50
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?	1	$35	35	0	+35	No	+$0	06-20 18:13
Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?	2	$29	15	15	+0	Yes	+$1	06-04 02:10
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	2	$27	14	14	+0	Yes	+$0	04-29 11:19
Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?	2	$26	13	13	+0	No	+$0	05-19 16:25
Will Madison Sheahan be the Republican nominee for OH-09?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-04 17:51
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?	2	$19	10	10	+0	No	+$0	07-01 04:53
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$19	10	10	+0	No	+$1	04-30 16:08
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 36°C on May 2?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-01 21:15
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on May 31?	3	$15	30	0	+30	No	$0	05-30 14:44
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on June 21?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-20 21:34
Will the highest temperature in London be 37°C on June 23?	4	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-22 20:07
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on May 2?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-02 06:53
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on May 29?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	$0	05-29 13:39
highest temperature in wuhan on april 23 2026 17c	2	$15	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	04-23 08:28
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in May 2026?	4	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-10 15:00
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on June 20?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-19 22:36
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on June 28?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-28 06:07
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 6?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-06 03:40
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 25?	4	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-25 01:43
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 5?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-04 17:12
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on May 4?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-04 09:16
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 3?	4	$15	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	05-03 05:03
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of August 2026?	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	08-31 03:32
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on June 8?	1	$15	15	0	+15	Yes	-$15	06-08 00:43
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on June 18?	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	06-17 12:16
highest temperature in kuala lumpur on april 21 2026 34c	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	04-20 14:50
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 27?	2	$14	28	0	+28	No	$0	04-26 15:20
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C on May 6?	3	$14	28	0	+28	No	$0	05-05 14:42
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 29?	3	$14	28	0	+28	No	+$0	05-29 07:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-31 03:32:27	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x538664…
08-31 02:39:18	Will OpenAI be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x8d5c95…
07-01 04:53:07	Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x2434b4…
06-29 18:28:37	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C or below on June 30?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0x80ab69…
06-29 12:02:13	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C or below on June 30?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x8a3395…
06-29 02:41:23	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x2dd47f…
06-29 00:02:44	Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x3b39af…
06-28 06:07:50	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0xf65910…
06-28 01:51:50	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on June 28?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x5d1101…
06-27 15:57:34	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 85°F or below on June 28?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xd9fdaf…
06-27 12:03:29	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 85°F or below on June 28?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x0fe7bb…
06-26 10:56:44	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x31fb0d…
06-26 10:38:26	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x833156…
06-26 10:26:02	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x5ce8b5…
06-26 08:05:49	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on June 26?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xd2002e…
06-25 12:50:28	Mike Johnson out as Speaker by June 30?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x8450e1…
06-25 12:50:08	Mike Johnson out as Speaker by June 30?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x3395e0…
06-25 01:43:32	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xa8b67f…
06-25 01:43:32	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x52d22e…
06-25 01:43:32	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x29891f…
06-25 00:13:49	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 25?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x0eab5b…
06-24 06:36:02	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0xe5ea8f…
06-24 06:11:44	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on June 24?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xac3e9e…
06-22 20:07:37	Will the highest temperature in London be 37°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x6dd4f8…
06-22 20:07:07	Will the highest temperature in London be 37°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x41f5dc…
06-22 20:06:59	Will the highest temperature in London be 37°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x159a57…
06-22 20:06:23	Will the highest temperature in London be 37°C on June 23?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x2de2c2…
06-20 21:34:49	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on June 21?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x5023f2…
06-20 20:23:35	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on June 21?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x8578ce…
06-20 18:13:28	Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xa4d405…
06-19 22:36:38	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on June 20?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x7d1d24…
06-19 14:57:52	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on June 20?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xb5983d…
06-17 15:21:40	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xe82933…
06-17 15:21:40	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0xa37afb…
06-17 12:25:16	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 18?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x7ecda4…
06-17 12:16:04	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on June 18?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x26214a…
06-17 12:01:41	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on June 18?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd77c94…
06-17 12:01:37	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C or higher on June 18?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x77206c…
06-17 12:01:08	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C or higher on June 18?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x76e47f…
06-16 05:08:58	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on June 16?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0xeb346d…
06-16 04:21:54	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on June 16?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x2e146c…
06-15 09:16:21	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on June 15?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0xa1230c…
06-15 09:06:09	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on June 15?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x8b5075…
06-15 08:16:19	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on June 15?	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0x6d9620…
06-15 04:18:06	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on June 15?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x1e8420…
06-14 06:07:34	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0x57e86b…
06-14 05:25:48	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on June 14?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x1fd725…
06-13 12:56:33	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xc56e95…
06-13 11:53:03	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on June 13?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe47281…
06-12 19:17:24	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xe30a9d…
06-12 13:55:52	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 13?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x31e8cf…
06-11 18:01:40	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0xae46be…
06-11 17:05:43	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on June 12?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xd16a82…
06-11 04:01:10	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on June 11?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0xf513e4…
06-11 01:52:00	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on June 11?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xa82678…
06-10 15:00:25	Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0x21ddb2…
06-10 15:00:24	Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0xfd6991…
06-10 15:00:24	Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0xa278c6…
06-09 00:01:21	Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in May 2026?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x26ea57…
06-08 00:43:16	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on June 8?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xc871d9…
06-07 16:57:42	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x48ec11…
06-07 15:59:15	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0xc9d684…
06-07 10:46:19	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on June 7?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x229d44…
06-06 16:30:12	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x33ee51…
06-06 16:07:42	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x3b14ad…
06-06 15:58:04	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on June 7?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xeaa5bf…
06-06 02:13:27	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on June 6?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0x1a3835…
06-06 02:13:19	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on June 6?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xf0a8e7…
06-05 13:19:58	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on June 6?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xab425f…
06-05 13:01:33	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x54df38…
06-05 12:02:36	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on June 6?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x09c0c3…
06-04 12:03:04	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on June 5?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xbecb2b…
06-04 02:10:48	Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x92b658…
06-03 09:00:23	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0x5ff189…
06-03 08:53:58	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on June 3?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0xffd805…
06-02 12:51:05	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0xf82db8…
06-02 12:04:53	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 3?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x6d699b…
06-02 00:00:56	Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	15	91¢	$14	0xf3c8d4…
06-01 15:04:14	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on June 2?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x74f745…
06-01 12:08:51	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on June 2?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x9531ff…
05-31 21:20:09	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on June 1?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x0c47a7…
05-31 19:37:39	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on May 31?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0xce17e6…
05-31 19:14:51	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on June 1?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0xf539c4…
05-31 08:30:16	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on May 31?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xd8d55a…
05-30 14:44:08	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on May 31?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x612168…
05-30 14:43:56	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on May 31?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0xa1eb55…
05-30 13:16:17	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on May 31?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xd654a7…
05-30 05:29:55	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x818559…
05-30 05:23:40	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on May 30?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x66e961…
05-29 19:41:34	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x5fafe7…
05-29 19:25:45	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on May 30?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x819734…
05-29 13:39:50	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x179fbc…
05-29 07:25:03	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x47a8c9…
05-29 07:25:03	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x418004…
05-29 06:57:41	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 29?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xdc578d…
05-28 12:45:24	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on May 29?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x22b914…
05-28 04:11:53	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0x21631d…
05-28 04:11:02	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 28?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0xf17555…
05-28 00:11:59	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x5d6621…
05-28 00:00:05	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x723599…