Realized P&L
+$35.4K
Unrealized P&L
-$94
Hit rate
54.2%
Resolved
2,502
Trades
33,766
lifetime
Volume
$1.48M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$44
Open exposure
$9.52K
25 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-30 04:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 182 days
Categories
Sports
90% 46% +$46,412
Other
7% 54% +$1,797
Politics
3% 25% -$12,848
Crypto
0% — —
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
32 active days in 12wk • peak 291 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +3,387 $2,388 70¢ $2.4K $0 10-30 03:49
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +3,387 $2,106 63¢ $2.1K +$14 10-30 03:49
Hornets vs. Wizards Hornets — +2,090 $998 48¢ $993 -$5 10-29 16:48
Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026? Yes +1,199 $859 76¢ $911 +$52 10-30 05:23
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +1,000 $640 62¢ $625 -$15 10-30 00:04
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October? Yes +1,449 $658 43¢ $623 -$35 10-29 20:04
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +1,004 $412 44¢ $437 +$25 10-28 16:19
Knicks vs. 76ers 76ers +649 $330 46¢ $302 -$28 10-29 03:13
Pacers vs. Heat Pacers +742 $289 26¢ $197 -$92 10-29 16:55
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? No +192 $182 95¢ $181 $0 10-30 02:46
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +325 $162 50¢ $161 -$2 10-30 05:22
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +386 $131 34¢ $129 -$2 10-30 03:56
No one announced as next James Bond? Yes +524 $121 23¢ $119 -$2 10-30 01:45
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? No +100 $98 98¢ $98 -$1 10-26 08:42
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -500 -$80 18¢ $-92 -$12 10-15 21:24
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +376 $64 18¢ $70 +$6 10-29 23:53
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat? Yes +60 $20 33¢ $20 -$1 10-30 02:00
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +20 $18 86¢ $17 -$1 10-29 06:48
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? Yes +185 $25 8¢ $15 -$11 10-27 02:26
Will Todd Achilles win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? Yes +235 $12 5¢ $11 -$1 10-29 05:35
Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026? No +192 $9 5¢ $10 +$1 10-30 02:46
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +20 $2 11¢ $2 +$1 10-29 06:48
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? No +100 $2 2¢ $2 +$0 10-28 22:59
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October? Yes +5 $0 2¢ $0 $0 10-29 21:23
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +0 -$15 4¢ $0 +$15 10-20 22:11