Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
open
Total volume
$8,252
Trades
151
Unique wallets
67
Liquidity
$1,019
Latest YES mid
88¢
Latest NO mid
12¢
End date
2026-06-28
First seen
2026-05-30
last 06-09 21:26
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+0.4¢
(top1%: 89% YES on $1.5K
vs crowd: 89% YES on $7.5K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 8 | $4.7K | $211 | +$4.5K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 9 | $116 | $244 | $128 |
| 🐟 Fish | 14 | $1.5K | $132 | +$1.4K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 36 | $227 | $267 | $40 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 4 | $1.3K | $168 | +$1.2K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 7 | $484 | $310 | +$174 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | $81 | $10 | +$71 |
| Median | 7 | $61 | $1 | +$60 |
| Below median | 13 | $185 | $31 | +$154 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $5 | $5 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 6 | $979 | $124 | +$855 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $3.3K | $120 | +$3.2K |
| unranked | 21 | $121 | $85 | +$36 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orderly-Venture 0xd48a…6e90 | Yes | +3,741 | $3,344 | $3,344 | 1 | 06-08 11:16 |
| Winding-Road 0xda3a…381f | No | +1,649 | $165 | $165 | 10 | 06-09 10:37 |
| Impassioned-Body 0xb046…857c | No | +1,129 | $92 | $255 | 5 | 06-09 21:26 |
| Tough-Placode 0xcf92…4bfd | Yes | +1,100 | $979 | $979 | 25 | 06-07 16:57 |
| Direct-Pinstripe 0xe5d7…6530 | No | +1,028 | $120 | $120 | 1 | 06-07 16:57 |
| Sizzling-Scallion 0x85b9…906d | Yes | +747 | $649 | $1,991 | 16 | 06-09 21:06 |
| Second-Paramecium 0x89df…f8d0 | No | +619 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-02 20:54 |
| Hurtful-Skunk 0x8e84…a101 | No | +458 | $55 | $55 | 1 | 06-09 14:31 |
| Muted-Primary 0x9163…82ae | No | +450 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-06 16:05 |
| Traumatic-Gondola 0x5dd4…ad53 | Yes | +440 | $400 | $400 | 1 | 05-31 16:27 |
| Limping-Bake 0xe164…56c1 | No | +417 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-09 21:06 |
| Our-Dough 0x38e5…95e7 | No | +176 | $19 | $19 | 8 | 06-06 02:50 |
| Gigantic-Supplement 0xd31c…9af2 | Yes | +148 | $130 | $130 | 4 | 06-05 19:23 |
| Precious-Anise 0xf869…52a7 | Yes | +125 | $112 | $112 | 2 | 06-08 21:10 |
| Scaly-Surge 0x6a68…6679 | Yes | +100 | $83 | $83 | 1 | 06-02 20:54 |
| Sweltering-Policy 0xe1d2…0ecf | No | +100 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 06-08 11:16 |
| Scaly-Surge 0x6a68…6679 | No | +100 | $10 | $10 | 4 | 06-06 13:14 |
| Canine-Leaver 0x59e5…7a2b | Yes | +71 | $61 | $61 | 1 | 05-30 22:08 |
| Busy-Infancy 0x61d3…fd3b | No | +71 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-30 22:08 |
| Chilly-Siding 0xcfde…4006 | No | +50 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-05 09:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3ba…95e2 | No | +50 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 06-05 09:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x245c…3c5c | No | +42 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-05 19:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x2f81…a4c3 | No | +42 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-07 20:23 |
| Slim-Trigger 0x03f2…3bad | No | +42 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-08 06:01 |
| Impeccable-Sparerib 0x1ea0…ae77 | No | +40 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-09 21:26 |
| Creamy-Cascade 0x172b…e39e | No | +39 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-08 14:22 |
| Secondary-Sector 0x4109…ad6b | Yes | +33 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 06-06 13:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x69b2…db56 | Yes | +33 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 06-07 11:18 |
| All-Architecture 0x588d…099a | No | +31 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-07 06:39 |
| Youthful-Softening 0x035b…c6dd | No | +27 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 06-07 11:18 |
| Sharp-Wax 0xd277…73fe | Yes | +23 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 06-04 15:02 |
| Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | No | +23 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-04 15:02 |
| Fussy-Snack 0x7f4e…52f2 | Yes | +22 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-08 11:53 |
| Partial-Cultivator 0x3687…d8fc | Yes | +20 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 06-08 11:31 |
| Lucky-Dysfunction-Romaine 0xca83…8b16 | No | +18 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-05 23:08 |
| Intent-Property 0x57f5…c1c9 | No | +17 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-05 09:07 |
| Closed-Rating 0x505e…affc | Yes | +16 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-31 20:42 |
| Delightful-Forecast 0x9fad…fcc1 | Yes | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 06-07 16:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x3a9a…72e7 | No | +10 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 06-09 19:16 |
| (anonymous) 0xa51e…db50 | No | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-08 21:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x72d4…18dc | No | +9 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-07 03:43 |
| Unhappy-Appearance 0xd3f7…4984 | No | +9 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-06 22:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x2a8e…6b72 | No | +9 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-07 16:27 |
| Useful-Postage 0xc9bb…910c | No | +9 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-09 00:31 |
| Shameless-Twist 0x758b…156c | No | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-08 10:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x578b…3b07 | Yes | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-09 19:16 |
| Little-Heartwood 0x81c9…4a47 | Yes | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-03 13:55 |
| Wonderful-Volatility 0x0739…aba8 | Yes | +4 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 06-08 21:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x4205…128e | Yes | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-02 20:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x5f81…3811 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-09 21:06 |
| Daring-Ephemeris 0x9941…8877 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-03 14:37 |
| Jumpy-Cyclamen 0x9fe7…95c3 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-04 20:15 |
| Ideal-Cholesterol 0x48ef…26ad | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-02 07:20 |
| (anonymous) 0xa1df…2407 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-06 17:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xf840…0b84 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-07 19:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x1f40…1bbf | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-05 09:15 |
| Cheap-Halibut 0x0a57…dc32 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $24 | 6 | 06-07 00:49 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-09 21:26:00 | Impassioned-Body 0xb046…857c | No | SELL | 40 | 12¢ | $5 | 0x73caeb… |
| 06-09 21:26:00 | Impeccable-Sparerib 0x1ea0…ae77 | No | BUY | 40 | 12¢ | $5 | 0x73caeb… |
| 06-09 21:06:15 | (anonymous) 0x5f81…3811 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0xa19071… |
| 06-09 21:06:15 | (anonymous) 0xafd2…7260 | No | BUY | 1 | 11¢ | $0 | 0xa19071… |
| 06-09 21:06:09 | Active-Hypothermia 0xc3cd…816c | No | SELL | 200 | 12¢ | $24 | 0x0e3adc… |
| 06-09 21:06:09 | Sizzling-Scallion 0x85b9…906d | Yes | BUY | 163 | 88¢ | $144 | 0x0e3adc… |
| 06-09 21:06:09 | Impassioned-Body 0xb046…857c | No | SELL | 53 | 12¢ | $6 | 0x0e3adc… |
| 06-09 21:06:09 | Limping-Bake 0xe164…56c1 | No | BUY | 417 | 12¢ | $50 | 0x0e3adc… |
| 06-09 19:16:52 | (anonymous) 0xafd2…7260 | No | BUY | 1 | 11¢ | $0 | 0xf5c282… |
| 06-09 19:16:52 | (anonymous) 0x3a9a…72e7 | No | BUY | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xf5c282… |
| 06-09 19:16:52 | (anonymous) 0x578b…3b07 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 89¢ | $5 | 0xf5c282… |
| 06-09 14:31:18 | Hurtful-Skunk 0x8e84…a101 | No | BUY | 458 | 12¢ | $55 | 0xcc1df0… |
| 06-09 14:31:18 | Sizzling-Scallion 0x85b9…906d | Yes | BUY | 458 | 88¢ | $403 | 0xcc1df0… |
| 06-09 12:41:42 | (anonymous) 0x118b…fc47 | No | BUY | 8 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x46caec… |
| 06-09 12:41:42 | Sizzling-Scallion 0x85b9…906d | Yes | BUY | 8 | 88¢ | $7 | 0x46caec… |
| 06-09 10:37:30 | Back-Misplacement 0xb6a0…0231 | No | SELL | 11 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xe7c2ea… |
| 06-09 10:37:30 | Winding-Road 0xda3a…381f | No | BUY | 11 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xe7c2ea… |
| 06-09 00:31:27 | Useful-Postage 0xc9bb…910c | No | BUY | 9 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x803566… |
| 06-09 00:31:27 | Sizzling-Scallion 0x85b9…906d | Yes | BUY | 9 | 88¢ | $8 | 0x803566… |
| 06-08 21:36:37 | Sizzling-Scallion 0x85b9…906d | Yes | BUY | 10 | 88¢ | $9 | 0x82cec6… |
| 06-08 21:36:37 | (anonymous) 0xa51e…db50 | No | BUY | 10 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x82cec6… |
| 06-08 21:10:10 | Winding-Road 0xda3a…381f | No | BUY | 50 | 10¢ | $5 | 0x6f09a9… |
| 06-08 21:10:10 | Precious-Anise 0xf869…52a7 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 90¢ | $45 | 0x6f09a9… |
| 06-08 21:10:10 | Wonderful-Volatility 0x0739…aba8 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x2d86cb… |
| 06-08 21:10:10 | Winding-Road 0xda3a…381f | No | BUY | 2 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x2d86cb… |
| 06-08 17:53:06 | Grubby-Estate 0xdb25…6879 | No | BUY | 8 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xfa791c… |
| 06-08 17:53:06 | Sizzling-Scallion 0x85b9…906d | Yes | BUY | 8 | 88¢ | $7 | 0xfa791c… |
| 06-08 14:22:16 | Creamy-Cascade 0x172b…e39e | No | BUY | 39 | 12¢ | $5 | 0xc37b62… |
| 06-08 14:22:16 | Sizzling-Scallion 0x85b9…906d | Yes | BUY | 39 | 88¢ | $34 | 0xc37b62… |
| 06-08 11:53:52 | Fussy-Snack 0x7f4e…52f2 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 90¢ | $20 | 0x61770c… |
| 06-08 11:53:52 | Winding-Road 0xda3a…381f | No | BUY | 22 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x61770c… |
| 06-08 11:31:28 | Winding-Road 0xda3a…381f | No | BUY | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xfb390e… |
| 06-08 11:31:28 | Partial-Cultivator 0x3687…d8fc | Yes | BUY | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0xfb390e… |
| 06-08 11:16:06 | Orderly-Venture 0xd48a…6e90 | Yes | BUY | 3,741 | 89¢ | $3,344 | 0xb8c8c3… |
| 06-08 11:16:06 | Sweltering-Policy 0xe1d2…0ecf | No | BUY | 100 | 11¢ | $11 | 0xb8c8c3… |
| 06-08 11:16:06 | (anonymous) 0x3a9a…72e7 | No | BUY | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xb8c8c3… |
| 06-08 11:16:06 | Impassioned-Body 0xb046…857c | No | BUY | 1,222 | 11¢ | $134 | 0xb8c8c3… |
| 06-08 11:16:06 | Sizzling-Scallion 0x85b9…906d | Yes | SELL | 736 | 89¢ | $655 | 0xb8c8c3… |
| 06-08 11:16:06 | Active-Hypothermia 0xc3cd…816c | No | BUY | 200 | 11¢ | $22 | 0xb8c8c3… |
| 06-08 11:16:06 | Winding-Road 0xda3a…381f | No | BUY | 1,478 | 10¢ | $148 | 0xb8c8c3… |
| 06-08 10:30:01 | Sizzling-Scallion 0x85b9…906d | Yes | BUY | 8 | 88¢ | $7 | 0x3fafc3… |
| 06-08 10:30:01 | Shameless-Twist 0x758b…156c | No | BUY | 8 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x3fafc3… |
| 06-08 06:01:57 | Sizzling-Scallion 0x85b9…906d | Yes | BUY | 42 | 88¢ | $37 | 0xe4e0e5… |
| 06-08 06:01:57 | Slim-Trigger 0x03f2…3bad | No | BUY | 42 | 12¢ | $5 | 0xe4e0e5… |
| 06-07 20:23:18 | Sizzling-Scallion 0x85b9…906d | Yes | BUY | 42 | 88¢ | $37 | 0xd947aa… |
| 06-07 20:23:18 | (anonymous) 0x2f81…a4c3 | No | BUY | 42 | 12¢ | $5 | 0xd947aa… |
| 06-07 19:49:09 | Winding-Road 0xda3a…381f | No | BUY | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x66f766… |
| 06-07 19:49:09 | (anonymous) 0xf840…0b84 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x66f766… |
| 06-07 16:57:27 | Sizzling-Scallion 0x85b9…906d | Yes | BUY | 694 | 88¢ | $611 | 0xbda22d… |
| 06-07 16:57:27 | Delightful-Forecast 0x9fad…fcc1 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 89¢ | $9 | 0xbda22d… |
| 06-07 16:57:27 | Tough-Placode 0xcf92…4bfd | Yes | BUY | 324 | 89¢ | $288 | 0xbda22d… |
| 06-07 16:57:27 | Direct-Pinstripe 0xe5d7…6530 | No | BUY | 1,028 | 12¢ | $120 | 0xbda22d… |
| 06-07 16:27:04 | (anonymous) 0x2a8e…6b72 | No | BUY | 9 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x6732e5… |
| 06-07 16:27:04 | Tough-Placode 0xcf92…4bfd | Yes | BUY | 9 | 89¢ | $8 | 0x6732e5… |
| 06-07 11:18:51 | Youthful-Softening 0x035b…c6dd | No | BUY | 9 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x36eabc… |
| 06-07 11:18:51 | Tough-Placode 0xcf92…4bfd | Yes | BUY | 9 | 89¢ | $8 | 0x36eabc… |
| 06-07 11:18:33 | Winding-Road 0xda3a…381f | No | BUY | 33 | 10¢ | $3 | 0xfe6380… |
| 06-07 11:18:33 | (anonymous) 0x69b2…db56 | Yes | BUY | 33 | 90¢ | $30 | 0xfe6380… |
| 06-07 06:39:27 | Tough-Placode 0xcf92…4bfd | Yes | BUY | 31 | 89¢ | $28 | 0xf08c01… |
| 06-07 06:39:27 | All-Architecture 0x588d…099a | No | BUY | 31 | 11¢ | $3 | 0xf08c01… |
| 06-07 03:43:27 | Tough-Placode 0xcf92…4bfd | Yes | BUY | 9 | 89¢ | $8 | 0x5619f2… |
| 06-07 03:43:27 | (anonymous) 0x72d4…18dc | No | BUY | 9 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x5619f2… |
| 06-07 01:35:40 | Tough-Placode 0xcf92…4bfd | Yes | BUY | 11 | 89¢ | $10 | 0x471810… |
| 06-07 01:35:40 | Back-Misplacement 0xb6a0…0231 | No | BUY | 11 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x471810… |
| 06-07 00:49:46 | Tough-Placode 0xcf92…4bfd | Yes | BUY | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0x7c4a7c… |
| 06-07 00:49:46 | Cheap-Halibut 0x0a57…dc32 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0x7c4a7c… |
| 06-07 00:34:46 | Tough-Placode 0xcf92…4bfd | Yes | BUY | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0x9308f0… |
| 06-07 00:34:46 | Cheap-Halibut 0x0a57…dc32 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0x9308f0… |
| 06-06 22:33:33 | Unhappy-Appearance 0xd3f7…4984 | No | BUY | 9 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x6dbda6… |
| 06-06 22:33:33 | Tough-Placode 0xcf92…4bfd | Yes | BUY | 9 | 89¢ | $8 | 0x6dbda6… |
| 06-06 20:52:15 | Tough-Placode 0xcf92…4bfd | Yes | BUY | 9 | 89¢ | $8 | 0x49a832… |
| 06-06 20:52:15 | Youthful-Softening 0x035b…c6dd | No | BUY | 9 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x49a832… |
| 06-06 20:51:55 | Helpless-Electricity 0xab45…fee3 | No | SELL | 23 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x8068df… |
| 06-06 20:51:55 | Winding-Road 0xda3a…381f | No | BUY | 23 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x8068df… |
| 06-06 20:42:48 | Tough-Placode 0xcf92…4bfd | Yes | BUY | 23 | 89¢ | $20 | 0xa4af99… |
| 06-06 20:42:48 | Helpless-Electricity 0xab45…fee3 | No | BUY | 23 | 11¢ | $2 | 0xa4af99… |
| 06-06 20:04:21 | Cheap-Halibut 0x0a57…dc32 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0x26212e… |
| 06-06 20:04:21 | Tough-Placode 0xcf92…4bfd | Yes | BUY | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0x26212e… |
| 06-06 19:59:16 | Cheap-Halibut 0x0a57…dc32 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 89¢ | $3 | 0xe7072a… |
| 06-06 19:59:16 | Tough-Placode 0xcf92…4bfd | Yes | BUY | 3 | 89¢ | $3 | 0xe7072a… |
| 06-06 19:54:18 | Youthful-Softening 0x035b…c6dd | No | BUY | 9 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x5e7ca1… |
| 06-06 19:54:18 | Tough-Placode 0xcf92…4bfd | Yes | BUY | 9 | 89¢ | $8 | 0x5e7ca1… |
| 06-06 19:54:12 | Cheap-Halibut 0x0a57…dc32 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 89¢ | $6 | 0x5c8afe… |
| 06-06 19:54:12 | Tough-Placode 0xcf92…4bfd | Yes | BUY | 7 | 89¢ | $6 | 0x5c8afe… |
| 06-06 19:54:07 | Sizzling-Scallion 0x85b9…906d | Yes | SELL | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0x338436… |
| 06-06 19:54:07 | Winding-Road 0xda3a…381f | No | BUY | 9 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x338436… |
| 06-06 19:54:07 | Cheap-Halibut 0x0a57…dc32 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 90¢ | $13 | 0x338436… |
| 06-06 17:53:01 | Sizzling-Scallion 0x85b9…906d | Yes | SELL | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0xd5d5f2… |
| 06-06 17:53:01 | (anonymous) 0xa1df…2407 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0xd5d5f2… |
| 06-06 16:05:06 | Tough-Placode 0xcf92…4bfd | Yes | BUY | 450 | 89¢ | $400 | 0xeae8d1… |
| 06-06 16:05:06 | Muted-Primary 0x9163…82ae | No | BUY | 450 | 11¢ | $50 | 0xeae8d1… |
| 06-06 13:14:00 | Scaly-Surge 0x6a68…6679 | No | BUY | 21 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x48c335… |
| 06-06 13:14:00 | Sizzling-Scallion 0x85b9…906d | Yes | SELL | 12 | 90¢ | $11 | 0x48c335… |
| 06-06 13:14:00 | Secondary-Sector 0x4109…ad6b | Yes | BUY | 33 | 90¢ | $30 | 0x48c335… |
| 06-06 02:50:36 | Tough-Placode 0xcf92…4bfd | Yes | BUY | 19 | 89¢ | $17 | 0xf15caa… |
| 06-06 02:50:36 | Our-Dough 0x38e5…95e7 | No | BUY | 19 | 11¢ | $2 | 0xf15caa… |
| 06-06 02:49:34 | Tough-Placode 0xcf92…4bfd | Yes | BUY | 19 | 89¢ | $17 | 0x642ab3… |
| 06-06 02:49:34 | Our-Dough 0x38e5…95e7 | No | BUY | 19 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x642ab3… |
| 06-06 02:15:10 | Our-Dough 0x38e5…95e7 | No | BUY | 16 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x727dc0… |
| 06-06 02:15:10 | Tough-Placode 0xcf92…4bfd | Yes | BUY | 16 | 89¢ | $14 | 0x727dc0… |