Far-Off-Entirety — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3.68K

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

68.2%

Resolved

9,917

Trades

43,739

lifetime

Volume

$17.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-19

last 11-02 21:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 255 days

Categories

Other

75% 25% +$2,822

Crypto

10% 29% +$84

Sports

7% 22% +$312

Politics

6% 64% +$385

Tech

1% 79% +$50

Pop-Culture

0% 69% +$22

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 116 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?	Yes		+5	$0	5¢	$0	+$0	08-10 10:14
Will Israel strike 15 or more countries in 2026?	Yes		-27	$0	0¢	$-0	+$0	10-18 02:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
lol ig1 blg 2026 04 18 game1 odd even total kills	11	$318	735	318	+417	Odd	+$722	04-18 10:18
atp couliba bouchel 2026 03 02 first set total 9pt5	3	$101	178	100	+78	Under	+$86	03-03 13:05
will khamenei tweet again by march 1	70	$100	6,913	5,849	+1,064	Yes	+$58	03-01 02:01
Games Total: O/U 2.5	1	$99	0	100	-100	Over	+$99	05-30 17:30
crint aus ind 2026 02 28 team top batter ind	9	$83	827	82	+744	No	+$123	03-01 11:10
Will Germany GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.1% and 0.3%?	11	$79	155	87	+68	No	+$124	04-30 08:15
bitcoin above 76000 on april 22 2026 2am et	26	$73	343	162	+181	Yes	+$66	04-22 05:18
cs2 mw r2 2026 03 28 game1 odd even total rounds	3	$69	135	68	+66	Even	+$98	03-28 20:41
atp martine bertola 2026 03 25 match total 23pt5	11	$68	55	77	-23	Under	+$23	03-26 12:10
Set 1 Winner: Geerts vs Visker	10	$67	215	88	+127	Visker	+$53	04-30 21:45
cbb chsou winth 2026 03 06 total 164pt5	8	$67	47	108	-61	Over	+$65	03-06 21:45
fifwc nzl egy 2026 06 21 shots emam ashour gte2	23	$64	167	146	+21	Yes	+$56	06-22 02:14
cs2 mzp leo2 2026 03 03 game2	6	$62	124	88	+36	Metizport	+$59	03-03 17:22
will khamenei leave iran by february 28 2026 713 559	245	$59	3,472	4,255	-783	No	+$21	03-01 06:27
Will the fight be won by submission?	19	$59	108	108	-0	No	+$56	05-10 01:01
fifwc nzl egy 2026 06 21 shots emam ashour gte3	9	$57	93	56	+37	Yes	+$53	06-22 02:18
cbb chsou winth 2026 03 06 spread home 3pt5	7	$57	1,164	55	+1,110	Winthrop Eagles	+$11	03-06 21:55
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	219	$55	2,028	1,809	+219	Yes	+$16	05-05 15:01
crint aus2 bgd3 2026 06 17 toss winner	11	$52	180	96	+84	Australia	+$47	06-17 09:02
will darden restaurants say drive thru during earnings call 20260624141322358	17	$52	160	160	+0	No	+$47	06-25 18:54
Will Renofa Yamaguchi FC win on 2026-05-23?	17	$52	81	81	+0	No	+$49	05-23 06:56
will khamenei leave iran by march 31 224 161 138 998	184	$49	1,778	1,984	-207	No	+$23	03-01 07:12
will suzan delbene advance to the general election for wa 01 20260708174810982	9	$49	79	72	+6	Yes	+$44	08-03 14:12
cs2 g2a ww 2026 03 03 game2	16	$49	123	107	+16	G2 Ares	+$47	03-03 21:22
cs2 g2a ww 2026 03 03	86	$45	1,533	1,249	+285	G2 Ares	+$28	03-03 23:35
Will SpaceX IPO by March 31, 2026?	62	$45	523	493	+30	No	+$32	03-22 14:47
Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 20, 2026?	10	$45	83	83	+0	open	—	10-08 09:20
lowest temperature in nyc on april 15 2026 68 69f	117	$45	2,706	2,631	+75	Yes	+$25	04-16 06:53
mlb min nyy 2026 07 04 spread away 6pt5	4	$45	45	45	+0	Minnesota Twins	+$44	07-04 21:01
spx opens up or down on march 11 2026	40	$44	119	119	+0	Up	+$6	03-11 15:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 21:58:58	Will BK Häcken keep the most clean sheets in the 2026 Allsvenskan (Sweden)?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xd1c8f0…
11-02 21:58:57	Will Malmö FF keep the most clean sheets in the 2026 Allsvenskan (Sweden)?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x6739d4…
11-02 21:58:07	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-09 House election by 25%-30%?	Yes	SELL	25	3¢	$1	0xf05a5b…
11-02 21:37:25	Will Jūlija Stepaņenko be the next Prime Minister of Latvia?	Yes	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0x7c2708…
11-02 20:48:33	Will PP win the most seats in Málaga in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	SELL	19	4¢	$1	0xe5fa23…
11-02 20:37:16	Will PP win the most seats in Málaga in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0x933c63…
11-02 20:37:09	Will PP win the most seats in Málaga in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xf8afd8…
11-02 19:17:13	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-09 House election by 25%-30%?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x480a86…
11-02 19:07:13	Will IF Elfsborg keep the most clean sheets in the 2026 Allsvenskan (Sweden)?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xa534ab…
11-02 18:16:57	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont be between 225,000 and 250,000?	Yes	SELL	21	4¢	$1	0x298765…
11-02 18:00:09	Will Anthropic’s valuation be between $1.25T and $1.50T at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	23	1¢	$0	0x983e93…
11-02 17:45:06	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont be between 250,000 and 275,000?	Yes	SELL	2	8¢	$0	0x28cfd6…
11-02 16:15:16	Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of November 2 above $310?	Yes	BUY	15	3¢	$0	0x1f9c29…
11-02 15:09:57	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Illinois Senate election by 30%-35%?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x6038a5…
11-02 15:05:36	Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of November 2 above $260?	No	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x1ecfac…
11-02 13:16:28	Will the Bank of Japan decrease the uncollateralized overnight call rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0xb76608…
11-02 13:16:28	Will the Bank of Japan increase the uncollateralized overnight call rate by 50+ bps at the March meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x96bb87…
11-02 13:16:28	Will the Bank of Japan decrease the uncollateralized overnight call rate by 50+ bps at the March meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x0c759b…
11-02 13:15:24	Will the lowest temperature in Busan be 11°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	22	1¢	$0	0x268352…
11-02 13:05:15	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on November 2?	Yes	BUY	145	0¢	$0	0x060c25…
11-02 12:56:16	Will the lowest temperature in Busan be 12°C or higher on November 3?	Yes	BUY	22	1¢	$0	0x2f50aa…
11-02 12:55:34	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on November 2?	Yes	BUY	145	0¢	$0	0xc178f0…
11-02 12:55:27	Will the lowest temperature in Busan be 2°C or below on November 3?	Yes	BUY	22	1¢	$0	0x0f9ff6…
11-02 09:49:57	Notre Dame of Maryland Gators vs. Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens	Notre Dame of Maryland Gators	SELL	9	2¢	$0	0x661dce…
11-02 07:13:19	Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $80?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x32bc76…
11-02 03:36:45	Will the Bank of Japan decrease the uncollateralized overnight call rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x476f0f…
11-02 03:36:45	Will the Bank of Japan decrease the uncollateralized overnight call rate by 50+ bps at the March meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x3704e2…
11-02 03:36:33	Will the Bank of Japan decrease the uncollateralized overnight call rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x823d6a…
11-02 03:36:33	Will the Bank of Japan decrease the uncollateralized overnight call rate by 50+ bps at the March meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x65eaa7…
11-02 03:36:33	Will the Bank of Japan increase the uncollateralized overnight call rate by 50+ bps at the March meeting?	Yes	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0x4c5aa7…
11-02 03:13:46	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-02 House election by 40% or more?	Yes	SELL	8	6¢	$0	0xa64819…
11-02 03:04:15	Will the Bank of Japan increase the uncollateralized overnight call rate by 50+ bps at the March meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x7d9453…
11-02 01:51:54	Will SpaceX have 16+ launches in November 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	3¢	$0	0xd49662…
11-02 01:51:52	Will SpaceX have 16+ launches in November 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xeb9da0…
11-02 01:49:40	Will SpaceX have 16+ launches in November 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	8¢	$1	0x5a9e61…
11-02 00:31:49	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-06 House election by 3%-6%?	Yes	SELL	21	2¢	$0	0x9c75f5…
11-01 22:26:30	KK Borac Zemun vs. Kk Zlatibor: O/U 172.5	Under	BUY	535	0¢	$1	0x051f66…
11-01 22:25:55	KK Borac Zemun vs. Kk Zlatibor: O/U 172.5	Under	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0xb079ec…
11-01 22:14:10	Spread: Magic (-2.5)	Magic	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0x497505…
11-01 22:00:42	Spread: Magic (-2.5)	Magic	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x5dd923…
11-01 20:41:19	Celtics vs. Magic: Team to Score First	Celtics	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0x5c21d0…
11-01 20:41:19	Celtics vs. Magic: Team to Score First	Celtics	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0x5086f6…
11-01 20:01:33	Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 9.5	No	BUY	23	3¢	$1	0xf918f9…
11-01 19:53:57	Tristan da Silva: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5	No	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xbc2ee8…
11-01 19:53:15	nba bos orl 2026 11 01 threes sam hauser 4pt5	Yes	BUY	96	1¢	$1	0x6a19ac…
11-01 19:52:19	Jayson Tatum: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.5	Yes	BUY	96	1¢	$1	0x2242b5…
11-01 19:51:00	Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 3.5	No	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0x971d54…
11-01 19:50:45	Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 1.5	No	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0xa8da0a…
11-01 19:50:30	Franz Wagner: Rebounds O/U 1.5	No	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x3129e9…
11-01 19:49:16	Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 1.5	No	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0xb41468…
11-01 19:47:01	Mitchell Robinson: Points O/U 5.5	Yes	SELL	69	2¢	$1	0x93f66f…
11-01 19:27:42	Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 1.5	No	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xb67d44…
11-01 17:21:10	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-02 House election by 30%-35%?	Yes	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0xc31f75…
11-01 16:33:04	Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 252.5	Over	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x7e5cff…
11-01 16:26:27	Spread: Magic (-12.5)	Magic	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x758274…
11-01 16:18:51	W50 Huamantla: Sarai Gabrielle Clarke vs Ashleigh Harvey	Sarai Gabrielle Clarke	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x48cff3…
11-01 15:03:31	Mitchell Robinson: Points O/U 5.5	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0xe50de0…
11-01 15:03:31	Mitchell Robinson: Points O/U 5.5	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xdbd0da…
11-01 15:03:31	Mitchell Robinson: Rebounds O/U 6.5	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xd4ff7d…
11-01 15:03:31	Mitchell Robinson: Rebounds O/U 6.5	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x25c0ee…
11-01 15:02:34	Mitchell Robinson: Points O/U 5.5	Yes	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0xd71299…
11-01 15:02:34	Mitchell Robinson: Rebounds O/U 6.5	Yes	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0xab16c1…
11-01 14:46:03	Will Inter Kashi FC win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x0200c1…
11-01 14:34:10	Will Inter Kashi FC win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x17cf27…
11-01 12:32:28	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-22 House election by 6%-9%?	Yes	SELL	19	10¢	$2	0x4dbff5…
11-01 12:13:51	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-01 House election by 55%-60%?	Yes	SELL	8	3¢	$0	0xfbe58c…
11-01 11:15:33	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-02 House election by 15%-20%?	Yes	SELL	8	4¢	$0	0x5bca15…
11-01 10:55:52	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Illinois Senate election by 30%-35%?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x4bd829…
11-01 10:55:52	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Illinois Senate election by 30%-35%?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0x21bd7e…
11-01 10:05:37	Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	No	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x4d28ec…
11-01 09:05:36	Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	No	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0xdfd336…
11-01 06:44:52	Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	No	SELL	14	5¢	$1	0x16f0b8…
11-01 05:48:45	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-06 House election by 3%-6%?	Yes	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0xa1183c…
11-01 05:00:00	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-06 House election by 18% or more?	Yes	SELL	9	4¢	$0	0xc7b6cf…
11-01 03:54:21	Will Felix Protocol launch a token by March 31, 2027?	No	SELL	8	49¢	$4	0xa9f34f…
11-01 03:00:16	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-06 House election by 3%-6%?	Yes	BUY	24	0¢	$0	0xf82903…
11-01 01:05:55	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on November 4?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x3e571a…
11-01 01:01:01	nba bos orl 2026 11 01 spread home 22pt5	Magic	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0x9c6e0a…
11-01 01:01:01	nba bos orl 2026 11 01 spread home 20pt5	Magic	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0x3e4fd3…
11-01 01:01:00	nba bos orl 2026 11 01 spread home 20pt5	Magic	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x42c429…
11-01 01:01:00	nba bos orl 2026 11 01 spread home 22pt5	Magic	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x28ea2e…
11-01 01:01:00	nba bos orl 2026 11 01 spread away 33pt5	Celtics	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x1fa492…
11-01 01:00:58	nba bos orl 2026 11 01 spread away 33pt5	Celtics	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x362f87…
11-01 00:17:42	Ciclista Juninense vs. Club Atletico Quilmes: O/U 153.5	Under	BUY	185	0¢	$0	0xffb7c6…
11-01 00:17:40	Ciclista Juninense vs. Club Atletico Quilmes	Club Atletico Quilmes	BUY	220	0¢	$0	0xdc351e…
11-01 00:17:40	Ciclista Juninense vs. Club Atletico Quilmes: O/U 153.5	Under	BUY	350	0¢	$0	0x728aef…
11-01 00:08:39	Ciclista Juninense vs. Club Atletico Quilmes	Club Atletico Quilmes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x7d6749…
10-31 22:23:43	Spread: Club Atletico Quilmes (-1.5)	Club Atletico Quilmes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x8d880f…
10-31 22:18:13	Ciclista Juninense vs. Club Atletico Quilmes	Club Atletico Quilmes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x1e5481…
10-31 22:17:16	Ciclista Juninense vs. Club Atletico Quilmes	Club Atletico Quilmes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0xdd370f…
10-31 22:17:10	Ciclista Juninense vs. Club Atletico Quilmes	Club Atletico Quilmes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x57214a…
10-31 21:36:40	Will SMU Make the 2026-27 CFB Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x79a03f…
10-31 20:51:48	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont be between 225,000 and 250,000?	Yes	BUY	21	1¢	$0	0x65adbb…
10-31 20:43:31	Will GKS Katowice win on 2026-10-31?	No	SELL	7	5¢	$0	0xc4cbf8…
10-31 20:38:25	Will GKS Katowice win on 2026-10-31?	No	BUY	7	4¢	$0	0x293846…
10-31 20:34:16	Exact Margin: Other	Yes	BUY	17	1¢	$0	0x799443…
10-31 20:18:33	Will more than one Western team reach the Worlds 2026 Knockout Stage?	No	BUY	248	0¢	$0	0x8fc58e…
10-31 19:18:00	Club Atletico Los Andes vs. Mitre Santiago del Estero: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	7	4¢	$0	0xc048b6…
10-31 15:02:37	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	3¢	$0	0x1b6689…
10-31 15:02:12	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0xba33ee…