Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$162

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

20.5%

Resolved

341

Trades

2,610

lifetime

Volume

$19.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

5 positions

First seen

2026-06-24

last 11-06 15:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 61 days

Categories

Other

60% 32% -$114

Politics

28% 5% -$37

Sports

8% 53% -$2

Tech

2% 0% -$8

Crypto

2% 0% -$1

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 124 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?	Yes	+20	$3	2¢	$0	-$2	09-03 09:20
Will a hurricane make landfall in New Jersey by November 30, 2026?	Yes	+9	$1	3¢	$0	-$1	09-16 01:57
Will Daylight Savings Time become permanent in the US in 2026?	Yes	+1	$0	8¢	$0	$0	09-28 14:00
Will Marseille win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?	Yes	+0	$0	2¢	$0	$0	09-15 10:50
Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+0	$0	5¢	$0	$0	09-15 23:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	26	$339	260	260	+0	No	-$3	09-22 10:12
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	37	$332	346	346	-0	No	-$2	09-10 13:20
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	21	$253	173	173	+0	Yes	-$1	09-28 00:57
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026?	12	$186	120	120	+0	No	-$2	09-04 07:20
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy booster?	12	$168	90	90	+0	No	-$2	09-08 21:59
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?	16	$152	132	132	+0	open	—	09-11 03:05
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?	16	$152	126	126	+0	open	—	09-27 17:44
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?	12	$151	120	120	+0	open	—	09-22 19:09
Will California enact a law recognizing Jews as an ethnic group by December 31?	8	$146	80	80	+0	Yes	-$1	09-16 13:41
Will Hyperliquid dip to $30 by December 31, 2026?	10	$142	95	95	+0	open	—	09-14 09:47
Will annual inflation be 3.5% in August?	11	$141	100	100	+0	No	-$1	09-07 06:16
Will Trump pardon Matt Gaetz before 2027?	15	$124	140	140	+0	open	—	10-01 18:00
Will Nassourdine Imavov be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	9	$122	80	80	+0	open	—	09-03 03:41
Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	8	$116	80	80	+0	Yes	-$1	09-14 22:54
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	8	$115	80	80	+0	Yes	-$1	09-04 05:47
Will Hyperliquid reach $200 by December 31, 2026?	8	$112	80	80	+0	open	—	09-17 21:12
Will over 66 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?	7	$110	60	60	+0	open	—	09-15 10:50
Le Pen endorses non-Bardella PM by December 31, 2026?	6	$110	60	60	+0	open	—	09-22 20:12
Will Xi Jinping visit US by October 31?	10	$107	94	94	+0	Yes	-$1	09-13 22:46
Macron out by December 31, 2026?	7	$100	53	53	+0	open	—	09-06 02:44
Natural Disaster in 2026?	9	$99	75	75	+0	open	—	09-13 00:36
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?	8	$95	70	70	+0	open	—	09-07 08:47
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 10%?	14	$89	140	140	+0	No	-$1	09-11 22:04
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?	13	$84	120	120	+0	open	—	09-26 19:31
Will the Democratic Party win the AK-AL House seat?	16	$84	114	114	+0	open	—	09-16 08:28
Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026?	14	$82	110	110	+0	open	—	09-22 20:12
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene announce a presidential run before 2027?	8	$82	63	63	+0	open	—	09-18 06:24
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?	17	$80	190	190	+0	Yes	$0	06-25 16:42
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	8	$79	62	62	+0	No	-$1	09-13 16:19
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?	8	$78	80	80	+0	open	—	09-20 18:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 15:35:04	Will TreVeyon Henderson have 299.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x8feaa2…
11-02 07:35:51	Will Miami Dolphins finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most return yards?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x33f372…
10-31 14:01:25	Will Werder Bremen qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x97c64a…
10-29 17:31:34	Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	10¢	$1	0x8986f6…
10-27 14:34:53	Will Bayern Munich reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16?	No	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0xab512a…
10-27 14:34:51	Will Lazio qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Europa League?	No	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0xe1e0ca…
10-22 17:59:54	Will Justin Jefferson have 749.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	11	19¢	$2	0x7abdfd…
10-21 05:26:23	Will courts block Mamdani's grocery stores by October 31?	No	SELL	8	91¢	$7	0xb50f18…
10-17 11:52:30	Will Alex de Minaur Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?	No	SELL	0	82¢	$0	0x85c248…
10-15 12:57:29	Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0xbd9a8c…
10-15 06:29:01	Will Trump pardon Daniel Penny before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x53db0b…
10-13 20:58:21	Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0xdb319d…
10-12 08:37:04	Will Michel-Edouard Leclerc be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x34e785…
10-11 18:45:07	Will Rhamondre Stevenson have 1.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x817974…
10-10 21:30:19	Will Garrett Wilson have 1,399.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0x5430e4…
10-10 19:40:51	Will Florida be a top 4 seed in the 2027 College Football Playoffs?	No	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0x27a9ee…
10-10 15:42:22	Will Sui reach $2.00 before 2027?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x5b9443…
10-08 15:15:29	RFK Jr. Out by October 31?	No	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x9e8654…
10-07 15:04:46	Will Nico Collins have 1,474.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	4	8¢	$0	0xd7250a…
10-07 01:31:08	Will Nico Collins have 1,474.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	16	8¢	$1	0xedef35…
10-06 15:11:02	Will Sam LaPorta have 8.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x22187b…
10-05 21:37:56	Will Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	7¢	$0	0xd372a1…
10-05 02:14:19	Will Mark Andrews have 124.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	11	5¢	$1	0x6a1026…
10-04 20:30:49	Will Carlos Viana win the second-most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?	No	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0x241260…
10-04 05:12:25	Will Ben Johns win exactly one Triple Crown in the 2026-27 PPA Tour season?	Yes	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0x73d22a…
10-03 00:42:29	Will Alex de Minaur Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?	No	SELL	20	82¢	$16	0x6fd2a3…
10-02 23:14:44	RFK Jr. Out by October 31?	No	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0xe6f6fe…
10-02 18:57:06	RFK Jr. Out by October 31?	No	SELL	4	93¢	$4	0x34959c…
10-02 18:52:08	RFK Jr. Out by October 31?	No	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0xf83801…
10-02 01:18:39	Will Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	19	7¢	$1	0x2aba75…
10-01 18:00:35	Will Travis Kelce have 1,074.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0x65826b…
10-01 18:00:33	Will Igor Kršiak win the 2026 Nitra mayoral election?	No	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0xf99e87…
10-01 18:00:33	Will Trump pardon Matt Gaetz before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0xc8ec90…
10-01 18:00:33	Will Vitinha finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0xc0c609…
10-01 18:00:33	Will Trey McBride have 10.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0xad8ebe…
10-01 18:00:33	Will Jordan Love have 3,049.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	20	84¢	$17	0x97d8d5…
10-01 18:00:33	Will $ANSEM reach $0.6 before 2027?	No	SELL	20	79¢	$16	0x72bd8a…
10-01 18:00:33	Will Inter Milan reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16?	Yes	SELL	20	74¢	$15	0x5bd4a4…
10-01 18:00:33	Will OpenAI be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026?	No	SELL	20	83¢	$17	0x55327f…
10-01 18:00:33	Will Workhorse announce bankruptcy before 2027?	No	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0x4a3750…
10-01 18:00:33	Will Sui dip to $0.40 before 2027?	No	SELL	14	72¢	$10	0x2b26c4…
10-01 18:00:33	Will Avengers: Doomsday rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Movies of 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x25e63a…
10-01 18:00:33	US government bans an open source AI model in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x13bab6…
10-01 15:18:36	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x76b385…
10-01 01:28:32	Will XRP reach $3.40 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x123077…
10-01 01:28:30	Will XRP reach $3.40 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	94¢	$10	0xc0bd4e…
09-29 19:36:54	Will the US federal government take a stake in Anthropic PBC?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0xdc7d0b…
09-29 14:42:32	Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	No	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0xdf6f8b…
09-29 11:47:06	Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	No	SELL	24	10¢	$2	0x1f4272…
09-29 07:52:41	Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?	No	SELL	20	91¢	$18	0x9105b0…
09-29 01:46:59	Will BNB reach $1200 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xd714b1…
09-29 01:32:17	Will Joe Burrow have 3,499.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	10	79¢	$8	0xea8bd9…
09-29 01:32:17	Will Joe Burrow have 3,499.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	0	79¢	$0	0xe28afd…
09-29 01:32:17	Will Joe Burrow have 3,499.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	10	79¢	$8	0x895f68…
09-28 22:52:57	Will a hurricane make landfall in Massachusetts by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xaaa97a…
09-28 14:56:54	Will Trump raise tariffs on Canada by September 30?	Yes	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0x27ecea…
09-28 14:00:11	Will Daylight Savings Time become permanent in the US in 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	15¢	$3	0xea42d2…
09-28 09:19:02	Will OpenAI be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x61b597…
09-28 08:44:38	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 260M by October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x9deee2…
09-28 08:43:47	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 260M by October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x222026…
09-28 06:53:06	Will Atlético de Madrid qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Europa League?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0xe3bb0e…
09-28 05:03:18	Will Vitinha finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xfbbc61…
09-28 04:16:32	Will Illinois be a top 4 seed in the 2027 College Football Playoffs?	Yes	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0xb04534…
09-28 04:14:47	Will Illinois be a top 4 seed in the 2027 College Football Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x2b035b…
09-28 03:35:57	Will Ethena reach $0.52 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0xf41c3e…
09-28 02:58:38	Will Florida be a top 4 seed in the 2027 College Football Playoffs?	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x49bf67…
09-28 02:21:35	Will BNB reach $1200 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	9	89¢	$8	0xad2e9c…
09-28 02:07:12	Will GIANTX make a roster change by December?	Yes	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xff9de1…
09-28 01:37:48	Will a hurricane make landfall in Virginia by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0xfe9a29…
09-28 01:37:48	Will a hurricane make landfall in South Carolina by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0xc3b365…
09-28 01:36:05	Will a hurricane make landfall in Virginia by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x822f8a…
09-28 01:35:50	Will a hurricane make landfall in South Carolina by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x93a98f…
09-28 00:57:20	Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	78¢	$16	0x0e10ea…
09-28 00:57:05	Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x29b0d8…
09-28 00:44:12	Will His & Hers rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched TV Shows of 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x64d3ec…
09-28 00:44:12	Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x0ccdc2…
09-28 00:43:42	Will His & Hers rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched TV Shows of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xb27136…
09-28 00:43:20	Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x2c5cbf…
09-27 23:38:23	Will Alex de Minaur Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0xd0ae0b…
09-27 22:08:09	Will Trump pardon Young Thug before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x36c43e…
09-27 22:07:05	Will Trump pardon Young Thug before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x8b90d6…
09-27 21:59:05	Will Trump pardon Young Thug before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x3328fd…
09-27 21:57:18	Will Trump pardon Young Thug before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x7e3cd0…
09-27 20:39:09	Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	79¢	$16	0x0ae7ef…
09-27 20:38:35	Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x62c4e0…
09-27 17:44:57	Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?	Yes	SELL	3	7¢	$0	0x3e7fb6…
09-27 17:43:45	Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?	Yes	BUY	3	7¢	$0	0xc3d4ca…
09-27 17:36:53	Will Trump pardon anyone by December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0xddd12a…
09-27 17:36:23	Will Trump pardon anyone by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0xc27e17…
09-27 16:40:20	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0xce009f…
09-27 16:29:06	Will a hurricane make landfall in Delaware by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x985c85…
09-27 15:26:26	Will Zcash dip to $400 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	19	92¢	$17	0x966941…
09-27 15:26:02	Will Zcash dip to $400 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	19	93¢	$18	0xe8eda3…
09-27 14:15:12	Will Ethena reach $0.52 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x824a6b…
09-27 14:04:06	Will Ja'Marr Chase have 14.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	14	15¢	$2	0x89d278…
09-27 13:50:00	Will Trump pardon Matt Gaetz before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x1eb103…
09-27 13:48:02	Will Trump pardon Eric Adams before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x5e00b4…
09-27 13:46:38	Will Trump pardon Daniel Penny before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xd25126…
09-27 12:03:14	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Jersey Senate election by 18%-21%?	No	SELL	20	83¢	$17	0x83d320…
09-27 09:59:35	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Jersey Senate election by 18%-21%?	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x63dd8b…