Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026?
open
Total volume
$739
Trades
60
Unique wallets
28
Liquidity
$29
Latest YES mid
2¢
Latest NO mid
98¢
End date
2026-06-30
First seen
2026-05-29
last 06-18 04:16
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-9.1¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $100
vs crowd: 9% YES on $686)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 3 | $6 | — | +$6 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 8 | $34 | $541 | $507 |
| 🐟 Fish | 12 | $10 | $33 | $23 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 5 | $13 | $49 | $37 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $100 | $100 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $7 | — | +$7 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 7 | $3 | $434 | $431 |
| Median | 2 | $6 | — | +$6 |
| Below median | 2 | $10 | $15 | $5 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $19 | $5 | +$14 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $14 | $47 | $34 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| unranked | 2 | $1 | $22 | $21 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sore-Pitching 0x564f…7026 | No | +265 | $235 | $235 | 3 | 06-14 02:38 |
| Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | +208 | $13 | $13 | 6 | 06-18 04:16 |
| Serpentine-Illusion 0xc412…592d | No | +199 | $193 | $193 | 1 | 06-18 04:16 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +151 | $14 | $14 | 4 | 06-17 14:42 |
| Rundown-Schoolhouse 0x6abe…d6a5 | No | +103 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-17 14:42 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +55 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-18 04:16 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | +51 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-17 14:42 |
| Grizzled-Strudel 0xb980…73b0 | Yes | +38 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-14 15:17 |
| Brave-Hummus 0x8673…4025 | No | +37 | $34 | $34 | 2 | 06-14 02:38 |
| Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | +30 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-18 04:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | +25 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-11 06:03 |
| Wonderful-Volatility 0x0739…aba8 | No | +25 | $22 | $22 | 2 | 06-11 06:03 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +23 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 06-08 18:18 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +21 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-11 06:03 |
| Scarce-Cormorant 0x9f16…7013 | Yes | +20 | $1 | $1 | 3 | 06-18 04:16 |
| Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | +20 | $1 | $6 | 5 | 06-18 04:00 |
| Plush-Reminder 0x1964…5e04 | No | +18 | $15 | $15 | 2 | 06-08 18:19 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +13 | $3 | $3 | 4 | 06-11 06:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 06-14 15:17 |
| Gracious-Cayenne 0x582a…7bb2 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $5 | 3 | 06-14 15:17 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-18 04:16:34 | Serpentine-Illusion 0xc412…592d | No | BUY | 199 | 97¢ | $193 | 0xe0c50b… |
| 06-18 04:16:34 | Scarce-Cormorant 0x9f16…7013 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xe0c50b… |
| 06-18 04:16:34 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xe0c50b… |
| 06-18 04:16:34 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 55 | 3¢ | $2 | 0xe0c50b… |
| 06-18 04:16:34 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 104 | 3¢ | $3 | 0xe0c50b… |
| 06-18 04:00:49 | Shameful-Ram 0x726c…6bfd | No | SELL | 10 | 93¢ | $10 | 0x325759… |
| 06-18 04:00:49 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x325759… |
| 06-17 14:42:28 | Scarce-Cormorant 0x9f16…7013 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x5fb8e3… |
| 06-17 14:42:28 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | BUY | 51 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x5fb8e3… |
| 06-17 14:42:28 | Rundown-Schoolhouse 0x6abe…d6a5 | No | BUY | 103 | 97¢ | $100 | 0x5fb8e3… |
| 06-17 14:42:28 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 50 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x5fb8e3… |
| 06-14 15:17:39 | Grizzled-Strudel 0xb980…73b0 | Yes | BUY | 38 | 7¢ | $3 | 0xf1712d… |
| 06-14 15:17:39 | Gracious-Cayenne 0x582a…7bb2 | Yes | SELL | 33 | 7¢ | $2 | 0xf1712d… |
| 06-14 15:17:39 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xf1712d… |
| 06-14 04:15:36 | Robust-Fox 0xdc17…c4ab | Yes | SELL | 13 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xa8a529… |
| 06-14 04:15:36 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xa8a529… |
| 06-14 04:15:36 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xa8a529… |
| 06-14 02:38:42 | Scarce-Cormorant 0x9f16…7013 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xecbb98… |
| 06-14 02:38:42 | Brave-Hummus 0x8673…4025 | No | BUY | 36 | 93¢ | $33 | 0xecbb98… |
| 06-14 02:38:42 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xecbb98… |
| 06-14 02:38:42 | Intent-Property 0x57f5…c1c9 | No | SELL | 11 | 92¢ | $10 | 0xecbb98… |
| 06-14 02:38:31 | Sunny-Hype 0x4247…455f | No | SELL | 10 | 91¢ | $9 | 0x5e42f9… |
| 06-14 02:38:31 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 52 | 9¢ | $5 | 0x5e42f9… |
| 06-14 02:38:31 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 50 | 9¢ | $4 | 0x5e42f9… |
| 06-14 02:38:31 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x5e42f9… |
| 06-14 02:38:31 | Sore-Pitching 0x564f…7026 | No | BUY | 121 | 91¢ | $110 | 0x5e42f9… |
| 06-11 11:35:07 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 15¢ | $2 | 0xfd8ce2… |
| 06-11 11:35:07 | Robust-Fox 0xdc17…c4ab | Yes | BUY | 13 | 15¢ | $2 | 0xfd8ce2… |
| 06-11 06:03:48 | Brave-Hummus 0x8673…4025 | No | BUY | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0xf2b074… |
| 06-11 06:03:48 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xf2b074… |
| 06-11 06:03:22 | Wonderful-Volatility 0x0739…aba8 | No | BUY | 10 | 91¢ | $9 | 0xcd9dd3… |
| 06-11 06:03:22 | Gracious-Cayenne 0x582a…7bb2 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xcd9dd3… |
| 06-11 06:03:21 | Sore-Pitching 0x564f…7026 | No | BUY | 57 | 87¢ | $50 | 0x9b0882… |
| 06-11 06:03:21 | Gracious-Cayenne 0x582a…7bb2 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x9b0882… |
| 06-11 06:03:21 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 16¢ | $4 | 0x9b0882… |
| 06-11 06:03:21 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x9b0882… |
| 06-11 06:03:21 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 2 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x9b0882… |
| 06-11 05:08:09 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 12¢ | $2 | 0xc0046e… |
| 06-11 05:08:09 | Wonderful-Volatility 0x0739…aba8 | No | BUY | 14 | 88¢ | $13 | 0xc0046e… |
| 06-11 05:08:07 | Sore-Pitching 0x564f…7026 | No | BUY | 86 | 87¢ | $75 | 0xfbd92c… |
| 06-11 05:08:07 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 11¢ | $2 | 0xfbd92c… |
| 06-11 05:08:07 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 16 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xfbd92c… |
| 06-11 05:08:07 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 50 | 15¢ | $8 | 0xfbd92c… |
| 06-08 18:19:28 | Plush-Reminder 0x1964…5e04 | No | BUY | 11 | 90¢ | $10 | 0x016832… |
| 06-08 18:19:28 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 11 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x016832… |
| 06-08 18:19:19 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 21¢ | $0 | 0x50efe1… |
| 06-08 18:19:19 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 22 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x50efe1… |
| 06-08 18:19:19 | Plush-Reminder 0x1964…5e04 | Yes | SELL | 23 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x50efe1… |
| 06-08 18:18:36 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 23 | 56¢ | $13 | 0x949d80… |
| 06-08 18:18:36 | Plush-Reminder 0x1964…5e04 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 44¢ | $10 | 0x949d80… |
| 06-08 18:18:06 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 25¢ | $0 | 0x16558a… |
| 06-08 18:18:06 | Plush-Reminder 0x1964…5e04 | No | BUY | 7 | 74¢ | $5 | 0x16558a… |
| 06-06 21:04:40 | Shameful-Ram 0x726c…6bfd | No | BUY | 10 | 60¢ | $6 | 0xf416a6… |
| 06-06 21:04:40 | Immaculate-President 0x3082…9446 | No | SELL | 10 | 60¢ | $6 | 0xf416a6… |
| 06-02 03:04:57 | Immaculate-President 0x3082…9446 | No | BUY | 8 | 45¢ | $4 | 0xbd981a… |
| 06-02 03:04:57 | Fixed-Eaglet 0xe53c…e569 | No | SELL | 8 | 45¢ | $4 | 0xbd981a… |
| 06-01 10:48:46 | Immaculate-President 0x3082…9446 | No | BUY | 2 | 43¢ | $1 | 0xe2a836… |
| 06-01 10:48:46 | Ultimate-Rostrum 0x9b43…33ce | No | SELL | 2 | 43¢ | $1 | 0xe2a836… |
| 05-29 13:37:18 | Putrid-Reunion 0xa6f7…1f33 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 63¢ | $4 | 0x630877… |
| 05-29 13:37:18 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | No | SELL | 7 | 37¢ | $3 | 0x630877… |