Realized P&L
+$52
Unrealized P&L
+$6
Hit rate
85.1%
Resolved
745
Trades
4,757
lifetime
Volume
$10.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$32
26 positions
First seen
2026-04-13
last 06-27 18:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Crypto
100% 86% +$52
Other
0%
Politics
0%
Tech
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
72 active days in 12wk • peak 293 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No +2 $1 100¢ $2 +$1 06-11 07:04
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No +2 $1 100¢ $2 +$1 06-13 11:10
Will any AI model reach 1550 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 06-11 06:54
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 06-13 06:21
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $85 on the final trading day of June 2026? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 06-12 15:25
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 06-11 06:54
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 06-11 18:13
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 06-11 06:54
Will Silver (SI) settle over $70 on the final trading day of June 2026? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 06-11 06:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 06-11 19:44
Larry Wheels divorce by June 30? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 +$0 06-11 06:54
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 06-11 19:44
Will Lana Del Rey release a new album by June 30? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 06-11 17:43
Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 06-20 20:08
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 06-11 06:54
Will Silver (SI) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 06-11 11:22
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 06-11 06:54
McDonald's CEO out by June 30? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 06-11 07:04
Nocries signs for a pro CS2 organization by June 30? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 06-19 17:36
Will another AI-generated song reach number 1 on any Billboard chart by June 30? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 06-11 06:54
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30? No +1 $1 95¢ $1 +$0 06-13 05:22
Will Waymo launch in Dallas by June 30 2026? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 +$0 06-11 06:53
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? No +1 $1 82¢ $1 +$0 06-02 18:39
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? No +1 $1 85¢ $1 +$0 06-03 07:30
Kim Kardashian and Lewis Hamilton confirmed relationship by June 30? No +2 $1 62¢ $1 +$0 06-11 06:54
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? No +1 $1 $0 $-1 06-27 18:43