Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?
open
Total volume
$176
Trades
22
Unique wallets
12
Liquidity
$437
Latest YES mid
18¢
Latest NO mid
82¢
End date
2026-06-30
First seen
2026-05-30
last 06-16 20:43
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 1 | $6 | — | +$6 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 3 | $5 | $20 | $15 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | $4 | $26 | $22 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 4 | $11 | $84 | $73 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $6 | $9 | $4 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| Median | 2 | — | $21 | $21 |
| Below median | 2 | $5 | $5 | +$0 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $5 | $11 | $6 |
| unranked | 3 | $6 | $84 | $78 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ruddy-Check 0x8292…0fbd | No | +105 | $84 | $84 | 5 | 06-16 07:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x0901…5e7a | Yes | +38 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-04 07:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xe9aa…a9f8 | Yes | +27 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-16 07:59 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +25 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-30 11:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | +25 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-30 11:18 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +20 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 06-16 07:59 |
| Immaculate-President 0x3082…9446 | No | +14 | $11 | $11 | 2 | 06-16 20:43 |
| Enraged-Youth 0x5522…c807 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 06-04 07:02 |
| Keen-Loneliness 0x966b…2ee6 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-16 07:59 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-16 20:43:29 | Immaculate-President 0x3082…9446 | No | BUY | 8 | 73¢ | $6 | 0xb1e18e… |
| 06-16 20:43:29 | Gracious-Cayenne 0x582a…7bb2 | No | SELL | 8 | 73¢ | $6 | 0xb1e18e… |
| 06-16 07:59:01 | Immaculate-President 0x3082…9446 | No | BUY | 6 | 83¢ | $5 | 0x81567f… |
| 06-16 07:59:01 | (anonymous) 0xe9aa…a9f8 | Yes | BUY | 27 | 19¢ | $5 | 0x81567f… |
| 06-16 07:59:01 | Keen-Loneliness 0x966b…2ee6 | No | BUY | 6 | 83¢ | $5 | 0x81567f… |
| 06-16 07:59:01 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 0 | 51¢ | $0 | 0x81567f… |
| 06-16 07:59:01 | Ruddy-Check 0x8292…0fbd | No | BUY | 15 | 81¢ | $12 | 0x81567f… |
| 06-11 07:33:27 | Disgusting-Sphynx 0x32dd…9d72 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x6fc6ba… |
| 06-11 07:33:27 | Gracious-Cayenne 0x582a…7bb2 | No | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x6fc6ba… |
| 06-04 10:25:16 | Ruddy-Check 0x8292…0fbd | No | BUY | 5 | 81¢ | $4 | 0xc36eca… |
| 06-04 10:25:16 | Disgusting-Sphynx 0x32dd…9d72 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 19¢ | $1 | 0xc36eca… |
| 06-04 08:47:19 | Ruddy-Check 0x8292…0fbd | No | BUY | 12 | 81¢ | $10 | 0x2c56e4… |
| 06-04 08:47:19 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | SELL | 12 | 81¢ | $10 | 0x2c56e4… |
| 06-04 07:02:55 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | BUY | 12 | 86¢ | $10 | 0x50aa88… |
| 06-04 07:02:55 | (anonymous) 0x0901…5e7a | Yes | BUY | 38 | 13¢ | $5 | 0x50aa88… |
| 06-04 07:02:55 | Enraged-Youth 0x5522…c807 | No | BUY | 10 | 92¢ | $9 | 0x50aa88… |
| 06-04 07:02:55 | Gracious-Cayenne 0x582a…7bb2 | No | BUY | 13 | 85¢ | $11 | 0x50aa88… |
| 06-04 07:02:55 | Ruddy-Check 0x8292…0fbd | No | BUY | 3 | 81¢ | $2 | 0x50aa88… |
| 05-30 11:18:27 | Ruddy-Check 0x8292…0fbd | No | BUY | 70 | 80¢ | $56 | 0x82f050… |
| 05-30 11:18:27 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 19¢ | $5 | 0x82f050… |
| 05-30 11:18:27 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 20¢ | $4 | 0x82f050… |
| 05-30 11:18:27 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 22¢ | $6 | 0x82f050… |