Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$52

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.2%

Resolved

415

Trades

1,025

lifetime

Volume

$9.49K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-06-17

last 10-24 07:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 106 days

Categories

Other

56% 61% -$20

Politics

23% 63% +$6

Sports

8% 67% +$21

Crypto

6% 56% -$13

Tech

6% 50% -$47

Pop-Culture

0% 50% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

51 active days in 12wk • peak 54 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$141	90	90	+0	Yes	+$21	06-24 22:37
Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?	2	$130	104	104	+0	Yes	+$10	06-22 14:22
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?	2	$127	82	82	+0	open	—	07-20 06:47
Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$126	81	81	+0	Yes	+$6	06-25 05:14
bitcoin above 58k on june 29 2026	2	$126	74	74	+0	Yes	+$6	06-29 02:42
will abbas araghchi sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950073	2	$126	86	86	+0	No	+$6	06-21 09:15
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 145m and 158m?	2	$126	76	76	+0	No	+$6	06-21 17:49
will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 30 2026 20260607225940217 843	2	$124	71	71	+0	Yes	+$4	06-20 07:48
Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$122	68	68	+0	Yes	+$2	06-27 00:55
will olivia dean have a 1 hit in the us in june	2	$121	69	69	+0	No	+$1	06-20 16:31
iran successfully targets shipping by july 7 20260625215135370	2	$120	66	66	+0	Yes	+$0	06-27 17:39
will abbas araghchi attend the us iran signing ceremonywill abbas araghchi attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204723	3	$120	72	72	+0	No	$0	06-26 02:43
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026?	2	$118	73	73	+0	open	—	07-04 06:44
iran successfully targets shipping by june 30 20260625215135369	2	$117	71	71	+0	Yes	-$3	06-27 21:47
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in June?	2	$113	87	87	+0	No	-$7	07-03 18:02
Will Manny Rutinel be the Democratic nominee for CO-08?	2	$107	63	63	+0	Yes	+$2	06-21 15:12
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?	2	$105	61	61	+0	open	—	07-01 16:35
will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	2	$84	75	75	+0	Yes	-$36	06-29 04:31
Will Silver (SI) settle at $60-$70 in June?	2	$78	61	61	+0	No	-$5	06-27 16:33
Will Trump meet with Ahmed al-Sharaa in 2026?	2	$77	46	46	+0	Yes	+$3	06-26 00:30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	2	$71	69	69	+0	No	-$8	06-27 14:05
israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	2	$69	51	51	+0	Yes	-$1	06-24 07:14
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$66	42	42	+0	Yes	+$3	06-27 03:07
Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?	2	$65	36	36	+0	Yes	+$2	06-23 01:41
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	2	$63	58	58	+0	No	-$16	06-22 08:33
will russia capture mala tokmachka by september 30 2026	2	$63	40	40	+0	No	+$1	07-01 09:24
Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$62	51	51	+0	No	-$5	07-09 23:26
will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	2	$62	38	38	+0	Yes	+$4	06-25 13:19
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?	2	$62	35	35	+0	Yes	$0	06-26 17:56
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?	2	$60	62	62	+0	No	+$21	06-22 01:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 07:50:21	Jair Bolsonaro released from custody by March 31, 2027?	No	SELL	6	35¢	$2	0xf12624…
10-24 07:50:12	Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?	Yes	SELL	4	89¢	$4	0x131830…
10-24 07:50:00	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?	No	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0x1d1e38…
10-24 07:49:47	Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?	No	SELL	5	86¢	$5	0x028beb…
10-22 15:43:27	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0xd083a9…
10-16 08:16:52	Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	No	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x0f6e43…
10-11 01:22:35	Jair Bolsonaro released from custody by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x04c50d…
10-11 01:21:23	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0xcdb4f7…
10-02 22:54:15	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x689275…
10-02 22:53:06	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$4	0x10eca1…
10-02 22:51:54	Will the Republican Party win the TX-35 House seat?	Yes	SELL	9	42¢	$4	0x07c0d3…
10-01 12:40:38	Will the Republican Party win the TX-35 House seat?	Yes	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0xc86a2b…
10-01 12:39:29	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 15 2026	No	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0xb375c4…
09-25 19:29:32	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 15 2026	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x10e337…
09-25 06:59:12	cs2 g1 gpn 2026 09 25	GenOne	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xc6a960…
09-24 23:02:54	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xfa2353…
09-24 22:43:05	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	SELL	7	54¢	$4	0x6e5532…
09-23 21:14:56	Will Inter Toronto FC win on 2026-09-23?	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x6660fb…
09-23 20:35:31	Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xbdcc56…
09-23 14:57:34	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	8	33¢	$3	0x668c9e…
09-23 13:35:59	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0xeb917c…
09-23 13:34:53	Will Yabloko win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x0ef1fd…
09-22 10:15:16	Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xd65e9f…
09-22 10:06:40	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	77¢	$5	0xf5fe20…
09-19 12:09:51	Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x5c42d5…
09-18 20:07:37	will yabloko win at least one seat in the next russian state duma election	No	BUY	5	86¢	$5	0x38b717…
09-18 20:06:28	Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0xa7a5de…
09-18 19:18:57	bun bay uni 2026 09 18 spread home 3pt5	1. FC Union Berlin	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0x3c7369…
09-18 03:04:18	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x81c05c…
09-18 03:03:06	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-07 House seat?	No	SELL	3	84¢	$3	0x59566e…
09-17 14:06:42	Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	38¢	$1	0x21a561…
09-16 21:28:07	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 16?	No	SELL	8	10¢	$1	0x9c9bb8…
09-16 19:06:06	Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0x749ad8…
09-16 19:04:55	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on September 16?	No	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0x32971d…
09-16 18:19:00	Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)	CA Osasuna	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0x5b7bed…
09-16 13:59:37	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 16?	No	SELL	7	10¢	$1	0xda2f86…
09-16 03:10:48	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on September 16?	No	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xf2c61a…
09-16 03:09:39	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?	Yes	SELL	6	47¢	$3	0xabe2fc…
09-15 21:23:40	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 16?	Yes	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0xd3e0d1…
09-15 20:17:30	lal elc rea 2026 09 15 spread away 2pt5	Elche CF	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x80df6d…
09-15 15:49:28	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 16?	No	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x2f0e82…
09-15 13:51:19	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on September 15?	No	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0x01cfef…
09-15 13:02:40	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 16?	No	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xfddc2d…
09-15 12:42:46	lal elc rea 2026 09 15 spread away 2pt5	Elche CF	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xb2a960…
09-15 12:29:52	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 15?	No	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0xb58458…
09-15 01:00:46	Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)	CA Osasuna	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xd33ecc…
09-14 21:26:40	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 16?	Yes	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x0a93f2…
09-14 20:09:57	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on September 15?	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xca5c00…
09-14 19:19:46	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 15?	No	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x6b6114…
09-14 18:45:31	Spread: FC Bayern München (-3.5)	1. FC Union Berlin	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x19eb22…
09-14 16:33:54	FC Inter Turku vs. Vaasan Palloseura: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0x1fb22c…
09-14 14:56:34	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	67¢	$4	0x0f6b07…
09-14 13:16:09	FC Inter Turku vs. Vaasan Palloseura: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x7dc250…
09-14 12:37:09	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	Yes	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x8cd345…
09-14 12:36:52	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 14?	No	SELL	7	75¢	$5	0xa69c5d…
09-14 01:28:12	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 14?	No	SELL	8	78¢	$6	0x0019d1…
09-13 22:53:57	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on September 13?	No	SELL	5	88¢	$5	0x96c950…
09-13 22:03:55	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 13?	No	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x76369e…
09-13 19:10:55	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 14?	No	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x0ef8a6…
09-13 12:33:55	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 14?	No	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0xbcad3d…
09-13 08:54:33	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on September 13?	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xd6da04…
09-12 20:55:04	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on September 12?	No	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xc493d4…
09-12 20:44:33	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on September 12?	No	SELL	7	10¢	$1	0x9efbba…
09-12 20:07:10	Will CDU win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	No	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x6770e0…
09-12 17:05:55	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 13?	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x41d802…
09-12 08:11:30	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 12?	No	SELL	5	67¢	$4	0x69b7b0…
09-12 07:52:27	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 12?	No	SELL	8	80¢	$6	0x1e4280…
09-12 06:53:03	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on September 12?	No	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x125104…
09-12 03:23:36	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on September 12?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$4	0x66aa7b…
09-12 00:24:21	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?	No	BUY	8	81¢	$6	0x80f8e2…
09-11 22:48:36	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 12?	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x9377ba…
09-11 19:14:45	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 12?	No	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x0d0b9a…
09-11 18:46:27	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xf01729…
09-11 18:20:22	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 11?	No	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0x3dd39f…
09-11 17:08:28	Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in September?	Yes	SELL	11	49¢	$5	0x4585fb…
09-11 15:15:13	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 12?	No	SELL	5	67¢	$4	0xd51fb9…
09-11 09:24:03	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 12?	No	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x0da29c…
09-11 08:40:12	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on September 11?	No	SELL	8	34¢	$3	0x322233…
09-11 07:16:06	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on September 11?	No	SELL	6	4¢	$0	0x5f9fa6…
09-11 04:25:01	Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in September?	Yes	BUY	11	83¢	$9	0x07aed6…
09-11 04:20:15	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on September 11?	No	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x43461b…
09-11 01:56:10	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 11?	No	SELL	7	51¢	$4	0x591049…
09-11 01:33:27	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 11?	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xca75b2…
09-10 23:16:19	will bitcoin dip to 76k september 7 13 2026	Yes	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0xb9579b…
09-10 22:35:33	Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-09-10?	No	BUY	9	60¢	$5	0x4ea822…
09-10 22:31:36	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on September 11?	No	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x4635f4…
09-10 22:31:22	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on September 11?	No	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x99a6b2…
09-10 21:02:15	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 11?	No	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x472c7e…
09-10 20:55:16	will bitcoin dip to 76k september 7 13 2026	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xbe7e06…
09-10 20:40:16	Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention?	Yes	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x23c21d…
09-10 19:42:12	Spread: FC Bayern München (-3.5)	FK Bodø/Glimt	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0x24f658…
09-10 17:57:34	Como 1907 vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x34dbd0…
09-10 17:45:03	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	85¢	$13	0x8965a0…
09-10 17:29:04	Fenerbahçe SK vs. AS Roma: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0xcf6a3f…
09-10 16:27:46	Fenerbahçe SK vs. AS Roma: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xe25089…
09-10 16:27:46	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x2bc17d…
09-10 12:29:03	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 10?	No	SELL	6	6¢	$0	0xe40a8d…
09-10 12:16:03	Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A	BetBoom Team	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0x7dccb0…
09-10 11:28:13	Spread: FC Bayern München (-3.5)	FK Bodø/Glimt	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xd8a763…
09-10 05:19:46	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 10?	No	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0xe885c1…