Distant-Brow — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$180

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

85.3%

Resolved

927

Trades

2,188

lifetime

Volume

$114.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$52

Open exposure

$100

1 position

First seen

2026-05-10

last 10-30 09:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 112 days

Categories

Other

66% 78% -$691

Sports

27% 76% +$227

Crypto

5% 90% +$272

Politics

1% 79% +$12

Tech

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

64 active days in 12wk • peak 82 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes		+102	$100	97¢	$100	$0	10-30 02:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins	5	$1.9K	1,014	1,014	+0	Detroit Tigers	+$103	09-03 03:55
US Open WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Anastasia Potapova	3	$1.7K	852	852	+0	Mirra Andreeva	+$51	09-07 17:40
mlb cin chc 2026 08 30	4	$1.5K	799	799	+0	Cincinnati Reds	+$104	08-31 02:37
New York Yankees vs. Los Angeles Angels	4	$1.4K	631	1,031	-400	New York Yankees	+$40	09-03 04:42
Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-09-05?	2	$1.4K	704	704	+0	Yes	+$3	09-05 15:35
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-08-29?	4	$1.3K	677	677	+0	Yes	+$11	08-29 22:56
Will New England Revolution win on 2026-08-29?	4	$1.2K	609	609	+0	Yes	+$9	08-30 22:39
atp bonzi buse 2026 09 03	4	$1.1K	407	1,007	-600	Benjamin Bonzi	+$15	09-03 23:07
wta kostyuk samsono 2026 09 17	5	$1.1K	530	830	-300	Liudmila Samsonova	-$77	09-18 02:29
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-09-16?	5	$1.1K	551	551	+0	Yes	+$16	09-17 00:35
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-06?	4	$1.0K	526	526	+0	Yes	+$25	09-06 15:57
US Open WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Emma Navarro	2	$1.0K	525	525	+0	Emma Navarro	+$25	09-07 02:56
Colorado Rockies vs. New York Yankees	2	$1.0K	503	503	+0	New York Yankees	+$3	09-09 01:51
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-09-05?	2	$996	500	500	+0	No	+$2	09-05 15:41
atp zverev halys 2026 09 03	7	$864	386	686	-300	Alexander Zverev	-$6	09-04 06:16
Barranquilla: Kayla Day vs Suzan Lamens	6	$852	432	432	+0	Kayla Day	+$12	09-07 22:22
Minnesota Lynx vs. Indiana Fever	2	$802	402	402	+0	Indiana Fever	+$2	09-23 02:11
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Kansas City Royals	12	$739	451	551	-100	Arizona Diamondbacks	-$26	09-09 03:12
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-12?	4	$712	306	506	-200	Yes	+$12	09-12 21:03
Miami Marlins vs. Chicago Cubs	5	$696	361	561	-200	Miami Marlins	-$4	09-23 03:52
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-19?	4	$671	351	351	+0	Yes	+$31	09-19 21:00
mlb tex mil 2026 08 30	4	$662	333	333	+0	Texas Rangers	+$2	08-30 21:45
mlb hou nym 2026 08 30	3	$646	327	327	+0	Houston Astros	+$6	08-30 22:13
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees	3	$622	313	313	+0	Tampa Bay Rays	+$2	09-23 02:15
mlb phi laa 2026 08 30	3	$621	312	312	+0	Philadelphia Phillies	+$1	08-30 23:02
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds	4	$621	311	311	+0	Cincinnati Reds	+$1	09-06 19:29
Will AC Milan win on 2026-09-12?	6	$621	321	321	+0	No	+$8	09-12 17:58
Will Atlético San Luis win on 2026-08-30?	4	$615	315	315	+0	Yes	+$15	08-31 04:11
Will Levante UD win on 2026-08-29?	12	$610	317	317	+0	Yes	+$12	08-29 17:09
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 7?	3	$609	309	309	+0	Yes	+$9	09-07 15:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 09:57:12	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	86¢	$86	0x68443f…
10-30 09:56:22	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	131	89¢	$117	0xc43ea3…
10-30 09:40:31	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	100	15¢	$15	0x76ab92…
10-30 02:11:19	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x56f789…
10-30 01:45:18	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	131	84¢	$110	0xbf87a7…
10-30 01:37:58	Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x29cdce…
10-29 00:02:08	Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x1f55e8…
10-28 03:04:12	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x389fdf…
10-24 18:36:45	Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xe53cb3…
10-24 18:36:35	Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)	Valencia CF	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0x011adf…
10-24 18:29:23	Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-10-24?	No	SELL	100	3¢	$3	0xc9cd2f…
10-24 17:53:03	Will SSC Napoli vs. AS Roma end in a draw?	No	SELL	100	9¢	$9	0x5f1f26…
10-24 17:41:32	Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-24?	No	SELL	21	79¢	$17	0x564651…
10-24 17:11:14	Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)	Villarreal CF	SELL	60	8¢	$5	0xc053ee…
10-24 17:08:53	Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x716706…
10-24 17:08:20	Will SSC Napoli vs. AS Roma end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	100	12¢	$12	0xc5ddbe…
10-24 16:14:03	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x663ade…
10-24 15:57:47	Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)	Arsenal FC	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0x91d44e…
10-24 15:57:33	Spread: Arsenal FC (-3.5)	Everton FC	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x774f73…
10-24 15:38:00	Spread: Arsenal FC (-3.5)	Everton FC	BUY	12	93¢	$11	0x0df468…
10-24 15:17:14	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xf101a7…
10-24 15:14:39	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x50b302…
10-24 15:01:03	Will Como 1907 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw?	No	SELL	103	100¢	$103	0x9c2b4b…
10-24 15:00:51	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x9e13d8…
10-24 15:00:39	Como 1907 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x13bc01…
10-24 14:41:02	Como 1907 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 3.5	Over	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0xc0b378…
10-24 14:19:47	Will Como 1907 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw?	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x2b4f26…
10-24 14:11:59	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xf3ad92…
10-24 14:03:38	Spread: Elche CF (-2.5)	Elche CF	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x44e581…
10-24 14:03:21	Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-24?	No	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0x4fd605…
10-24 14:02:51	Spread: Elche CF (-1.5)	Elche CF	SELL	126	100¢	$126	0xbe5d1e…
10-24 13:56:38	Spread: Elche CF (-2.5)	Elche CF	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x63930f…
10-24 13:40:51	Spread: Elche CF (-1.5)	Elche CF	BUY	126	95¢	$120	0xa2b74a…
10-24 13:27:05	Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0xc99326…
10-24 02:39:21	Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 249.5	Under	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xce0896…
10-24 02:27:09	Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 249.5	Over	SELL	100	3¢	$3	0xaaec52…
10-24 01:50:53	Knicks vs. Celtics	Celtics	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xfc615e…
10-24 01:50:42	Knicks vs. Celtics: O/U 237.5	Under	SELL	203	100¢	$202	0x67b2b6…
10-24 01:41:44	Knicks vs. Celtics	Knicks	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0xdf418d…
10-24 01:36:44	Knicks vs. Celtics: O/U 237.5	Under	BUY	103	98¢	$100	0x2ae95c…
10-24 00:27:11	Knicks vs. Celtics: O/U 237.5	Over	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x8a90e3…
10-23 04:04:09	Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 249.5	Under	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0x32377e…
10-23 02:39:18	CR Flamengo vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: Team to Advance	Estudiantes de La Plata	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xeb3702…
10-23 02:35:24	CR Flamengo vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: Team to Advance	CR Flamengo	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0x27ba42…
10-23 02:28:48	Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 249.5	Over	SELL	60	4¢	$2	0x77ef4c…
10-23 02:25:42	Will CR Flamengo vs. Estudiantes de La Plata end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x19c3bb…
10-23 02:25:20	Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-10-22?	No	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0x85695f…
10-23 02:23:12	Will CR Flamengo vs. Estudiantes de La Plata end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	16	97¢	$16	0x175987…
10-23 02:04:29	Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-10-22?	No	BUY	51	97¢	$50	0x8d7aed…
10-23 01:56:23	Cavaliers vs. 76ers: O/U 249.5	Under	SELL	197	100¢	$197	0xe45c9d…
10-23 01:56:09	Cavaliers vs. 76ers	76ers	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0x3a1d8b…
10-23 01:44:00	Cavaliers vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	33	86¢	$28	0x49f202…
10-23 01:43:17	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	37	76¢	$28	0xc501bd…
10-23 01:33:23	Cavaliers vs. 76ers: O/U 249.5	Under	BUY	97	97¢	$94	0x937eb9…
10-23 01:30:02	Cavaliers vs. 76ers	Cavaliers	SELL	16	30¢	$5	0x0c8a21…
10-23 01:20:17	Cavaliers vs. 76ers: O/U 249.5	Over	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0xb612d6…
10-23 01:09:57	Cavaliers vs. 76ers	Cavaliers	BUY	16	69¢	$11	0xd8ca3c…
10-23 01:03:05	Cavaliers vs. 76ers	Cavaliers	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0x721967…
10-23 00:51:05	Cavaliers vs. 76ers	Cavaliers	BUY	16	69¢	$11	0x338fe7…
10-23 00:51:05	Cavaliers vs. 76ers	Cavaliers	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x27aac4…
10-21 02:30:23	Spread: CA Boca Juniors (-1.5)	CA Boca Juniors	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0x63c6e7…
10-21 02:30:11	Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x113d2c…
10-21 02:19:30	Spread: CA Boca Juniors (-1.5)	CR Vasco da Gama	SELL	60	10¢	$6	0xf4028e…
10-21 02:12:59	Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x9e5940…
10-21 02:04:39	76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 240.5	Under	SELL	48	100¢	$48	0xb793b5…
10-21 02:01:14	76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 230.5	Under	SELL	111	100¢	$111	0xd9964c…
10-21 01:48:57	76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 240.5	Under	BUY	48	98¢	$47	0x34bf1f…
10-21 01:38:00	76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 230.5	Under	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x43e5aa…
10-20 22:49:24	Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	94¢	$12	0x9f01a3…
10-19 22:29:24	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0x460f32…
10-18 20:18:21	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	BUY	17	90¢	$15	0xbc1a7f…
10-18 19:40:54	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-18?	No	SELL	60	3¢	$2	0xf01c07…
10-18 03:04:33	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	17¢	$8	0x59bac4…
10-18 03:01:30	Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	91¢	$33	0xd25ea6…
10-18 02:43:24	UFC Fight Night: Mike Malott vs. Joaquin Buckley (Welterweight, Main Card)	Mike Malott	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x5aa5e8…
10-18 02:24:48	Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	92¢	$40	0x369b15…
10-18 02:23:51	Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	88¢	$16	0x1b9159…
10-18 02:11:15	UFC Fight Night: Erin Blanchfield vs. Jasmine Jasudavicius (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)	Jasmine Jasudavicius	SELL	134	100¢	$134	0xc3937f…
10-18 02:03:08	UFC Fight Night: Erin Blanchfield vs. Jasmine Jasudavicius (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)	Jasmine Jasudavicius	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x095b80…
10-18 02:02:11	UFC Fight Night: Erin Blanchfield vs. Jasmine Jasudavicius (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)	Jasmine Jasudavicius	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x3deaa3…
10-18 02:01:56	UFC Fight Night: Erin Blanchfield vs. Jasmine Jasudavicius (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)	Erin Blanchfield	SELL	123	10¢	$12	0xee0b27…
10-18 01:58:35	UFC Fight Night: Erin Blanchfield vs. Jasmine Jasudavicius (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)	Erin Blanchfield	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xe4d12b…
10-18 01:54:41	UFC Fight Night: Erin Blanchfield vs. Jasmine Jasudavicius (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)	Jasmine Jasudavicius	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x0253e8…
10-18 01:51:23	UFC Fight Night: Erin Blanchfield vs. Jasmine Jasudavicius (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)	Erin Blanchfield	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x1eaf24…
10-18 01:50:21	UFC Fight Night: Kyle Nelson vs. Cristian Pérez (Lightweight, Main Card)	Cristian Pérez	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x3b0ff8…
10-18 01:15:26	UFC Fight Night: Kyle Daukaus vs. Marc-Andre Barriault (Middleweight, Main Card)	Marc-Andre Barriault	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0x767665…
10-18 01:08:20	UFC Fight Night: Louis Jourdain vs. Timmy Cuamba (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Timmy Cuamba	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x38e120…
10-18 00:26:32	UFC Fight Night: Nate Landwehr vs. Mandel Nallo (Lightweight, Main Card)	Mandel Nallo	SELL	151	100¢	$151	0x914565…
10-18 00:22:18	UFC Fight Night: Nate Landwehr vs. Mandel Nallo (Lightweight, Main Card)	Mandel Nallo	BUY	101	95¢	$96	0xa83160…
10-18 00:21:51	Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	106	88¢	$93	0xa10c78…
10-18 00:20:08	UFC Fight Night: Nate Landwehr vs. Mandel Nallo (Lightweight, Main Card)	Nate Landwehr	SELL	50	5¢	$2	0x2ad5b3…
10-18 00:01:51	UFC Fight Night: Tanner Boser vs. Jhonata Diniz (Heavyweight, Prelims)	Tanner Boser	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0xa9abbb…
10-17 23:51:30	UFC Fight Night: Tanner Boser vs. Jhonata Diniz (Heavyweight, Prelims)	Tanner Boser	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x3f0092…
10-17 23:48:36	UFC Fight Night: Tanner Boser vs. Jhonata Diniz (Heavyweight, Prelims)	Jhonata Diniz	SELL	40	8¢	$3	0xe744df…
10-17 22:54:02	UFC Fight Night: Javad Mahjoub vs. Joel Faglier (Heavyweight, Prelims)	Joel Faglier	SELL	160	25¢	$40	0xc686cb…
10-17 22:52:56	UFC Fight Night: Javad Mahjoub vs. Joel Faglier (Heavyweight, Prelims)	Joel Faglier	SELL	0	22¢	$0	0xc9bf67…
10-17 22:41:03	UFC Fight Night: Katlyn Cerminara vs. Mackenzie Stiller (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)	Katlyn Cerminara	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xc20433…
10-17 22:19:44	UFC Fight Night: Chad Anheliger vs. Steven Koslow (Bantamweight, Prelims)	Steven Koslow	SELL	162	100¢	$162	0xcae46d…
10-17 22:13:29	UFC Fight Night: Chad Anheliger vs. Steven Koslow (Bantamweight, Prelims)	Steven Koslow	BUY	62	96¢	$60	0xf257d6…
10-17 22:11:44	UFC Fight Night: Chad Anheliger vs. Steven Koslow (Bantamweight, Prelims)	Chad Anheliger	SELL	100	3¢	$3	0xc94e13…